GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 228
Track record at +30d
assessed
46
of 76 predictions shown
direction hit
30.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4395
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1061
actual -0.0845
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.24835 | 0.234995 | -5.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.248547 | -6.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.240327 | -7.44% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.218289 | -6.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.204882 | -5.13% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.203761 | -5.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.205367 | -5.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.215323 | -6.26% | – | pending | – | – | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.201936 | -5.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.196579 | -4.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.200452 | -5.40% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.217853 | -5.85% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.219079 | -6.38% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.210838 | -6.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.211757 | -7.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.208126 | -6.67% | – | pending | – | – | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.211715 | -6.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.20926 | -6.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.207979 | -6.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.202154 | -6.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.20156 | -6.60% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.195225 | -6.03% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.19437 | -6.28% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.19095 | -6.12% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.191735 | -6.79% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.188982 | -6.31% | – | pending | – | – | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.190435 | -6.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.194417 | -7.13% | – | pending | – | – | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.190923 | -6.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.182578 | -6.08% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.185464 | -5.25% | 0.24835 | +26.87% | 0.2942 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.182643 | -5.00% | 0.2669 | +38.83% | 0.3842 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.174425 | -8.82% | 0.25965 | +35.73% | 0.3957 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.175688 | -9.35% | 0.23295 | +20.20% | 0.2814 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.170444 | -10.01% | 0.21595 | +14.02% | 0.2353 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.153064 | -14.35% | 0.21555 | +20.62% | 0.3454 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.142692 | -14.81% | 0.2179 | +30.09% | 0.4265 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.142049 | -15.52% | 0.2297 | +36.60% | 0.4845 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.144428 | -15.29% | 0.2142 | +25.63% | 0.3967 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.141942 | -16.63% | 0.20665 | +21.38% | 0.3810 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.142611 | -16.94% | 0.2119 | +23.41% | 0.3999 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.144344 | -17.49% | 0.2314 | +32.27% | 0.4776 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.137952 | -18.20% | 0.234 | +38.75% | 0.5349 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.132368 | -17.40% | 0.22515 | +40.50% | 0.5312 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.138466 | -17.19% | 0.2283 | +36.54% | 0.5005 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.140321 | -16.82% | 0.223 | +32.19% | 0.4639 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.13832 | -15.40% | 0.2265 | +38.53% | 0.4910 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.13829 | -15.00% | 0.22355 | +37.40% | 0.4779 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.138792 | -14.27% | 0.22175 | +36.97% | 0.4656 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.142597 | -12.09% | 0.2159 | +33.11% | 0.4126 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.137843 | -13.14% | 0.2158 | +35.98% | 0.4513 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.133459 | -11.26% | 0.20775 | +38.13% | 0.4432 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.146691 | -10.17% | 0.2074 | +27.01% | 0.3524 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.157871 | -9.48% | 0.2034 | +16.63% | 0.2593 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.156933 | -7.90% | 0.2057 | +20.72% | 0.2739 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.153 | -7.22% | 0.2017 | +22.32% | 0.1947 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.165684 | -3.50% | 0.20385 | +18.72% | 0.1570 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.17925 | -1.89% | 0.20935 | +14.59% | 0.0931 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.19625 | -0.28% | 0.2047 | +4.01% | 0.0298 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.206159 | +1.11% | 0.1944 | -4.66% | 0.1248 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.238156 | +2.87% | 0.19575 | -15.44% | 0.2995 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.253001 | +2.76% | 0.19225 | -21.91% | 0.3913 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.295399 | +3.43% | 0.1913 | -33.02% | 0.4700 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.272517 | -2.15% | 0.1938 | -30.41% | 0.4476 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.281905 | -7.33% | 0.1894 | -37.74% | 0.5522 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.26525 | -9.53% | 0.1787 | -39.05% | 0.5608 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.254998 | -9.35% | 0.1675 | -40.46% | 0.5866 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.255904 | -9.51% | 0.16815 | -40.54% | 0.6047 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.263818 | -9.77% | 0.1705 | -41.69% | 0.6520 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.272144 | -10.15% | 0.17025 | -43.79% | 0.6675 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.288052 | -10.79% | 0.1717 | -46.83% | 0.7147 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.283028 | -10.83% | 0.17495 | -44.88% | 0.6779 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.281329 | -11.22% | 0.16865 | -46.78% | 0.6979 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.287577 | -12.24% | 0.16025 | -51.10% | 0.7876 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.277168 | -10.91% | 0.1672 | -46.26% | 0.6958 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.265303 | -10.40% | 0.1687 | -43.03% | 0.6504 | ✓ | 1.00 |