NOCK

Nockchain · Base · beta_5y

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

104

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

60.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2353

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0336

actual -0.0266

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02273	0.021067	-7.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-21	oos	0.02224	0.02056	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.019794	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.018686	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018087	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017506	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019222	-3.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.018567	-2.23%	0.02273	+19.69%	0.1695	✗	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.019775	-2.83%	0.02224	+9.29%	0.0785	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.021438	-4.34%	0.02115	-5.62%	0.0109	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021226	-3.21%	0.01957	-10.76%	0.0828	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.023324	-5.05%	0.018735	-23.73%	0.1894	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.025592	-6.17%	0.01787	-34.48%	0.3328	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.022631	-3.62%	0.01995	-15.03%	0.1080	✓	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.019913	-0.86%	0.01899	-5.45%	0.0549	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.022759	-3.83%	0.02035	-14.01%	0.0847	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.023519	-5.34%	0.02241	-9.80%	0.0107	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.02366	-5.83%	0.02193	-12.72%	0.0112	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.019413	-2.69%	0.024565	+23.13%	0.2817	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.019021	-1.80%	0.027275	+40.81%	0.3906	✗	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.019079	-2.36%	0.02348	+20.16%	0.2395	✗	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.019605	-3.78%	0.020085	-1.42%	0.0760	✗	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.021759	-4.63%	0.023665	+3.73%	0.0887	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.023033	-4.92%	0.024845	+2.56%	0.0427	✓	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.021705	-5.36%	0.025125	+9.55%	0.1068	✗	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.02058	-6.62%	0.01995	-9.48%	0.0686	✓	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.029154	-5.54%	0.01937	-37.24%	0.4147	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.029695	-5.42%	0.01954	-37.76%	0.4262	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.029239	-5.44%	0.020375	-34.10%	0.3698	✓	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.029248	-5.04%	0.022815	-25.93%	0.2330	✓	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.03522	-4.23%	0.024225	-34.13%	0.3298	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.039714	-4.23%	0.022935	-44.69%	0.4956	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.03693	-4.39%	0.02204	-42.94%	0.5753	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.041614	-4.37%	0.030865	-29.07%	0.3552	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.045688	-5.06%	0.031395	-34.76%	0.4326	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.036997	-4.65%	0.03092	-20.31%	0.3028	✓	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.037577	-4.68%	0.0308	-21.87%	0.3254	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.034534	-4.35%	0.036775	+1.86%	0.0974	✓	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.038041	-4.01%	0.04147	+4.64%	0.0319	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.048557	-5.23%	0.038625	-24.61%	0.3005	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.047609	-6.51%	0.043515	-14.55%	0.1551	✓	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.034675	-4.24%	0.048125	+32.91%	0.2660	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.031906	-3.88%	0.0388	+16.89%	0.1989	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.029795	-3.25%	0.03942	+28.01%	0.3192	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.036846	-4.53%	0.036105	-6.45%	0.0308	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.031856	-3.93%	0.03963	+19.51%	0.2352	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.031287	-4.83%	0.051235	+55.85%	0.5596	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020532	-1.76%	0.050925	+143.66%	0.9553	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.02199	-2.31%	0.03621	+60.86%	0.5437	✗	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018069	-0.67%	0.033195	+82.49%	0.7077	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.01655	-1.02%	0.030795	+84.18%	0.6005	✗	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020404	-2.38%	0.038595	+84.67%	0.6161	✗	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016854	-0.65%	0.03316	+95.46%	0.6648	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.0159	-0.69%	0.032875	+105.34%	0.6668	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015378	-0.47%	0.0209	+35.28%	0.2706	✗	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014082	-0.23%	0.02251	+59.48%	0.4274	✗	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.01673	-0.33%	0.01819	+8.37%	0.0636	✗	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.01652	-0.54%	0.01672	+0.66%	0.0480	✗	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019638	-1.32%	0.0209	+5.03%	0.0861	✗	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019592	-1.25%	0.016965	-14.49%	0.1351	✓	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.020392	-1.87%	0.01601	-22.95%	0.2405	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.020164	-2.12%	0.01545	-25.00%	0.2919	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.019753	-1.87%	0.014115	-29.88%	0.3251	✓	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.017289	-2.90%	0.016785	-5.73%	0.1900	✓	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.014141	-2.74%	0.01661	+14.24%	0.0047	✓	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014593	-4.56%	0.0199	+30.15%	0.0813	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015449	-6.26%	0.01984	+20.39%	0.1614	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009387	-3.32%	0.02078	+114.01%	0.6229	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010022	-3.35%	0.0206	+98.65%	0.5612	✗	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.00916	-3.63%	0.02013	+111.78%	0.6138	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.008668	-3.91%	0.017805	+97.39%	0.5979	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011574	-3.43%	0.01454	+21.32%	0.1535	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012197	-3.73%	0.01529	+20.68%	0.2111	✗	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010522	-3.73%	0.01648	+50.78%	0.4402	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009439	-4.12%	0.00971	-1.37%	0.0663	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.009816	-4.19%	0.01037	+1.22%	0.0904	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010055	-4.46%	0.009505	-9.69%	0.0202	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010054	-4.43%	0.00902	-14.26%	0.0929	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011235	-3.85%	0.011985	+2.57%	0.0858	✗	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.011901	-3.60%	0.01267	+2.63%	0.0721	✗	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.011154	-3.89%	0.01093	-5.82%	0.0280	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.010814	-4.30%	0.009845	-12.88%	0.1173	✓	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.010526	-4.57%	0.010245	-7.12%	0.0630	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012384	-3.51%	0.010525	-18.00%	0.1962	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.011764	-3.81%	0.01052	-13.98%	0.1016	✓	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012113	-3.60%	0.011685	-7.00%	0.0522	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012554	-3.43%	0.012345	-5.04%	0.0214	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.014998	-2.99%	0.011605	-24.94%	0.2512	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.014996	-2.75%	0.0113	-26.72%	0.2334	✓	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.015064	-2.85%	0.01103	-28.86%	0.2697	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015523	-2.80%	0.012835	-19.63%	0.1704	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.015664	-2.71%	0.01223	-24.04%	0.2424	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.014064	-2.98%	0.012565	-13.31%	0.0790	✓	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012024	-4.04%	0.013	+3.75%	0.1190	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.015178	-2.42%	0.01546	-0.61%	0.0420	✗	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.017731	-2.15%	0.01542	-14.90%	0.1498	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018158	-2.01%	0.015505	-16.32%	0.1502	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.018406	-1.99%	0.01597	-14.96%	0.1449	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.01992	-2.04%	0.0161	-20.83%	0.2328	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.021602	-2.05%	0.014495	-34.28%	0.4199	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.022802	-2.26%	0.01253	-46.29%	0.6220	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.017669	-2.44%	0.015555	-14.11%	0.1737	✓	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016518	-2.29%	0.01812	+7.19%	0.0779	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.017697	-2.06%	0.01853	+2.55%	0.0301	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.019674	-1.80%	0.01878	-6.26%	0.0428	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.020247	-1.90%	0.020335	-1.48%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.019926	-1.94%	0.022055	+8.54%	0.0624	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022368	-1.85%	0.02333	+2.37%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020475	-1.68%	0.01811	-13.04%	0.0952	✓	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.022655	-1.84%	0.016905	-26.75%	0.2952	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.025959	-2.12%	0.01807	-31.86%	0.3731	✓	1.00