KSKD

Kaskad · Igra · beta_5y

token id: #438
symbol: KSKD
variant: –
chain: Igra
address: 0x16d92794f5b81d2cded0f0958779a410401e6435
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-25
predictions: 426

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

141

of 142 predictions shown

direction hit

49.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0534

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0069

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004919	0.00487	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.004914	0.004871	-0.88%	0.004919	+0.08%	0.0101	✗	-0.16
2026-10-20	oos	0.004922	0.00488	-0.86%	0.004914	-0.16%	0.0090	✗	-0.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.004854	0.004814	-0.82%	0.004922	+1.41%	0.0242	✗	-0.14
2026-10-18	oos	0.00524	0.005186	-1.03%	0.004854	-7.37%	0.0667	✓	-0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.0054	0.005348	-0.97%	0.00524	-2.97%	0.0184	✓	-0.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.006489	0.006402	-1.34%	0.0054	-16.78%	0.1706	✓	-0.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.007413	0.00719	-3.00%	0.006489	-12.46%	0.1052	✓	-0.34
2026-10-14	oos	0.004916	0.004869	-0.96%	0.007413	+50.79%	0.4230	✗	-0.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.004991	0.004936	-1.08%	0.004916	-1.49%	0.0114	✓	-0.39
2026-10-12	oos	0.005084	0.005031	-1.03%	0.004991	-1.83%	0.0017	✓	-0.39
2026-10-11	oos	0.005203	0.005136	-1.30%	0.005084	-2.31%	0.0213	✓	-0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.005152	0.005086	-1.29%	0.005203	+0.99%	0.0266	✗	-0.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.005563	0.00545	-2.03%	0.005152	-7.38%	0.0544	✓	-0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.005154	0.005015	-2.68%	0.005563	+7.95%	0.1077	✗	-0.40
2026-10-07	oos	0.003492	0.003455	-1.08%	0.005154	+47.56%	0.3972	✗	-0.14
2026-10-06	oos	0.003406	0.003374	-0.94%	0.003492	+2.54%	0.0308	✗	-0.14
2026-10-05	oos	0.003381	0.003349	-0.96%	0.003406	+0.74%	0.0166	✗	-0.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.003272	0.003242	-0.92%	0.003381	+3.32%	0.0407	✗	-0.14
2026-10-03	oos	0.003436	0.003396	-1.16%	0.003272	-4.74%	0.0346	✓	-0.12
2026-10-02	oos	0.003394	0.003355	-1.16%	0.003436	+1.22%	0.0242	✗	-0.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.003457	0.003407	-1.44%	0.003394	-1.82%	0.0045	✓	-0.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.00302	0.002985	-1.14%	0.003457	+14.47%	0.1495	✗	-0.18
2026-09-29	oos	0.003004	0.002968	-1.20%	0.00302	+0.53%	0.0172	✗	-0.23
2026-09-28	oos	0.003096	0.003054	-1.37%	0.003004	-2.99%	0.0159	✓	-0.28
2026-09-27	oos	0.003466	0.0034	-1.89%	0.003096	-10.66%	0.0965	✓	-0.24
2026-09-26	oos	0.00388	0.003724	-4.03%	0.003466	-10.67%	0.0716	✓	-0.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.002221	0.002177	-1.96%	0.00388	+74.70%	0.5785	✗	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.001571	0.001558	-0.83%	0.002221	+41.37%	0.3541	✗	-0.13
2026-09-23	oos	0.001353	0.001346	-0.53%	0.001571	+16.11%	0.1547	✗	-0.11
2026-09-22	oos	0.001315	0.001309	-0.45%	0.001353	+2.89%	0.0337	✗	0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.001338	0.001332	-0.46%	0.001315	-1.72%	0.0111	✓	0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.001392	0.001384	-0.61%	0.001338	-3.88%	0.0639	✓	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.001368	0.00136	-0.60%	0.001392	+1.75%	0.0238	✗	0.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.001328	0.001321	-0.55%	0.001368	+3.01%	0.0332	✗	0.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.0013	0.001292	-0.60%	0.001328	+2.15%	0.0023	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.001252	0.001245	-0.53%	0.0013	+3.83%	0.0417	✗	0.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.00124	0.001233	-0.59%	0.001252	+0.97%	0.0125	✗	0.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.001208	0.001202	-0.50%	0.00124	+2.65%	0.0467	✗	0.46
2026-09-13	oos	0.001204	0.001197	-0.55%	0.001208	+0.33%	0.0009	✓	0.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.001187	0.001182	-0.44%	0.001204	+1.43%	0.0214	✗	0.46
2026-09-11	oos	0.001178	0.001173	-0.42%	0.001187	+0.76%	0.0115	✗	0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.001187	0.001181	-0.53%	0.001178	-0.76%	0.0064	✓	0.47
2026-09-09	oos	0.001169	0.001163	-0.52%	0.001187	+1.54%	0.0319	✗	0.50
2026-09-08	oos	0.001152	0.001146	-0.52%	0.001169	+1.48%	0.0209	✗	0.50
2026-09-07	oos	0.001171	0.001164	-0.62%	0.001152	-1.62%	0.0061	✓	0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.001061	0.001058	-0.20%	0.001171	+10.42%	0.1097	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.001063	0.001062	-0.12%	0.001061	-0.24%	0.0047	✓	0.55
2026-09-04	oos	0.001026	0.001026	+0.02%	0.001063	+3.61%	0.0341	✓	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	0.00103	0.001032	+0.15%	0.001026	-0.39%	0.0064	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	0.001032	0.001034	+0.15%	0.00103	-0.19%	0.0293	✗	0.52
2026-09-01	oos	0.001081	0.001082	+0.11%	0.001032	-4.53%	0.0469	✗	0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.001086	0.001088	+0.14%	0.001081	-0.46%	0.0004	✓	0.37
2026-08-30	oos	0.001139	0.00114	+0.10%	0.001086	-4.65%	0.0564	✗	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.0012	0.001201	+0.08%	0.001139	-5.08%	0.0477	✗	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.001204	0.001205	+0.10%	0.0012	-0.33%	0.0079	✗	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.001218	0.00122	+0.12%	0.001204	-1.15%	0.0100	✓	0.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.001322	0.001323	+0.05%	0.001218	-7.87%	0.0943	✗	0.76
2026-08-25	oos	0.001371	0.001371	+0.02%	0.001322	-3.57%	0.0417	✗	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.001323	0.001324	+0.06%	0.001371	+3.63%	0.0397	✓	0.80
2026-08-23	oos	0.001295	0.001296	+0.08%	0.001323	+2.16%	0.0075	✓	0.82
2026-08-22	oos	0.001334	0.001335	+0.07%	0.001295	-2.92%	0.0375	✗	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.001455	0.001455	+0.02%	0.001334	-8.32%	0.0739	✗	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.00134	0.00134	-0.02%	0.001455	+8.58%	0.0330	✗	0.70
2026-08-19	oos	0.001375	0.001373	-0.17%	0.00134	-2.55%	0.0643	✓	0.77
2026-08-18	oos	0.001374	0.001369	-0.38%	0.001375	+0.07%	0.0540	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.001366	0.001361	-0.39%	0.001374	+0.59%	0.0071	✗	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	0.001397	0.00139	-0.49%	0.001366	-2.22%	0.0399	✓	0.87
2026-08-15	oos	0.001397	0.00139	-0.48%	0.001397	+0.00%	0.0073	✗	0.87
2026-08-14	oos	0.00143	0.001422	-0.53%	0.001397	-2.31%	0.0186	✓	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.00143	0.001422	-0.53%	0.00143	+0.00%	0.0116	✗	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.001488	0.001478	-0.64%	0.00143	-3.90%	0.0335	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.001402	0.001394	-0.54%	0.001488	+6.13%	0.0666	✗	0.87
2026-08-10	oos	0.001393	0.001386	-0.52%	0.001402	+0.65%	0.0169	✗	0.88
2026-08-09	oos	0.001395	0.001388	-0.49%	0.001393	-0.14%	0.0165	✗	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.00139	0.001383	-0.48%	0.001395	+0.36%	0.0092	✗	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.001413	0.001406	-0.53%	0.00139	-1.63%	0.0114	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.001412	0.001404	-0.56%	0.001413	+0.07%	0.0023	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.001415	0.001407	-0.58%	0.001412	-0.21%	0.0083	✗	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.001424	0.001415	-0.64%	0.001415	-0.63%	0.0075	✓	0.88
2026-08-03	oos	0.001425	0.001415	-0.68%	0.001424	-0.07%	0.0018	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.001416	0.001407	-0.67%	0.001425	+0.64%	0.0135	✗	0.87
2026-08-01	oos	0.001404	0.001395	-0.67%	0.001416	+0.85%	0.0053	✓	0.86
2026-07-31	oos	0.001401	0.001392	-0.64%	0.001404	+0.21%	0.0094	✗	0.86
2026-07-30	oos	0.001424	0.001414	-0.69%	0.001401	-1.62%	0.0172	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.001476	0.001464	-0.82%	0.001424	-3.52%	0.0393	✓	0.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.001396	0.001386	-0.72%	0.001476	+5.73%	0.0623	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.001373	0.001364	-0.67%	0.001396	+1.68%	0.0212	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.001307	0.001299	-0.63%	0.001373	+5.05%	0.0806	✗	0.98
2026-07-25	oos	0.001325	0.001317	-0.62%	0.001307	-1.36%	0.0233	✓	0.98
2026-07-24	oos	0.00129	0.001283	-0.55%	0.001325	+2.71%	0.0291	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	0.001261	0.001253	-0.63%	0.00129	+2.30%	0.0441	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.001246	0.001236	-0.78%	0.001261	+1.20%	0.0361	✗	1.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.001288	0.001277	-0.82%	0.001246	-3.26%	0.0182	✓	1.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.00157	0.001558	-0.78%	0.001288	-17.96%	0.2143	✓	1.22
2026-07-19	oos	0.001618	0.001606	-0.74%	0.00157	-2.97%	0.0327	✓	1.22
2026-07-18	oos	0.001677	0.001664	-0.78%	0.001618	-3.52%	0.0258	✓	1.22
2026-07-17	oos	0.001787	0.001773	-0.78%	0.001677	-6.16%	0.0734	✓	1.26
2026-07-16	oos	0.001742	0.001729	-0.75%	0.001787	+2.58%	0.0306	✗	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.001788	0.001771	-0.98%	0.001742	-2.57%	0.0023	✓	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.001712	0.001694	-1.07%	0.001788	+4.44%	0.0595	✗	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.001805	0.001794	-0.63%	0.001712	-5.15%	0.1083	✓	1.44
2026-07-12	oos	0.001932	0.001914	-0.95%	0.001805	-6.57%	0.0248	✓	1.44
2026-07-11	oos	0.002067	0.002045	-1.05%	0.001932	-6.53%	0.0563	✓	1.44
2026-07-10	oos	0.002167	0.00214	-1.23%	0.002067	-4.61%	0.0268	✓	1.44
2026-07-09	oos	0.001999	0.001976	-1.15%	0.002167	+8.40%	0.0719	✗	1.36
2026-07-08	oos	0.00203	0.002008	-1.08%	0.001999	-1.53%	0.0249	✓	1.36
2026-07-07	oos	0.001974	0.001944	-1.51%	0.00203	+2.84%	0.0677	✗	1.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.001988	0.001951	-1.84%	0.001974	-0.70%	0.0267	✗	1.43
2026-07-05	oos	0.0021	0.002069	-1.50%	0.001988	-5.33%	0.0492	✓	1.45
2026-07-04	oos	0.002318	0.002292	-1.13%	0.0021	-9.40%	0.0992	✓	1.50
2026-07-03	oos	0.00231	0.002285	-1.09%	0.002318	+0.35%	0.0010	✓	1.49
2026-07-02	oos	0.002346	0.002327	-0.80%	0.00231	-1.53%	0.0326	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.002523	0.002516	-0.28%	0.002346	-7.02%	0.1115	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.002781	0.002781	-0.01%	0.002523	-9.28%	0.1429	✓	1.88
2026-06-29	oos	0.003049	0.003035	-0.47%	0.002781	-8.79%	0.0361	✓	1.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.002636	0.002622	-0.52%	0.003049	+15.67%	0.1315	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.002773	0.002753	-0.72%	0.002636	-4.94%	0.0305	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.003072	0.003054	-0.60%	0.002773	-9.73%	0.0945	✓	1.71
2026-06-25	oos	0.003242	0.003227	-0.47%	0.003072	-5.24%	0.0578	✓	1.74
2026-06-24	oos	0.003936	0.003921	-0.38%	0.003242	-17.63%	0.1558	✓	1.62
2026-06-23	oos	0.006008	0.005988	-0.34%	0.003936	-34.49%	0.3927	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.006455	0.00643	-0.38%	0.006008	-6.92%	0.0473	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.006542	0.006515	-0.41%	0.006455	-1.33%	0.0206	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.006544	0.006518	-0.40%	0.006542	-0.03%	0.0192	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.006634	0.006605	-0.44%	0.006544	-1.36%	0.0210	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.006546	0.006517	-0.44%	0.006634	+1.34%	0.0083	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.006567	0.006538	-0.44%	0.006546	-0.32%	0.0258	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006569	0.006541	-0.43%	0.006567	-0.04%	0.0220	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.006596	0.006567	-0.44%	0.006569	-0.40%	0.0104	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.006523	0.006494	-0.44%	0.006596	+1.12%	0.0069	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.006549	0.00652	-0.45%	0.006523	-0.40%	0.0191	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.00655	0.006521	-0.45%	0.006549	-0.02%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.006531	0.006502	-0.44%	0.00655	+0.29%	0.0077	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.006586	0.006559	-0.41%	0.006531	-0.84%	0.0381	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.006576	0.00655	-0.40%	0.006586	+0.15%	0.0094	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.006607	0.006579	-0.42%	0.006576	-0.47%	0.0216	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.006771	0.006741	-0.45%	0.006607	-2.42%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.006585	0.006562	-0.35%	0.006771	+2.82%	0.0082	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.006446	0.006426	-0.32%	0.006585	+2.16%	0.0275	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.006345	0.006321	-0.38%	0.006446	+1.59%	0.0641	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.006925	0.006897	-0.41%	0.006345	-8.38%	0.0797	✓	1.00