GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 228
Track record at +7d
assessed
69
of 76 predictions shown
direction hit
33.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1561
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0376
actual -0.0492
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.24835 | 0.242047 | -2.54% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.258168 | -3.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.248338 | -4.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.225059 | -3.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.211009 | -2.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.210801 | -2.20% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.212796 | -2.34% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.223186 | -2.84% | 0.24835 | +8.12% | 0.1044 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.208904 | -2.47% | 0.2669 | +24.60% | 0.2438 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.202416 | -2.05% | 0.25965 | +25.65% | 0.2492 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.207485 | -2.08% | 0.23295 | +9.93% | 0.1156 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.225543 | -2.53% | 0.21595 | -6.68% | 0.0424 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.227496 | -2.78% | 0.21555 | -7.88% | 0.0529 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.218815 | -2.81% | 0.2179 | -3.22% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.220851 | -3.26% | 0.2297 | +0.61% | 0.0390 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.216644 | -2.85% | 0.2142 | -3.95% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.219832 | -2.94% | 0.20665 | -8.76% | 0.0600 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.217452 | -2.73% | 0.2119 | -5.21% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.215747 | -2.71% | 0.2314 | +4.35% | 0.0724 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.209995 | -2.74% | 0.234 | +8.38% | 0.1095 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.209299 | -3.01% | 0.22515 | +4.33% | 0.0743 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.202598 | -2.48% | 0.2283 | +9.89% | 0.1220 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.201974 | -2.62% | 0.223 | +7.52% | 0.0993 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.197956 | -2.68% | 0.2265 | +11.36% | 0.1331 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.199237 | -3.14% | 0.22355 | +8.68% | 0.1133 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.196407 | -2.62% | 0.22175 | +9.94% | 0.1194 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.19825 | -2.75% | 0.2159 | +5.91% | 0.0850 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.202949 | -3.06% | 0.2158 | +3.08% | 0.0610 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.198642 | -2.96% | 0.20775 | +1.49% | 0.0443 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.189245 | -2.65% | 0.2074 | +6.69% | 0.0926 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.190905 | -2.47% | 0.2034 | +3.91% | 0.0663 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.187706 | -2.36% | 0.2057 | +7.00% | 0.0954 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.183866 | -3.89% | 0.2017 | +5.44% | 0.0887 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.185607 | -4.23% | 0.20385 | +5.19% | 0.0901 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.180556 | -4.67% | 0.20935 | +10.53% | 0.1442 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.167277 | -6.39% | 0.2047 | +14.55% | 0.2067 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.156924 | -6.31% | 0.1944 | +16.06% | 0.2189 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.157134 | -6.55% | 0.19575 | +16.41% | 0.2258 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.158936 | -6.78% | 0.19225 | +12.76% | 0.1966 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.157921 | -7.24% | 0.1913 | +12.36% | 0.1955 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.158986 | -7.40% | 0.1938 | +12.87% | 0.2015 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.161286 | -7.81% | 0.1894 | +8.26% | 0.1640 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.155197 | -7.98% | 0.1787 | +5.96% | 0.1408 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.148418 | -7.38% | 0.1675 | +4.52% | 0.1209 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.154673 | -7.49% | 0.16815 | +0.57% | 0.0831 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.155706 | -7.70% | 0.1705 | +1.07% | 0.0906 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.152323 | -6.84% | 0.17025 | +4.13% | 0.1128 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.15233 | -6.37% | 0.1717 | +5.53% | 0.1208 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.152212 | -5.98% | 0.17495 | +8.06% | 0.1404 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.153415 | -5.42% | 0.16865 | +3.98% | 0.0978 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.152089 | -4.17% | 0.16025 | +0.98% | 0.0527 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.147456 | -1.96% | 0.1672 | +11.17% | 0.1258 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.158338 | -3.04% | 0.1687 | +3.31% | 0.0641 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.169169 | -3.00% | 0.1635 | -6.25% | 0.0314 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.166834 | -2.09% | 0.1627 | -4.52% | 0.0241 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.163749 | -0.70% | 0.1619 | -1.82% | 0.0347 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.170948 | -0.44% | 0.1622 | -5.53% | 0.0648 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.182604 | -0.05% | 0.1587 | -13.14% | 0.1183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.197051 | +0.13% | 0.1504 | -23.58% | 0.2557 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.204461 | +0.28% | 0.1633 | -19.91% | 0.2195 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.232921 | +0.61% | 0.1744 | -24.67% | 0.2885 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.247196 | +0.40% | 0.1704 | -30.79% | 0.3872 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.286583 | +0.34% | 0.1649 | -42.26% | 0.5465 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.274432 | -1.46% | 0.1717 | -38.35% | 0.5638 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.293418 | -3.54% | 0.1827 | -39.94% | 0.6051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.280879 | -4.20% | 0.1968 | -32.88% | 0.5497 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.270164 | -3.96% | 0.2039 | -27.52% | 0.4843 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.271754 | -3.91% | 0.2315 | -18.14% | 0.3730 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.280602 | -4.03% | 0.2462 | -15.80% | 0.3319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.289973 | -4.27% | 0.2856 | -5.71% | 0.2333 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.307987 | -4.62% | 0.2785 | -13.75% | 0.2414 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.302744 | -4.62% | 0.3042 | -4.16% | 0.0840 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.301186 | -4.96% | 0.2932 | -7.48% | 0.0448 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.308117 | -5.98% | 0.2813 | -14.16% | 0.0999 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.295889 | -4.89% | 0.2828 | -9.10% | 0.0137 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.282588 | -4.56% | 0.2924 | -1.25% | 0.0637 | ✗ | 1.00 |