MEMEROBINHOOD

? · · beta_5y

token id: #770
symbol: MEMEROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 120

Track record at +7d

assessed

33

of 40 predictions shown

direction hit

93.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2605

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0444

actual -0.2819

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.008887	0.008514	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.009054	0.008716	-3.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.07
2026-10-20	oos	0.009211	0.008864	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-19	oos	0.011556	0.010853	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.010901	0.010328	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.010958	0.01043	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-16	oos	0.012207	0.011448	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2026-10-15	oos	0.014254	0.012978	-8.95%	0.008887	-37.65%	0.3829	✓	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	0.01064	0.010319	-3.02%	0.009054	-14.91%	0.1311	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.0117	0.011216	-4.14%	0.009211	-21.27%	0.1970	✓	-0.05
2026-10-12	oos	0.01209	0.011617	-3.91%	0.011556	-4.42%	0.0052	✓	-0.06
2026-10-11	oos	0.012425	0.011965	-3.70%	0.010901	-12.26%	0.0939	✓	-0.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.012195	0.011922	-2.24%	0.010958	-10.14%	0.0857	✓	-0.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.012895	0.012593	-2.34%	0.012207	-5.34%	0.0321	✓	-0.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.012035	0.012049	+0.12%	0.014254	+18.44%	0.1689	✓	-0.16
2026-10-07	oos	0.01357	0.013398	-1.27%	0.01064	-21.59%	0.2365	✓	-0.29
2026-10-06	oos	0.01678	0.015985	-4.74%	0.0117	-30.27%	0.3335	✓	-0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.017965	0.016983	-5.47%	0.01209	-32.70%	0.3759	✓	-0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.017285	0.016527	-4.38%	0.012425	-28.12%	0.3080	✓	-0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.01557	0.015451	-0.76%	0.012195	-21.68%	0.2148	✓	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.0164	0.01631	-0.55%	0.012895	-21.37%	0.2115	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.017095	0.017048	-0.28%	0.012035	-29.60%	0.3103	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.021475	0.020682	-3.69%	0.01357	-36.81%	0.4180	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.02495	0.023429	-6.10%	0.01678	-32.75%	0.3562	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.02912	0.026584	-8.71%	0.017965	-38.31%	0.4190	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.02693	0.024987	-7.22%	0.017285	-35.82%	0.3924	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.02853	0.026284	-7.87%	0.01557	-45.43%	0.5275	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03015	0.027568	-8.56%	0.0164	-45.61%	0.5243	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.02773	0.025824	-6.87%	0.017095	-38.35%	0.4180	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03443	0.030679	-10.90%	0.021475	-37.63%	0.3469	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03152	0.028537	-9.46%	0.02495	-20.84%	0.1042	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02677	0.0254	-5.12%	0.02912	+8.78%	0.1736	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.027265	0.026589	-2.48%	0.02693	-1.23%	0.0271	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.03062	0.029491	-3.69%	0.02853	-6.83%	0.0716	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.03075	0.029893	-2.79%	0.03015	-1.95%	0.0305	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03702	0.035423	-4.31%	0.02773	-25.09%	0.3449	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02977	0.02999	+0.74%	0.03443	+15.65%	0.0354	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.032345	0.032507	+0.50%	0.03152	-2.55%	0.1622	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.044095	0.042262	-4.16%	0.02677	-39.29%	0.5589	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04952	0.046877	-5.34%	0.027265	-44.94%	0.5971	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.