KSKD

Kaskad · Igra · beta_5y

token id: #438
symbol: KSKD
variant: –
chain: Igra
address: 0x16d92794f5b81d2cded0f0958779a410401e6435
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-25
predictions: 426

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

112

of 142 predictions shown

direction hit

79.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.7100

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0712

actual -0.1402

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.004919	0.004202	-14.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.004883	0.004152	-14.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-20	oos	0.004922	0.00418	-15.09%	–	pending	–	–	-0.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.004854	0.004111	-15.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-18	oos	0.00524	0.004434	-15.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.0054	0.004556	-15.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.26
2026-10-16	oos	0.006489	0.005416	-16.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.007413	0.006006	-18.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-14	oos	0.004916	0.004148	-15.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.004991	0.004208	-15.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-10-12	oos	0.005084	0.004281	-15.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.39
2026-10-11	oos	0.005203	0.004369	-16.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.005152	0.00431	-16.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.005563	0.004585	-17.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-10-08	oos	0.005154	0.004197	-18.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-10-07	oos	0.003492	0.00295	-15.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-06	oos	0.003406	0.002879	-15.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-05	oos	0.003381	0.002846	-15.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.003272	0.002746	-16.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.14
2026-10-03	oos	0.003436	0.002865	-16.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.12
2026-10-02	oos	0.003394	0.002827	-16.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.003457	0.002868	-17.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.00302	0.002541	-15.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.18
2026-09-29	oos	0.003004	0.002529	-15.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-09-28	oos	0.003096	0.002596	-16.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-09-27	oos	0.003466	0.002871	-17.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.24
2026-09-26	oos	0.00388	0.003113	-19.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.002221	0.001929	-13.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.001571	0.001423	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-09-23	oos	0.001353	0.001235	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-09-22	oos	0.001315	0.001211	-7.91%	0.004919	+274.03%	1.4023	✗	0.03
2026-09-21	oos	0.001338	0.001234	-7.74%	0.004883	+264.95%	1.3917	✗	0.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.001392	0.001253	-9.96%	0.004922	+253.63%	1.3578	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.001368	0.00123	-10.08%	0.004854	+254.82%	1.3692	✗	0.47
2026-09-18	oos	0.001328	0.001194	-10.10%	0.00524	+294.58%	1.4728	✗	0.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.0013	0.001167	-10.22%	0.0054	+315.42%	1.5043	✗	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.001252	0.001126	-10.04%	0.006489	+418.33%	1.7214	✗	0.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.00124	0.001115	-10.08%	0.007413	+497.82%	1.8601	✗	0.41
2026-09-14	oos	0.001208	0.00109	-9.79%	0.004916	+306.95%	1.4869	✗	0.46
2026-09-13	oos	0.001204	0.001085	-9.92%	0.004991	+314.49%	1.4911	✗	0.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.001187	0.001073	-9.61%	0.005084	+328.26%	1.5295	✗	0.46
2026-09-11	oos	0.001178	0.001066	-9.50%	0.005203	+341.72%	1.5477	✗	0.47
2026-09-10	oos	0.001187	0.001073	-9.58%	0.005152	+334.08%	1.5311	✗	0.47
2026-09-09	oos	0.001169	0.001064	-8.94%	0.005563	+375.88%	1.6270	✗	0.50
2026-09-08	oos	0.001152	0.001054	-8.50%	0.005154	+347.35%	1.5665	✗	0.50
2026-09-07	oos	0.001171	0.001075	-8.22%	0.003492	+198.25%	1.1527	✗	0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.001061	0.00099824	-5.87%	0.003406	+221.17%	1.1927	✗	0.55
2026-09-05	oos	0.001063	0.00102	-4.05%	0.003381	+218.06%	1.1591	✗	0.55
2026-09-04	oos	0.001026	0.001021	-0.50%	0.003272	+218.96%	1.1170	✗	0.58
2026-09-03	oos	0.00103	0.001081	+4.91%	0.003436	+233.54%	1.1318	✓	0.59
2026-09-02	oos	0.001032	0.001085	+5.12%	0.003394	+228.88%	1.0944	✓	0.52
2026-09-01	oos	0.001081	0.001141	+5.58%	0.003457	+219.80%	1.0597	✓	0.53
2026-08-31	oos	0.001086	0.001163	+7.10%	0.00302	+178.08%	0.9311	✓	0.37
2026-08-30	oos	0.001139	0.00121	+6.24%	0.003004	+163.74%	0.8594	✓	0.67
2026-08-29	oos	0.0012	0.001284	+7.00%	0.003096	+158.04%	0.8342	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.001204	0.0013	+8.01%	0.003466	+187.87%	0.9223	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.001218	0.001335	+9.61%	0.00388	+218.56%	1.0296	✓	0.74
2026-08-26	oos	0.001322	0.001404	+6.17%	0.002221	+68.00%	0.4120	✓	0.76
2026-08-25	oos	0.001371	0.001435	+4.66%	0.001571	+14.59%	0.0331	✓	0.80
2026-08-24	oos	0.001323	0.001403	+6.06%	0.001353	+2.27%	0.0895	✗	0.80
2026-08-23	oos	0.001295	0.001362	+5.16%	0.001315	+1.54%	0.1196	✗	0.82
2026-08-22	oos	0.001334	0.001381	+3.51%	0.001338	+0.30%	0.1274	✗	0.82
2026-08-21	oos	0.001455	0.001488	+2.26%	0.001392	-4.33%	0.0951	✗	0.80
2026-08-20	oos	0.00134	0.001299	-3.05%	0.001368	+2.09%	0.0235	✓	0.70
2026-08-19	oos	0.001375	0.001296	-5.77%	0.001328	-3.42%	0.0943	✓	0.77
2026-08-18	oos	0.001374	0.001277	-7.02%	0.0013	-5.39%	0.1232	✓	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.001366	0.001268	-7.19%	0.001252	-8.35%	0.1529	✓	0.84
2026-08-16	oos	0.001397	0.001288	-7.79%	0.00124	-11.24%	0.1984	✓	0.87
2026-08-15	oos	0.001397	0.001288	-7.81%	0.001208	-13.53%	0.2511	✓	0.87
2026-08-14	oos	0.00143	0.001312	-8.24%	0.001204	-15.80%	0.2584	✓	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.00143	0.001311	-8.36%	0.001187	-16.99%	0.2713	✓	0.87
2026-08-12	oos	0.001488	0.001353	-9.10%	0.001178	-20.83%	0.3104	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.001402	0.001286	-8.30%	0.001187	-15.34%	0.2424	✓	0.87
2026-08-10	oos	0.001393	0.001277	-8.34%	0.001169	-16.08%	0.2662	✓	0.88
2026-08-09	oos	0.001395	0.001276	-8.55%	0.001152	-17.42%	0.2721	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.00139	0.00127	-8.64%	0.001171	-15.76%	0.2574	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.001413	0.001283	-9.21%	0.001061	-24.95%	0.3807	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.001412	0.001282	-9.23%	0.001063	-24.72%	0.3788	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.001415	0.001278	-9.68%	0.001026	-27.49%	0.4056	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.001424	0.001282	-9.97%	0.00103	-27.67%	0.4288	✓	0.88
2026-08-03	oos	0.001425	0.001283	-9.94%	0.001032	-27.58%	0.3905	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.001416	0.001278	-9.72%	0.001081	-23.66%	0.3402	✓	0.87
2026-08-01	oos	0.001404	0.001271	-9.45%	0.001086	-22.65%	0.3502	✓	0.86
2026-07-31	oos	0.001401	0.00127	-9.35%	0.001139	-18.70%	0.2903	✓	0.86
2026-07-30	oos	0.001424	0.001279	-10.22%	0.0012	-15.73%	0.2329	✓	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.001476	0.001319	-10.63%	0.001204	-18.43%	0.2704	✓	0.91
2026-07-28	oos	0.001396	0.001256	-10.04%	0.001218	-12.75%	0.2355	✓	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.001373	0.001239	-9.77%	0.001322	-3.71%	0.1260	✓	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.001307	0.001179	-9.83%	0.001371	+4.90%	0.0288	✓	0.98
2026-07-25	oos	0.001325	0.001198	-9.57%	0.001323	-0.15%	0.1024	✓	0.98
2026-07-24	oos	0.00129	0.001173	-9.04%	0.001295	+0.39%	0.0877	✓	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	0.001261	0.001147	-9.03%	0.001334	+5.79%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.001246	0.001135	-8.92%	0.001455	+16.77%	0.0731	✓	1.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.001288	0.001173	-8.96%	0.00134	+4.04%	0.0371	✓	1.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.00157	0.001425	-9.25%	0.001375	-12.42%	0.1096	✓	1.22
2026-07-19	oos	0.001618	0.001475	-8.86%	0.001374	-15.08%	0.0707	✓	1.22
2026-07-18	oos	0.001677	0.001524	-9.15%	0.001366	-18.55%	0.1031	✓	1.22
2026-07-17	oos	0.001787	0.001619	-9.40%	0.001397	-21.82%	0.1264	✓	1.26
2026-07-16	oos	0.001742	0.001581	-9.22%	0.001397	-19.80%	0.1092	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.001788	0.001607	-10.10%	0.00143	-20.02%	0.0825	✓	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.001712	0.001545	-9.76%	0.00143	-16.47%	0.0466	✓	1.26
2026-07-13	oos	0.001805	0.001653	-8.44%	0.001488	-17.56%	0.1313	✓	1.44
2026-07-12	oos	0.001932	0.001742	-9.82%	0.001402	-27.43%	0.2126	✓	1.44
2026-07-11	oos	0.002067	0.001849	-10.55%	0.001393	-32.61%	0.2863	✓	1.44
2026-07-10	oos	0.002167	0.001919	-11.43%	0.001395	-35.63%	0.3351	✓	1.44
2026-07-09	oos	0.001999	0.001798	-10.04%	0.00139	-30.47%	0.2942	✓	1.36
2026-07-08	oos	0.00203	0.001838	-9.48%	0.001413	-30.39%	0.3196	✓	1.36
2026-07-07	oos	0.001974	0.001801	-8.78%	0.001412	-28.47%	0.2641	✓	1.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.001988	0.001821	-8.42%	0.001415	-28.82%	0.2654	✓	1.43
2026-07-05	oos	0.0021	0.001929	-8.14%	0.001424	-32.19%	0.3142	✓	1.45
2026-07-04	oos	0.002318	0.002115	-8.77%	0.001425	-38.52%	0.4037	✓	1.50
2026-07-03	oos	0.00231	0.002132	-7.72%	0.001416	-38.70%	0.4322	✓	1.49
2026-07-02	oos	0.002346	0.002188	-6.72%	0.001404	-40.15%	0.4747	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.002523	0.002356	-6.63%	0.001401	-44.47%	0.5970	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.002781	0.002581	-7.21%	0.001424	-48.80%	0.7838	✓	1.88
2026-06-29	oos	0.003049	0.002774	-9.00%	0.001476	-51.59%	0.7428	✓	1.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.002636	0.002501	-5.13%	0.001396	-47.04%	0.7017	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.002773	0.002641	-4.77%	0.001373	-50.49%	0.7558	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.003072	0.002918	-5.02%	0.001307	-57.45%	0.9485	✓	1.71
2026-06-25	oos	0.003242	0.003102	-4.31%	0.001325	-59.13%	0.9798	✓	1.74
2026-06-24	oos	0.003936	0.003714	-5.65%	0.00129	-67.23%	1.1376	✓	1.62
2026-06-23	oos	0.006008	0.005582	-7.09%	0.001261	-79.01%	1.5253	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.006455	0.005973	-7.46%	0.001246	-80.70%	1.6002	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.006542	0.006037	-7.72%	0.001288	-80.31%	1.5953	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.006544	0.006036	-7.77%	0.00157	-76.01%	1.3619	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.006634	0.006096	-8.10%	0.001618	-75.61%	1.3453	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.006546	0.006011	-8.18%	0.001677	-74.38%	1.3066	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.006567	0.00603	-8.17%	0.001787	-72.79%	1.2077	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.006569	0.006029	-8.23%	0.001742	-73.48%	1.2130	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.006596	0.006046	-8.34%	0.001788	-72.89%	1.1945	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.006523	0.005977	-8.37%	0.001712	-73.75%	1.2392	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.006549	0.005989	-8.56%	0.001805	-72.44%	1.1651	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.00655	0.005981	-8.69%	0.001932	-70.50%	1.1332	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.006531	0.005956	-8.81%	0.002067	-68.35%	1.0615	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.006586	0.005996	-8.96%	0.002167	-67.10%	1.0604	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.006576	0.005968	-9.25%	0.001999	-69.60%	1.1176	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.006607	0.005972	-9.61%	0.00203	-69.28%	1.0659	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.006771	0.006084	-10.15%	0.001974	-70.85%	1.1259	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.006585	0.005933	-9.90%	0.001988	-69.81%	1.1439	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.006446	0.005818	-9.74%	0.0021	-67.42%	1.0600	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.006345	0.005715	-9.94%	0.002318	-63.47%	0.8910	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.006925	0.006206	-10.39%	0.00231	-66.64%	0.9642	✓	1.00