MON

Monad · native · beta_5y

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 972

Track record at +30d

assessed

294

of 324 predictions shown

direction hit

51.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1406

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0559

actual +0.0239

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.022257	0.019935	-10.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.021918	0.019714	-10.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.019883	-9.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.019102	-8.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.019317	-8.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.019947	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.020898	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.021053	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.021944	-8.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.022224	-8.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.021964	-9.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.024451	-11.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.022589	-10.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.021982	-9.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.021514	-10.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.022928	-9.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.0259	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.02854	-9.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.030097	-9.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.030407	-10.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.029038	-10.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.029833	-11.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.028244	-11.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.024465	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.025551	-10.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.025372	-9.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.024463	-8.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.024175	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.023211	-7.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.022499	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.025159	-7.87%	0.022257	-18.49%	0.0906	✓	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.024045	-6.18%	0.021918	-14.48%	0.0291	✓	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.023043	-7.79%	0.022084	-11.63%	0.0747	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.022935	-7.56%	0.0209	-15.76%	0.1039	✓	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.02285	-7.39%	0.021073	-14.59%	0.1013	✓	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.021604	-7.10%	0.021746	-6.49%	0.0891	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.020862	-5.78%	0.022843	+3.16%	0.0106	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.020615	-4.93%	0.022939	+5.79%	0.0162	✓	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.021994	-4.02%	0.024094	+5.15%	0.0276	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.021889	-3.34%	0.024401	+7.75%	0.0088	✓	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.022614	-2.27%	0.024261	+4.86%	0.0134	✓	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.023093	-0.93%	0.027548	+18.18%	0.0567	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.022836	-0.38%	0.025129	+9.62%	0.0237	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.024953	-0.10%	0.024415	-2.25%	0.0989	✓	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025566	-0.26%	0.023977	-6.45%	0.1222	✓	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.026898	-0.40%	0.025431	-5.83%	0.1292	✓	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.02723	+0.46%	0.028428	+4.88%	0.0442	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.025568	+2.55%	0.031459	+26.18%	0.1077	✓	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025764	+2.90%	0.03334	+33.16%	0.1434	✓	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027834	+2.70%	0.033871	+24.98%	0.1395	✓	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.025478	+0.45%	0.032313	+27.40%	0.1218	✓	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.026326	-0.58%	0.033663	+27.13%	0.1275	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.026431	-0.10%	0.031757	+20.02%	0.1073	✗	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.026227	-1.22%	0.026859	+1.16%	0.0699	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.02665	-0.27%	0.028539	+6.80%	0.0140	✓	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.027277	-0.21%	0.02811	+2.83%	0.0743	✓	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.028703	+0.33%	0.026738	-6.54%	0.1349	✗	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.028391	-0.67%	0.026401	-7.63%	0.1522	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.02762	-0.48%	0.02498	-9.99%	0.1918	✓	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.030599	-3.12%	0.023997	-24.02%	0.3272	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.029443	-3.24%	0.027307	-10.26%	0.2077	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.027555	-2.05%	0.025628	-8.90%	0.2206	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.028104	-1.91%	0.02499	-12.78%	0.1625	✓	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.025407	-4.91%	0.024811	-7.14%	0.1614	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.021725	-3.74%	0.024673	+9.32%	0.0541	✓	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.020246	-4.63%	0.023255	+9.55%	0.0649	✓	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.020551	-5.59%	0.022142	+1.72%	0.1320	✓	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.019441	-4.14%	0.021684	+6.92%	0.1131	✓	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.019926	-4.58%	0.022915	+9.73%	0.1202	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.020097	-4.84%	0.022645	+7.22%	0.1196	✓	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.020404	-5.20%	0.023138	+7.51%	0.1119	✓	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.020614	-5.46%	0.023311	+6.91%	0.1176	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.020278	-5.27%	0.022922	+7.08%	0.0983	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.020478	-5.84%	0.024977	+14.85%	0.0420	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020002	-4.63%	0.025632	+22.22%	0.0124	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.01992	-4.53%	0.027005	+29.43%	0.0588	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.019914	-4.69%	0.027105	+29.72%	0.0427	✓	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.019513	-4.53%	0.024932	+21.98%	0.0240	✓	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.01994	-4.99%	0.025037	+19.29%	0.0341	✓	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.019584	-4.61%	0.027102	+32.01%	0.0322	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.020334	-5.54%	0.025364	+17.82%	0.0275	✓	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.019888	-5.12%	0.026479	+26.33%	0.0326	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.019441	-4.98%	0.026459	+29.32%	0.0229	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.019632	-5.20%	0.02655	+28.20%	0.0324	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.020567	-5.22%	0.026721	+23.14%	0.0225	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.019869	-4.29%	0.027336	+31.68%	0.0601	✗	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020387	-3.99%	0.028608	+34.72%	0.0382	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.019574	-2.66%	0.028582	+42.13%	0.0944	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.020869	-2.28%	0.027753	+29.96%	0.0444	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020277	-1.57%	0.031585	+53.33%	0.1736	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021388	-2.16%	0.03043	+39.20%	0.0964	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.021972	-1.63%	0.028133	+25.96%	0.0221	✗	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022607	-1.37%	0.028652	+25.01%	0.0094	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022625	-1.35%	0.026718	+16.49%	0.0416	✗	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022336	-2.34%	0.022569	-1.32%	0.0718	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.020929	-1.37%	0.021228	+0.04%	0.0142	✗	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021266	-1.41%	0.021767	+0.91%	0.0300	✗	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021483	-2.08%	0.02028	-7.57%	0.0341	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021177	-1.78%	0.020882	-3.14%	0.0029	✓	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.02192	-1.66%	0.02112	-5.25%	0.0012	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022299	-1.59%	0.021522	-5.02%	0.0014	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.021767	-2.34%	0.021804	-2.18%	0.0250	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022339	-2.04%	0.021406	-6.13%	0.0378	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.02194	-1.48%	0.021747	-2.35%	0.0121	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022571	-1.69%	0.020972	-8.66%	0.0907	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022628	-1.96%	0.020865	-9.60%	0.1232	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022565	-2.27%	0.020895	-9.51%	0.1433	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.023641	-3.03%	0.020439	-16.16%	0.1691	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.023981	-3.96%	0.020988	-15.95%	0.1481	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021517	-0.34%	0.020531	-4.91%	0.0587	✓	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.021109	-0.05%	0.021527	+1.93%	0.0100	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020553	+0.26%	0.02096	+2.24%	0.0052	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.020018	+0.17%	0.02046	+2.38%	0.0111	✗	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019853	-0.93%	0.02071	+3.34%	0.0340	✓	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.018406	+0.42%	0.0217	+18.39%	0.0077	✓	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.01903	+0.58%	0.02076	+9.73%	0.0074	✗	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018776	+0.62%	0.021235	+13.80%	0.0080	✓	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018981	+0.80%	0.02011	+6.80%	0.0408	✗	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019429	+0.46%	0.021355	+10.42%	0.0441	✗	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.01924	+0.47%	0.0206	+7.57%	0.0522	✗	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019793	+0.60%	0.02186	+11.11%	0.0172	✓	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.02027	+0.87%	0.022335	+11.15%	0.0331	✓	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.020804	+0.84%	0.02292	+11.10%	0.0398	✓	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020859	+0.53%	0.022935	+10.53%	0.0070	✓	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020759	+0.85%	0.02287	+11.10%	0.0706	✓	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020795	+0.65%	0.02122	+2.71%	0.0124	✗	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.021143	+0.30%	0.02157	+2.32%	0.0325	✗	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021765	-0.02%	0.02194	+0.78%	0.0231	✗	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022785	-1.11%	0.02156	-6.42%	0.0053	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022412	-0.88%	0.02229	-1.42%	0.0355	✗	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022248	-1.07%	0.02266	+0.76%	0.0374	✗	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021629	-0.88%	0.02229	+2.15%	0.0895	✗	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020982	-0.46%	0.022805	+8.18%	0.0778	✗	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.02132	-1.34%	0.02227	+3.05%	0.0378	✗	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.020813	-1.13%	0.02296	+9.07%	0.0220	✗	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.020929	-1.60%	0.02308	+8.51%	0.0554	✗	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020558	-1.45%	0.02309	+10.69%	0.1400	✗	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.021439	-3.30%	0.02438	+9.97%	0.1280	✗	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.020625	-2.16%	0.02497	+18.45%	0.1011	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.020459	-2.86%	0.02159	+2.52%	0.0198	✓	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.020592	-4.35%	0.02112	-1.90%	0.0464	✗	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.019806	-3.10%	0.0205	+0.29%	0.0774	✗	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.019668	-3.82%	0.019985	-2.27%	0.1662	✗	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.02103	-6.57%	0.02004	-10.97%	0.2796	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.022088	-7.12%	0.01833	-22.92%	0.2484	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.021629	-6.91%	0.01892	-18.57%	0.2372	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.021636	-7.06%	0.01866	-19.85%	0.2320	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.021876	-7.62%	0.01883	-20.48%	0.2188	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.021659	-7.08%	0.01934	-17.03%	0.2716	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.023088	-7.76%	0.01915	-23.49%	0.2389	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.024115	-8.20%	0.019675	-25.10%	0.2052	✗	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.023319	-7.72%	0.020095	-20.48%	0.2075	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.023707	-8.01%	0.02063	-19.95%	0.1522	✗	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.024025	-8.12%	0.02075	-20.65%	0.1405	✗	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.025964	-9.38%	0.020585	-28.15%	0.0683	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.024775	-7.92%	0.02066	-23.21%	0.1365	✗	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.023992	-7.40%	0.02108	-18.64%	0.1884	✗	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.024826	-7.99%	0.02177	-19.31%	0.1552	✗	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.025526	-8.18%	0.02304	-17.12%	0.1664	✗	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.02557	-7.86%	0.02261	-18.52%	0.1449	✗	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.026122	-7.63%	0.02249	-20.47%	0.1487	✗	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.027575	-7.37%	0.02182	-26.70%	0.1354	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.027824	-7.87%	0.02108	-30.20%	0.0953	✗	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.028623	-7.22%	0.02161	-29.95%	0.1106	✗	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.030849	-8.24%	0.02105	-37.39%	0.0823	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.032242	-9.15%	0.02127	-40.07%	0.0331	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.031573	-8.93%	0.02086	-39.83%	0.0283	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.031226	-8.83%	0.02217	-35.27%	0.0247	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.029907	-7.64%	0.02108	-34.90%	0.0716	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.030181	-6.53%	0.02106	-34.78%	0.0237	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.029397	-6.11%	0.02153	-31.24%	0.0242	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.027884	-5.32%	0.02044	-30.59%	0.0607	✓	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.027517	-5.54%	0.02045	-29.80%	0.1094	✓	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.028425	-5.60%	0.02251	-25.24%	0.1211	✓	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.028444	-5.44%	0.02378	-20.94%	0.1091	✓	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.025916	-4.58%	0.023235	-14.45%	0.0703	✓	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.025787	-4.49%	0.02328	-13.78%	0.0654	✓	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.027561	-5.45%	0.02368	-18.77%	0.1087	✓	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.028808	-5.92%	0.02331	-23.87%	0.1658	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.030028	-6.43%	0.02503	-22.00%	0.1394	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.029324	-6.31%	0.02627	-16.07%	0.1039	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.028829	-6.06%	0.02527	-17.66%	0.1244	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.030381	-6.46%	0.02577	-20.66%	0.1400	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.031364	-6.97%	0.02615	-22.44%	0.1397	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.030379	-7.21%	0.02865	-12.49%	0.0768	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.029667	-6.99%	0.026905	-15.65%	0.1224	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.028093	-6.61%	0.02591	-13.86%	0.1279	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.030183	-6.99%	0.02698	-16.86%	0.1311	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.032183	-7.49%	0.0278	-20.09%	0.1511	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.031636	-7.77%	0.02775	-19.10%	0.1769	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.032282	-8.13%	0.02828	-19.52%	0.1981	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.031756	-7.95%	0.02977	-13.71%	0.1715	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.032871	-8.77%	0.0302	-16.18%	0.1592	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.03011	-7.95%	0.03085	-5.69%	0.1264	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.032484	-8.65%	0.03362	-5.46%	0.0939	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.032098	-8.58%	0.03549	+1.08%	0.0355	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.03031	-8.04%	0.03467	+5.19%	0.0022	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.028723	-7.76%	0.03425	+9.99%	0.0395	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.028175	-7.32%	0.03238	+6.51%	0.0179	✓	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.025445	-6.11%	0.03229	+19.15%	0.0495	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.026324	-6.92%	0.03131	+10.71%	0.0057	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.025355	-6.99%	0.02945	+8.03%	0.0400	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.025128	-7.85%	0.02913	+6.82%	0.0286	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.023474	-6.07%	0.03011	+20.49%	0.0697	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.022612	-5.11%	0.03008	+26.23%	0.1269	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.023356	-6.09%	0.02716	+9.21%	0.0222	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.021277	-4.63%	0.027	+21.02%	0.0957	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.021065	-4.42%	0.02915	+32.26%	0.1596	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022066	-5.21%	0.03062	+31.53%	0.1530	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.02143	-4.29%	0.03209	+43.32%	0.2112	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.023066	-5.16%	0.0313	+28.70%	0.1703	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.024598	-6.90%	0.03069	+16.16%	0.1307	✗	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.022304	-4.42%	0.03248	+39.19%	0.2640	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.020982	-2.68%	0.033715	+56.38%	0.3679	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.020001	-2.58%	0.03274	+59.47%	0.3657	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.020778	-2.95%	0.031895	+48.97%	0.3256	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.021661	-3.47%	0.03008	+34.05%	0.2790	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021291	-3.14%	0.03245	+47.63%	0.3361	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022257	-3.44%	0.03479	+50.93%	0.3603	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.022931	-2.83%	0.0343	+45.34%	0.3844	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.023859	-3.64%	0.03514	+41.92%	0.3879	✗	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.022741	-3.06%	0.0345	+47.06%	0.3959	✗	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021657	-2.36%	0.03603	+62.44%	0.4591	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021416	-2.28%	0.03271	+49.26%	0.4266	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.020809	-1.85%	0.03556	+67.74%	0.4948	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.020956	-2.12%	0.03511	+63.99%	0.4704	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021068	-2.33%	0.03296	+52.80%	0.4172	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020664	-2.66%	0.03114	+46.68%	0.3654	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.019891	-2.59%	0.0304	+48.87%	0.3243	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.020973	-3.26%	0.0271	+25.00%	0.2292	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021042	-3.21%	0.02828	+30.08%	0.2807	✗	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.0212	-2.48%	0.02726	+25.39%	0.3121	✗	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.021907	-2.90%	0.02727	+20.88%	0.3138	✗	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.019996	-1.88%	0.02499	+22.62%	0.2473	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.02065	-2.64%	0.02383	+12.35%	0.1550	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020231	-2.97%	0.02487	+19.28%	0.1658	✗	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020512	-2.93%	0.02231	+5.58%	0.0876	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020105	-2.73%	0.02204	+6.63%	0.0904	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020472	-2.70%	0.02328	+10.65%	0.1466	✗	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.020861	-3.24%	0.02239	+3.85%	0.0959	✗	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019464	-2.82%	0.02432	+21.42%	0.1524	✗	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.019842	-3.35%	0.02642	+28.69%	0.1894	✗	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019468	-1.95%	0.023335	+17.53%	0.1394	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.020082	-2.61%	0.02156	+4.56%	0.0294	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020392	-3.08%	0.02053	-2.42%	0.0088	✓	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.019882	-2.73%	0.02141	+4.75%	0.0459	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019664	-2.46%	0.02244	+11.31%	0.0734	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.021198	-4.21%	0.02198	-0.68%	0.0016	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.022189	-5.62%	0.02305	-1.96%	0.0053	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.022403	-6.73%	0.0236	-1.75%	0.0173	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.021901	-6.37%	0.02476	+5.86%	0.0543	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.021315	-6.43%	0.02346	+2.99%	0.0411	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019386	-3.79%	0.02218	+10.07%	0.0678	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018506	-2.86%	0.021915	+15.04%	0.1166	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.018841	-4.31%	0.0212	+7.67%	0.0951	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017642	-1.77%	0.02141	+19.21%	0.1921	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.017763	-1.97%	0.02157	+19.04%	0.1985	✗	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018113	-2.67%	0.02123	+14.08%	0.1701	✗	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.017965	-3.20%	0.02042	+10.02%	0.1923	✗	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.017068	-1.00%	0.02168	+25.75%	0.1678	✗	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.018698	-5.23%	0.02174	+10.19%	0.2304	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017014	-3.00%	0.02174	+23.95%	0.3314	✗	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.017652	-4.43%	0.02256	+22.14%	0.3506	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017198	-3.55%	0.02038	+14.30%	0.3257	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.017313	-4.03%	0.02121	+17.57%	0.3814	✗	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.018801	-6.88%	0.02085	+3.27%	0.4212	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.018622	-6.94%	0.02113	+5.60%	0.4277	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.019422	-8.73%	0.02067	-2.87%	0.4646	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.019858	-10.47%	0.02104	-5.14%	0.4272	✗	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.017389	-7.55%	0.02156	+14.62%	0.5429	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.016586	-6.77%	0.02003	+12.59%	0.5561	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.017406	-8.82%	0.02053	+7.54%	0.5446	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.016704	-8.80%	0.019855	+8.41%	0.5075	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.016501	-8.83%	0.02062	+13.92%	0.5514	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.01691	-9.86%	0.02104	+12.15%	0.5456	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.016268	-9.07%	0.02044	+14.25%	0.5523	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.017823	-11.42%	0.02016	+0.20%	0.4650	✗	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.019134	-12.07%	0.02213	+1.70%	0.4695	✗	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.019345	-12.51%	0.02351	+6.33%	0.5165	✗	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.019414	-12.90%	0.02402	+7.76%	0.5398	✗	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.019257	-12.98%	0.02339	+5.69%	0.5085	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.020148	-13.10%	0.02278	-1.75%	0.4572	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.021469	-13.26%	0.02015	-18.59%	0.3163	✗	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.020241	-12.26%	0.01905	-17.43%	0.2330	✗	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.020962	-12.07%	0.01969	-17.41%	0.2042	✗	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.021285	-12.23%	0.01796	-25.94%	0.0752	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.022824	-12.62%	0.01812	-30.63%	0.0109	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.024171	-13.05%	0.01861	-33.06%	0.0063	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.023232	-13.35%	0.01856	-30.77%	0.0187	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.025676	-13.95%	0.01724	-42.23%	0.0823	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.02446	-13.57%	0.01973	-30.28%	0.0135	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.024694	-14.11%	0.01754	-38.99%	0.1783	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.024869	-15.18%	0.01847	-37.01%	0.1733	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.023363	-16.41%	0.01783	-36.21%	0.1356	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.020319	-14.27%	0.01804	-23.88%	0.0345	✓	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.019605	-13.64%	0.02019	-11.06%	0.0553	✓	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.019452	-13.93%	0.02001	-11.46%	0.0584	✓	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.018655	-13.11%	0.02128	-0.88%	0.1174	✓	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.019307	-13.96%	0.02218	-1.16%	0.1304	✓	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.019754	-14.48%	0.01881	-18.57%	0.0520	✓	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.019793	-15.16%	0.01779	-23.75%	0.1016	✓	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.01957	-15.46%	0.01909	-17.54%	0.0377	✓	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.018528	-14.58%	0.018315	-15.56%	0.0247	✓	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.017264	-12.63%	0.0181	-8.40%	0.0243	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.016748	-12.82%	0.01876	-2.34%	0.1044	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.017775	-13.29%	0.01789	-12.73%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.016637	-11.36%	0.02012	+7.19%	0.1432	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.016947	-11.04%	0.02176	+14.23%	0.1890	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.01565	-7.45%	0.02211	+30.75%	0.2386	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.017123	-8.58%	0.02229	+19.01%	0.1614	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.019258	-10.64%	0.02213	+2.69%	0.0547	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.018191	-8.45%	0.023185	+16.68%	0.1275	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.018882	-8.52%	0.02475	+19.91%	0.1920	✗	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.021259	-9.57%	0.02307	-1.87%	0.0715	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.021794	-9.46%	0.02384	-0.96%	0.0832	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.023644	-9.89%	0.02425	-7.58%	0.0490	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.024211	-10.03%	0.02612	-2.94%	0.0925	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.024639	-9.98%	0.0278	+1.57%	0.1388	✗	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.025218	-10.29%	0.02681	-4.62%	0.0543	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.023187	-9.36%	0.02984	+16.65%	0.2162	✗	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.024685	-9.21%	0.0283	+4.08%	0.0864	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.024769	-9.04%	0.02875	+5.58%	0.1253	✗	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.025254	-8.80%	0.02932	+5.89%	0.1657	✗	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.027997	-8.33%	0.02795	-8.48%	0.0364	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.