KSKD

Kaskad · Igra · beta_5y

token id: #438
symbol: KSKD
variant: –
chain: Igra
address: 0x16d92794f5b81d2cded0f0958779a410401e6435
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-25
predictions: 426

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

135

of 142 predictions shown

direction hit

51.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2221

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0307

actual -0.0267

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.004919	0.004633	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.004883	0.004603	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-20	oos	0.004922	0.004639	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.004854	0.004585	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-18	oos	0.00524	0.004923	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.0054	0.00508	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.006489	0.006036	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.007413	0.006665	-10.08%	0.004919	-33.65%	0.2953	✓	-0.34
2026-10-14	oos	0.004916	0.004621	-5.99%	0.004883	-0.67%	0.0604	✓	-0.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.004991	0.004677	-6.29%	0.004922	-1.36%	0.0505	✓	-0.39
2026-10-12	oos	0.005084	0.004777	-6.03%	0.004854	-4.51%	0.0165	✓	-0.39
2026-10-11	oos	0.005203	0.004864	-6.53%	0.00524	+0.70%	0.0650	✓	-0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.005152	0.004818	-6.48%	0.0054	+4.81%	0.1065	✗	-0.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.005563	0.005124	-7.90%	0.006489	+16.65%	0.2313	✗	-0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.005154	0.004677	-9.25%	0.007413	+43.84%	0.4627	✗	-0.40
2026-10-07	oos	0.003492	0.003277	-6.17%	0.004916	+40.76%	0.4026	✗	-0.14
2026-10-06	oos	0.003406	0.003201	-6.01%	0.004991	+46.52%	0.4400	✗	-0.14
2026-10-05	oos	0.003381	0.003171	-6.21%	0.005084	+50.35%	0.4647	✗	-0.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.003272	0.003067	-6.29%	0.005203	+59.01%	0.5242	✗	-0.14
2026-10-03	oos	0.003436	0.003205	-6.72%	0.005152	+49.98%	0.4723	✗	-0.12
2026-10-02	oos	0.003394	0.003166	-6.71%	0.005563	+63.91%	0.5606	✗	-0.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.003457	0.003204	-7.33%	0.005154	+49.07%	0.4703	✗	-0.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.00302	0.002831	-6.25%	0.003492	+15.65%	0.2093	✗	-0.18
2026-09-29	oos	0.003004	0.002819	-6.15%	0.003406	+13.38%	0.1941	✗	-0.23
2026-09-28	oos	0.003096	0.002903	-6.24%	0.003381	+9.19%	0.1599	✗	-0.28
2026-09-27	oos	0.003466	0.003219	-7.12%	0.003272	-5.58%	0.0222	✓	-0.24
2026-09-26	oos	0.00388	0.003469	-10.59%	0.003436	-11.46%	0.0089	✓	-0.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.002221	0.002072	-6.71%	0.003394	+52.81%	0.4945	✗	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.001571	0.001507	-4.09%	0.003457	+120.05%	0.8311	✗	-0.13
2026-09-23	oos	0.001353	0.001306	-3.49%	0.00302	+123.21%	0.8373	✗	-0.11
2026-09-22	oos	0.001315	0.001274	-3.15%	0.003004	+128.44%	0.8592	✗	0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.001338	0.001297	-3.10%	0.003096	+131.43%	0.8838	✗	0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.001392	0.001337	-3.96%	0.003466	+148.99%	0.9340	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.001368	0.001311	-4.15%	0.00388	+183.63%	1.0667	✗	0.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.001328	0.001273	-4.13%	0.002221	+67.24%	0.5386	✗	0.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.0013	0.001249	-3.91%	0.001571	+20.85%	0.1859	✗	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.001252	0.001204	-3.81%	0.001353	+8.07%	0.0713	✗	0.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.00124	0.00119	-4.00%	0.001315	+6.05%	0.0453	✗	0.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.001208	0.00116	-3.93%	0.001338	+10.76%	0.0951	✗	0.46
2026-09-13	oos	0.001204	0.001156	-3.96%	0.001392	+15.61%	0.1608	✗	0.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.001187	0.001146	-3.47%	0.001368	+15.25%	0.1540	✗	0.46
2026-09-11	oos	0.001178	0.001139	-3.29%	0.001328	+12.73%	0.1317	✗	0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.001187	0.001146	-3.46%	0.0013	+9.52%	0.1273	✗	0.47
2026-09-09	oos	0.001169	0.001131	-3.26%	0.001252	+7.10%	0.1157	✗	0.50
2026-09-08	oos	0.001152	0.001117	-3.00%	0.00124	+7.64%	0.1228	✗	0.50
2026-09-07	oos	0.001171	0.001133	-3.24%	0.001208	+3.16%	0.0699	✗	0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.001061	0.001049	-1.10%	0.001204	+13.53%	0.1628	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.001063	0.001061	-0.15%	0.001187	+11.67%	0.1299	✗	0.55
2026-09-04	oos	0.001026	0.001041	+1.48%	0.001178	+14.81%	0.1417	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	0.00103	0.001064	+3.32%	0.001187	+15.24%	0.1447	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	0.001032	0.001066	+3.30%	0.001169	+13.28%	0.0857	✓	0.52
2026-09-01	oos	0.001081	0.001117	+3.35%	0.001152	+6.57%	0.0236	✓	0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.001086	0.001129	+3.94%	0.001171	+7.83%	0.0342	✓	0.37
2026-08-30	oos	0.001139	0.001177	+3.32%	0.001061	-6.89%	0.1269	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.0012	0.001237	+3.06%	0.001063	-11.42%	0.1658	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.001204	0.00124	+3.00%	0.001026	-14.78%	0.2061	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.001218	0.001254	+2.98%	0.00103	-15.44%	0.2061	✗	0.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.001322	0.001344	+1.66%	0.001032	-21.94%	0.2475	✗	0.76
2026-08-25	oos	0.001371	0.001384	+0.95%	0.001081	-21.15%	0.2355	✗	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.001323	0.001339	+1.22%	0.001086	-17.91%	0.2053	✗	0.80
2026-08-23	oos	0.001295	0.001308	+1.03%	0.001139	-12.05%	0.1379	✗	0.82
2026-08-22	oos	0.001334	0.00134	+0.47%	0.0012	-10.04%	0.1231	✗	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.001455	0.00145	-0.36%	0.001204	-17.25%	0.1807	✓	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.00134	0.001321	-1.41%	0.001218	-9.10%	0.1480	✓	0.70
2026-08-19	oos	0.001375	0.001344	-2.25%	0.001322	-3.85%	0.1176	✓	0.77
2026-08-18	oos	0.001374	0.001338	-2.64%	0.001371	-0.22%	0.1400	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.001366	0.001329	-2.67%	0.001323	-3.15%	0.1761	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	0.001397	0.001356	-2.93%	0.001295	-7.30%	0.2306	✓	0.87
2026-08-15	oos	0.001397	0.001356	-2.90%	0.001334	-4.51%	0.1912	✓	0.87
2026-08-14	oos	0.00143	0.001385	-3.12%	0.001455	+1.75%	0.1404	✓	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.00143	0.001385	-3.15%	0.00134	-6.29%	0.1559	✓	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.001488	0.001434	-3.64%	0.001375	-7.59%	0.1196	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.001402	0.001357	-3.20%	0.001374	-2.00%	0.0033	✓	0.87
2026-08-10	oos	0.001393	0.001348	-3.21%	0.001366	-1.94%	0.0053	✓	0.88
2026-08-09	oos	0.001395	0.001349	-3.29%	0.001397	+0.14%	0.0630	✗	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.00139	0.001344	-3.31%	0.001397	+0.50%	0.0651	✗	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.001413	0.001362	-3.59%	0.00143	+1.20%	0.0753	✗	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.001412	0.001362	-3.56%	0.00143	+1.27%	0.0606	✗	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.001415	0.001362	-3.77%	0.001488	+5.16%	0.1053	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.001424	0.001368	-3.93%	0.001402	-1.54%	0.0317	✓	0.88
2026-08-03	oos	0.001425	0.001369	-3.93%	0.001393	-2.25%	0.0113	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.001416	0.001362	-3.85%	0.001395	-1.48%	0.0060	✓	0.87
2026-08-01	oos	0.001404	0.001353	-3.62%	0.00139	-1.00%	0.0019	✓	0.86
2026-07-31	oos	0.001401	0.00135	-3.62%	0.001413	+0.86%	0.0177	✓	0.86
2026-07-30	oos	0.001424	0.001367	-3.99%	0.001412	-0.84%	0.0385	✓	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.001476	0.001412	-4.31%	0.001415	-4.13%	0.0081	✓	0.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.001396	0.001339	-4.06%	0.001424	+2.01%	0.0585	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.001373	0.001321	-3.81%	0.001425	+3.79%	0.0791	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.001307	0.001258	-3.72%	0.001416	+8.34%	0.1460	✗	0.98
2026-07-25	oos	0.001325	0.001277	-3.60%	0.001404	+5.96%	0.1182	✗	0.98
2026-07-24	oos	0.00129	0.001249	-3.22%	0.001401	+8.60%	0.1344	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	0.001261	0.001223	-3.04%	0.001424	+12.93%	0.1575	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.001246	0.001211	-2.83%	0.001476	+18.46%	0.2329	✗	1.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.001288	0.001251	-2.84%	0.001396	+8.39%	0.1516	✗	1.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.00157	0.001517	-3.40%	0.001373	-12.55%	0.0708	✓	1.22
2026-07-19	oos	0.001618	0.001567	-3.16%	0.001307	-19.22%	0.1937	✓	1.22
2026-07-18	oos	0.001677	0.001622	-3.25%	0.001325	-20.99%	0.1930	✓	1.22
2026-07-17	oos	0.001787	0.001724	-3.50%	0.00129	-27.81%	0.2940	✓	1.26
2026-07-16	oos	0.001742	0.001685	-3.29%	0.001261	-27.61%	0.3145	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.001788	0.001723	-3.66%	0.001246	-30.31%	0.3503	✓	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.001712	0.001658	-3.18%	0.001288	-24.77%	0.2817	✓	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.001805	0.001757	-2.67%	0.00157	-13.02%	0.1791	✓	1.44
2026-07-12	oos	0.001932	0.001869	-3.25%	0.001618	-16.25%	0.1654	✓	1.44
2026-07-11	oos	0.002067	0.001993	-3.59%	0.001677	-18.87%	0.1955	✓	1.44
2026-07-10	oos	0.002167	0.00208	-4.01%	0.001787	-17.54%	0.1466	✓	1.44
2026-07-09	oos	0.001999	0.001937	-3.12%	0.001742	-12.86%	0.1187	✓	1.36
2026-07-08	oos	0.00203	0.001971	-2.90%	0.001788	-11.92%	0.1508	✓	1.36
2026-07-07	oos	0.001974	0.001933	-2.09%	0.001712	-13.27%	0.1580	✓	1.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.001988	0.001954	-1.72%	0.001805	-9.21%	0.0399	✓	1.43
2026-07-05	oos	0.0021	0.002064	-1.71%	0.001932	-8.00%	0.0697	✓	1.45
2026-07-04	oos	0.002318	0.002266	-2.22%	0.002067	-10.83%	0.1084	✓	1.50
2026-07-03	oos	0.00231	0.002276	-1.46%	0.002167	-6.19%	0.0870	✓	1.49
2026-07-02	oos	0.002346	0.002327	-0.82%	0.001999	-14.79%	0.1926	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.002523	0.002502	-0.82%	0.00203	-19.54%	0.2708	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.002781	0.002751	-1.09%	0.001974	-29.02%	0.4799	✓	1.88
2026-06-29	oos	0.003049	0.002984	-2.14%	0.001988	-34.80%	0.5208	✓	1.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.002636	0.002666	+1.13%	0.0021	-20.33%	0.3503	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.002773	0.002812	+1.41%	0.002318	-16.41%	0.2789	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.003072	0.003098	+0.85%	0.00231	-24.80%	0.3636	✗	1.71
2026-06-25	oos	0.003242	0.003274	+0.98%	0.002346	-27.64%	0.3844	✗	1.74
2026-06-24	oos	0.003936	0.003902	-0.86%	0.002523	-35.90%	0.4087	✓	1.62
2026-06-23	oos	0.006008	0.005858	-2.49%	0.002781	-53.71%	0.6770	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.006455	0.006276	-2.78%	0.003049	-52.77%	0.6608	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.006542	0.006354	-2.88%	0.002636	-59.71%	0.8184	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.006544	0.006354	-2.91%	0.002773	-57.63%	0.7600	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.006634	0.00643	-3.08%	0.003072	-53.69%	0.6824	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.006546	0.006345	-3.06%	0.003242	-50.47%	0.6197	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.006567	0.006366	-3.06%	0.003936	-40.06%	0.4256	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006569	0.006366	-3.10%	0.006008	-8.55%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.006596	0.006386	-3.18%	0.006455	-2.14%	0.0464	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.006523	0.006318	-3.14%	0.006542	+0.29%	0.0731	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.006549	0.006341	-3.18%	0.006544	-0.08%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.00655	0.006341	-3.19%	0.006634	+1.28%	0.0462	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.006531	0.006323	-3.19%	0.006546	+0.23%	0.0455	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.006586	0.006378	-3.16%	0.006567	-0.29%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.006576	0.006361	-3.27%	0.006569	-0.10%	0.0296	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.006607	0.006381	-3.42%	0.006596	-0.17%	0.0166	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.006771	0.006517	-3.75%	0.006523	-3.66%	0.0363	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.006585	0.006359	-3.44%	0.006549	-0.55%	0.0277	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.006446	0.006241	-3.17%	0.00655	+1.61%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.006345	0.006144	-3.16%	0.006531	+2.93%	0.0648	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.006925	0.006669	-3.70%	0.006586	-4.90%	0.0288	✓	1.00