XPL

Plasma · native · beta_5y

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +1d

assessed

315

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0391

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0077

actual -0.0011

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.082275	0.08158	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.078976	-0.77%	0.082275	+0.38%	0.0079	✗	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.07762	-0.77%	0.07959	+1.74%	0.0298	✗	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.075811	-0.69%	0.078225	+2.48%	0.0097	✗	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.076252	-0.61%	0.076335	-0.50%	0.0044	✓	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.078162	-0.64%	0.07672	-2.47%	0.0310	✓	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.082056	-0.81%	0.078665	-4.91%	0.0399	✓	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.084626	-1.24%	0.08273	-3.45%	0.0105	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.079668	-0.74%	0.08569	+6.77%	0.0621	✗	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.081954	-0.85%	0.08026	-2.90%	0.0090	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.07989	-0.74%	0.08266	+2.70%	0.0077	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.087532	-0.99%	0.08049	-8.95%	0.0478	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.086446	-1.00%	0.088405	+1.24%	0.0086	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.08386	-0.89%	0.08732	+3.20%	0.0338	✗	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.083016	-0.86%	0.084615	+1.04%	0.0035	✓	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.086761	-0.95%	0.08374	-4.40%	0.0071	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.088971	-0.92%	0.087595	-2.46%	0.0248	✗	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.093828	-1.04%	0.0898	-5.28%	0.0401	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.09533	-1.02%	0.09481	-1.56%	0.0083	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.0947	-1.00%	0.096315	+0.69%	0.0155	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.092356	-1.03%	0.095655	+2.50%	0.0307	✗	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.095186	-1.00%	0.09332	-2.94%	0.0134	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.094121	-0.78%	0.09615	+1.36%	0.0033	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.095052	-0.74%	0.09486	-0.95%	0.0004	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.097561	-0.73%	0.095765	-2.56%	0.0221	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.105107	-0.93%	0.09828	-7.36%	0.0466	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.11014	-1.19%	0.10609	-4.82%	0.0384	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.112574	-1.79%	0.111465	-2.76%	0.0166	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.108919	-1.74%	0.11463	+3.41%	0.0572	✗	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.089455	-0.61%	0.11085	+23.17%	0.2143	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.095656	-0.75%	0.09	-6.61%	0.0261	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.096956	-1.06%	0.096375	-1.65%	0.0012	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.088715	-0.58%	0.09799	+9.81%	0.0011	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.091571	-0.67%	0.089235	-3.20%	0.0245	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.092987	-0.88%	0.092185	-1.74%	0.0154	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.086719	-0.80%	0.093815	+7.32%	0.0085	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080678	-0.37%	0.08742	+7.96%	0.0762	✗	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081553	-0.40%	0.080975	-1.11%	0.0189	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.08361	-0.36%	0.08188	-2.43%	0.0292	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.077721	-0.10%	0.083915	+7.87%	0.0510	✗	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080007	-0.07%	0.077795	-2.83%	0.0194	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.082432	-0.06%	0.08006	-2.93%	0.0302	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.084	-0.11%	0.08248	-1.91%	0.0311	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.089107	-0.09%	0.08409	-5.71%	0.0255	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.097916	-0.43%	0.089185	-9.31%	0.0901	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.092693	-0.27%	0.09834	+5.81%	0.0723	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089512	-0.08%	0.09294	+3.75%	0.0636	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.09297	-0.16%	0.08958	-3.80%	0.0477	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093058	-0.15%	0.09312	-0.09%	0.0026	✓	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.09609	-0.39%	0.0932	-3.39%	0.0022	✓	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083095	-0.22%	0.09647	+15.84%	0.0604	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.082404	-0.29%	0.08328	+0.77%	0.0127	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.083648	-0.27%	0.08264	-1.47%	0.0120	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.083833	-0.31%	0.08387	-0.26%	0.0175	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.086555	-0.36%	0.08409	-3.20%	0.0181	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.08432	-0.29%	0.08687	+2.73%	0.0223	✗	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.089763	-0.50%	0.084565	-6.26%	0.0144	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.087362	-0.41%	0.09021	+2.84%	0.0090	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.090042	-0.47%	0.08772	-3.04%	0.0352	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.096738	-0.65%	0.09047	-7.09%	0.0587	✓	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.100583	-1.04%	0.09737	-4.20%	0.0554	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.092866	-0.91%	0.10164	+8.45%	0.0779	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.100069	-1.51%	0.09372	-7.76%	0.0427	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.087964	-1.02%	0.1016	+14.32%	0.0508	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.079866	-0.68%	0.08887	+10.52%	0.0378	✗	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.07537	-0.68%	0.08041	+5.96%	0.0325	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.075625	-0.60%	0.07589	-0.25%	0.0010	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.074288	-0.72%	0.07608	+1.68%	0.0136	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.075357	-0.64%	0.074825	-1.34%	0.0029	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.075792	-0.74%	0.07584	-0.68%	0.0004	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.074888	-0.62%	0.07636	+1.33%	0.0299	✗	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.073494	-0.58%	0.075355	+1.94%	0.0247	✗	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.07796	-0.72%	0.07392	-5.86%	0.0504	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.07799	-0.88%	0.078525	-0.20%	0.0157	✗	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.07607	-0.70%	0.07868	+2.70%	0.0560	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.07561	-0.62%	0.07661	+0.69%	0.0146	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.075223	-0.70%	0.076085	+0.44%	0.0110	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.074502	-0.77%	0.075755	+0.90%	0.0021	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.07436	-0.81%	0.07508	+0.15%	0.0175	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.077216	-0.87%	0.07497	-3.76%	0.0423	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.077018	-0.72%	0.077895	+0.41%	0.0025	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.075469	-0.70%	0.07758	+2.08%	0.0284	✗	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.074612	-0.72%	0.076	+1.13%	0.0009	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.073083	-0.63%	0.07515	+2.18%	0.0294	✗	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.077486	-0.72%	0.07355	-5.77%	0.0081	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.076642	-0.66%	0.07805	+1.17%	0.0004	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.082802	-0.90%	0.07715	-7.66%	0.0718	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.078299	-0.70%	0.08355	+5.96%	0.0615	✗	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.084619	-0.74%	0.07885	-7.51%	0.0346	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.082642	-0.73%	0.08525	+2.40%	0.0083	✗	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.083939	-0.84%	0.08325	-1.65%	0.0129	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.080697	-0.56%	0.08465	+4.31%	0.0694	✗	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.084444	-0.54%	0.08115	-4.42%	0.0173	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.083239	-0.49%	0.0849	+1.49%	0.0290	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084526	-0.62%	0.08365	-1.65%	0.0386	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.080077	-0.40%	0.08505	+5.78%	0.0488	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.08237	-0.40%	0.0804	-2.78%	0.0218	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084843	-0.42%	0.0827	-2.93%	0.0453	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.086016	-0.44%	0.0852	-1.39%	0.0124	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091504	-0.54%	0.0864	-6.09%	0.0376	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092582	-0.66%	0.092	-1.29%	0.0006	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.089012	-0.55%	0.0932	+4.13%	0.0125	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088423	-0.48%	0.0895	+0.73%	0.0449	✗	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090432	-0.51%	0.08885	-2.26%	0.0169	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091396	-0.49%	0.0909	-1.03%	0.0030	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.094871	-0.55%	0.09185	-3.72%	0.0557	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090518	-0.42%	0.0954	+4.95%	0.0292	✗	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.098257	-0.55%	0.0909	-8.00%	0.0514	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.108209	-0.91%	0.0988	-9.52%	0.0749	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.105829	-0.77%	0.1092	+2.39%	0.0213	✗	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.10572	-0.83%	0.10665	+0.05%	0.0033	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.105544	-1.08%	0.1066	-0.09%	0.0039	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094433	-0.70%	0.1067	+12.20%	0.0971	✗	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.090288	-0.56%	0.0951	+4.74%	0.0147	✗	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.086204	-0.46%	0.0908	+4.85%	0.0178	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.103822	-1.03%	0.0866	-17.45%	0.1459	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.095204	-0.62%	0.1049	+9.50%	0.0824	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.100049	-0.79%	0.0958	-5.01%	0.0337	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.102582	-1.08%	0.10085	-2.75%	0.0156	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.103225	-1.60%	0.1037	-1.14%	0.0017	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.091266	-0.80%	0.1049	+14.02%	0.1681	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.088255	-0.61%	0.092	+3.60%	0.0802	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.084461	-0.46%	0.0888	+4.66%	0.0807	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.088671	-0.59%	0.08485	-4.88%	0.0610	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.093628	-0.71%	0.0892	-5.41%	0.0255	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.099689	-1.10%	0.0943	-6.45%	0.0733	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.096764	-1.06%	0.1008	+3.07%	0.0267	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.109559	-2.70%	0.0978	-13.14%	0.0788	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.090186	-1.22%	0.1126	+23.33%	0.2499	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.088912	-1.37%	0.0913	+1.28%	0.0424	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.088439	-1.30%	0.09015	+0.61%	0.0053	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.085724	-1.47%	0.0896	+2.99%	0.0113	✓	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.081073	-1.85%	0.087	+5.33%	0.0479	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.074439	-1.27%	0.0826	+9.55%	0.1047	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.06109	-0.18%	0.0754	+23.20%	0.1604	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.065915	-0.28%	0.0612	-7.41%	0.0685	✓	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069682	-0.45%	0.0661	-5.57%	0.0203	✓	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.069025	-0.40%	0.07	+1.01%	0.0197	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.06538	-0.18%	0.0693	+5.80%	0.0016	✓	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066862	-0.21%	0.0655	-2.24%	0.0163	✓	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.083729	-0.80%	0.067	-20.62%	0.1682	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.0924	-1.60%	0.0844	-10.12%	0.0856	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.085503	-0.81%	0.0939	+8.93%	0.1525	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.091858	-1.23%	0.0862	-7.31%	0.0269	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.088389	-0.80%	0.093	+4.38%	0.0944	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.090044	-1.05%	0.0891	-2.09%	0.0068	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.087725	-1.10%	0.091	+2.59%	0.0289	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.093908	-1.67%	0.0887	-7.12%	0.0542	✓	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.084415	-0.81%	0.0955	+12.22%	0.1394	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.087342	-0.86%	0.0851	-3.41%	0.0040	✓	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.085378	-0.78%	0.0881	+2.38%	0.0620	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.080784	-0.64%	0.08605	+5.84%	0.0574	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.083589	-0.84%	0.0813	-3.56%	0.0345	✓	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.081683	-0.63%	0.0843	+2.55%	0.0062	✓	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.088825	-0.98%	0.0822	-8.36%	0.0344	✓	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.086298	-1.03%	0.0897	+2.87%	0.0372	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.08117	-0.59%	0.0872	+6.80%	0.0574	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.083222	-0.63%	0.08165	-2.51%	0.0155	✓	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.08311	-0.59%	0.08375	+0.18%	0.0171	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.086139	-0.65%	0.0836	-3.58%	0.0158	✓	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.088432	-0.64%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0006	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.095556	-0.82%	0.089	-7.63%	0.0315	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.093493	-0.75%	0.09635	+2.28%	0.0050	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.095378	-0.70%	0.0942	-1.93%	0.0104	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.101626	-0.76%	0.09605	-6.20%	0.0338	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.106458	-0.83%	0.1024	-4.61%	0.0304	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.105242	-0.90%	0.10735	+1.08%	0.0082	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.108723	-1.34%	0.1062	-3.63%	0.0320	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.105266	-1.25%	0.1102	+3.38%	0.0425	✗	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.098981	-1.07%	0.1066	+6.55%	0.0967	✗	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.091771	-0.84%	0.10005	+8.10%	0.0782	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.087711	-0.78%	0.09255	+4.69%	0.0376	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.089012	-0.77%	0.0884	-1.45%	0.0273	✓	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.08991	-0.76%	0.0897	-0.99%	0.0004	✓	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.090425	-0.74%	0.0906	-0.55%	0.0052	✓	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.090471	-0.80%	0.0911	-0.11%	0.0258	✓	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.09217	-0.95%	0.0912	-1.99%	0.0201	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.095234	-0.90%	0.09305	-3.17%	0.0131	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.097511	-0.90%	0.0961	-2.34%	0.0039	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.099765	-0.93%	0.0984	-2.28%	0.0091	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.099222	-0.93%	0.1007	+0.55%	0.0032	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.099155	-0.89%	0.10015	+0.10%	0.0066	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.100146	-0.89%	0.10005	-0.99%	0.0136	✗	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.100838	-0.90%	0.10105	-0.69%	0.0008	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.101718	-0.86%	0.10175	-0.83%	0.0333	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.103587	-0.97%	0.1026	-1.91%	0.0185	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.103047	-0.77%	0.1046	+0.72%	0.0242	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.108568	-0.72%	0.10385	-5.03%	0.0079	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.126212	-0.93%	0.10935	-14.17%	0.1183	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.138617	-1.55%	0.1274	-9.52%	0.1214	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.129809	-0.95%	0.1408	+7.44%	0.0750	✗	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.132554	-1.08%	0.13105	-2.20%	0.0244	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.137856	-1.53%	0.134	-4.29%	0.0231	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.123136	-0.90%	0.14	+12.68%	0.0557	✗	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.134962	-1.27%	0.12425	-9.11%	0.0371	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.128646	-1.31%	0.1367	+4.87%	0.0590	✗	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.121904	-1.01%	0.13035	+5.85%	0.0438	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.123431	-1.02%	0.12315	-1.24%	0.0162	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.128565	-1.33%	0.1247	-4.30%	0.0144	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.118592	-1.26%	0.1303	+8.49%	0.0325	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.120091	-1.28%	0.1201	-1.27%	0.0032	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.11579	-1.33%	0.12165	+3.66%	0.0141	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.108854	-1.31%	0.11735	+6.39%	0.0683	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.115982	-2.62%	0.1103	-7.39%	0.0516	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.104368	-1.54%	0.1191	+12.36%	0.1581	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.092001	-0.91%	0.106	+14.16%	0.1440	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.087737	-0.69%	0.09285	+5.09%	0.0249	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.085868	-0.62%	0.08835	+2.26%	0.0115	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.088094	-0.63%	0.0864	-2.54%	0.0115	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.088687	-0.63%	0.08865	-0.67%	0.0003	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.093039	-0.65%	0.08925	-4.70%	0.0104	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.09974	-0.76%	0.09365	-6.82%	0.0106	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.097045	-0.67%	0.1005	+2.87%	0.0193	✗	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.095907	-0.67%	0.0977	+1.19%	0.0255	✗	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090576	-0.52%	0.09655	+6.04%	0.0006	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.09229	-0.44%	0.09105	-1.78%	0.0091	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093913	-0.36%	0.0927	-1.64%	0.0199	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098643	-0.36%	0.09425	-4.80%	0.0576	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.107986	-0.43%	0.099	-8.71%	0.0593	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.117817	-0.62%	0.10845	-8.52%	0.0290	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.122543	-1.02%	0.11855	-4.24%	0.0145	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.106956	-0.46%	0.1238	+15.22%	0.1070	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.109615	-0.58%	0.10745	-2.54%	0.0521	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.107668	-0.63%	0.11025	+1.75%	0.0178	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.105789	-0.67%	0.10835	+1.74%	0.0155	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.099045	-0.56%	0.1065	+6.93%	0.0659	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098489	-0.67%	0.0996	+0.45%	0.0061	✓	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090663	-0.37%	0.09915	+8.96%	0.0578	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092671	-0.41%	0.091	-2.20%	0.0727	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.09448	-0.34%	0.09305	-1.85%	0.0136	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098357	-0.35%	0.0948	-3.95%	0.0184	✓	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.118016	-0.79%	0.0987	-17.02%	0.1223	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.113363	-0.73%	0.11895	+4.16%	0.0843	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.114312	-1.20%	0.1142	-1.30%	0.0954	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.103873	-0.70%	0.1157	+10.61%	0.1189	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097132	-0.48%	0.1046	+7.17%	0.0047	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101187	-0.70%	0.0976	-4.22%	0.0086	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091334	-0.40%	0.1019	+11.12%	0.0845	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094138	-0.49%	0.0917	-3.07%	0.0104	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102227	-1.13%	0.0946	-8.51%	0.0665	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086751	-0.40%	0.1034	+18.71%	0.0914	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086633	-0.42%	0.0871	+0.11%	0.0176	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.08925	-0.33%	0.087	-2.85%	0.0397	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.09621	-0.51%	0.08955	-7.39%	0.0646	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.094701	-0.47%	0.0967	+1.63%	0.0215	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093204	-0.48%	0.09515	+1.60%	0.0009	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.091978	-0.40%	0.09365	+1.41%	0.0061	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.096119	-0.50%	0.09235	-4.40%	0.0175	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.101378	-0.80%	0.0966	-5.48%	0.0191	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.095706	-0.51%	0.1022	+6.24%	0.0643	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.101329	-0.85%	0.0962	-5.87%	0.0316	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.096488	-0.83%	0.1022	+5.04%	0.0377	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.090982	-0.95%	0.0973	+5.93%	0.0129	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.081307	-0.36%	0.09185	+12.56%	0.1394	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.080849	-0.25%	0.0816	+0.68%	0.0470	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083424	-0.27%	0.08105	-3.11%	0.0019	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.082417	-0.22%	0.08365	+1.27%	0.0185	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.083612	-0.22%	0.0826	-1.43%	0.0337	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.083534	-0.26%	0.0838	+0.06%	0.0299	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.079014	+0.14%	0.08375	+6.15%	0.1426	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.094523	-0.34%	0.0789	-16.82%	0.1494	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.094809	-0.31%	0.09485	-0.26%	0.0828	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.103433	-0.50%	0.0951	-8.51%	0.0058	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.100957	-0.34%	0.10395	+2.62%	0.0239	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.10588	-0.39%	0.1013	-4.70%	0.0085	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.121925	-0.75%	0.1063	-13.47%	0.0240	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.124726	-0.77%	0.12285	-2.27%	0.0037	✓	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.14292	-1.43%	0.1257	-13.31%	0.0021	✓	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.136125	-1.64%	0.145	+4.77%	0.0620	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.123724	-0.90%	0.1384	+10.85%	0.0897	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.117787	-0.69%	0.12485	+5.27%	0.0143	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.12797	-0.88%	0.1186	-8.13%	0.0115	✓	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.123442	-0.77%	0.1291	+3.78%	0.0548	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.121975	-0.71%	0.1244	+1.26%	0.0194	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.124984	-0.81%	0.12285	-2.50%	0.0198	✓	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.119838	-0.63%	0.126	+4.48%	0.0235	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.132701	-0.82%	0.1206	-9.87%	0.0116	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.130467	-0.71%	0.1338	+1.83%	0.0522	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.139387	-0.72%	0.1314	-6.41%	0.0229	✓	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.143671	-0.71%	0.1404	-2.97%	0.0135	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.141835	-0.68%	0.1447	+1.33%	0.0220	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.160462	-0.83%	0.1428	-11.74%	0.0857	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.160321	-0.85%	0.1618	+0.06%	0.0271	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.152115	-0.77%	0.1617	+5.48%	0.0490	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.163065	-0.87%	0.1533	-6.81%	0.0704	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.159796	-0.75%	0.1645	+2.17%	0.0154	✗	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.167844	-0.80%	0.161	-4.85%	0.0378	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.164011	-0.66%	0.1692	+2.48%	0.0452	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.177419	-0.72%	0.1651	-7.61%	0.0651	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.206409	-1.33%	0.1787	-14.58%	0.0878	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.188137	-0.88%	0.2092	+10.22%	0.1095	✗	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.19074	-0.97%	0.1898	-1.45%	0.0672	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.196506	-1.15%	0.1926	-3.12%	0.0448	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.192474	-1.60%	0.1988	+1.64%	0.0145	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.169206	-1.05%	0.1956	+14.39%	0.1136	✗	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.159692	-0.94%	0.171	+6.08%	0.0543	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.162386	-0.86%	0.1612	-1.59%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.156554	-1.04%	0.1638	+3.54%	0.0306	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.153652	-1.12%	0.1582	+1.80%	0.0379	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.151411	-1.10%	0.1554	+1.50%	0.0252	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.13858	-0.84%	0.1531	+9.55%	0.0938	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.13217	-0.77%	0.13975	+4.92%	0.0543	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.131774	-0.92%	0.1332	+0.15%	0.0158	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.128902	-0.77%	0.133	+2.39%	0.0292	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.12746	-0.73%	0.1299	+1.17%	0.0318	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.128358	-0.73%	0.1284	-0.70%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.135568	-1.05%	0.1293	-5.62%	0.0509	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.129773	-1.09%	0.137	+4.42%	0.0516	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118654	-0.54%	0.1312	+9.97%	0.0702	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.124527	-0.58%	0.1193	-4.75%	0.0341	✓	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.132629	-0.62%	0.12525	-6.14%	0.0384	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.134398	-0.63%	0.13345	-1.33%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.150367	-0.78%	0.13525	-10.76%	0.0859	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.154881	-0.84%	0.15155	-2.98%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.14745	-0.64%	0.1562	+5.26%	0.0579	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.162156	-0.67%	0.1484	-9.10%	0.0639	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.