GRVT

GRVT Token · Ethereum · beta_5y

token id: #373
symbol: GRVT
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-30
predictions: 228

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

49.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0375

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0089

actual -0.0037

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.24835	0.24622	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.12
2026-10-21	oos	0.2669	0.264105	-1.05%	0.24835	+1.43%	0.0244	✗	0.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.25965	0.255443	-1.62%	0.2669	+2.79%	0.0443	✗	0.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.23295	0.23023	-1.17%	0.25965	+11.46%	0.1189	✗	0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.21595	0.214467	-0.69%	0.23295	+7.87%	0.0829	✗	0.11
2026-10-17	oos	0.21555	0.214222	-0.62%	0.21595	+0.19%	0.0072	✗	0.11
2026-10-16	oos	0.2179	0.216517	-0.63%	0.21555	-1.08%	0.0043	✓	0.11
2026-10-15	oos	0.2297	0.227828	-0.81%	0.2179	-5.14%	0.0438	✓	0.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.2142	0.212753	-0.68%	0.2297	+7.24%	0.0761	✗	0.09
2026-10-13	oos	0.20665	0.205527	-0.54%	0.2142	+3.65%	0.0434	✗	0.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.2119	0.210814	-0.51%	0.20665	-2.48%	0.0220	✓	0.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.2314	0.229774	-0.70%	0.2119	-8.43%	0.0797	✓	0.05
2026-10-10	oos	0.234	0.232163	-0.78%	0.2314	-1.11%	0.0038	✓	0.06
2026-10-09	oos	0.22515	0.223347	-0.80%	0.234	+3.93%	0.0464	✗	0.05
2026-10-08	oos	0.2283	0.226142	-0.95%	0.22515	-1.38%	0.0050	✓	0.06
2026-10-07	oos	0.223	0.221267	-0.78%	0.2283	+2.38%	0.0327	✗	0.08
2026-10-06	oos	0.2265	0.22457	-0.85%	0.223	-1.55%	0.0053	✓	0.06
2026-10-05	oos	0.22355	0.221856	-0.76%	0.2265	+1.32%	0.0209	✗	0.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.22175	0.22005	-0.77%	0.22355	+0.81%	0.0164	✗	0.07
2026-10-03	oos	0.2159	0.214219	-0.78%	0.22175	+2.71%	0.0334	✗	0.06
2026-10-02	oos	0.2158	0.213818	-0.92%	0.2159	+0.05%	0.0095	✗	0.06
2026-10-01	oos	0.20775	0.206257	-0.72%	0.2158	+3.87%	0.0455	✗	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.2074	0.20583	-0.76%	0.20775	+0.17%	0.0083	✗	0.07
2026-09-29	oos	0.2034	0.201836	-0.77%	0.2074	+1.97%	0.0273	✗	0.07
2026-09-28	oos	0.2057	0.203734	-0.96%	0.2034	-1.12%	0.0018	✓	0.07
2026-09-27	oos	0.2017	0.200211	-0.74%	0.2057	+1.98%	0.0280	✗	0.08
2026-09-26	oos	0.20385	0.202286	-0.77%	0.2017	-1.05%	0.0029	✓	0.08
2026-09-25	oos	0.20935	0.207556	-0.86%	0.20385	-2.63%	0.0183	✓	0.08
2026-09-24	oos	0.2047	0.203003	-0.83%	0.20935	+2.27%	0.0311	✗	0.09
2026-09-23	oos	0.1944	0.193005	-0.72%	0.2047	+5.30%	0.0588	✗	0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.19575	0.194363	-0.71%	0.1944	-0.69%	0.0023	✓	0.10
2026-09-21	oos	0.19225	0.190963	-0.67%	0.19575	+1.82%	0.0252	✗	0.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.1913	0.189469	-0.96%	0.19225	+0.50%	0.0083	✓	0.10
2026-09-19	oos	0.1938	0.191722	-1.07%	0.1913	-1.29%	0.0021	✓	0.10
2026-09-18	oos	0.1894	0.187102	-1.21%	0.1938	+2.32%	0.0347	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.1787	0.176039	-1.49%	0.1894	+5.99%	0.0759	✗	-0.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.1675	0.165254	-1.34%	0.1787	+6.69%	0.0783	✗	-0.05
2026-09-15	oos	0.16815	0.165873	-1.35%	0.1675	-0.39%	0.0101	✓	-0.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.1705	0.168082	-1.42%	0.16815	-1.38%	0.0017	✓	-0.06
2026-09-13	oos	0.17025	0.167754	-1.47%	0.1705	+0.15%	0.0174	✗	-0.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.1717	0.169167	-1.48%	0.17025	-0.84%	0.0060	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.17495	0.172106	-1.63%	0.1717	-1.86%	0.0023	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.16865	0.165849	-1.66%	0.17495	+3.74%	0.0541	✗	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.16025	0.158033	-1.38%	0.16865	+5.24%	0.0650	✗	-0.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.1672	0.164744	-1.47%	0.16025	-4.16%	0.0277	✓	-0.01
2026-09-07	oos	0.1687	0.165887	-1.67%	0.1672	-0.89%	0.0078	✓	-0.01
2026-09-06	oos	0.1635	0.161253	-1.37%	0.1687	+3.18%	0.0457	✗	0.03
2026-09-05	oos	0.1627	0.160701	-1.23%	0.1635	+0.49%	0.0171	✗	0.03
2026-09-04	oos	0.1619	0.160042	-1.15%	0.1627	+0.49%	0.0164	✗	0.04
2026-09-03	oos	0.1622	0.160377	-1.12%	0.1619	-0.18%	0.0105	✓	0.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.1587	0.157595	-0.70%	0.1622	+2.21%	0.0305	✗	-0.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.1504	0.150223	-0.12%	0.1587	+5.52%	0.0549	✗	-0.01
2026-08-31	oos	0.1633	0.162494	-0.49%	0.1504	-7.90%	0.0788	✓	-0.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.1744	0.173309	-0.63%	0.1633	-6.36%	0.0586	✓	-0.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.1704	0.169562	-0.49%	0.1744	+2.35%	0.0278	✗	-0.05
2026-08-28	oos	0.1649	0.164717	-0.11%	0.1704	+3.34%	0.0289	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.1717	0.171386	-0.18%	0.1649	-3.96%	0.0078	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.1827	0.182409	-0.16%	0.1717	-6.02%	0.0762	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.1968	0.196464	-0.17%	0.1827	-7.16%	0.0790	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.2039	0.203643	-0.13%	0.1968	-3.48%	0.0284	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.2315	0.23122	-0.12%	0.2039	-11.92%	0.1417	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.2462	0.245815	-0.16%	0.2315	-5.97%	0.0687	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.2856	0.284811	-0.28%	0.2462	-13.80%	0.1293	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.2785	0.277178	-0.47%	0.2856	+2.55%	0.0403	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.3042	0.301377	-0.93%	0.2785	-8.45%	0.1311	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.2932	0.290158	-1.04%	0.3042	+3.75%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.2813	0.278702	-0.92%	0.2932	+4.23%	0.0476	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.2828	0.280258	-0.90%	0.2813	-0.53%	0.0221	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.2924	0.289742	-0.91%	0.2828	-3.28%	0.0214	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.3029	0.30001	-0.95%	0.2924	-3.47%	0.0264	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.3229	0.319467	-1.06%	0.3029	-6.19%	0.0461	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.3174	0.314138	-1.03%	0.3229	+1.73%	0.0273	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.3169	0.313278	-1.14%	0.3174	+0.16%	0.0150	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.3277	0.322404	-1.62%	0.3169	-3.30%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.3111	0.307568	-1.14%	0.3277	+5.34%	0.0780	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.2961	0.293137	-1.00%	0.3111	+5.07%	0.0604	✗	1.00