8=======>

2026-10-21 · +7d

beta_5y · test · 1,000 tokens predicted

+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
–
0 of 1,000 tokens assessed
long-short decile
–
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
–
in alpha space · – on raw price
BTC over horizon
–
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (250 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MINTMintanaSolana0.0000339950.000013314-60.84%–pending––-7.82407k–
ALTHEAALTHEAEthereum0.028250.025368-10.20%–pending––0.561,784–
DOODDoodlesSolana0.0030310.00274-9.60%–pending––1.4022k–
SHAREShareXBinance Smart Chain2.55962.3218-9.29%–pending––-0.1583k–
BLASTBlastBlast0.000035830.000032537-9.19%–pending––1.52162k–
KNOTSKNOTSSolana0.0034170.003103-9.19%–pending––4.2547k–
COOLHYPE3.coolSolana0.00087770.000799239-8.94%–pending––-8.0355k–
ORBIOOrbio.soRobinhood0.0426650.038918-8.78%–pending––2.76115k–
MHAMagic HashBinance Smart Chain0.0048540.004439-8.55%–pending––2.29391k–
QQ0.1360360.125076-8.06%–pending––-0.33148k–
OBIOrbofi AIEthereum0.0014110.001299-7.98%–pending––-0.283,795–
TOLLYTollyArc0.0017910.00165-7.88%–pending––-1.7470k–
BATONbatonSolana0.007720.007136-7.56%–pending––3.81206k–
EDELEdelEthereum0.034160.03167-7.29%–pending––1.23195k–
RHHyatt Hotels Tokenized Stock (Reality)Arbitrum0.0070470.006537-7.25%–pending––-0.77100k–
PIVXPIVXnative0.0460630.042758-7.17%–pending––0.2464k–
GSTOCKGstockBinance Smart Chain0.0056550.005254-7.10%–pending––3.51109k–
NOCKNockchainBase0.0210.01953-7.00%–pending––1.5815k–
ARIAAria.AIBinance Smart Chain0.063910.0595-6.90%–pending––0.4361k–
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0570350.053131-6.85%–pending––1.37159k–
MASKSOL?0.0428750.039943-6.84%–pending––1.0060k–
ANVLAnvilEthereum0.0019650.001831-6.82%–pending––0.3151k–
UBIKubikRobinhood0.0066750.006233-6.62%–pending––3.4255k–
MICRODUCKmicroduckRobinhood0.0019360.001809-6.58%–pending––0.8259k–
ZCATAnonymous CatSolana0.0534650.049952-6.57%–pending––2.7989k–
BIRBMoonbirdsSolana0.064760.060569-6.47%–pending––0.7736k–
STONKBROKERStonkBrokerRobinhood0.007460.006978-6.46%–pending––1.2960k–
FATCOINFATCOINRobinhood0.00036230.00033908-6.41%–pending––0.4360k–
DOPEDoge PepeRobinhood0.0018590.001741-6.34%–pending––1.0054k–
MAMEMame InuBinance Smart Chain0.0020010.001875-6.31%–pending––1.0249k–
RHEARHEASolana0.073760.069124-6.29%–pending––2.14262k–
ELIZAOSElizaOSEthereum0.0004180.00039237-6.13%–pending––0.238,459–
COLLECTCollect on FanableBinance Smart Chain0.026240.024636-6.11%–pending––0.7466k–
IOSTIOSTBinance Smart Chain0.0014480.001361-6.05%–pending––1.313,359–
ZZZZZZRobinhood0.011550.010854-6.02%–pending––3.1683k–
OTCOTCSolana0.008020.007544-5.94%–pending––3.1950k–
QNTQuantEthereum200.495188.5944-5.94%–pending––0.7519.3M–
AKEAkedoBinance Smart Chain0.0331790.03121-5.93%–pending––-0.46575k–
LAPTOPHunter Biden's LaptopBase0.071350.067144-5.89%–pending––0.1923k–
CNPYCanopyBinance Smart Chain0.22170.208794-5.82%–pending––-0.17214k–
ALEOALEOBinance Smart Chain0.040860.038514-5.74%–pending––0.21502k–
KSKDKaskadIgra0.0048830.004603-5.74%–pending––-0.1653k–
ZEUSZeus NetworkSolana0.0088750.008379-5.59%–pending––0.15100k–
DIMODIMOEthereum0.0198550.018746-5.58%–pending––0.30475k–
BTWBitwayEthereum2.10441.9882-5.52%–pending––-1.487.7M–
ARGUSArgusArc0.0083240.007868-5.48%–pending––-1.7192k–
BPBackpackSolana1.09841.0395-5.37%–pending––1.25273k–
BRBedrockEthereum0.582220.550979-5.37%–pending––1.77840k–
NATIXNATIX NetworkSolana0.000202450.000191792-5.26%–pending––1.5632k–
HOOKRHookr.funRobinhood0.0246050.023313-5.25%–pending––5.4994k–
GITCOINGITCOIN0.3051350.289132-5.24%–pending––0.269,390–
ICNTImpossible Cloud Network TokenEthereum0.217350.205958-5.24%–pending––0.8534k–
PAIDPaidSolana0.0036380.003448-5.22%–pending––1.39163k–
PODDolphinBase0.6270.594276-5.22%–pending––1.4751k–
CHEQCHEQD NetworkEthereum0.0014920.001415-5.17%–pending––0.4336k–
CATECateCoinBinance Smart Chain0.0579170.054925-5.17%–pending––4.12159k–
SKYSkyEthereum0.076060.072145-5.15%–pending––1.20517k–
STONKEXThe Stonks ExchangeBase0.0047450.004502-5.13%–pending––2.4449k–
BEMBEMBinance Smart Chain30.1828.6378-5.11%–pending––1.4052k–
BASECATBasecatBase0.0120650.011455-5.05%–pending––2.76412k–
UNIUniswapEthereum7.49387.1159-5.04%–pending––1.4911.1M–
AGTAVATAGOBinance Smart Chain0.043330.04116-5.01%–pending––-0.4377k–
UPROBINHOOD?0.2767950.262933-5.01%–pending––2.3455k–
TIACelestiaCosmos0.63870.606847-4.99%–pending––1.431.9M–
CPOOLClearpoolEthereum0.0287250.0273-4.96%–pending––1.24127k–
MEWcat in a dogs worldSolana0.00051750.000491859-4.95%–pending––1.5018k–
BENBENBinance Smart Chain0.000479950.000456317-4.92%–pending––0.3759k–
FLOCKFLOCKEthereum0.0463540.04408-4.91%–pending––1.38131k–
SISuper InuSolana0.0137350.013066-4.87%–pending––1.00291k–
JUPJupiterSolana0.3201150.304533-4.87%–pending––1.351.3M–
PRAIPrivasea AIBinance Smart Chain0.0011450.001089-4.86%–pending––0.054,000–
JUGGERNAUTThe JuggernautRobinhood0.0038660.003678-4.85%–pending––0.8455k–
FLORKFLORKBinance Smart Chain0.0039330.003744-4.81%–pending––5.2365k–
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.2046450.194835-4.79%–pending––1.29556k–
CELLCellframeEthereum0.071460.068039-4.79%–pending––0.9451k–
FLYBRAINflybrainRobinhood0.00026450.000251911-4.76%–pending––-0.7557k–
ZKZKsyncEthereum0.0151920.01447-4.76%–pending––1.58308k–
DELTADeltaRobinhood0.0118150.011254-4.74%–pending––3.4094k–
POWERPower ProtocolEthereum0.0768250.073188-4.73%–pending––0.11209k–
PUFFERPufferEthereum0.0399380.038073-4.67%–pending––1.021,209–
STAYSTAYNEXBinance Smart Chain0.000008020.000007649-4.63%–pending––0.10343k–
FONEapeonfoneSolana0.0037810.003606-4.62%–pending––1.31117k–
4STOCK4StockBinance Smart Chain0.0039040.003724-4.61%–pending––3.80175k–
ZENHorizenBase6.15055.871-4.54%–pending––1.41258k–
CTRCitreaBase0.0184890.01765-4.54%–pending––0.2095k–
LITLighterEthereum3.42193.2668-4.53%–pending––1.27905k–
CLOYei FinanceSei V20.0501650.047893-4.53%–pending––-0.06132k–
PENGUPudgy PenguinsEthereum0.0081130.00775-4.47%–pending––1.813.4M–
ALCHAlchemist AISolana0.03720.035543-4.45%–pending––1.48924–
SCSiacoinnative0.000880.000840881-4.45%–pending––0.7648k–
PARTIParticle NetworkBase0.036720.035095-4.43%–pending––0.4023k–
PENDLEPendleEthereum2.17362.0774-4.42%–pending––1.12796k–
ERACalderaEthereum0.07210.068941-4.38%–pending––0.8732k–
FORTFortaEthereum0.0229720.021966-4.38%–pending––0.7088k–
WODWorld of DypiansBinance Smart Chain0.0087630.00838-4.37%–pending––0.3329k–
NIGHTMidnightCardano0.0396750.037941-4.37%–pending––1.181.4M–
ROBINROBINRobinhood0.0004410.000421735-4.37%–pending––3.3574k–
CASHCATCash CatRobinhood0.1181480.112995-4.36%–pending––1.893.4M–
PAALPAAL AIEthereum0.008370.008005-4.36%–pending––1.7374k–
BULLABULLABinance Smart Chain0.07750.074128-4.35%–pending––1.01131k–
SHROOMMUSHROOMRobinhood0.004570.004372-4.34%–pending––3.3589k–
KCTKonnectEthereum0.000603550.000577371-4.34%–pending––0.5495k–
MINAMina Protocolnative0.0721850.069059-4.33%–pending––1.53706k–
AINInfinity GroundBinance Smart Chain0.039380.037677-4.33%–pending––0.2926k–
CHIRPChirper AISolana0.007020.006718-4.31%–pending––1.4543k–
MANADecentralandEthereum0.088270.084478-4.30%–pending––0.93368k–
AURORAAuroraEthereum0.0598250.057258-4.29%–pending––3.13238k–
ZROLayerZeroEthereum2.03621.9489-4.28%–pending––0.804.6M–
CVXConvex FinanceEthereum2.62.4892-4.26%–pending––1.13288k–
GTCGitcoinEthereum0.303950.291005-4.26%–pending––0.281.2M–
PYBOBOCapyboboSolana0.000842650.000806847-4.25%–pending––-0.1352k–
MAGMAMagma FinanceSui0.31880.305349-4.22%–pending––1.34170k–
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.13934.9229-4.21%–pending––1.3453.4M–
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1080450.103517-4.19%–pending––1.98493k–
MOVRMoonriverBase1.39971.341-4.19%–pending––1.2584k–
MAGICTreasureEthereum0.094330.090413-4.15%–pending––1.18223k–
ETNElectroneumnative0.0019910.001909-4.12%–pending––0.3192k–
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.0173130.016601-4.11%–pending––0.4065k–
PURRPurrHyperliquid0.1011250.096969-4.11%–pending––2.4154k–
AICAI CompanionsBinance Smart Chain0.0216740.020786-4.10%–pending––0.1961k–
ZRCZircuitEthereum0.0013580.001302-4.09%–pending––1.943,907–
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.3469550.332829-4.07%–pending––1.10105k–
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.0244650.02347-4.07%–pending––1.47490k–
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.714250.685275-4.06%–pending––0.78212k–
HONEYHivemapperSolana0.0021840.002096-4.03%–pending––0.41193k–
MUBARAKMubarakBinance Smart Chain0.05350.051342-4.03%–pending––1.22101k–
AIINUAI INUSolana0.0848490.081431-4.03%–pending––0.77118k–
GOATEDGOAT NetworkBinance Smart Chain0.0142210.013648-4.03%–pending––0.0422k–
FUSEFuseEthereum0.0089230.008566-4.00%–pending––0.4843k–
NOSNosanaSolana0.51950.498736-4.00%–pending––1.26109k–
USELESSUseless CoinSolana0.157220.150956-3.98%–pending––2.523.8M–
GHXGamerCoinEthereum0.0103490.009938-3.97%–pending––0.6851k–
PUBLICPublicAINEAR0.0057990.00557-3.95%–pending––0.1356k–
ZECZcashZcash1,261.881,212.03-3.95%–pending––1.76110.8M–
REZRenzoEthereum0.0038040.003653-3.95%–pending––0.73127k–
MONMonadnative0.0219180.021055-3.94%–pending––1.613.2M–
CAKEPancakeSwapEthereum2.25152.1632-3.92%–pending––0.84184k–
SYNSynapseEthereum0.18410.176882-3.92%–pending––1.05124k–
STRKStarknetEthereum0.056640.054421-3.92%–pending––2.062.7M–
PUMPPump.funSolana0.0047770.004591-3.90%–pending––1.075.1M–
EMBERembercurveSolana0.0024650.002369-3.89%–pending––1.5488k–
LINGOLingoSolana0.0178930.017197-3.89%–pending––1.2949k–
BNKRBankrCoinBase0.00032610.000313444-3.88%–pending––1.68558k–
AVTAventusEthereum0.3679850.353708-3.88%–pending––-0.11117k–
METMeteoraSolana0.349550.336018-3.87%–pending––1.10508k–
SOCKSockBinance Smart Chain0.000072630.000069832-3.85%–pending––-1.7652k–
JTOJitoSolana0.48140.462867-3.85%–pending––1.28915k–
KSMKusamaHydration4.3154.149-3.85%–pending––0.92137k–
OWLOwlto FinanceBinance Smart Chain0.0010050.000966157-3.84%–pending––1.2658k–
RENDERRenderEthereum1.86351.7922-3.83%–pending––1.152.5M–
WWormholeEthereum0.0136690.013147-3.82%–pending––1.12284k–
URANUSURANUSEthereum0.0037210.003579-3.81%–pending––1.162,360–
DASHDashDash50.32548.4118-3.80%–pending––1.171.3M–
ARArweaveArweave3.8513.7049-3.79%–pending––1.75113k–
SSonicnative0.0563450.054212-3.79%–pending––1.40480k–
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0015640.001504-3.78%–pending––1.0051k–
ZETAZetaChainEthereum0.0421120.040521-3.78%–pending––1.6636k–
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash285.9275.104-3.78%–pending––1.522.7M–
QRLQuantum Resistant Ledgernative1.22521.1791-3.76%–pending––-0.1148k–
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.1872050.180172-3.76%–pending––1.28491k–
BBBookieBotEthereum0.0084550.008138-3.75%–pending––1.061.1M–
FOXSYFoxsy AISolana0.0029250.002815-3.75%–pending––0.141.0M–
GGravity (by Galxe)Ethereum0.0040110.00386-3.74%–pending––1.2129k–
BROCCOLICZ's DogBinance Smart Chain0.020720.019946-3.74%–pending––0.85107k–
SENTSentientEthereum0.022090.021265-3.73%–pending––0.77480k–
B3B3 (Base)Base0.000698250.000672222-3.73%–pending––0.62321k–
MEMEROBINHOOD?0.0090540.008716-3.73%–pending––0.07101k–
ARBArbitrumEthereum0.189920.182844-3.73%–pending––1.703.1M–
ARRRPirate Chainnative0.19630.188997-3.72%–pending––0.7059k–
FIROFironative0.84760.816095-3.72%–pending––0.8484k–
RAYRaydiumSolana1.97861.9051-3.71%–pending––1.161.3M–
ASTRAstarEthereum0.006140.005913-3.70%–pending––0.863,681–
NILNillionEthereum0.086450.083254-3.70%–pending––0.55520k–
USUALUsualEthereum0.0107750.010377-3.70%–pending––1.305,716–
WINWINkLinkTron0.0000634950.000061148-3.70%–pending––0.499,860–
ANDYETH?0.0000122830.00001183-3.69%–pending––2.6949k–
CYSCysicBase0.120850.11642-3.67%–pending––0.8765k–
TENDIESTENDIESRobinhood0.0045730.004406-3.66%–pending––2.7061k–
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.00410.00395-3.65%–pending––1.23927k–
WLDWorldcoinEthereum0.58080.559649-3.64%–pending––1.442.2M–
GBCKGoldBrickBinance Smart Chain0.0045570.004392-3.64%–pending––0.6553k–
ALTAltLayerEthereum0.010.009637-3.63%–pending––1.0015k–
GRASSGrassSolana0.638050.614902-3.63%–pending––1.43987k–
ORCAOrcaSolana1.82791.7616-3.63%–pending––1.11492k–
LCXLCXEthereum0.05330.051371-3.62%–pending––0.69508k–
DEFIDeFiEthereum0.00014960.000144195-3.61%–pending––0.2346k–
UAIUnifAI NetworkBinance Smart Chain0.317490.306045-3.60%–pending––-0.11233k–
SAGASagaSaga0.019690.018983-3.59%–pending––0.4549k–
ILVIlluviumEthereum3.43013.3073-3.58%–pending––1.0896k–
ZBCZebec ProtocolSolana0.002340.002256-3.58%–pending––1.30230k–
SUISuiSui1.02480.988498-3.54%–pending––1.5923.8M–
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.0098050.009458-3.54%–pending––0.5068k–
PYTHPyth NetworkSolana0.0796250.076807-3.54%–pending––0.611.1M–
VVVVenice TokenBase25.681724.7737-3.54%–pending––1.116.3M–
PINPinLinkEthereum0.0608350.058688-3.53%–pending––2.8269k–
PEPEPepeEthereum0.0000044950.000004336-3.53%–pending––2.112.9M–
RUNETHORChainTHORChain0.67250.648811-3.52%–pending––1.18116k–
KMNOKaminoSolana0.039980.038575-3.51%–pending––1.25219k–
TIBBIRRibbita by Virtuals [OLD]Base0.257850.248803-3.51%–pending––1.54125k–
MORPHOMorphoEthereum2.32192.2404-3.51%–pending––0.781.0M–
ACEFusionistBinance Smart Chain0.150450.145177-3.50%–pending––-0.144.3M–
BEAMXBEAMX0.0031220.003014-3.48%–pending––1.187,586–
PEAQpeaqEthereum0.0378150.0365-3.48%–pending––0.94176k–
ATHAethirEthereum0.0056540.005458-3.47%–pending––1.47309k–
44Binance Smart Chain0.0132550.012795-3.47%–pending––1.13221k–
HMNDHumanodeHumanode0.0025080.002421-3.47%–pending––0.4534k–
TETTectumEthereum0.347250.335236-3.46%–pending––1.1052k–
PLUMEPlumeEthereum0.0181950.017566-3.46%–pending––1.13739k–
FLUIDFluidEthereum2.3932.3104-3.45%–pending––1.0661k–
RSRReserve RightsEthereum0.0019290.001862-3.45%–pending––0.93125k–
XPLPlasmanative0.079590.076848-3.45%–pending––1.62823k–
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.1011050.097623-3.44%–pending––0.75103k–
NOMNominaEthereum0.0017290.00167-3.44%–pending––0.78144k–
QIBENQIAvalanche0.0024520.002367-3.44%–pending––0.50123k–
INITInitiaInitia0.126750.122405-3.43%–pending––0.6234k–
APTAptosAptos0.83520.806598-3.42%–pending––1.481.7M–
JUPITER?0.3210.310031-3.42%–pending––1.35724k–
CHIPUSD.AIEthereum0.0452010.043659-3.41%–pending––1.88236k–
SEISeiSei0.0617350.059632-3.41%–pending––1.221.3M–
SWMSwarm0.091810.088688-3.40%–pending––-1.57658k–
STONKSTONKSolana0.122180.118031-3.40%–pending––3.569,246–
CHEXChintaiEthereum0.010830.010463-3.39%–pending––0.7422k–
WIFdogwifhatSolana0.2080150.201-3.37%–pending––2.00536k–
STONKSStonks on ETHEthereum0.000504050.000487126-3.36%–pending––2.4654k–
AVAAVA (Travala)Ethereum0.32150.310711-3.36%–pending––0.3743k–
OPOptimismOptimism0.1316590.127244-3.35%–pending––1.62210k–
SNEKSnekCardano0.0007010.000677524-3.35%–pending––1.8827k–
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.0281050.027166-3.34%–pending––0.9026k–
LIGHTER?3.4223.3077-3.34%–pending––1.274.3M–
POLPOL (ex-MATIC)Ethereum0.095610.092422-3.33%–pending––0.911.2M–
CROSSCROSS0.1035150.100066-3.33%–pending––0.0955k–
HUMAHuma FinanceSolana0.030.029001-3.33%–pending––1.161.5M–
PROSPharosnative0.629250.608302-3.33%–pending––0.69150k–
ALTLAYER?0.0099590.009628-3.32%–pending––1.0251k–
SHXStrongholdEthereum0.0056440.005456-3.32%–pending––1.08228k–
COMPCompoundEthereum25.9825.12-3.31%–pending––0.95253k–
SUPSuperfluidEthereum0.00028150.000272182-3.31%–pending––0.686,603–
CPCluster ProtocolBase0.0089150.00862-3.30%–pending––1.4369k–
SPXSPX6900Ethereum0.37780.365328-3.30%–pending––1.93543k–
VTHOVeThornative0.0006692350.000647151-3.30%–pending––0.41272k–
CVCCivicEthereum0.0230880.022327-3.29%–pending––0.8945k–
SPCMSPACEM WORLDAvalanche0.00076960.000744256-3.29%–pending––0.02204k–
DARKDarkwoodsRobinhood0.0013070.001264-3.29%–pending––1.0077k–
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.058850.056912-3.29%–pending––0.99602k–
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood0.348050.336632-3.28%–pending––0.4227k–
GRVTGRVT TokenEthereum0.26690.258168-3.27%–pending––0.1376k–
RIORealio Network TokenEthereum0.0503350.048689-3.27%–pending––1.2859k–
AEROAerodrome FinanceBase0.8450.817507-3.25%–pending––1.156.7M–
NAORISNaoX ProtocolEthereum0.0325150.031458-3.25%–pending––0.6391k–
DEEPDeepBookSui0.0195750.018939-3.25%–pending––1.37133k–
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.