LAPTOP
Hunter Biden's Laptop · Base · beta_5y
- token id
- #776
- symbol
- LAPTOP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb095274743941e953c746f9c228da9c18bb6ec29
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-09
- predictions
- 105
Track record at +1d
assessed
34
of 35 predictions shown
direction hit
55.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0464
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0054
actual -0.0119
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.06835 | 0.067806 | -0.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.23 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.07135 | 0.070759 | -0.83% | 0.06835 | -0.07% | 0.0071 | ✓ | 0.19 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0722 | 0.071514 | -0.95% | 0.07135 | -1.18% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.0753 | 0.074638 | -0.88% | 0.0722 | -4.12% | 0.0356 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0793 | 0.078509 | -1.00% | 0.0753 | -5.04% | 0.0414 | ✓ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.08085 | 0.079996 | -1.06% | 0.0793 | -1.92% | 0.0099 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.07695 | 0.07632 | -0.82% | 0.08085 | +5.07% | 0.0579 | ✗ | 0.18 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07705 | 0.076448 | -0.78% | 0.07695 | -0.13% | 0.0083 | ✗ | 0.24 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0796 | 0.078867 | -0.92% | 0.07705 | -3.20% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.076 | 0.075413 | -0.77% | 0.0796 | +4.74% | 0.0621 | ✗ | 0.43 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.07515 | 0.074722 | -0.57% | 0.076 | +1.13% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 0.32 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.07515 | 0.074726 | -0.56% | 0.07515 | +0.00% | 0.0181 | ✗ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.07705 | 0.076608 | -0.57% | 0.07515 | -2.47% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 0.49 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.07725 | 0.076723 | -0.68% | 0.07705 | -0.26% | 0.0022 | ✓ | 0.47 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.07545 | 0.075123 | -0.43% | 0.07725 | +2.39% | 0.0176 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.0899 | 0.088812 | -1.21% | 0.07545 | -16.07% | 0.1439 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0746 | 0.07432 | -0.38% | 0.0899 | +20.51% | 0.2172 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07235 | 0.072122 | -0.31% | 0.0746 | +3.11% | 0.0362 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0725 | 0.072257 | -0.33% | 0.07235 | -0.21% | 0.0101 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.07405 | 0.073833 | -0.29% | 0.0725 | -2.09% | 0.0388 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0731 | 0.072928 | -0.24% | 0.07405 | +1.30% | 0.0125 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0818 | 0.081399 | -0.49% | 0.0731 | -10.64% | 0.1035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.0796 | 0.07935 | -0.31% | 0.0818 | +2.76% | 0.0151 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.0783 | 0.078095 | -0.26% | 0.0796 | +1.66% | 0.0201 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.07785 | 0.077672 | -0.23% | 0.0783 | +0.58% | 0.0059 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0813 | 0.081002 | -0.37% | 0.07785 | -4.24% | 0.0277 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.0819 | 0.081529 | -0.45% | 0.0813 | -0.73% | 0.0034 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.0736 | 0.073544 | -0.08% | 0.0819 | +11.28% | 0.1038 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.073 | 0.07295 | -0.07% | 0.0736 | +0.82% | 0.0123 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.0689 | 0.068939 | +0.06% | 0.073 | +5.95% | 0.0572 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.07575 | 0.075574 | -0.23% | 0.0689 | -9.04% | 0.0711 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.08595 | 0.0855 | -0.52% | 0.07575 | -11.87% | 0.1165 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0879 | 0.087714 | -0.21% | 0.08595 | -2.22% | 0.0851 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.10495 | 0.104483 | -0.45% | 0.0879 | -16.25% | 0.1719 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.10535 | 0.104039 | -1.24% | 0.10495 | -0.38% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 1.00 |