MON

Monad · native · beta_5y

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 972

Track record at +7d

assessed

317

of 324 predictions shown

direction hit

51.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0940

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0250

actual +0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.022257	0.021304	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.021918	0.021055	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.021185	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.020251	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.020424	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.021121	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.022145	-3.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.022268	-2.92%	0.022257	-2.97%	0.0403	✓	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.023291	-3.33%	0.021918	-9.03%	0.0826	✓	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.023564	-3.43%	0.022084	-9.50%	0.0617	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.023402	-3.54%	0.0209	-13.86%	0.1149	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.026119	-5.19%	0.021073	-23.51%	0.1846	✓	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.024109	-4.06%	0.021746	-13.46%	0.0758	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.023469	-3.88%	0.022843	-6.44%	0.0084	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.023038	-3.92%	0.022939	-4.33%	0.0120	✓	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.024436	-3.91%	0.024094	-5.26%	0.0158	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.027391	-3.64%	0.024401	-14.16%	0.0757	✓	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.030264	-3.80%	0.024261	-22.88%	0.1550	✓	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.031946	-4.18%	0.027548	-17.37%	0.1026	✓	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.032426	-4.27%	0.025129	-25.81%	0.2243	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.030938	-4.26%	0.024415	-24.44%	0.2038	✓	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.031859	-5.36%	0.023977	-28.77%	0.2312	✓	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.030142	-5.08%	0.025431	-19.92%	0.1653	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.025837	-3.80%	0.028428	+5.84%	0.0644	✗	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.027174	-4.78%	0.031459	+10.23%	0.1081	✗	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.026847	-4.49%	0.03334	+18.60%	0.1825	✗	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.025707	-3.86%	0.033871	+26.68%	0.2703	✗	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.025338	-4.02%	0.032313	+22.39%	0.2362	✗	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.024147	-3.33%	0.033663	+34.76%	0.3243	✗	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.023276	-3.01%	0.031757	+32.34%	0.3248	✗	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.026218	-3.99%	0.026859	-1.64%	0.0656	✗	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.024766	-3.37%	0.028539	+11.36%	0.1927	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.024107	-3.53%	0.02811	+12.49%	0.0944	✗	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.023944	-3.49%	0.026738	+7.76%	0.0534	✗	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.02382	-3.46%	0.026401	+7.00%	0.0457	✗	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.022607	-2.79%	0.02498	+7.42%	0.0501	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.021719	-1.91%	0.023997	+8.38%	0.0532	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.021413	-1.25%	0.027307	+25.93%	0.0484	✗	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.022687	-0.99%	0.025628	+11.84%	0.0312	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.022543	-0.45%	0.02499	+10.35%	0.0208	✗	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.023146	+0.04%	0.024811	+7.23%	0.0050	✗	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.023458	+0.63%	0.024673	+5.84%	0.0185	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.023192	+1.17%	0.023255	+1.45%	0.0064	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.025204	+0.91%	0.022142	-11.35%	0.0892	✗	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025852	+0.86%	0.021684	-15.40%	0.1226	✗	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.027129	+0.46%	0.022915	-15.15%	0.1523	✗	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.027312	+0.76%	0.022645	-16.45%	0.1247	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.02547	+2.16%	0.023138	-7.20%	0.0505	✗	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025592	+2.21%	0.023311	-6.89%	0.0496	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027603	+1.85%	0.022922	-15.42%	0.1045	✗	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.02557	+0.81%	0.024977	-1.52%	0.0398	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026496	+0.06%	0.025632	-3.20%	0.0505	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026463	+0.02%	0.027005	+2.06%	0.0120	✓	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.026431	-0.45%	0.027105	+2.09%	0.0176	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.026653	-0.25%	0.024932	-6.70%	0.0926	✓	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.027188	-0.54%	0.025037	-8.41%	0.1122	✓	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.028439	-0.59%	0.027102	-5.26%	0.0637	✓	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028297	-1.00%	0.025364	-11.26%	0.0813	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.02751	-0.88%	0.026479	-4.59%	0.0198	✓	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.030848	-2.33%	0.026459	-16.23%	0.1467	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.029701	-2.40%	0.02655	-12.75%	0.1111	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027578	-1.97%	0.026721	-5.02%	0.0508	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.027956	-2.43%	0.027336	-4.59%	0.0145	✓	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.025791	-3.47%	0.028608	+7.07%	0.0187	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.02208	-2.17%	0.028582	+26.64%	0.1039	✗	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.020767	-2.17%	0.027753	+30.74%	0.0520	✗	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.021132	-2.92%	0.031585	+45.10%	0.1498	✗	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.019914	-1.80%	0.03043	+50.05%	0.1680	✗	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.020459	-2.03%	0.028133	+34.72%	0.0760	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.020681	-2.08%	0.028652	+35.66%	0.0633	✗	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.021039	-2.25%	0.026718	+24.14%	0.0695	✗	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.021285	-2.38%	0.022569	+3.51%	0.0499	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.020911	-2.31%	0.021228	-0.83%	0.0062	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.021138	-2.80%	0.021767	+0.09%	0.0189	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020537	-2.07%	0.02028	-3.30%	0.0264	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.020446	-2.01%	0.020882	+0.08%	0.0578	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.020451	-2.13%	0.02112	+1.08%	0.0695	✗	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.020033	-1.98%	0.021522	+5.30%	0.0880	✗	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.020514	-2.26%	0.021804	+3.89%	0.0842	✗	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.020113	-2.04%	0.021406	+4.26%	0.0723	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.021001	-2.44%	0.021747	+1.02%	0.0261	✗	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.020509	-2.15%	0.020972	+0.06%	0.0046	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.020045	-2.03%	0.020865	+1.98%	0.0026	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.020261	-2.17%	0.020895	+0.89%	0.0103	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.021201	-2.30%	0.020439	-5.81%	0.0277	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.020388	-1.79%	0.020988	+1.10%	0.0146	✓	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020866	-1.74%	0.020531	-3.32%	0.0204	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.019882	-1.13%	0.021527	+7.05%	0.0842	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.021123	-1.09%	0.02096	-1.85%	0.0297	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020447	-0.74%	0.02046	-0.68%	0.0322	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021643	-0.99%	0.02071	-5.26%	0.0178	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.022137	-0.88%	0.0217	-2.84%	0.0132	✓	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.0227	-0.96%	0.02076	-9.42%	0.0442	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022705	-1.00%	0.021235	-7.41%	0.0122	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.02254	-1.44%	0.02011	-12.07%	0.0822	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.021046	-0.82%	0.021355	+0.64%	0.0011	✓	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021379	-0.89%	0.0206	-4.50%	0.0266	✓	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.02168	-1.18%	0.02186	-0.36%	0.0041	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021354	-0.96%	0.022335	+3.59%	0.0166	✗	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.022065	-1.01%	0.02292	+2.83%	0.0086	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022415	-1.08%	0.022935	+1.21%	0.0096	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.022016	-1.23%	0.02287	+2.60%	0.0297	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022531	-1.20%	0.02122	-6.95%	0.0816	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.022064	-0.93%	0.02157	-3.14%	0.0467	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022722	-1.04%	0.02194	-4.44%	0.0294	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022826	-1.10%	0.02156	-6.59%	0.0716	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022799	-1.26%	0.02229	-3.46%	0.0847	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.023947	-1.78%	0.02266	-7.05%	0.0966	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.02429	-2.72%	0.02229	-10.73%	0.0425	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021428	-0.75%	0.022805	+5.63%	0.0583	✗	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.020994	-0.60%	0.02227	+5.45%	0.0416	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020387	-0.55%	0.02296	+12.00%	0.0782	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019859	-0.63%	0.02308	+15.49%	0.1070	✗	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.01978	-1.30%	0.02309	+15.22%	0.0938	✗	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.018275	-0.30%	0.02438	+33.01%	0.1653	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.018866	-0.28%	0.02497	+31.98%	0.1833	✗	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018624	-0.19%	0.02159	+15.70%	0.0394	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018799	-0.16%	0.02112	+12.16%	0.0334	✗	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019271	-0.36%	0.0205	+6.00%	0.0050	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.019084	-0.35%	0.019985	+4.36%	0.0016	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019611	-0.32%	0.02004	+1.86%	0.0496	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.020062	-0.16%	0.01833	-8.78%	0.0251	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.02058	-0.24%	0.01892	-8.29%	0.0220	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020688	-0.30%	0.01866	-10.07%	0.0034	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020556	-0.14%	0.01883	-8.53%	0.0309	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020624	-0.17%	0.01934	-6.39%	0.0331	✗	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.021016	-0.31%	0.01915	-9.16%	0.0024	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021674	-0.44%	0.019675	-9.62%	0.0002	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022814	-0.98%	0.020095	-12.78%	0.0458	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022418	-0.85%	0.02063	-8.76%	0.0216	✓	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022292	-0.88%	0.02075	-7.74%	0.0053	✓	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021645	-0.80%	0.020585	-5.66%	0.0446	✓	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020955	-0.59%	0.02066	-1.99%	0.0124	✓	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021398	-0.98%	0.02108	-2.45%	0.0039	✓	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.02088	-0.81%	0.02177	+3.42%	0.0432	✓	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.021047	-1.05%	0.02304	+8.32%	0.0194	✓	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020677	-0.88%	0.02261	+8.39%	0.0006	✓	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.02178	-1.76%	0.02249	+1.44%	0.0346	✓	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.020889	-0.91%	0.02182	+3.51%	0.0583	✓	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.020794	-1.26%	0.02108	+0.09%	0.0587	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021071	-2.13%	0.02161	+0.37%	0.0323	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020214	-1.11%	0.02105	+2.98%	0.1144	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.020169	-1.37%	0.02127	+4.01%	0.1973	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.021867	-2.86%	0.02086	-7.33%	0.1854	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.023079	-2.95%	0.02217	-6.77%	0.2456	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.0226	-2.73%	0.02108	-9.27%	0.2807	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.022632	-2.78%	0.02106	-9.54%	0.2612	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.022943	-3.11%	0.02153	-9.08%	0.1922	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.022679	-2.71%	0.02044	-12.31%	0.1637	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.02424	-3.16%	0.02045	-18.30%	0.0596	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.025351	-3.50%	0.02251	-14.31%	0.0193	✓	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.024487	-3.10%	0.02378	-5.90%	0.0489	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.024938	-3.23%	0.023235	-9.84%	0.0092	✓	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.025326	-3.15%	0.02328	-10.98%	0.0388	✓	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.027453	-4.18%	0.02368	-17.35%	0.0627	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.026058	-3.15%	0.02331	-13.36%	0.0450	✓	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.0252	-2.74%	0.02503	-3.40%	0.0129	✓	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.026145	-3.09%	0.02627	-2.63%	0.0016	✓	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.026933	-3.12%	0.02527	-9.10%	0.0546	✓	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.026942	-2.91%	0.02577	-7.14%	0.0138	✓	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.02743	-3.00%	0.02615	-7.53%	0.0277	✓	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.028877	-3.00%	0.02865	-3.76%	0.0637	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.029241	-3.17%	0.026905	-10.91%	0.0443	✓	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.029955	-2.90%	0.02591	-16.01%	0.0666	✓	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.032459	-3.45%	0.02698	-19.75%	0.0867	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.034076	-3.98%	0.0278	-21.67%	0.1096	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.033347	-3.82%	0.02775	-19.96%	0.1333	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.032948	-3.80%	0.02828	-17.43%	0.1307	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.031342	-3.21%	0.02977	-8.06%	0.0720	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.031347	-2.92%	0.0302	-6.47%	0.0017	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.030451	-2.74%	0.03085	-1.47%	0.0194	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.028776	-2.29%	0.03362	+14.16%	0.1293	✗	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.028502	-2.15%	0.03549	+21.83%	0.1676	✗	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.029414	-2.31%	0.03467	+15.14%	0.1361	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.029341	-2.46%	0.03425	+13.86%	0.1266	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.026744	-1.53%	0.03238	+19.22%	0.1367	✗	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.026593	-1.51%	0.03229	+19.59%	0.1108	✗	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.028534	-2.11%	0.03131	+7.41%	0.0257	✗	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.029868	-2.45%	0.02945	-3.82%	0.0503	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.0312	-2.77%	0.02913	-9.22%	0.0670	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.030432	-2.77%	0.03011	-3.80%	0.0260	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.029898	-2.58%	0.03008	-1.99%	0.0056	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.031556	-2.84%	0.02716	-16.38%	0.1202	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.032644	-3.18%	0.027	-19.92%	0.1525	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.031668	-3.27%	0.02915	-10.97%	0.0824	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.030887	-3.16%	0.03062	-4.00%	0.0316	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.029236	-2.81%	0.03209	+6.68%	0.0167	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.03147	-3.02%	0.0313	-3.54%	0.0352	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.033588	-3.45%	0.03069	-11.78%	0.0958	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.033117	-3.45%	0.03248	-5.31%	0.0679	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.033867	-3.62%	0.033715	-4.06%	0.0573	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.033289	-3.51%	0.03274	-5.10%	0.0513	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.034537	-4.14%	0.031895	-11.48%	0.1019	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.031609	-3.37%	0.03008	-8.04%	0.0992	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.034208	-3.80%	0.03245	-8.75%	0.0937	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.033671	-4.10%	0.03479	-0.91%	0.0299	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.031719	-3.77%	0.0343	+4.07%	0.0262	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.029988	-3.70%	0.03514	+12.85%	0.1003	✗	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.029325	-3.54%	0.0345	+13.49%	0.1272	✗	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.026379	-2.66%	0.03603	+32.95%	0.2240	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.027404	-3.10%	0.03271	+15.66%	0.1488	✗	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.02642	-3.08%	0.03556	+30.45%	0.2056	✗	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.026243	-3.77%	0.03511	+28.75%	0.1958	✗	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.024316	-2.70%	0.03296	+31.89%	0.2260	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.023288	-2.27%	0.03114	+30.68%	0.2417	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.02417	-2.81%	0.0304	+22.24%	0.1688	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.021869	-1.98%	0.0271	+21.47%	0.1793	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.02165	-1.77%	0.02828	+28.31%	0.2160	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022771	-2.19%	0.02726	+17.10%	0.1634	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.022022	-1.64%	0.02727	+21.80%	0.2035	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023782	-2.21%	0.02499	+2.75%	0.0802	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.025495	-3.50%	0.02383	-9.80%	0.0175	✓	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.022829	-2.17%	0.02487	+6.58%	0.1214	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.021267	-1.36%	0.02231	+3.48%	0.1129	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.020317	-1.04%	0.02204	+7.36%	0.1118	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.021153	-1.20%	0.02328	+8.73%	0.1369	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.02211	-1.47%	0.02239	-0.22%	0.0774	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021694	-1.30%	0.02432	+10.65%	0.1320	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022709	-1.48%	0.02642	+14.62%	0.1505	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.02329	-1.31%	0.023335	-1.12%	0.0541	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.024309	-1.82%	0.02156	-12.92%	0.0579	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.023108	-1.50%	0.02053	-12.49%	0.0378	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.02192	-1.17%	0.02141	-3.47%	0.0139	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021649	-1.21%	0.02244	+2.40%	0.0432	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.020987	-1.00%	0.02198	+3.68%	0.0563	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.02118	-1.07%	0.02305	+7.66%	0.0674	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021312	-1.19%	0.0236	+9.41%	0.0373	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020932	-1.40%	0.02476	+16.63%	0.0622	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.020184	-1.15%	0.02346	+14.89%	0.0358	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021361	-1.47%	0.02218	+2.31%	0.0288	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021423	-1.46%	0.021915	+0.80%	0.0240	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021475	-1.22%	0.0212	-2.48%	0.0070	✓	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.022214	-1.53%	0.02141	-5.10%	0.0032	✓	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.020179	-0.99%	0.02157	+5.84%	0.0398	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020935	-1.30%	0.02123	+0.09%	0.0206	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020562	-1.38%	0.02042	-2.06%	0.0103	✓	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020832	-1.41%	0.02168	+2.60%	0.0354	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020406	-1.28%	0.02174	+5.18%	0.0287	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020763	-1.31%	0.02174	+3.33%	0.0047	✓	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.021205	-1.64%	0.02256	+4.64%	0.0069	✓	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019751	-1.39%	0.02038	+1.75%	0.0327	✓	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.020185	-1.68%	0.02121	+3.31%	0.0126	✓	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019655	-1.00%	0.02085	+5.01%	0.0864	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020353	-1.29%	0.02113	+2.47%	0.0519	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020722	-1.51%	0.02067	-1.76%	0.0289	✗	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.02018	-1.27%	0.02104	+2.94%	0.0341	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019934	-1.12%	0.02156	+6.94%	0.0554	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.021734	-1.79%	0.02003	-9.49%	0.0315	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.022941	-2.42%	0.02053	-12.68%	0.0500	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.023298	-3.01%	0.019855	-17.34%	0.1433	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.022714	-2.89%	0.02062	-11.84%	0.0709	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.02206	-3.16%	0.02104	-7.64%	0.0357	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019778	-1.85%	0.02044	+1.44%	0.0224	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018769	-1.47%	0.02016	+5.83%	0.0799	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019198	-2.50%	0.02213	+12.39%	0.1602	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017774	-1.03%	0.02351	+30.90%	0.2966	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017932	-1.04%	0.02402	+32.56%	0.3125	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018368	-1.30%	0.02339	+25.69%	0.2342	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018257	-1.63%	0.02278	+22.74%	0.2450	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.01718	-0.35%	0.02015	+16.88%	0.1045	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.01923	-2.53%	0.01905	-3.45%	0.0887	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017309	-1.32%	0.01969	+12.26%	0.2547	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.018108	-1.96%	0.01796	-2.76%	0.1451	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017578	-1.41%	0.01812	+1.63%	0.1493	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017756	-1.57%	0.01861	+3.16%	0.2174	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.019602	-2.91%	0.01856	-8.07%	0.1729	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019449	-2.80%	0.01724	-13.84%	0.2642	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.020485	-3.74%	0.01973	-7.28%	0.2281	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.021082	-4.95%	0.01754	-20.92%	0.0336	✓	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.018227	-3.10%	0.01847	-1.81%	0.1578	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.017334	-2.57%	0.01783	+0.22%	0.1728	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.0184	-3.61%	0.01804	-5.50%	0.1275	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.017683	-3.45%	0.02019	+10.24%	0.2064	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.017491	-3.37%	0.02001	+10.55%	0.2026	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.018023	-3.93%	0.02128	+13.43%	0.1688	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.017289	-3.36%	0.02218	+23.98%	0.2385	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.019169	-4.73%	0.01881	-6.51%	0.0302	✓	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.020652	-5.09%	0.01779	-18.24%	0.0715	✓	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.02093	-5.34%	0.01909	-13.66%	0.0269	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.021047	-5.58%	0.018315	-17.83%	0.0741	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.020891	-5.60%	0.0181	-18.21%	0.0773	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.021859	-5.72%	0.01876	-19.09%	0.0733	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.023287	-5.91%	0.01789	-27.72%	0.1835	✓	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.021873	-5.19%	0.02012	-12.79%	0.0978	✓	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.022638	-5.04%	0.02176	-8.72%	0.0683	✓	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.023016	-5.09%	0.02211	-8.82%	0.0895	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.024734	-5.31%	0.02229	-14.66%	0.1553	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.026253	-5.57%	0.02213	-20.40%	0.2165	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.025292	-5.66%	0.023185	-13.52%	0.1438	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.027992	-6.19%	0.02475	-17.06%	0.1370	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.026635	-5.88%	0.02307	-18.48%	0.1205	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.026994	-6.11%	0.02384	-17.08%	0.1184	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.027332	-6.78%	0.02425	-17.29%	0.1175	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.025773	-7.79%	0.02612	-6.55%	0.0081	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.022214	-6.27%	0.0278	+17.30%	0.2065	✗	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.021367	-5.87%	0.02681	+18.11%	0.1992	✗	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.021243	-6.01%	0.02984	+32.04%	0.3006	✗	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.020298	-5.46%	0.0283	+31.81%	0.2866	✗	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.021115	-5.91%	0.02875	+28.12%	0.2848	✗	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.021679	-6.15%	0.02932	+26.93%	0.2833	✗	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.02181	-6.52%	0.02795	+19.80%	0.2301	✗	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.021593	-6.72%	0.0237	+2.38%	0.0825	✗	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.020364	-6.11%	0.0227	+4.66%	0.1094	✗	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.01883	-4.71%	0.0226	+14.37%	0.1715	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.018316	-4.65%	0.02147	+11.76%	0.1753	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.019459	-5.08%	0.02244	+9.46%	0.1512	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.018081	-3.67%	0.0231	+23.07%	0.2508	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.018379	-3.52%	0.02333	+22.47%	0.2476	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.016718	-1.13%	0.02315	+36.90%	0.3057	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.018347	-2.05%	0.02169	+15.80%	0.1513	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.020754	-3.69%	0.01976	-8.31%	0.0442	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.019448	-2.12%	0.01921	-3.32%	0.0368	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.020145	-2.40%	0.0205	-0.68%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.022672	-3.56%	0.01877	-20.16%	0.1672	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.023198	-3.62%	0.01905	-20.86%	0.1725	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.025143	-4.18%	0.01691	-35.56%	0.3171	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.025758	-4.28%	0.01873	-30.40%	0.2532	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.026185	-4.33%	0.02155	-21.26%	0.1412	✓	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.026842	-4.51%	0.01987	-29.31%	0.2529	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.024607	-3.80%	0.02064	-19.31%	0.1508	✓	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.026155	-3.81%	0.02351	-13.53%	0.1176	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.026208	-3.75%	0.02407	-11.60%	0.0955	✓	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.026643	-3.78%	0.02624	-5.24%	0.0201	✓	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.029395	-3.75%	0.02691	-11.89%	0.0731	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.