LAPTOP
Hunter Biden's Laptop · Base · beta_5y
- token id
- #776
- symbol
- LAPTOP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb095274743941e953c746f9c228da9c18bb6ec29
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-09
- predictions
- 105
Track record at +7d
assessed
28
of 35 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0932
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0546
actual -0.0281
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.06835 | 0.064409 | -5.77% | – | pending | – | – | 0.23 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.07135 | 0.067144 | -5.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0722 | 0.067418 | -6.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.21 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.0753 | 0.070548 | -6.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0793 | 0.07378 | -6.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.08085 | 0.075126 | -7.08% | – | pending | – | – | 0.15 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.07695 | 0.07224 | -6.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07705 | 0.072286 | -6.18% | 0.06835 | -11.29% | 0.0619 | ✓ | 0.24 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0796 | 0.07417 | -6.82% | 0.07135 | -10.36% | 0.0417 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.076 | 0.07122 | -6.29% | 0.0722 | -5.00% | 0.0145 | ✓ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07515 | 0.071197 | -5.26% | 0.0753 | +0.20% | 0.0557 | ✗ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07515 | 0.070908 | -5.64% | 0.0793 | +5.52% | 0.1226 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.07705 | 0.07254 | -5.85% | 0.08085 | +4.93% | 0.1176 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07725 | 0.072319 | -6.38% | 0.07695 | -0.39% | 0.0680 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.07545 | 0.071438 | -5.32% | 0.07705 | +2.12% | 0.0704 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.0899 | 0.082554 | -8.17% | 0.0796 | -11.46% | 0.0157 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0746 | 0.070938 | -4.91% | 0.076 | +1.88% | 0.0978 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07235 | 0.068983 | -4.65% | 0.07515 | +3.87% | 0.1335 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0725 | 0.068988 | -4.84% | 0.07515 | +3.66% | 0.1188 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.07405 | 0.070662 | -4.57% | 0.07705 | +4.05% | 0.1084 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.069921 | -4.35% | 0.07725 | +5.68% | 0.1231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0818 | 0.077221 | -5.60% | 0.07545 | -7.76% | 0.0147 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0796 | 0.075879 | -4.67% | 0.0899 | +12.94% | 0.1729 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.0783 | 0.074764 | -4.52% | 0.0746 | -4.73% | 0.0247 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.07785 | 0.074372 | -4.47% | 0.07235 | -7.06% | 0.0547 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0813 | 0.077009 | -5.28% | 0.0725 | -10.82% | 0.0843 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.0819 | 0.077339 | -5.57% | 0.07405 | -9.58% | 0.0473 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.0736 | 0.07094 | -3.61% | 0.0731 | -0.68% | 0.0251 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.073 | 0.070407 | -3.55% | 0.0818 | +12.05% | 0.1445 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0689 | 0.06706 | -2.67% | 0.0796 | +15.53% | 0.1812 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.07575 | 0.07253 | -4.25% | 0.0783 | +3.37% | 0.1067 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.08595 | 0.081024 | -5.73% | 0.07785 | -9.42% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0879 | 0.084643 | -3.71% | 0.0813 | -7.51% | 0.0802 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.10495 | 0.099817 | -4.89% | 0.0819 | -21.96% | 0.2363 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.10535 | 0.094173 | -10.61% | 0.0736 | -30.14% | 0.2855 | ✓ | 1.00 |