GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · beta_5y

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,277

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0955

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0206

actual +0.0070

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.257645	0.24653	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.289132	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.298702	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.312346	-8.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.244799	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.218822	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.186943	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.190802	-4.40%	0.257645	+29.09%	0.2922	✗	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.209136	-5.24%	0.305135	+38.26%	0.3732	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.211456	-5.95%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.4140	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.254373	-9.71%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2973	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.175426	-3.34%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4202	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.177353	-4.42%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.3017	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.182211	-4.76%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0743	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.196885	-7.03%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0093	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.177268	-6.87%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2376	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.14321	-3.74%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4829	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.174683	-6.75%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.5292	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.161653	-7.53%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1528	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.110916	-3.34%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5346	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.127336	-5.14%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4286	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.133647	-7.12%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4940	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.091584	-2.80%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7342	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.084767	-1.77%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5449	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084199	-1.57%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7772	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.089834	-1.17%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6463	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.089648	-1.49%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2437	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.090031	-2.94%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3955	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.085754	-0.79%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5131	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082678	-0.39%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1388	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087488	-0.80%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0104	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.085946	-1.45%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0251	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.082863	-1.28%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0582	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.084315	-1.63%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0432	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.080045	-2.25%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.1134	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.075302	-2.31%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0521	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.07424	-2.06%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0238	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.073657	-1.83%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0650	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076471	-1.16%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0413	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.07641	-1.89%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0452	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.077005	-1.15%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0629	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.0756	-0.62%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0386	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075028	-0.65%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0292	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.077893	-0.68%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0027	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082	-0.84%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0543	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.079668	-0.62%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0182	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082344	-0.17%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0131	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.082067	-0.19%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0211	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.079383	+0.07%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0139	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.081534	+0.32%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0217	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.07867	-0.09%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0150	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.07916	-0.50%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0307	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080527	-0.91%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0107	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.079497	-0.74%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0038	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.083031	-0.18%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0282	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084542	-0.42%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0849	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087367	-1.22%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.0834	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.084599	-0.84%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0521	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.081897	-0.66%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0160	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.085133	-0.51%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0419	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.087607	-1.16%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.0890	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.085516	-1.62%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0412	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.089801	-1.95%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0507	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.084783	-1.40%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0386	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.082495	-1.83%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0787	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.079614	-2.21%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1440	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.081352	-2.47%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1383	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.082802	-2.73%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1389	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.083267	-3.13%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1533	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.081339	-4.22%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.0959	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.078488	-2.66%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0491	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.07953	-2.63%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0389	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.080735	-2.84%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0098	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.083319	-3.25%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0082	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.085138	-3.96%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0365	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.085122	-3.76%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0422	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.081557	-3.37%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0729	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.078798	-3.65%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0371	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.076901	-2.88%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0803	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.072729	-2.72%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1417	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.074994	-3.43%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1308	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.075092	-2.81%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1443	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.074137	-2.78%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1422	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.07231	-2.56%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1217	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.071676	-2.43%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1393	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.071293	-2.43%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0933	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.074657	-2.90%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0020	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.069435	-2.40%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1157	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.067755	-1.77%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1629	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.067553	-1.81%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1471	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.064626	-1.57%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1589	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.066183	-1.41%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1095	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.06702	-1.38%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1195	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.067525	-1.35%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1705	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.066295	-1.52%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0925	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.065373	-1.56%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0444	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.065289	-1.61%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0596	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.065321	-1.63%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0027	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.065981	-1.76%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0019	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.068066	-1.77%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0176	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.068596	-2.57%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0202	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.065991	-2.09%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0156	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.067685	-2.17%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0303	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.067172	-1.90%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0260	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.067774	-2.36%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0172	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.067012	-2.07%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0059	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.068011	-1.67%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0157	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.06923	-1.85%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0058	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.072539	-2.55%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0499	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.073305	-2.62%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0598	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.073704	-2.22%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0825	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.077315	-3.79%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1284	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.071824	-2.60%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0696	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.070886	-3.46%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0540	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.064546	-2.42%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0304	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.066469	-2.46%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0678	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.067144	-1.92%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0650	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.066431	-2.69%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0884	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.066793	-2.65%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1543	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.066508	-2.47%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0813	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.068114	-2.50%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0868	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.069855	-2.45%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0042	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.074802	-1.87%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0503	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.073826	-1.89%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0327	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.076546	-2.30%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0675	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.073911	-2.69%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0372	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.074715	-1.96%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0559	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.078222	-2.45%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0775	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.079855	-2.89%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0793	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.077696	-3.98%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0041	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.077999	-4.08%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0110	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.075954	-3.78%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0331	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.074321	-3.44%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0223	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.07707	-2.07%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0047	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.071498	-1.36%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0901	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.075168	-1.75%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0564	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.073271	-1.41%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0834	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.07317	-1.26%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0414	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.076148	-1.58%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0133	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.079879	-2.24%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0127	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.086687	-2.30%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1547	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.087383	-2.49%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0854	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.095705	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.091978	-2.72%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1403	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.090898	-2.75%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1129	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.090128	-2.54%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0618	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.090985	-2.67%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0395	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.093522	-3.05%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0184	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.090459	-3.19%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0551	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.095397	-3.12%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0775	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.098061	-3.41%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0129	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.105027	-4.04%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.0958	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.104203	-4.81%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1040	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.104107	-4.10%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.0773	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.10003	-4.14%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0128	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.098288	-4.12%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0437	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.092305	-3.34%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0623	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.094448	-3.59%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0755	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.097611	-4.62%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1254	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.099071	-5.11%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.1271	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.108705	-5.84%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0222	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.112944	-5.43%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0655	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.127002	-6.96%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.1893	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.158384	-10.89%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.4807	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.096751	-4.66%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0439	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.095606	-5.21%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0849	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.089363	-3.71%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2493	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.088117	-3.45%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.3212	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.085736	-2.98%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4689	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.090489	-3.24%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6579	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.090101	-3.03%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0851	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.090097	-3.04%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0940	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.090997	-2.60%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0182	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.091235	-2.35%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0575	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.093373	-2.38%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1031	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.094862	-2.37%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0403	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.08988	-1.80%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0345	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.092394	-2.39%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0055	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.11129	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.105067	-3.98%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.0949	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.098772	-3.56%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0274	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.102836	-3.94%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.0721	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.109279	-4.41%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1352	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.104803	-4.36%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.1943	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.094701	-2.92%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0245	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.088094	-2.01%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2734	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.086257	-2.43%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1978	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.0807	-2.09%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1951	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.077978	-2.02%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2886	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.08134	-2.49%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3221	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.073895	-2.24%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3532	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.076749	-2.25%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.2056	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.076277	-2.18%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.1120	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.076488	-2.20%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.1008	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.077628	-2.26%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0103	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.07845	-2.41%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0155	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.077507	-2.58%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0032	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.072959	-2.16%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0109	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.074824	-2.32%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0344	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.071822	-1.95%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.072951	-1.95%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.076751	-2.14%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.076005	-1.92%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0029	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.075041	-1.70%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0269	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.074683	-1.50%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0473	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078017	-1.56%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0330	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.077885	-1.36%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0706	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.077122	-0.72%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0073	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.083205	-0.47%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0122	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.084833	-0.72%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0562	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.082145	-0.38%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0112	✓	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.079841	-0.68%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0223	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.079326	-0.33%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0391	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.08332	-0.16%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0091	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.088523	-0.54%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1133	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.090279	-0.41%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0777	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092882	-0.26%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0331	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.093905	-0.25%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0710	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093982	-0.43%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0799	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.094123	-0.55%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1320	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.094878	-0.65%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1214	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.105807	-2.21%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1633	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.091148	-0.80%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0214	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083173	-0.32%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0535	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.08181	-0.43%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0430	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.07825	-0.49%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0802	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078353	-0.26%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1262	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.0809	-0.22%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1217	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084565	-0.17%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2519	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087096	-0.25%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.0914	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086689	-0.45%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0651	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.084359	-0.27%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0197	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083102	-0.42%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0587	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087076	-0.46%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1079	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.08887	-0.64%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1307	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090618	-0.65%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1245	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.090876	-0.68%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1176	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.085888	-0.64%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0619	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.086522	-0.56%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.0956	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.089871	-0.53%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0417	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.0929	-0.70%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0431	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.092817	-0.68%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0002	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.09273	-0.66%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0255	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.094908	-0.77%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0640	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.100263	-1.11%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.0916	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.103199	-1.36%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.1010	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.101413	-1.28%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.0966	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.103745	-1.57%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0743	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.102411	-1.63%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0783	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.096745	-1.34%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0482	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.094613	-1.06%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0205	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.09476	-1.08%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0888	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.097155	-1.27%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0934	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.096225	-1.21%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0887	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.098691	-1.52%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0572	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.099195	-1.79%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0754	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.090084	+0.21%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0257	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.102452	-1.73%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0367	✗	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.105117	-2.03%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0252	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.108446	-2.48%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0492	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.102746	-1.77%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0509	✗	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.103983	-1.72%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.1181	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.114768	-2.41%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0797	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.116773	-2.36%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0891	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.126318	-2.91%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0383	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.127565	-2.92%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0175	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.126987	-2.84%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0019	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.121662	-2.32%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0135	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.131966	-2.82%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0806	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.128353	-2.32%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0174	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.124298	-1.74%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0257	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.127451	-1.73%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0231	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.124524	-1.41%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0435	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.136295	-1.38%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0101	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.137245	-1.05%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0106	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.145356	-1.25%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0021	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.139832	-0.69%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0083	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.136322	-0.35%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0032	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.142374	-0.37%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0061	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.146889	-1.22%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0659	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.1344	-1.25%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0121	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.139356	-1.45%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0370	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.140556	-1.50%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0094	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.142333	-1.57%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0719	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.142805	-1.58%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.0969	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.143377	-1.59%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.0945	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.148967	-1.74%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0284	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.151149	-1.91%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0608	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.146992	-1.81%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0283	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.144743	-1.74%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0104	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.142107	-1.66%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0080	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.138466	-1.59%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0082	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.128861	-1.10%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0599	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.132158	-1.15%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0501	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.130228	-1.12%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0548	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.131763	-1.15%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0664	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.132872	-1.36%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0568	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.127213	-1.16%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0835	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.12397	-0.98%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.1006	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.127264	-1.12%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0254	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.127575	-1.18%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0305	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.127152	-1.13%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0597	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.124729	-1.01%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0793	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.126658	-1.13%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0704	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.125649	-1.14%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0377	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118138	-0.97%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0284	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.120821	-0.97%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0389	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.124807	-0.95%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0412	✗	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.126161	-1.01%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0182	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.127267	-0.84%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0181	✓	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.135511	-0.94%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0233	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.137335	-0.98%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0400	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.139412	-0.92%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0329	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.141328	-0.96%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0455	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.149579	-1.40%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0894	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.14281	-1.14%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0414	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.139469	-1.02%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0454	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.14182	-1.17%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0528	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.135018	-0.87%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0111	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.142123	-0.96%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0175	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.143511	-0.89%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0177	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.141752	-0.87%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0446	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.138799	-0.86%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0411	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.15142	-1.10%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0726	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.152205	-1.10%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0309	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.155847	-1.24%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.1069	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.158934	-1.41%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1158	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.155599	-1.39%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1250	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.154086	-1.35%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1505	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.156867	-1.53%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0751	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.157529	-1.73%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.0978	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.153422	-1.65%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1199	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.151587	-1.57%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.0762	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.157641	-1.90%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0718	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.152566	-1.57%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0549	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.157263	-1.71%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.1124	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.156398	-1.64%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.1003	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.159986	-1.73%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1555	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.16279	-1.82%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1871	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.161981	-1.71%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1502	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.166995	-1.71%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2456	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.172285	-1.78%	0.155	-11.63%	0.1089	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.174563	-1.82%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1268	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.186761	-2.12%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1598	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.185433	-2.28%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.1140	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.182803	-2.35%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0617	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.184702	-2.58%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0897	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.16775	-2.02%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0504	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.170951	-2.15%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0751	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.163093	-1.87%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0520	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.160019	-1.65%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1894	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.17822	-1.97%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1963	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.180178	-1.97%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2186	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.177247	-1.80%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.2127	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.175817	-1.67%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1391	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.184836	-1.84%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0843	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.192545	-1.86%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.1167	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.201539	-1.93%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0458	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.209448	-2.13%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0538	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.202867	-2.04%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0622	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.203636	-2.07%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.0867	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.202348	-2.01%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.0821	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.196899	-1.75%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1015	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.205473	-1.92%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1499	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.212933	-2.14%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1156	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.214993	-2.43%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1376	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.209847	-2.21%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1163	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.209191	-2.11%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1122	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.212111	-1.98%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0714	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.221415	-2.25%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0247	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.23007	-2.35%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0151	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.242335	-2.50%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0016	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.225315	-2.29%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.1189	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.208076	-1.85%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.1119	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.198737	-1.05%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2242	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.274568	-1.31%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0060	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.27997	-1.23%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0095	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.2691	-0.92%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0142	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.282048	-0.93%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0381	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.276199	-0.83%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0320	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.279663	-1.07%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0675	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.284283	-1.32%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1818	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.282255	-1.53%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0334	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.273517	-1.54%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0470	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.251909	-1.41%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0570	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.260349	-1.49%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.0990	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.272985	-1.95%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.1985	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.269466	-2.01%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2065	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.276309	-2.12%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2103	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.266567	-1.78%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1605	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.29348	-1.85%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1598	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.296375	-1.90%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1904	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.300673	-1.80%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1618	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.327406	-1.99%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.1013	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.334739	-2.04%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0748	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.329956	-1.92%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0345	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.360058	-2.38%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1216	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.354964	-2.40%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1103	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.34338	-2.18%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0329	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.340955	-2.24%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0548	✓	2.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.