XPL

Plasma · native · beta_5y

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +30d

assessed

286

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

60.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1806

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0719

actual -0.0190

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.082275	0.074871	-9.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.072355	-9.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.071326	-8.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.069637	-8.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.070158	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.071551	-9.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.074558	-9.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.076436	-10.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.072414	-9.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.074685	-9.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.072394	-10.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.078729	-10.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.077439	-11.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.07512	-11.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.074022	-11.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.077222	-11.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.079938	-10.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.084117	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.085728	-10.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.084617	-11.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.082626	-11.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.086197	-10.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.085388	-9.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.08657	-9.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.088869	-9.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.095532	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.099504	-10.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.100911	-11.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.098101	-11.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.083113	-7.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.089061	-7.59%	0.082275	-14.63%	0.0413	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.090502	-7.64%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.0563	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.082452	-7.60%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.0855	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.084972	-7.82%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1183	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.086235	-8.08%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1380	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.080711	-7.67%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1223	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.076034	-6.10%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0186	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.076993	-5.97%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0255	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.079742	-4.97%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0566	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.074592	-4.12%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0115	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.077716	-2.93%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0463	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.081016	-1.78%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0290	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.082274	-2.16%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0576	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.088113	-1.20%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.1167	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.095466	-2.92%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1949	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.091682	-1.35%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1288	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089797	+0.24%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.1043	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.09348	+0.39%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.1050	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.095305	+2.26%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1258	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.099801	+3.45%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.1120	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.085167	+2.27%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0671	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.08492	+2.76%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0410	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.086913	+3.63%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0120	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.08638	+2.72%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0123	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.089623	+3.17%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0035	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.087872	+3.91%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0675	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.095267	+5.61%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0831	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.091915	+4.78%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1294	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.093843	+3.73%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0630	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.100243	+2.95%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2024	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.102873	+1.21%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2136	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.095639	+2.05%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1420	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.102669	+1.05%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.1899	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.08757	-1.46%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.0904	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.077897	-3.12%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0184	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.071373	-5.95%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0310	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.071446	-6.09%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1128	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.069561	-7.03%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1054	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.070501	-7.04%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1388	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.070692	-7.42%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.1939	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.069958	-7.16%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1546	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.068557	-7.26%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1103	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.072413	-7.78%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1281	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.072361	-8.03%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.0933	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.070954	-7.38%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0354	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.070689	-7.09%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0291	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.070184	-7.35%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0802	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.069089	-7.98%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0285	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.068964	-8.01%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0163	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.071326	-8.43%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0520	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.071066	-8.40%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1397	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.069553	-8.48%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1291	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.068364	-9.03%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1327	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.066853	-9.11%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.0887	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.07135	-8.58%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.0839	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.070564	-8.54%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1051	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.075992	-9.05%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1599	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.072083	-8.58%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1150	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.078509	-7.91%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1178	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.076492	-8.12%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0492	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.077941	-7.93%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0066	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.076338	-5.93%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0381	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.081228	-4.33%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0182	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.080952	-3.23%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0396	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.08161	-4.05%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.1013	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.077604	-3.48%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0223	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.07993	-3.35%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0426	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.082301	-3.40%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0717	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.083318	-3.57%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0766	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.088127	-4.21%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.1067	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.08897	-4.54%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1331	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.085162	-4.85%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1665	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.084978	-4.36%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0744	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.086611	-4.72%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0993	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.087426	-4.82%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1491	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.090104	-5.55%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2113	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.086235	-5.13%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1948	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.092716	-6.16%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2336	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.100411	-8.05%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3063	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.098333	-7.80%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2442	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.098053	-8.02%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2434	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.097843	-8.30%	0.076	-28.77%	0.2765	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.089041	-6.37%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2005	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.085599	-5.73%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2210	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.08204	-5.27%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1914	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.096169	-8.32%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.2976	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.089428	-6.65%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1580	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.092955	-7.83%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2413	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.094626	-8.75%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2121	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.09468	-9.74%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2226	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.086079	-6.44%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0844	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.08399	-5.42%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0886	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.081058	-4.47%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0024	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.084378	-5.41%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0848	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.08838	-6.28%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0611	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.09283	-7.91%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1722	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.090223	-7.75%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1320	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.099437	-11.69%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1424	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.084818	-7.10%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0628	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.083484	-7.39%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1350	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.082691	-7.71%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1372	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.08029	-7.71%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1659	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.076091	-7.88%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1499	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.070531	-6.46%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2484	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.059676	-2.49%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3681	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.063724	-3.59%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3681	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.066571	-4.90%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3309	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.065916	-4.88%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.4042	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.063099	-3.67%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4762	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.064286	-4.05%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4478	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.077507	-8.17%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3327	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.083654	-10.91%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2761	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.078244	-9.23%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.3137	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.082634	-11.15%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3266	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.08	-10.21%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3985	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.080769	-11.24%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5477	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.078624	-11.36%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4934	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.084191	-11.84%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4743	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.077101	-9.40%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6124	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.08011	-9.07%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6266	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.078641	-8.61%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5458	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.074709	-8.11%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5102	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.07687	-8.81%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3861	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.075414	-8.25%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4494	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.081402	-9.25%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4424	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.079282	-9.08%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5521	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.075393	-7.66%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5707	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.077107	-7.93%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6554	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.077061	-7.82%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4297	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.07964	-8.14%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3817	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.081657	-8.25%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3853	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.08809	-8.57%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3477	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.085791	-8.93%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3101	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.087678	-8.72%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2096	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.09327	-8.92%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0007	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.097527	-9.15%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0345	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.095464	-10.11%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0540	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.097684	-11.36%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0052	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.094741	-11.12%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0307	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.09057	-9.47%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0650	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.084554	-8.64%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2950	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.08077	-8.63%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4210	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.08164	-8.99%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2598	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.082753	-8.66%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2397	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.083197	-8.67%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1457	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.082354	-9.70%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1441	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.083495	-10.27%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.1025	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.086377	-10.12%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1511	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.08862	-9.94%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0139	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.090795	-9.84%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0202	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.089786	-10.35%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0354	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.089905	-10.14%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.0919	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.090911	-10.03%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0463	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.091941	-9.64%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0621	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.091932	-10.40%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0464	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.093527	-10.59%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.0995	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.092466	-10.96%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.1805	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.098166	-10.23%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.1814	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.114415	-10.19%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3194	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.123985	-11.94%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4136	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.116979	-10.74%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3529	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.118834	-11.32%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3403	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.123384	-11.87%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3620	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.109967	-11.50%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3194	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.120654	-11.74%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3212	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.115496	-11.40%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2400	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.109661	-10.95%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.1947	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.110585	-11.32%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1723	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.114805	-11.89%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2233	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.105714	-11.98%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.2933	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.107018	-12.03%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.3714	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.103185	-12.07%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.3949	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.097407	-11.69%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3048	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.101783	-14.54%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3431	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.093411	-11.88%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2251	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.084102	-9.42%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.0813	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.080758	-8.59%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0413	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.079442	-8.05%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0206	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.081585	-7.97%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0349	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.082194	-7.91%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0429	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.086534	-7.60%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0305	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.0931	-7.36%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0481	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.091383	-6.47%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0503	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.091126	-5.62%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0324	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.086089	-5.45%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0045	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.088309	-4.74%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0301	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.090821	-3.64%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0673	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.095127	-3.91%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0228	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.103909	-4.19%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0882	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.113135	-4.57%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.1948	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.117212	-5.32%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.1126	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.103873	-3.33%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2288	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.105502	-4.31%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2190	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.103803	-4.20%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1837	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.101972	-4.25%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2416	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.09611	-3.50%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2480	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.095458	-3.72%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2171	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.088199	-3.08%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2917	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.089503	-3.81%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2473	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.091451	-3.53%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2376	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.095025	-3.72%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2278	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.111802	-6.01%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1218	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.108217	-5.24%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1379	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.107687	-6.93%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1334	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.099387	-4.98%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0804	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.093328	-4.38%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0609	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.096656	-5.15%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.0846	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.088498	-3.49%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0262	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.090867	-3.95%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0015	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.096853	-6.33%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0452	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.084004	-3.55%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0084	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.084017	-3.43%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0398	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.086663	-3.22%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0590	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.092149	-4.71%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0139	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.090857	-4.51%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0051	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.089501	-4.43%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0060	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.088493	-4.18%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0227	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.091549	-5.23%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0270	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.095092	-6.96%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0827	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.090952	-5.46%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1623	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.094701	-7.34%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1679	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.090849	-6.63%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0878	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.08613	-6.23%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1441	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.078469	-3.84%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2418	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.078143	-3.59%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2739	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.080389	-3.90%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2121	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.079631	-3.59%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2258	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.080656	-3.75%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1378	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.080278	-4.15%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2450	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.077977	-1.17%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0766	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.089289	-5.86%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2522	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.089372	-6.02%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4357	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.095771	-7.87%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3584	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.093986	-7.22%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4831	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.097584	-8.20%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3813	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.109558	-10.82%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4745	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.111495	-11.30%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4679	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.125285	-13.60%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.4024	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.119647	-13.55%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.4198	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.110719	-11.32%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.5302	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.106096	-10.54%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4879	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.115197	-10.77%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4411	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.111894	-10.05%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.4116	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.110975	-9.67%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4849	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.113768	-9.71%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4410	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.109302	-9.37%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4661	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.12228	-8.61%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4766	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.120471	-8.32%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5459	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.129607	-7.69%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.5076	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.134152	-7.29%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4224	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.132068	-7.52%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4688	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.150703	-6.86%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3100	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.149602	-7.48%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3238	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.14068	-8.23%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.2088	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.150636	-8.43%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0701	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.147722	-8.25%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0593	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.155161	-8.30%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0066	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.151914	-7.99%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0869	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.163947	-8.26%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0348	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.189902	-9.22%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0230	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.174918	-7.84%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0670	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.175636	-8.81%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1522	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.179699	-9.61%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.1926	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.175652	-10.20%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1554	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.155979	-8.78%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1063	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.147456	-8.53%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1431	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.149931	-8.47%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1313	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.14418	-8.86%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0176	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.141381	-9.02%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0353	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.139129	-9.13%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1133	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.12767	-8.64%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0652	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.121645	-8.68%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0378	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.120866	-9.12%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0077	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.118266	-8.96%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.116678	-9.13%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0678	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.117272	-9.30%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.123487	-9.86%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0334	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.117967	-10.09%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0468	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.108666	-8.91%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1492	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.11405	-8.94%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1356	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.121425	-9.01%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0778	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.122787	-9.21%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1609	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.137748	-9.11%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0817	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.142368	-8.86%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0637	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.135321	-8.81%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1887	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.150089	-8.06%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0939	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.