MEMEROBINHOOD

? · · beta_5y

token id: #770
symbol: MEMEROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-09-04
predictions: 120

Track record at +1d

assessed

39

of 40 predictions shown

direction hit

66.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1095

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0037

actual -0.0480

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.008887	0.008801	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.008887	0.008825	-0.70%	0.008887	-0.01%	0.0068	✓	0.08
2026-10-20	oos	0.009211	0.009168	-0.48%	0.008887	-3.52%	0.0320	✓	0.08
2026-10-19	oos	0.011556	0.01149	-0.57%	0.009211	-20.29%	0.2243	✓	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.010901	0.010869	-0.30%	0.011556	+6.00%	0.0618	✗	0.26
2026-10-17	oos	0.010958	0.010951	-0.07%	0.010901	-0.52%	0.0064	✓	0.25
2026-10-16	oos	0.012207	0.012189	-0.15%	0.010958	-10.23%	0.1061	✓	0.24
2026-10-15	oos	0.014254	0.014154	-0.70%	0.012207	-14.36%	0.1467	✓	0.17
2026-10-14	oos	0.01064	0.010684	+0.41%	0.014254	+33.97%	0.2881	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.0117	0.011732	+0.27%	0.01064	-9.06%	0.0987	✗	-0.05
2026-10-12	oos	0.01209	0.012142	+0.43%	0.0117	-3.23%	0.0360	✗	-0.06
2026-10-11	oos	0.012425	0.01246	+0.29%	0.01209	-2.70%	0.0310	✗	-0.04
2026-10-10	oos	0.012195	0.012248	+0.44%	0.012425	+1.89%	0.0150	✓	-0.08
2026-10-09	oos	0.012895	0.012958	+0.49%	0.012195	-5.43%	0.0604	✗	-0.07
2026-10-08	oos	0.012035	0.012107	+0.60%	0.012895	+7.15%	0.0647	✓	-0.16
2026-10-07	oos	0.01357	0.013623	+0.39%	0.012035	-11.31%	0.1295	✗	-0.29
2026-10-06	oos	0.01678	0.016766	-0.08%	0.01357	-19.13%	0.2314	✓	-0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.017965	0.017917	-0.27%	0.01678	-6.60%	0.0674	✓	-0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.017285	0.017215	-0.41%	0.017965	+3.93%	0.0366	✗	-0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.01557	0.015535	-0.22%	0.017285	+11.01%	0.0861	✗	1.00
2026-10-02	oos	0.0164	0.016367	-0.20%	0.01557	-5.06%	0.0528	✓	1.00
2026-10-01	oos	0.017095	0.017048	-0.28%	0.0164	-4.07%	0.0347	✓	1.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.021475	0.021455	-0.09%	0.017095	-20.40%	0.2425	✓	1.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.02495	0.024849	-0.41%	0.021475	-13.93%	0.1449	✓	1.00
2026-09-28	oos	0.02912	0.02887	-0.86%	0.02495	-14.32%	0.1481	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.02693	0.026734	-0.73%	0.02912	+8.13%	0.0975	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.02853	0.028289	-0.84%	0.02693	-5.61%	0.0498	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.03015	0.02987	-0.93%	0.02853	-5.37%	0.0497	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.02773	0.027518	-0.77%	0.03015	+8.73%	0.0948	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.03443	0.034021	-1.19%	0.02773	-19.46%	0.2045	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.03152	0.031214	-0.97%	0.03443	+9.23%	0.1194	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.02677	0.026522	-0.93%	0.03152	+17.74%	0.1772	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.027265	0.027025	-0.88%	0.02677	-1.82%	0.0743	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.03062	0.030384	-0.77%	0.027265	-10.96%	0.1074	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.03075	0.030514	-0.77%	0.03062	-0.42%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.03702	0.036745	-0.74%	0.03075	-16.94%	0.2357	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.02977	0.029495	-0.92%	0.03702	+24.35%	0.2246	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.032345	0.032106	-0.74%	0.02977	-7.96%	0.0829	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.044095	0.043928	-0.38%	0.032345	-26.65%	0.2724	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04952	0.049276	-0.49%	0.044095	-10.96%	0.1288	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.