CTR

Citrea · Base · beta_5y

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

140

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

53.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0412

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0044

actual -0.0026

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.015262	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.015079	-0.80%	0.015367	+1.10%	0.0186	✗	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017531	-1.82%	0.0152	-14.88%	0.1460	✓	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016877	-2.39%	0.017857	+3.28%	0.0531	✗	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013257	-0.39%	0.017291	+29.92%	0.2662	✗	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.01325	-0.40%	0.013308	+0.04%	0.0023	✓	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013864	-0.51%	0.013303	-4.53%	0.0409	✓	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.013006	-0.40%	0.013935	+6.72%	0.0713	✗	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013689	-0.54%	0.013058	-5.12%	0.0493	✓	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014451	-0.83%	0.013763	-5.55%	0.0433	✓	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.01363	-0.98%	0.014573	+5.87%	0.0623	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.01282	-0.52%	0.013765	+6.81%	0.0790	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012777	-0.55%	0.012887	+0.30%	0.0055	✓	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012461	-0.47%	0.012848	+2.62%	0.0291	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012668	-0.55%	0.012519	-1.71%	0.0155	✓	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012527	-0.49%	0.012738	+1.18%	0.0243	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012596	-0.49%	0.012589	-0.56%	0.0098	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012643	-0.50%	0.012659	-0.38%	0.0023	✓	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012827	-0.56%	0.012707	-1.49%	0.0053	✓	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012859	-0.74%	0.012899	-0.44%	0.0066	✓	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.01183	-0.46%	0.012956	+9.01%	0.0896	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.012248	-0.53%	0.011884	-3.48%	0.0282	✓	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012822	-0.68%	0.012313	-4.62%	0.0477	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012521	-0.63%	0.012909	+2.45%	0.0309	✗	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011957	-0.55%	0.012601	+4.80%	0.0515	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.012163	-0.63%	0.012023	-1.78%	0.0062	✓	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012347	-0.70%	0.012241	-1.56%	0.0089	✓	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011767	-0.54%	0.012434	+5.10%	0.0534	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.012185	-0.58%	0.011831	-3.47%	0.0279	✓	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012392	-0.78%	0.012256	-1.87%	0.0111	✓	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.012152	-0.63%	0.01249	+2.13%	0.0371	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011901	-0.61%	0.01223	+2.13%	0.0296	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011279	-0.46%	0.011974	+5.67%	0.0293	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011455	-0.46%	0.011331	-1.54%	0.0104	✓	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011714	-0.52%	0.011508	-2.26%	0.0199	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011489	-0.51%	0.011775	+1.97%	0.0061	✓	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011477	-0.54%	0.011548	+0.08%	0.0047	✓	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011987	-1.25%	0.011539	-4.93%	0.0427	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010848	-0.53%	0.012138	+11.30%	0.1375	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010361	-0.89%	0.010906	+4.32%	0.0380	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009909	-0.31%	0.010455	+5.18%	0.0581	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009747	-0.25%	0.00994	+1.72%	0.0191	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009262	-0.10%	0.009771	+5.39%	0.0471	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010226	-0.33%	0.009272	-9.63%	0.0829	✓	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010157	-0.28%	0.01026	+0.73%	0.0116	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010333	-0.40%	0.010186	-1.82%	0.0085	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009446	-0.05%	0.010375	+9.78%	0.1050	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009848	-0.17%	0.00945	-4.21%	0.0459	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009854	-0.15%	0.009865	-0.04%	0.0002	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010062	-0.15%	0.009869	-2.06%	0.0066	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010007	-0.32%	0.010077	+0.38%	0.0391	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009642	-0.28%	0.010039	+3.82%	0.0414	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009487	-0.22%	0.00967	+1.70%	0.0325	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009322	-0.22%	0.009508	+1.77%	0.0095	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009544	-0.29%	0.009343	-2.40%	0.0150	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009394	-0.39%	0.009572	+1.50%	0.0145	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009215	-0.26%	0.009431	+2.08%	0.0509	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009289	-0.39%	0.009239	-0.92%	0.0196	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008539	-0.27%	0.009325	+8.91%	0.0826	✗	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008531	-0.27%	0.008563	+0.09%	0.0092	✗	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007915	-0.12%	0.008554	+7.96%	0.0628	✗	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008035	-0.14%	0.007924	-1.52%	0.0220	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008697	-0.27%	0.008046	-7.73%	0.0628	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008173	-0.25%	0.00872	+6.43%	0.0016	✓	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008417	-0.34%	0.008193	-3.00%	0.0798	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008402	-0.39%	0.008446	+0.13%	0.0753	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008351	-0.36%	0.008435	+0.64%	0.0064	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008743	-0.48%	0.008381	-4.60%	0.0742	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008666	-0.44%	0.008785	+0.93%	0.0173	✗	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008461	-0.41%	0.008704	+2.45%	0.0275	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008758	-0.54%	0.008496	-3.51%	0.0216	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008231	-0.47%	0.008806	+6.48%	0.0672	✗	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008311	-0.70%	0.00827	-1.19%	0.0027	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007755	-0.32%	0.00837	+7.58%	0.0836	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.008071	-0.36%	0.00778	-3.95%	0.0188	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008293	-0.44%	0.0081	-2.76%	0.0225	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007879	-0.40%	0.00833	+5.31%	0.0554	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007784	-0.46%	0.00791	+1.15%	0.0042	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007666	-0.45%	0.00782	+1.56%	0.0263	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.00726	-0.35%	0.0077	+5.70%	0.0486	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.00721	-0.35%	0.007285	+0.69%	0.0006	✓	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007363	-0.37%	0.007235	-2.10%	0.0169	✓	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007306	-0.33%	0.00739	+0.82%	0.0025	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007444	-0.35%	0.00733	-1.87%	0.0143	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007464	-0.35%	0.00747	-0.27%	0.0378	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007415	-0.33%	0.00749	+0.67%	0.0059	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007246	-0.26%	0.00744	+2.41%	0.0255	✗	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007189	-0.22%	0.007265	+0.83%	0.0075	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007912	-0.30%	0.007205	-9.20%	0.0633	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008132	-0.34%	0.007935	-2.76%	0.0441	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007641	-0.25%	0.00816	+6.53%	0.0617	✗	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.00752	-0.19%	0.00766	+1.66%	0.0367	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008263	-0.26%	0.007535	-9.05%	0.0736	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008215	-0.24%	0.008285	+0.61%	0.0162	✗	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008326	-0.29%	0.008235	-1.38%	0.0350	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008143	-0.27%	0.00835	+2.27%	0.0153	✗	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008279	-0.37%	0.008165	-1.74%	0.0118	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007787	-0.23%	0.00831	+6.47%	0.0488	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.008031	-0.24%	0.007805	-3.04%	0.0308	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008299	-0.26%	0.00805	-3.25%	0.0133	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008314	-0.25%	0.00832	-0.18%	0.0056	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008101	-0.23%	0.008335	+2.65%	0.0222	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008094	-0.20%	0.00812	+0.12%	0.0320	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008421	-0.23%	0.00811	-3.91%	0.0370	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009127	-0.36%	0.00844	-7.86%	0.0714	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008387	-0.22%	0.00916	+8.98%	0.0711	✗	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008577	-0.21%	0.008405	-2.21%	0.0378	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009157	-0.25%	0.008595	-6.37%	0.0435	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010357	-0.32%	0.00918	-11.65%	0.1088	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.01087	-0.37%	0.01039	-4.77%	0.0526	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.011027	-0.39%	0.01091	-1.45%	0.0197	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010635	-0.33%	0.01107	+3.75%	0.0300	✗	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.01098	-0.37%	0.01067	-3.18%	0.0483	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011894	-0.63%	0.01102	-7.94%	0.1107	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.011114	-0.50%	0.01197	+7.16%	0.0429	✗	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011368	-0.54%	0.01117	-2.27%	0.0187	✗	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010675	-0.47%	0.01143	+6.57%	0.0540	✗	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010731	-0.45%	0.010725	-0.51%	0.0090	✗	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.010053	-0.37%	0.01078	+6.84%	0.0712	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.01039	-0.48%	0.01009	-3.35%	0.0355	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010264	-0.35%	0.01044	+1.36%	0.0382	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011268	-0.50%	0.0103	-9.05%	0.0629	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011179	-0.54%	0.011325	+0.76%	0.0336	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010645	-0.42%	0.01124	+5.14%	0.0432	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.011189	-0.54%	0.01069	-4.98%	0.0302	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010608	-0.39%	0.01125	+5.63%	0.0470	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.01043	-0.33%	0.01065	+1.77%	0.0114	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011765	-0.46%	0.010465	-11.46%	0.0925	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011443	-0.41%	0.01182	+2.87%	0.0504	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.012047	-0.44%	0.01149	-5.04%	0.0373	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012493	-0.46%	0.0121	-3.59%	0.0406	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012425	-0.40%	0.01255	+0.60%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012743	-0.41%	0.012475	-2.50%	0.0352	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012909	-0.40%	0.012795	-1.27%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.01246	-0.32%	0.01296	+3.68%	0.0055	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.015025	-0.83%	0.0125	-17.49%	0.1801	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.014048	-0.44%	0.01515	+7.37%	0.0976	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014462	-0.47%	0.01411	-2.89%	0.0208	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014874	-0.57%	0.01453	-2.87%	0.0629	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013617	-0.31%	0.01496	+9.52%	0.0970	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016789	-0.54%	0.01366	-19.08%	0.1618	✓	1.00