ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 285
Track record at +1d
assessed
93
of 95 predictions shown
direction hit
60.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1527
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0114
actual -0.0288
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.03943 | 0.038916 | -1.30% | – | pending | – | – | 2.66 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.041981 | -1.60% | 0.03943 | -0.33% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.040898 | -3.02% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0504 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021513 | +0.39% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6420 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020993 | +0.68% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027746 | +0.27% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.3045 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.033038 | -0.45% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1738 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029495 | +0.40% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1368 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033741 | +0.25% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1558 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.036296 | +0.14% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0297 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036637 | +0.29% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0526 | ✗ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053273 | -0.95% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3322 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060242 | -1.64% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1320 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.058574 | -2.04% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0357 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.042251 | -0.40% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3278 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049823 | -1.11% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1300 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052517 | -1.65% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066675 | -1.51% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2188 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.092168 | -1.63% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.2998 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.103209 | -2.70% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1234 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.076758 | -1.58% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3198 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.08459 | -1.93% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0772 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.087469 | -2.76% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065774 | -1.65% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3140 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069775 | -1.68% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.089392 | -2.70% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2189 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071721 | -2.02% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.073815 | -2.66% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0122 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.060105 | -1.93% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2359 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064658 | -2.20% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0536 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059793 | -1.93% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1218 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.076848 | -3.46% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.054041 | -2.36% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3225 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.053945 | -3.25% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038669 | -1.98% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3615 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.048492 | -3.88% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2639 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027564 | -3.44% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.6018 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015787 | -1.80% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5849 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014037 | -1.24% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1694 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015169 | -1.19% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0827 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.017024 | -1.23% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0974 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.01941 | -1.34% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1195 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001641 | +1.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001065 | -5.75% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.4359 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 6.77e-7 | -12.14% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.4980 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001342 | -9.05% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.5471 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010467 | -0.45% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9606 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009376 | -0.25% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1076 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010093 | -0.32% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0728 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010514 | -0.34% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0316 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.00001088 | -0.36% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0333 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010977 | -0.34% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0104 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011167 | -0.34% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012625 | -0.48% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1237 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.00001164 | -0.34% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0828 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009561 | +0.01% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1714 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010364 | -0.05% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0726 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011688 | -0.15% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1025 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011688 | -0.06% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012659 | -0.09% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0616 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013543 | -0.12% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0465 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014642 | -0.19% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0765 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015362 | -0.24% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0244 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015399 | -0.20% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015641 | -0.19% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014971 | +0.01% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0279 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015263 | +0.08% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016551 | +0.01% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0924 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016606 | +0.10% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0027 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017461 | +0.07% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0257 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017937 | +0.10% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.00001731 | +0.41% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019755 | +0.28% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2084 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023902 | -0.08% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1462 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027635 | -0.24% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1393 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029427 | -0.25% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032931 | -0.39% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031683 | -0.27% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0332 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033303 | -0.29% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0825 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.00003579 | -0.31% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0584 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038063 | -0.36% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0752 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040132 | -0.42% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0741 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040049 | -0.38% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042114 | -0.44% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0294 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044153 | -0.56% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0125 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.00004587 | -0.71% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000042858 | -0.56% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0663 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000041881 | -0.52% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0511 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040526 | -0.43% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0524 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039362 | -0.35% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0225 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040822 | -0.43% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000041946 | -0.60% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000036946 | -0.15% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1464 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046665 | -0.50% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2037 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055359 | -0.61% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1780 | ✓ | 1.00 |