ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 285
Track record at +7d
assessed
81
of 95 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4555
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0535
actual -0.1896
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.03943 | 0.036371 | -7.76% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.038918 | -8.78% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.03749 | -11.10% | – | pending | – | – | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021294 | -0.63% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020979 | +0.62% | – | pending | – | – | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027366 | -1.10% | – | pending | – | – | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.031932 | -3.79% | – | pending | – | – | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029238 | -0.47% | 0.03943 | +34.22% | 0.2368 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033173 | -1.44% | 0.042665 | +26.76% | 0.2168 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.035454 | -2.18% | 0.04217 | +16.35% | 0.1783 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.035916 | -1.68% | 0.02143 | -41.34% | 0.5194 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.050067 | -6.91% | 0.02085 | -61.23% | 0.8371 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.056033 | -8.52% | 0.02767 | -54.82% | 0.6679 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.054386 | -9.05% | 0.033189 | -44.50% | 0.4681 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.040274 | -5.06% | 0.029376 | -30.75% | 0.3254 | ✓ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.046024 | -8.65% | 0.033658 | -33.20% | 0.2795 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.04678 | -12.40% | 0.036243 | -32.13% | 0.2132 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.060634 | -10.43% | 0.036532 | -46.03% | 0.4427 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.085056 | -9.22% | 0.053783 | -42.60% | 0.4252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.094503 | -10.91% | 0.061248 | -42.26% | 0.4055 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.070655 | -9.40% | 0.059795 | -23.33% | 0.1365 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.077498 | -10.15% | 0.04242 | -50.82% | 0.5647 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.079623 | -11.48% | 0.050383 | -43.99% | 0.4543 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.06024 | -9.92% | 0.0534 | -20.15% | 0.1430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.063508 | -10.51% | 0.067695 | -4.61% | 0.0367 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.080926 | -11.91% | 0.093694 | +1.99% | 0.1226 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.065039 | -11.15% | 0.106073 | +44.90% | 0.4853 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.066596 | -12.18% | 0.077989 | +2.84% | 0.1530 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.054427 | -11.20% | 0.086255 | +40.73% | 0.4550 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.058434 | -11.61% | 0.089951 | +36.06% | 0.4411 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.053839 | -11.70% | 0.066876 | +9.69% | 0.2470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.068752 | -13.63% | 0.070965 | -10.85% | 0.0686 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.048685 | -12.04% | 0.09187 | +65.99% | 0.5951 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.048366 | -13.25% | 0.073202 | +31.29% | 0.3760 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.035099 | -11.03% | 0.075834 | +92.22% | 0.7314 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.043649 | -13.48% | 0.06129 | +21.49% | 0.2394 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.025005 | -12.41% | 0.066113 | +131.59% | 0.8696 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.014576 | -9.34% | 0.06097 | +279.23% | 1.2996 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.012998 | -8.55% | 0.079604 | +460.04% | 1.7100 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.014078 | -8.29% | 0.055348 | +260.55% | 1.3138 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.015768 | -8.51% | 0.055756 | +223.50% | 1.2129 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.017935 | -8.84% | 0.039451 | +100.52% | 0.7419 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001665 | +2.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 7.02e-7 | -37.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 2.90e-7 | -62.32% | – | pending | – | – | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 7.11e-7 | -51.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010157 | -3.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009144 | -2.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000009846 | -2.76% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010257 | -2.77% | 0.000001625 | -84.60% | 1.8410 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010618 | -2.77% | 0.00000113 | -89.65% | 2.2536 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010716 | -2.71% | 7.70e-7 | -93.01% | 2.6131 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000010896 | -2.75% | 0.000001475 | -86.84% | 1.9893 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012294 | -3.08% | 0.000010515 | -17.11% | 0.1490 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011377 | -2.59% | 0.0000094 | -19.52% | 0.1799 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009455 | -1.10% | 0.000010125 | +5.91% | 0.0497 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010249 | -1.16% | 0.00001055 | +1.74% | 0.0137 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011548 | -1.34% | 0.00001092 | -6.71% | 0.0515 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011608 | -0.74% | 0.000011015 | -5.81% | 0.0742 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012566 | -0.82% | 0.000011205 | -11.56% | 0.1193 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013414 | -1.07% | 0.000012685 | -6.45% | 0.0372 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.00001447 | -1.36% | 0.00001168 | -20.38% | 0.1928 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015129 | -1.76% | 0.00000956 | -37.92% | 0.3892 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015189 | -1.56% | 0.00001037 | -32.79% | 0.3250 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015423 | -1.58% | 0.000011705 | -25.30% | 0.2292 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.00001488 | -0.60% | 0.000011695 | -21.88% | 0.2027 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015207 | -0.28% | 0.00001267 | -16.92% | 0.1628 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016451 | -0.60% | 0.00001356 | -18.07% | 0.2024 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016552 | -0.23% | 0.00001467 | -11.57% | 0.1293 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017333 | -0.67% | 0.0000154 | -11.75% | 0.1223 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017798 | -0.68% | 0.00001543 | -13.90% | 0.1297 | ✓ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017399 | +0.92% | 0.00001567 | -9.11% | 0.1163 | ✗ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019822 | +0.62% | 0.00001497 | -24.01% | 0.3438 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.00002362 | -1.26% | 0.00001525 | -36.25% | 0.4379 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.00002722 | -1.73% | 0.00001655 | -40.25% | 0.4802 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000028992 | -1.72% | 0.00001659 | -43.76% | 0.5409 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032354 | -2.14% | 0.00001745 | -47.22% | 0.6259 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031219 | -1.74% | 0.00001792 | -43.59% | 0.5876 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.00003284 | -1.68% | 0.00001724 | -48.38% | 0.6890 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035264 | -1.77% | 0.0000197 | -45.13% | 0.5595 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000037454 | -1.95% | 0.00002392 | -37.38% | 0.4886 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000039446 | -2.12% | 0.0000277 | -31.27% | 0.4235 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000039384 | -2.03% | 0.0000295 | -26.62% | 0.3553 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.00004129 | -2.39% | 0.00003306 | -21.84% | 0.2761 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000043029 | -3.09% | 0.00003177 | -28.45% | 0.2924 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000044498 | -3.68% | 0.0000334 | -27.71% | 0.2249 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000041757 | -3.12% | 0.0000359 | -16.71% | 0.1086 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.0000408 | -3.09% | 0.0000382 | -9.26% | 0.0157 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000039552 | -2.82% | 0.0000403 | -0.98% | 0.1394 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000038583 | -2.32% | 0.0000402 | +1.77% | 0.1462 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000039759 | -3.03% | 0.0000423 | +3.17% | 0.2027 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000040687 | -3.59% | 0.0000444 | +5.21% | 0.1928 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036135 | -2.34% | 0.0000462 | +24.86% | 0.3489 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000045157 | -3.72% | 0.0000431 | -8.10% | 0.0938 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000053641 | -3.70% | 0.0000421 | -24.42% | 0.1365 | ✓ | 1.00 |