CTR

Citrea · Base · beta_5y

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

111

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

61.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2072

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0504

actual -0.0587

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.015367	0.014218	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.016613	-10.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.016039	-10.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.015396	-10.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.012432	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.012393	-6.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.012848	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012092	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.012599	-8.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.013224	-9.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.012512	-9.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.01188	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.011848	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.01158	-7.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.011772	-7.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.011633	-7.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.011701	-7.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.011726	-7.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.011892	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.011893	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011007	-7.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.011325	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.011757	-8.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.011506	-8.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011014	-8.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011207	-8.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.011351	-8.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.010875	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011238	-8.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.011438	-8.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011289	-7.69%	0.015367	+25.66%	0.3189	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011116	-7.17%	0.018489	+54.41%	0.5329	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.01052	-7.16%	0.017857	+57.59%	0.5189	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.010697	-7.05%	0.017291	+50.24%	0.4767	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.010897	-7.46%	0.013308	+13.02%	0.1929	✗	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.010619	-8.04%	0.013303	+15.20%	0.1914	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.010606	-8.09%	0.013935	+20.76%	0.2366	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011004	-9.34%	0.013058	+7.58%	0.1188	✗	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010184	-6.62%	0.013763	+26.20%	0.2694	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.009793	-6.33%	0.014573	+39.39%	0.3385	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009389	-5.53%	0.013765	+38.49%	0.3401	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009285	-4.97%	0.012887	+31.89%	0.2673	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.008894	-4.07%	0.012848	+38.58%	0.3094	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.009765	-4.82%	0.012519	+22.02%	0.2131	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.009705	-4.72%	0.012738	+25.06%	0.2441	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.009925	-4.33%	0.012589	+21.34%	0.2005	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009255	-2.07%	0.012659	+33.96%	0.2685	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009618	-2.50%	0.012707	+28.81%	0.2269	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009614	-2.58%	0.012899	+30.70%	0.2390	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.009945	-1.31%	0.012956	+28.57%	0.2372	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009706	-3.31%	0.011884	+18.38%	0.1202	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009428	-2.50%	0.012313	+27.33%	0.1813	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009368	-1.47%	0.012909	+35.76%	0.2654	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009214	-1.38%	0.012601	+34.87%	0.2468	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009476	-1.00%	0.012023	+25.60%	0.1817	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009352	-0.83%	0.012241	+29.80%	0.1990	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009344	+1.13%	0.012434	+34.59%	0.2405	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009431	+1.13%	0.011831	+26.87%	0.1705	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008783	+2.58%	0.012256	+43.14%	0.2715	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008795	+2.81%	0.01249	+46.01%	0.2871	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.008185	+3.29%	0.01223	+54.33%	0.3049	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008292	+3.06%	0.011974	+48.82%	0.2579	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008911	+2.19%	0.011331	+29.95%	0.2077	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008142	-0.62%	0.011508	+40.47%	0.2501	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008164	-3.34%	0.011775	+39.42%	0.2100	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.007995	-5.21%	0.011548	+36.91%	0.1741	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.007968	-4.93%	0.011539	+37.68%	0.1765	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008264	-5.93%	0.012138	+38.17%	0.1556	✗	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008208	-5.70%	0.010906	+25.30%	0.0172	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008044	-5.32%	0.010455	+23.05%	0.0169	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008307	-5.67%	0.00994	+12.88%	0.0637	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.007872	-4.81%	0.009771	+18.15%	0.0251	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.007946	-5.07%	0.009272	+10.77%	0.0739	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007485	-3.79%	0.01026	+31.88%	0.0642	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.00777	-4.07%	0.010186	+25.75%	0.0361	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.00794	-4.68%	0.010375	+24.54%	0.0239	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007542	-4.65%	0.00945	+19.47%	0.0365	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007428	-5.01%	0.009865	+26.15%	0.0185	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007316	-4.98%	0.009869	+28.17%	0.0421	✓	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.006942	-4.71%	0.010077	+38.33%	0.0864	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.006891	-4.75%	0.010039	+38.76%	0.1395	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007022	-4.98%	0.00967	+30.85%	0.0823	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.006976	-4.84%	0.009508	+29.72%	0.0409	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.00711	-4.82%	0.009343	+25.07%	0.0190	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007153	-4.50%	0.009572	+27.80%	0.0550	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007119	-4.32%	0.009431	+26.76%	0.0355	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007023	-3.33%	0.009239	+27.17%	0.0097	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.006987	-3.02%	0.009325	+29.42%	0.0220	✓	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007676	-3.27%	0.008563	+7.91%	0.1087	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.007869	-3.56%	0.008554	+4.83%	0.1663	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007454	-2.69%	0.007924	+3.45%	0.1697	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007397	-1.84%	0.008046	+6.78%	0.1225	✓	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008092	-2.33%	0.00872	+5.25%	0.1265	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008074	-1.96%	0.008193	-0.51%	0.0962	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008135	-2.58%	0.008446	+1.15%	0.0362	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.007949	-2.65%	0.008435	+3.31%	0.0594	✗	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008068	-2.92%	0.008381	+0.85%	0.0440	✗	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007585	-2.82%	0.008785	+12.56%	0.1662	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007794	-3.18%	0.008704	+8.12%	0.1242	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008057	-3.16%	0.008496	+2.12%	0.0847	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008069	-3.19%	0.008806	+5.64%	0.1156	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007817	-3.73%	0.00827	+1.85%	0.0347	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.007836	-3.38%	0.00837	+3.21%	0.0700	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008139	-3.57%	0.00778	-7.82%	0.0478	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008785	-4.09%	0.0081	-11.57%	0.0949	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008086	-3.79%	0.00833	-0.89%	0.0013	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008261	-3.88%	0.00791	-7.97%	0.0924	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.008824	-3.88%	0.00782	-14.81%	0.1378	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.0099	-4.72%	0.0077	-25.89%	0.2617	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010334	-5.28%	0.007285	-33.23%	0.3580	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010449	-5.61%	0.007235	-34.64%	0.3745	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010092	-5.41%	0.00739	-30.74%	0.3291	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010362	-5.97%	0.00733	-33.48%	0.3704	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011075	-7.48%	0.00747	-37.59%	0.4577	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010387	-7.01%	0.00749	-32.95%	0.4568	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.010586	-7.38%	0.00744	-34.91%	0.4319	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.009966	-7.08%	0.007265	-32.26%	0.4045	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.009992	-7.31%	0.007205	-33.16%	0.4028	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009378	-7.05%	0.007935	-21.36%	0.2706	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.009648	-7.59%	0.00816	-21.84%	0.2593	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.009538	-7.40%	0.00766	-25.63%	0.2689	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010377	-8.37%	0.007535	-33.47%	0.3577	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010267	-8.65%	0.008285	-26.29%	0.2474	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.009791	-8.41%	0.008235	-22.97%	0.2237	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.01025	-8.89%	0.00835	-25.78%	0.2203	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.009746	-8.49%	0.008165	-23.33%	0.1959	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.009608	-8.19%	0.00831	-20.59%	0.1752	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.010793	-8.69%	0.007805	-33.97%	0.3156	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.010504	-8.58%	0.00805	-29.94%	0.2375	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011067	-8.54%	0.00832	-31.24%	0.2615	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.011483	-8.50%	0.008335	-33.59%	0.3094	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.011432	-8.36%	0.00812	-34.91%	0.3079	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.011729	-8.33%	0.00811	-36.62%	0.3722	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.011874	-8.38%	0.00844	-34.88%	0.3447	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.011473	-8.21%	0.00916	-26.72%	0.2679	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.013715	-9.47%	0.008405	-44.52%	0.5135	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.01286	-8.86%	0.008595	-39.09%	0.3898	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.013209	-9.09%	0.00918	-36.82%	0.3642	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.013558	-9.37%	0.01039	-30.55%	0.3166	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.012463	-8.76%	0.01091	-20.13%	0.1741	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.015248	-9.67%	0.01107	-34.42%	0.3089	✓	1.00