TENDIES

TENDIES · Robinhood · beta_5y

token id: #799
symbol: TENDIES
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x45242320dbb855eea8fd36804c6487e10e97fcf9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-16
predictions: 270

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 90 predictions shown

direction hit

73.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2789

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0274

actual -0.1571

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003815	0.003645	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	2.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.003821	0.003678	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	2.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.004425	0.004222	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	2.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.00342	0.003381	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	2.40
2026-10-18	oos	0.0035	0.003463	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	2.20
2026-10-17	oos	0.00385	0.003813	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	2.19
2026-10-16	oos	0.003762	0.003745	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	2.22
2026-10-15	oos	0.004347	0.004302	-1.03%	0.003815	-12.24%	0.1763	✓	2.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.004939	0.004865	-1.50%	0.003821	-22.65%	0.3080	✓	2.23
2026-10-13	oos	0.005042	0.004955	-1.72%	0.004425	-12.23%	0.1086	✓	2.26
2026-10-12	oos	0.004456	0.004467	+0.26%	0.00342	-23.25%	0.2697	✗	2.22
2026-10-11	oos	0.005425	0.00534	-1.56%	0.0035	-35.48%	0.3797	✓	2.12
2026-10-10	oos	0.005468	0.005422	-0.85%	0.00385	-29.59%	0.3028	✓	2.12
2026-10-09	oos	0.004698	0.004711	+0.27%	0.003762	-19.92%	0.1979	✗	2.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.005044	0.005086	+0.84%	0.004347	-13.82%	0.1683	✗	2.13
2026-10-07	oos	0.005198	0.005188	-0.19%	0.004939	-4.98%	0.0046	✓	2.15
2026-10-06	oos	0.006669	0.006561	-1.62%	0.005042	-24.40%	0.2057	✓	1.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.007464	0.007314	-2.02%	0.004456	-40.30%	0.4010	✓	1.98
2026-10-04	oos	0.006732	0.006628	-1.55%	0.005425	-19.41%	0.1328	✓	2.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.006723	0.006646	-1.14%	0.005468	-18.66%	0.1505	✓	2.04
2026-10-02	oos	0.006885	0.006808	-1.12%	0.004698	-31.76%	0.3230	✓	2.04
2026-10-01	oos	0.008486	0.008329	-1.85%	0.005044	-40.56%	0.4259	✓	2.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.008463	0.00834	-1.45%	0.005198	-38.58%	0.4661	✓	2.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.008951	0.008805	-1.63%	0.006669	-25.49%	0.3227	✓	1.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.00977	0.009585	-1.89%	0.007464	-23.60%	0.3040	✓	1.99
2026-09-27	oos	0.010303	0.010072	-2.24%	0.006732	-34.66%	0.4504	✓	1.98
2026-09-26	oos	0.011222	0.010932	-2.58%	0.006723	-40.10%	0.4939	✓	1.98
2026-09-25	oos	0.010876	0.010636	-2.21%	0.006885	-36.70%	0.4445	✓	1.98
2026-09-24	oos	0.010248	0.010067	-1.77%	0.008486	-17.19%	0.1817	✓	2.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.01068	0.010496	-1.72%	0.008463	-20.76%	0.1958	✓	1.99
2026-09-22	oos	0.011668	0.011461	-1.77%	0.008951	-23.29%	0.1879	✓	1.97
2026-09-21	oos	0.013417	0.013127	-2.16%	0.00977	-27.19%	0.2241	✓	1.93
2026-09-20	oos	0.012814	0.01254	-2.13%	0.010303	-19.59%	0.2796	✓	2.08
2026-09-19	oos	0.013697	0.0134	-2.17%	0.011222	-18.07%	0.2571	✓	2.07
2026-09-18	oos	0.014911	0.014544	-2.46%	0.010876	-27.06%	0.3716	✓	2.08
2026-09-17	oos	0.011718	0.011593	-1.07%	0.010248	-12.54%	0.3013	✓	1.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.01202	0.011866	-1.28%	0.01068	-11.15%	0.2879	✓	1.78
2026-09-15	oos	0.01274	0.012504	-1.85%	0.011668	-8.41%	0.3045	✓	1.79
2026-09-14	oos	0.014146	0.013794	-2.49%	0.013417	-5.16%	0.2050	✓	1.73
2026-09-13	oos	0.013051	0.012713	-2.59%	0.012814	-1.82%	0.0857	✓	1.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.014048	0.013678	-2.63%	0.013697	-2.50%	0.0825	✓	1.67
2026-09-11	oos	0.016721	0.016248	-2.83%	0.014911	-10.83%	0.1626	✓	1.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.018437	0.017832	-3.28%	0.011718	-36.44%	0.4158	✓	1.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.01575	0.015346	-2.56%	0.01202	-23.68%	0.1911	✓	1.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.016751	0.016309	-2.64%	0.01274	-23.94%	0.1760	✓	1.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.016325	0.015921	-2.47%	0.014146	-13.34%	0.0956	✓	1.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.017816	0.017414	-2.25%	0.013051	-26.75%	0.2034	✓	1.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.021024	0.020493	-2.53%	0.014048	-33.18%	0.3153	✓	1.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.01957	0.019154	-2.13%	0.016721	-14.56%	0.0757	✓	1.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.029397	0.028461	-3.18%	0.018437	-37.28%	0.3458	✓	1.47
2026-09-02	oos	0.033181	0.031383	-5.42%	0.01575	-52.53%	0.7141	✓	1.97
2026-09-01	oos	0.017887	0.017527	-2.01%	0.016751	-6.35%	0.0742	✓	2.14
2026-08-31	oos	0.01556	0.015363	-1.27%	0.016325	+4.92%	0.0450	✗	2.34
2026-08-30	oos	0.01848	0.018118	-1.96%	0.017816	-3.59%	0.0984	✓	2.41
2026-08-29	oos	0.017954	0.017647	-1.71%	0.021024	+17.10%	0.1256	✗	2.45
2026-08-28	oos	0.01445	0.014273	-1.23%	0.01957	+35.43%	0.2587	✗	2.44
2026-08-27	oos	0.016556	0.016417	-0.84%	0.029397	+77.56%	0.5539	✗	2.34
2026-08-26	oos	0.017784	0.017557	-1.28%	0.033181	+86.58%	0.6894	✗	2.40
2026-08-25	oos	0.015549	0.015392	-1.01%	0.017887	+15.04%	0.1848	✗	2.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.020972	0.020583	-1.86%	0.01556	-25.81%	0.2680	✓	2.21
2026-08-23	oos	0.018399	0.018101	-1.62%	0.01848	+0.44%	0.0225	✗	2.14
2026-08-22	oos	0.01375	0.013608	-1.03%	0.017954	+30.57%	0.2456	✗	2.08
2026-08-21	oos	0.01328	0.013193	-0.65%	0.01445	+8.81%	0.1047	✗	2.19
2026-08-20	oos	0.01453	0.014204	-2.24%	0.016556	+13.94%	0.1782	✓	3.49
2026-08-19	oos	0.01378	0.013243	-3.90%	0.017784	+29.06%	0.2442	✓	4.10
2026-08-18	oos	0.009565	0.008737	-8.66%	0.015549	+62.56%	0.0654	✓	2.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01009	0.009248	-8.35%	0.020972	+107.85%	0.2787	✗	2.66
2026-08-16	oos	0.01105	0.010239	-7.34%	0.018399	+66.51%	0.1862	✓	3.63
2026-08-15	oos	0.01269	0.011943	-5.89%	0.01375	+8.35%	0.5740	✓	3.56
2026-08-14	oos	0.01476	0.014024	-4.99%	0.01328	-10.03%	0.2726	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.01771	0.016884	-4.66%	0.01453	-17.96%	0.2909	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.01887	0.017988	-4.67%	0.01378	-26.97%	0.3553	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.02139	0.020316	-5.02%	0.009565	-55.28%	0.7712	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.02278	0.021552	-5.39%	0.01009	-55.71%	0.7677	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.01943	0.018577	-4.39%	0.01105	-43.13%	0.4880	✓	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.02054	0.019572	-4.71%	0.01269	-38.22%	0.4037	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.0169	0.016243	-3.89%	0.01476	-12.66%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.01809	0.017334	-4.18%	0.01771	-2.10%	0.0347	✓	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.02558	0.023991	-6.21%	0.01887	-26.23%	0.2215	✓	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.02012	0.019104	-5.05%	0.02139	+6.31%	0.1211	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.01793	0.017081	-4.74%	0.02278	+27.05%	0.2809	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.01447	0.013921	-3.79%	0.01943	+34.28%	0.3124	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.01273	0.012266	-3.65%	0.02054	+61.35%	0.4820	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.01294	0.01248	-3.56%	0.0169	+30.60%	0.2709	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.01824	0.017483	-4.15%	0.01809	-0.82%	0.0412	✓	1.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.01305	0.012631	-3.21%	0.02558	+96.02%	0.6946	✗	1.00
2026-07-28	oos	0.00984	0.009472	-3.74%	0.02012	+104.47%	0.7502	✗	1.00
2026-07-27	oos	0.01129	0.010948	-3.03%	0.01793	+58.81%	0.4969	✗	1.00
2026-07-26	oos	0.01333	0.013022	-2.31%	0.01447	+8.55%	0.1340	✗	1.00
2026-07-25	oos	0.01339	0.013078	-2.33%	0.01273	-4.93%	0.0029	✓	1.00