NOCK

Nockchain · Base · beta_5y

token id: #744
symbol: NOCK
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x9b5e262cf9bb04869ab40b19af91d2dc85761722
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-25
predictions: 333

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

110

of 111 predictions shown

direction hit

56.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0957

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0084

actual -0.0054

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.02273	0.022284	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-21	oos	0.02224	0.021784	-2.05%	0.02273	+2.20%	0.0388	✗	1.58
2026-10-20	oos	0.02115	0.020859	-1.38%	0.02224	+5.15%	0.0445	✗	1.51
2026-10-19	oos	0.01957	0.019449	-0.62%	0.02115	+8.07%	0.0645	✗	1.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.018735	0.018685	-0.26%	0.01957	+4.46%	0.0490	✗	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.01787	0.017902	+0.18%	0.018735	+4.84%	0.0355	✓	1.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.01995	0.019874	-0.38%	0.01787	-10.43%	0.1044	✓	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	0.01899	0.019017	+0.14%	0.01995	+5.06%	0.0578	✓	1.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.02035	0.020336	-0.07%	0.01899	-6.68%	0.0774	✓	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.02241	0.022282	-0.57%	0.02035	-9.19%	0.0664	✓	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.02193	0.021884	-0.21%	0.02241	+2.19%	0.0021	✗	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.024565	0.024346	-0.89%	0.02193	-10.73%	0.0701	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.027275	0.026872	-1.48%	0.024565	-9.94%	0.1028	✓	1.42
2026-10-09	oos	0.02348	0.023355	-0.53%	0.027275	+16.16%	0.1489	✗	1.42
2026-10-08	oos	0.020085	0.02016	+0.38%	0.02348	+16.90%	0.1378	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.023665	0.023522	-0.60%	0.020085	-15.13%	0.1328	✓	1.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.024845	0.024543	-1.22%	0.023665	-4.75%	0.0015	✓	1.30
2026-10-05	oos	0.025125	0.024749	-1.50%	0.024845	-1.11%	0.0072	✓	1.35
2026-10-04	oos	0.01995	0.019884	-0.33%	0.025125	+25.94%	0.2462	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.01937	0.019348	-0.11%	0.01995	+2.99%	0.0022	✗	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	0.01954	0.01948	-0.30%	0.01937	-0.87%	0.0095	✓	1.36
2026-10-01	oos	0.020375	0.020239	-0.67%	0.01954	-4.10%	0.0296	✓	1.37
2026-09-30	oos	0.022815	0.022599	-0.95%	0.020375	-10.69%	0.1253	✓	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.024225	0.023967	-1.07%	0.022815	-5.82%	0.0478	✓	1.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.022935	0.022681	-1.11%	0.024225	+5.62%	0.0627	✗	1.46
2026-09-27	oos	0.02204	0.021747	-1.33%	0.022935	+4.06%	0.0720	✗	1.57
2026-09-26	oos	0.030865	0.030473	-1.27%	0.02204	-28.59%	0.3248	✓	1.53
2026-09-25	oos	0.031395	0.031008	-1.23%	0.030865	-1.69%	0.0107	✓	1.57
2026-09-24	oos	0.03092	0.030565	-1.15%	0.031395	+1.54%	0.0322	✗	1.57
2026-09-23	oos	0.0308	0.0305	-0.97%	0.03092	+0.39%	0.0135	✗	1.57
2026-09-22	oos	0.036775	0.036441	-0.91%	0.0308	-16.25%	0.1367	✓	1.47
2026-09-21	oos	0.04147	0.041005	-1.12%	0.036775	-11.32%	0.1022	✓	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.038625	0.03825	-0.97%	0.04147	+7.37%	0.0154	✓	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.043515	0.043025	-1.13%	0.038625	-11.24%	0.1065	✓	1.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.048125	0.04729	-1.74%	0.043515	-9.58%	0.0897	✓	1.47
2026-09-17	oos	0.0388	0.038364	-1.12%	0.048125	+24.03%	0.1557	✗	1.23
2026-09-16	oos	0.03942	0.038934	-1.23%	0.0388	-1.57%	0.0067	✓	1.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.036105	0.035757	-0.96%	0.03942	+9.18%	0.0885	✗	1.22
2026-09-14	oos	0.03963	0.039243	-0.98%	0.036105	-8.89%	0.0444	✓	1.16
2026-09-13	oos	0.051235	0.050281	-1.86%	0.03963	-22.65%	0.2611	✓	1.30
2026-09-12	oos	0.050925	0.049277	-3.24%	0.051235	+0.61%	0.0468	✗	1.30
2026-09-11	oos	0.03621	0.035697	-1.42%	0.050925	+40.64%	0.3544	✗	1.33
2026-09-10	oos	0.033195	0.032798	-1.19%	0.03621	+9.08%	0.0874	✗	1.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.030795	0.030526	-0.87%	0.033195	+7.79%	0.1159	✗	1.42
2026-09-08	oos	0.038595	0.037863	-1.90%	0.030795	-20.21%	0.2037	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.03316	0.032616	-1.64%	0.038595	+16.39%	0.1801	✗	1.45
2026-09-06	oos	0.032875	0.031956	-2.80%	0.03316	+0.87%	0.0600	✗	1.47
2026-09-05	oos	0.0209	0.020774	-0.61%	0.032875	+57.30%	0.4499	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.02251	0.022306	-0.91%	0.0209	-7.15%	0.0679	✓	1.43
2026-09-03	oos	0.01819	0.018122	-0.37%	0.02251	+23.75%	0.2496	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.01672	0.016665	-0.33%	0.01819	+8.79%	0.0063	✗	1.63
2026-09-01	oos	0.0209	0.020654	-1.17%	0.01672	-20.00%	0.2095	✓	1.59
2026-08-31	oos	0.016965	0.016905	-0.35%	0.0209	+23.19%	0.2387	✗	1.78
2026-08-30	oos	0.01601	0.015957	-0.33%	0.016965	+5.97%	0.0410	✗	1.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.01545	0.015419	-0.20%	0.01601	+3.62%	0.0507	✗	1.79
2026-08-28	oos	0.014115	0.014105	-0.07%	0.01545	+9.46%	0.0820	✗	1.79
2026-08-27	oos	0.016785	0.016748	-0.22%	0.014115	-15.91%	0.1206	✓	1.64
2026-08-26	oos	0.01661	0.016573	-0.22%	0.016785	+1.05%	0.0130	✓	1.64
2026-08-25	oos	0.0199	0.019784	-0.58%	0.01661	-16.53%	0.1853	✓	1.65
2026-08-24	oos	0.01984	0.019728	-0.56%	0.0199	+0.30%	0.0183	✗	1.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.02078	0.020608	-0.83%	0.01984	-4.52%	0.0650	✓	1.69
2026-08-22	oos	0.0206	0.020386	-1.04%	0.02078	+0.87%	0.0044	✓	1.69
2026-08-21	oos	0.02013	0.019923	-1.03%	0.0206	+2.33%	0.0621	✗	1.75
2026-08-20	oos	0.017805	0.017533	-1.53%	0.02013	+13.06%	0.0193	✗	1.69
2026-08-19	oos	0.01454	0.014404	-0.93%	0.017805	+22.46%	0.1462	✗	1.26
2026-08-18	oos	0.01529	0.014994	-1.94%	0.01454	-4.91%	0.1699	✓	2.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.01648	0.015933	-3.32%	0.01529	-7.22%	0.0476	✓	2.03
2026-08-16	oos	0.00971	0.009646	-0.66%	0.01648	+69.72%	0.5148	✗	0.81
2026-08-15	oos	0.01037	0.010293	-0.74%	0.00971	-6.36%	0.0560	✓	0.79
2026-08-14	oos	0.009505	0.00944	-0.68%	0.01037	+9.10%	0.0934	✗	0.80
2026-08-13	oos	0.00902	0.008963	-0.63%	0.009505	+5.38%	0.0649	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.011985	0.011881	-0.87%	0.00902	-24.74%	0.2757	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.01267	0.012527	-1.13%	0.011985	-5.41%	0.0427	✓	0.83
2026-08-10	oos	0.01093	0.010831	-0.91%	0.01267	+15.92%	0.1626	✗	0.96
2026-08-09	oos	0.009845	0.009761	-0.85%	0.01093	+11.02%	0.1307	✗	1.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.010245	0.010149	-0.94%	0.009845	-3.90%	0.0293	✓	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.010525	0.010405	-1.14%	0.010245	-2.66%	0.0158	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.01052	0.010417	-0.98%	0.010525	+0.05%	0.0011	✓	1.19
2026-08-05	oos	0.011685	0.011578	-0.91%	0.01052	-9.97%	0.0899	✓	1.14
2026-08-04	oos	0.012345	0.012239	-0.86%	0.011685	-5.35%	0.0563	✓	1.16
2026-08-03	oos	0.011605	0.011507	-0.84%	0.012345	+6.38%	0.0602	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0113	0.011199	-0.90%	0.011605	+2.70%	0.0362	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.01103	0.010933	-0.88%	0.0113	+2.45%	0.0206	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.012835	0.012744	-0.71%	0.01103	-14.06%	0.1434	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.01223	0.012143	-0.71%	0.012835	+4.95%	0.0985	✗	1.45
2026-07-29	oos	0.012565	0.012483	-0.66%	0.01223	-2.67%	0.0393	✓	1.47
2026-07-28	oos	0.013	0.012919	-0.62%	0.012565	-3.35%	0.0289	✓	1.47
2026-07-27	oos	0.01546	0.015353	-0.69%	0.013	-15.91%	0.1699	✓	1.48
2026-07-26	oos	0.01542	0.015326	-0.61%	0.01546	+0.26%	0.0530	✗	1.73
2026-07-25	oos	0.015505	0.015408	-0.63%	0.01542	-0.55%	0.0273	✓	1.74
2026-07-24	oos	0.01597	0.015866	-0.65%	0.015505	-2.91%	0.0263	✓	1.00
2026-07-23	oos	0.0161	0.015985	-0.72%	0.01597	-0.81%	0.0141	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.014495	0.014395	-0.69%	0.0161	+11.07%	0.1278	✗	1.00
2026-07-21	oos	0.01253	0.012445	-0.68%	0.014495	+15.68%	0.1590	✗	1.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.015555	0.015492	-0.41%	0.01253	-19.45%	0.2320	✓	1.00
2026-07-19	oos	0.01812	0.01804	-0.44%	0.015555	-14.16%	0.1564	✓	1.00
2026-07-18	oos	0.01853	0.018455	-0.40%	0.01812	-2.21%	0.0166	✓	1.00
2026-07-17	oos	0.01878	0.018708	-0.38%	0.01853	-1.33%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-07-16	oos	0.020335	0.020243	-0.45%	0.01878	-7.65%	0.0769	✓	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.022055	0.021935	-0.54%	0.020335	-7.80%	0.0610	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.02333	0.023166	-0.70%	0.022055	-5.47%	0.0450	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.01811	0.018011	-0.55%	0.02333	+28.82%	0.2159	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.016905	0.016834	-0.42%	0.01811	+7.13%	0.0965	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.01807	0.018001	-0.38%	0.016905	-6.45%	0.0623	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.020035	0.019964	-0.35%	0.01807	-9.81%	0.0941	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.02064	0.02056	-0.39%	0.020035	-2.93%	0.0408	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.02032	0.020244	-0.38%	0.02064	+1.57%	0.0044	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.02279	0.022693	-0.43%	0.02032	-10.84%	0.0932	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.020825	0.020757	-0.33%	0.02279	+9.44%	0.1041	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.02308	0.022984	-0.42%	0.020825	-9.77%	0.1052	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.02652	0.026365	-0.58%	0.02308	-12.97%	0.1409	✓	1.00