CTR

Citrea · Base · beta_5y

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

134

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

48.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0974

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0205

actual -0.0148

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.015018	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.014851	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017212	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.0165	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.01304	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013008	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013559	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012717	-2.61%	0.015367	+17.68%	0.1816	✗	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013355	-2.96%	0.0152	+10.44%	0.1201	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014106	-3.20%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2364	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013313	-3.28%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2611	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012579	-2.39%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0632	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012546	-2.35%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0649	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012239	-2.24%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1340	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012442	-2.32%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0464	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012304	-2.26%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1203	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012388	-2.14%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1736	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012435	-2.14%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1219	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012632	-2.07%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0355	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012661	-2.27%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0249	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011663	-1.87%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0818	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012059	-2.06%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0723	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.01259	-2.47%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0014	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012305	-2.34%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0190	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011758	-2.20%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0654	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011986	-2.09%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0626	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012168	-2.15%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0610	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011614	-1.83%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0208	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.01204	-1.76%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0199	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.01226	-1.84%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0559	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012042	-1.53%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0589	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011808	-1.39%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0374	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011157	-1.54%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0739	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011336	-1.50%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0740	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011578	-1.67%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0020	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011283	-2.29%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0294	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011262	-2.40%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0485	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011747	-3.22%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0427	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010727	-1.65%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0335	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.01026	-1.86%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0581	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009817	-1.24%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1213	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009662	-1.12%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1629	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009186	-0.92%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2306	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.01015	-1.08%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1468	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010087	-0.97%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2106	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010295	-0.76%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0660	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009469	+0.20%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1312	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.00986	-0.05%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0316	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009864	-0.05%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0115	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010114	+0.37%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0481	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009975	-0.64%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0166	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.00963	-0.41%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0435	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009502	-0.06%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0818	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009324	-0.20%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0168	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009559	-0.14%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0139	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009416	-0.16%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0269	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009282	+0.47%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0712	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009354	+0.31%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0906	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008616	+0.62%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1279	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008608	+0.62%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1046	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007961	+0.47%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1608	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008085	+0.48%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1547	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008755	+0.40%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0801	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008143	-0.61%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0409	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008316	-1.54%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0184	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008231	-2.41%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1869	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008188	-2.30%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.1926	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008557	-2.59%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3403	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008489	-2.47%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3028	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008299	-2.32%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2200	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008594	-2.40%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2213	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008088	-2.20%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0655	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008171	-2.38%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0098	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007638	-1.83%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0820	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007955	-1.78%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1380	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008172	-1.90%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.0995	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007745	-2.09%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1293	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007646	-2.23%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1574	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007524	-2.28%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1174	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007105	-2.47%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1736	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007052	-2.53%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0898	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007197	-2.61%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0929	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007141	-2.57%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.1137	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007287	-2.45%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0433	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007311	-2.39%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0761	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.00726	-2.42%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0451	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007101	-2.25%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0216	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007047	-2.19%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0308	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007769	-2.09%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0161	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008	-1.96%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0582	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007522	-1.81%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0168	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.00741	-1.66%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0170	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008155	-1.57%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0519	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008111	-1.50%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0615	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008222	-1.53%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.1035	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008031	-1.64%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0242	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008164	-1.75%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0088	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007649	-2.00%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0020	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007878	-2.13%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0676	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008132	-2.26%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0057	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008134	-2.41%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0146	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007935	-2.28%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0038	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.0079	-2.58%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0150	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008226	-2.54%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0094	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008935	-2.46%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1307	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008177	-2.72%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0264	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008373	-2.58%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0521	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.008941	-2.60%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1000	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010134	-2.47%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.1908	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010651	-2.38%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2754	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010806	-2.38%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2596	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.01041	-2.44%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1565	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010763	-2.33%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2792	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011686	-2.37%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3583	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.01091	-2.33%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2743	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011136	-2.57%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1507	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010441	-2.65%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0393	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010477	-2.81%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0089	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009792	-2.96%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0360	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010127	-3.00%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0481	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.009965	-3.26%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.2003	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010967	-3.17%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0864	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010861	-3.37%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.1121	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010298	-3.67%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.1020	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.01085	-3.55%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0626	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010229	-3.96%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0426	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010038	-4.08%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0911	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011417	-3.41%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0477	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011064	-3.71%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0697	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011686	-3.42%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012139	-3.27%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.0888	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012057	-3.35%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0661	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012389	-3.17%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1502	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.01255	-3.16%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1709	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012103	-3.18%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.0713	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014728	-2.78%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3101	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013715	-2.80%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1750	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.01413	-2.75%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1559	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014586	-2.50%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2135	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013308	-2.58%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.0796	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016446	-2.57%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2344	✓	1.00