XPL

Plasma · native · beta_5y

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +7d

assessed

309

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

56.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1028

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0296

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.082275	0.079342	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.076848	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.075529	-3.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.073868	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.074399	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.076126	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.079601	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.081634	-4.73%	0.082275	-3.99%	0.0322	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.077404	-3.56%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0061	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.079514	-3.81%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0132	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.077542	-3.66%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0175	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.084502	-4.41%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0655	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.083358	-4.54%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0299	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.08094	-4.34%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0410	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.080022	-4.44%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0605	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.083432	-4.75%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0081	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.085738	-4.52%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0070	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.090295	-4.76%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0418	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.091824	-4.66%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0139	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.091076	-4.79%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0078	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.088777	-4.87%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0111	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.091924	-4.40%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0339	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.091203	-3.86%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0350	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.092243	-3.68%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0630	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.09474	-3.60%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0431	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.101889	-3.96%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.0973	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.106414	-4.53%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1132	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.108012	-5.77%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1547	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.104588	-5.65%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.0937	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.087332	-2.96%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.1000	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.093325	-3.16%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0751	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.094387	-3.68%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0982	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.086812	-2.72%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1400	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089548	-2.86%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1613	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.090807	-3.21%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1739	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.085056	-2.70%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1135	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.079949	-1.27%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0372	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.080861	-1.24%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0343	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.08328	-0.76%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0107	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077972	+0.23%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0550	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080531	+0.59%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0628	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.083099	+0.75%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0543	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084405	+0.37%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0387	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089773	+0.66%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0633	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.097836	-0.51%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1194	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.093194	+0.27%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0861	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.090672	+1.22%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0782	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.094004	+0.95%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1061	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.094478	+1.37%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0837	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097782	+1.36%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0514	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.08389	+0.73%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0389	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.083135	+0.60%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1437	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.08459	+0.86%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0833	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.084481	+0.47%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0059	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.087247	+0.43%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0352	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.085082	+0.61%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0566	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.090735	+0.58%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0433	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.088125	+0.46%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0242	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090562	+0.10%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0707	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.097035	-0.34%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1382	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.100231	-1.39%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1744	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.092714	-1.07%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0867	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.099306	-2.26%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1520	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.087056	-2.04%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0904	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078895	-1.88%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0677	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.073928	-2.59%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0715	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.074208	-2.46%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0187	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.072654	-2.90%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0266	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.073759	-2.74%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0525	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.074049	-3.03%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0020	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.073287	-2.74%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0137	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071911	-2.72%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0215	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.076113	-3.07%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0297	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.075999	-3.41%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0121	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.074339	-2.96%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0547	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.074007	-2.73%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0697	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073475	-3.01%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0840	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.072619	-3.28%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0569	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.072455	-3.36%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0482	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075176	-3.49%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0557	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.075124	-3.17%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0357	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.073567	-3.20%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0085	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.072587	-3.41%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0034	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071126	-3.30%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0145	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.075422	-3.37%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0059	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.074687	-3.19%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0122	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.080479	-3.68%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0372	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.076328	-3.20%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0215	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.082652	-3.05%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0435	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.080661	-3.11%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0367	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.081924	-3.22%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0799	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079365	-2.20%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0094	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.083418	-1.75%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0301	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.082445	-1.44%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0718	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083487	-1.84%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0236	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079335	-1.32%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0577	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.081602	-1.33%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0306	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084029	-1.37%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0032	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085141	-1.46%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0773	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090406	-1.73%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0909	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.091308	-2.03%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1190	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087824	-1.87%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.0953	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.08736	-1.68%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1035	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.089212	-1.86%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.0994	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.090151	-1.85%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0509	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.093366	-2.13%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0922	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.08924	-1.83%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0306	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.096532	-2.30%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0747	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.105534	-3.36%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1232	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.10338	-3.07%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1552	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.103165	-3.22%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1431	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.102723	-3.73%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1508	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.092608	-2.62%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0109	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.08879	-2.21%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0319	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.084952	-1.90%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0402	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.10111	-3.61%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0024	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.093419	-2.49%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0477	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.097692	-3.13%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0226	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.099732	-3.83%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0156	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.099763	-4.90%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.0851	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.089416	-2.81%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0384	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.086802	-2.25%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0955	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.08335	-1.77%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3206	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.087204	-2.24%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1864	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.091813	-2.64%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1963	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.097106	-3.66%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1507	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.094358	-3.52%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1835	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.104741	-6.98%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0517	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.08795	-3.67%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0817	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.086551	-3.99%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0370	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.08607	-3.94%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0970	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.083363	-4.18%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1287	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.078614	-4.83%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2502	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.072643	-3.66%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.3150	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.060749	-0.74%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5466	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065306	-1.20%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2434	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.068686	-1.88%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1988	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.0681	-1.73%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2182	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.064907	-0.90%	0.087	+32.82%	0.2111	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066295	-1.05%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1625	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.081709	-3.19%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0757	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.089046	-5.17%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3186	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.08316	-3.53%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1158	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.088527	-4.81%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0700	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.085631	-3.89%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0018	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.086793	-4.62%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0112	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.084518	-4.71%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0271	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.090116	-5.64%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1382	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.081981	-3.66%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3556	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.084893	-3.64%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.2077	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.083129	-3.39%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2437	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.078857	-3.00%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.1961	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.08128	-3.58%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1737	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.079732	-3.00%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1511	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.086225	-3.87%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1859	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.083805	-3.89%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0805	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.079449	-2.70%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1226	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.081336	-2.88%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0502	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.081261	-2.80%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0093	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.084076	-3.03%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0322	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.086284	-3.05%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0255	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.093002	-3.48%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0336	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.090976	-3.42%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0061	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.092891	-3.29%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0568	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.098866	-3.45%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0767	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.103433	-3.65%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1243	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.101885	-4.06%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1138	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.104603	-5.08%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1406	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.101391	-4.89%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0705	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.0959	-4.15%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0161	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.089289	-3.52%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0795	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.085388	-3.41%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1532	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.086641	-3.41%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1577	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.087577	-3.34%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1618	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.088111	-3.28%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1927	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.087844	-3.68%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1315	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.089209	-4.13%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0196	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.092259	-4.00%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0759	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.094492	-3.97%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1095	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.09665	-4.02%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0726	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.095949	-4.19%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0755	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.09588	-4.17%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0649	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.096768	-4.24%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0238	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.097518	-4.16%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0027	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.0982	-4.29%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0211	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.09988	-4.51%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0424	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.099429	-4.26%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0785	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.10501	-3.97%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0830	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.122074	-4.18%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2056	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.133032	-5.52%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3341	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.125413	-4.30%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2730	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.127722	-4.69%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2613	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.132322	-5.48%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2627	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.11871	-4.46%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.1944	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.12977	-5.07%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2213	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.123771	-5.05%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0479	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.117631	-4.48%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.1158	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.119	-4.57%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0244	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.123543	-5.19%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0378	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.11399	-5.09%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0947	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.115439	-5.11%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0379	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.111323	-5.14%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0894	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.104822	-4.97%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0978	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.110018	-7.63%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0140	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.100246	-5.43%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1566	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.089383	-3.73%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.3006	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.085686	-3.02%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2926	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.084077	-2.69%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.3041	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.086272	-2.68%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2867	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.086813	-2.73%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2263	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.091087	-2.74%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.3083	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.09762	-2.87%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1487	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095295	-2.46%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0222	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.094364	-2.26%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0213	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.089321	-1.90%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0076	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.091226	-1.59%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0269	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093088	-1.23%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0456	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.097727	-1.29%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0184	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.106865	-1.46%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0626	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.116339	-1.87%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.1062	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.120465	-2.69%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1411	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.106023	-1.33%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0522	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.108311	-1.76%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1077	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.106345	-1.85%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1116	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.104442	-1.93%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0409	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.098006	-1.60%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0799	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.097324	-1.84%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1171	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.089936	-1.17%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1902	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.091758	-1.39%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0107	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.093668	-1.19%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0775	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.097433	-1.28%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0462	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.115961	-2.51%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0780	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.111633	-2.25%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0639	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.111741	-3.42%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1555	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.102335	-2.17%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1085	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.095988	-1.65%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0357	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.099629	-2.23%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0563	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.090476	-1.33%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0367	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.093086	-1.60%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1715	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.100051	-3.24%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0325	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.085929	-1.34%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.2062	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.085803	-1.38%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.1087	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.088511	-1.16%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1377	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.094938	-1.82%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0919	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.093515	-1.72%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0261	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.09204	-1.72%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0163	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.090958	-1.51%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0945	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.094718	-1.95%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0096	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.099192	-2.94%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0405	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.09423	-2.05%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0264	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.098994	-3.14%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0143	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.094479	-2.90%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0241	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.089171	-2.92%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0329	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.080562	-1.27%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1495	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.080259	-0.98%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.2136	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.082724	-1.11%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2372	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.081839	-0.92%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1925	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.083038	-0.91%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1963	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.082863	-1.06%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1965	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.079761	+1.09%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0496	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.093295	-1.64%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0531	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.093537	-1.64%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0751	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.101294	-2.56%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0744	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.099307	-1.97%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0256	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.103775	-2.38%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0841	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.118032	-3.92%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0794	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.120579	-4.07%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2881	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.136461	-5.89%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.1080	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.129886	-6.15%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0738	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.119553	-4.24%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.1240	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.114448	-3.50%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1476	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.123956	-3.98%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1265	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.119938	-3.59%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1640	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.118722	-3.36%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1860	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.121529	-3.55%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1817	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.116891	-3.08%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1485	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.129264	-3.39%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0741	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.127221	-3.18%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.1135	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.136101	-3.06%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0982	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.140342	-3.01%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0295	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.138362	-3.11%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0337	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.156878	-3.04%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0414	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.15643	-3.26%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0888	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.148145	-3.36%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1384	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.158724	-3.51%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2632	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.155724	-3.28%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2299	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.163516	-3.36%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2545	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.160033	-3.07%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2358	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.173008	-3.19%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2159	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.200086	-4.36%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2505	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.183524	-3.31%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1171	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.185492	-3.69%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1035	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.1905	-4.18%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1620	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.185763	-5.03%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1089	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.164388	-3.87%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0541	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.155343	-3.63%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0978	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.158096	-3.48%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2216	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.152037	-3.90%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1471	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.149025	-4.10%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.2162	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.146787	-4.12%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2720	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.134702	-3.61%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3430	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.128494	-3.53%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2680	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.127799	-3.91%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2335	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.125237	-3.59%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2574	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.123794	-3.59%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2617	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.124634	-3.61%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2293	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.131156	-4.27%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1606	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.125492	-4.35%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.1167	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.115862	-2.88%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1196	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.121431	-3.05%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0749	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.129121	-3.24%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0109	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.130702	-3.36%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.146043	-3.63%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1271	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.150418	-3.70%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0718	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.143401	-3.37%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.157956	-3.24%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2011	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.