SAGA

Saga · Saga · beta_5y

token id: #196
symbol: SAGA
variant: –
chain: Saga
address: usaga
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-16
predictions: 2,460

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1217

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0178

actual -0.0309

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.0202	0.019404	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-21	oos	0.02004	0.019256	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-20	oos	0.019545	0.018824	-3.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.018775	0.01815	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-18	oos	0.01851	0.01792	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.01908	0.018472	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.02015	0.019463	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-15	oos	0.01999	0.01932	-3.35%	0.0202	+1.05%	0.0319	✓	0.50
2026-10-14	oos	0.02013	0.019441	-3.42%	0.02004	-0.45%	0.0154	✓	0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.020745	0.020003	-3.58%	0.019545	-5.78%	0.0222	✓	0.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.020445	0.019704	-3.63%	0.018775	-8.17%	0.0489	✓	0.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.022525	0.021678	-3.76%	0.01851	-17.82%	0.1493	✓	0.43
2026-10-10	oos	0.02213	0.021277	-3.85%	0.01908	-13.78%	0.1006	✓	0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.0218	0.020936	-3.96%	0.02015	-7.57%	0.0325	✓	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.022475	0.021553	-4.10%	0.01999	-11.06%	0.0777	✓	0.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.02334	0.022376	-4.13%	0.02013	-13.75%	0.0965	✓	0.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.02469	0.023691	-4.05%	0.020745	-15.98%	0.1211	✓	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.02444	0.023419	-4.18%	0.020445	-16.35%	0.1165	✓	0.40
2026-10-04	oos	0.022865	0.021895	-4.24%	0.022525	-1.49%	0.0434	✗	0.45
2026-10-03	oos	0.023355	0.02234	-4.35%	0.02213	-5.25%	0.0007	✓	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.02255	0.021612	-4.16%	0.0218	-3.33%	0.0195	✓	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.0251	0.024007	-4.36%	0.022475	-10.46%	0.0491	✓	0.44
2026-09-30	oos	0.025095	0.02396	-4.52%	0.02334	-6.99%	0.0247	✓	0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.025775	0.024642	-4.40%	0.02469	-4.21%	0.0086	✓	0.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.027605	0.026418	-4.30%	0.02444	-11.47%	0.0906	✓	0.47
2026-09-27	oos	0.02681	0.025689	-4.18%	0.022865	-14.71%	0.1285	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.03197	0.030601	-4.28%	0.023355	-26.95%	0.2721	✓	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.035605	0.034206	-3.93%	0.02255	-36.67%	0.4190	✓	0.48
2026-09-24	oos	0.07402	0.070367	-4.94%	0.0251	-66.09%	1.0327	✓	0.34
2026-09-23	oos	0.04774	0.04531	-5.09%	0.025095	-47.43%	0.5871	✓	0.38
2026-09-22	oos	0.040475	0.038612	-4.60%	0.025775	-36.32%	0.3886	✓	0.52
2026-09-21	oos	0.039395	0.037471	-4.88%	0.027605	-29.93%	0.2847	✓	0.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.037745	0.035385	-6.25%	0.02681	-28.97%	0.3005	✓	0.58
2026-09-19	oos	0.025085	0.024118	-3.86%	0.03197	+27.45%	0.2587	✗	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.0249	0.023863	-4.17%	0.035605	+42.99%	0.3791	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.02211	0.021279	-3.76%	0.07402	+234.78%	1.2057	✗	0.41
2026-09-16	oos	0.01972	0.01917	-2.79%	0.04774	+142.09%	0.8714	✗	0.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.02417	0.022921	-5.17%	0.040475	+67.46%	0.5095	✗	0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01882	0.018375	-2.37%	0.039395	+109.33%	0.6860	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.01715	0.016783	-2.14%	0.037745	+120.09%	0.7730	✗	0.68
2026-09-12	oos	0.01723	0.016867	-2.11%	0.025085	+45.59%	0.3630	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.01639	0.016066	-1.98%	0.0249	+51.92%	0.4077	✗	0.66
2026-09-10	oos	0.017345	0.016816	-3.05%	0.02211	+27.47%	0.2754	✗	0.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.014	0.013862	-0.99%	0.01972	+40.86%	0.3762	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.0147	0.014546	-1.05%	0.02417	+64.42%	0.5415	✗	0.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.015485	0.015307	-1.15%	0.01882	+21.54%	0.2171	✗	0.90
2026-09-06	oos	0.0155	0.01539	-0.71%	0.01715	+10.65%	0.1502	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.01546	0.015363	-0.63%	0.01723	+11.45%	0.1452	✗	0.93
2026-09-04	oos	0.014815	0.014757	-0.39%	0.01639	+10.63%	0.1331	✗	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.01502	0.015034	+0.09%	0.017345	+15.48%	0.1971	✓	0.90
2026-09-02	oos	0.014595	0.014529	-0.45%	0.014	-4.08%	0.0499	✓	1.02
2026-09-01	oos	0.0147	0.014657	-0.29%	0.0147	+0.00%	0.0111	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.01503	0.015044	+0.09%	0.015485	+3.03%	0.0227	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.014655	0.014645	-0.07%	0.0155	+5.77%	0.0248	✗	0.94
2026-08-29	oos	0.01525	0.015222	-0.18%	0.01546	+1.38%	0.0030	✓	0.92
2026-08-28	oos	0.01509	0.015042	-0.32%	0.014815	-1.82%	0.0365	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.015295	0.01531	+0.10%	0.01502	-1.80%	0.0305	✗	0.93
2026-08-26	oos	0.0153	0.015269	-0.20%	0.014595	-4.61%	0.0246	✓	0.93
2026-08-25	oos	0.01452	0.0145	-0.14%	0.0147	+1.24%	0.0271	✗	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.01496	0.014933	-0.18%	0.01503	+0.47%	0.0115	✗	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.0152	0.015127	-0.48%	0.014655	-3.59%	0.0309	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.01408	0.014015	-0.46%	0.01525	+8.31%	0.0690	✗	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.015745	0.015651	-0.60%	0.01509	-4.16%	0.0304	✓	0.98
2026-08-20	oos	0.01418	0.014011	-1.20%	0.015295	+7.86%	0.0016	✓	0.91
2026-08-19	oos	0.01363	0.013385	-1.80%	0.0153	+12.25%	0.0106	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.013255	0.012923	-2.50%	0.01452	+9.54%	0.0816	✓	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.013465	0.013123	-2.54%	0.01496	+11.10%	0.0767	✓	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.012975	0.01263	-2.66%	0.0152	+17.15%	0.0298	✓	1.01
2026-08-15	oos	0.013015	0.012678	-2.59%	0.01408	+8.18%	0.0970	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.01321	0.012874	-2.55%	0.015745	+19.19%	0.0215	✓	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.01271	0.012424	-2.25%	0.01418	+11.57%	0.0154	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.01427	0.013908	-2.54%	0.01363	-4.48%	0.1179	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.013665	0.013349	-2.31%	0.013255	-3.00%	0.0251	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.01491	0.01451	-2.68%	0.013465	-9.69%	0.0851	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.01487	0.014466	-2.72%	0.012975	-12.74%	0.0794	✓	0.93
2026-08-08	oos	0.01653	0.016022	-3.07%	0.013015	-21.26%	0.1810	✓	0.91
2026-08-07	oos	0.013725	0.01343	-2.15%	0.01321	-3.75%	0.0101	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.013965	0.013647	-2.28%	0.01271	-8.99%	0.0592	✓	0.91
2026-08-05	oos	0.013395	0.013112	-2.11%	0.01427	+6.53%	0.1018	✗	0.92
2026-08-04	oos	0.01308	0.012801	-2.14%	0.013665	+4.47%	0.0728	✗	0.91
2026-08-03	oos	0.013395	0.013089	-2.28%	0.01491	+11.31%	0.1238	✗	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.012855	0.012556	-2.32%	0.01487	+15.67%	0.1494	✗	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.01228	0.012005	-2.24%	0.01653	+34.61%	0.2895	✗	0.90
2026-07-31	oos	0.012285	0.011993	-2.37%	0.013725	+11.72%	0.1056	✗	0.90
2026-07-30	oos	0.012	0.011729	-2.26%	0.013965	+16.38%	0.1813	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.012175	0.011888	-2.35%	0.013395	+10.02%	0.1088	✗	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.01255	0.01224	-2.47%	0.01308	+4.22%	0.0633	✗	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.01231	0.011978	-2.70%	0.013395	+8.81%	0.1152	✗	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.01324	0.01289	-2.64%	0.012855	-2.91%	0.0233	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.01341	0.013034	-2.80%	0.01228	-8.43%	0.0373	✓	0.92
2026-07-24	oos	0.014255	0.013819	-3.06%	0.012285	-13.82%	0.0991	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.012765	0.012405	-2.82%	0.012	-5.99%	0.0282	✓	0.99
2026-07-22	oos	0.01323	0.012848	-2.89%	0.012175	-7.97%	0.0209	✓	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.01354	0.013126	-3.06%	0.01255	-7.31%	0.0049	✓	0.97
2026-07-20	oos	0.01278	0.012368	-3.23%	0.01231	-3.68%	0.0162	✓	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.012045	0.011646	-3.31%	0.01324	+9.92%	0.1195	✗	0.86
2026-07-18	oos	0.012375	0.011945	-3.47%	0.01341	+8.36%	0.1222	✗	0.85
2026-07-17	oos	0.012295	0.011852	-3.60%	0.014255	+15.94%	0.1818	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.01237	0.011919	-3.64%	0.012765	+3.19%	0.0476	✗	1.05
2026-07-15	oos	0.012765	0.012298	-3.66%	0.01323	+3.64%	0.0510	✗	1.05
2026-07-14	oos	0.01259	0.01212	-3.73%	0.01354	+7.55%	0.0864	✗	1.05
2026-07-13	oos	0.012285	0.011846	-3.57%	0.01278	+4.03%	0.0263	✓	1.07
2026-07-12	oos	0.012695	0.012232	-3.65%	0.012045	-5.12%	0.0311	✓	1.07
2026-07-11	oos	0.012735	0.012259	-3.74%	0.012375	-2.83%	0.0068	✓	1.02
2026-07-10	oos	0.01311	0.0126	-3.89%	0.012295	-6.22%	0.0208	✓	1.01
2026-07-09	oos	0.012865	0.012353	-3.98%	0.01237	-3.85%	0.0081	✓	1.01
2026-07-08	oos	0.012865	0.012349	-4.01%	0.012765	-0.78%	0.0061	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.01287	0.012323	-4.25%	0.01259	-2.18%	0.0053	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.01375	0.013179	-4.15%	0.012285	-10.65%	0.0417	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.01395	0.013367	-4.18%	0.012695	-9.00%	0.0541	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.014145	0.013548	-4.22%	0.012735	-9.97%	0.0731	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.0137	0.013129	-4.17%	0.01311	-4.31%	0.0267	✓	0.99
2026-07-02	oos	0.01404	0.013472	-4.05%	0.012865	-8.37%	0.0738	✓	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.012965	0.012458	-3.91%	0.012865	-0.77%	0.0043	✓	0.98
2026-06-30	oos	0.012555	0.012083	-3.76%	0.01287	+2.51%	0.0141	✓	0.98
2026-06-29	oos	0.012925	0.012407	-4.01%	0.01375	+6.38%	0.0419	✗	0.98
2026-06-28	oos	0.012955	0.012438	-3.99%	0.01395	+7.68%	0.0511	✗	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.01281	0.012297	-4.00%	0.014145	+10.42%	0.0902	✗	0.97
2026-06-26	oos	0.01302	0.012498	-4.01%	0.0137	+5.22%	0.0517	✗	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.01316	0.012629	-4.04%	0.01404	+6.69%	0.0772	✗	0.98
2026-06-24	oos	0.0136	0.013029	-4.20%	0.012965	-4.67%	0.0111	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.014455	0.013809	-4.47%	0.012555	-13.14%	0.0307	✓	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.01462	0.013924	-4.76%	0.012925	-11.59%	0.0157	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.01546	0.014588	-5.64%	0.012955	-16.20%	0.0586	✓	0.98
2026-06-20	oos	0.01372	0.013069	-4.74%	0.01281	-6.63%	0.0516	✗	1.04
2026-06-19	oos	0.01305	0.012465	-4.49%	0.01302	-0.23%	0.1016	✗	1.03
2026-06-18	oos	0.01341	0.012803	-4.52%	0.01316	-1.86%	0.0808	✗	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.01376	0.013086	-4.90%	0.0136	-1.16%	0.0958	✗	1.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.014095	0.013376	-5.10%	0.014455	+2.55%	0.1263	✗	1.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.01301	0.012408	-4.63%	0.01462	+12.38%	0.2026	✗	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.01302	0.012434	-4.50%	0.01546	+18.74%	0.2591	✗	1.08
2026-06-13	oos	0.01338	0.012792	-4.39%	0.01372	+2.54%	0.0736	✗	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.01294	0.012455	-3.75%	0.01305	+0.85%	0.0478	✗	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.01311	0.012634	-3.63%	0.01341	+2.29%	0.0713	✗	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.012	0.011765	-1.96%	0.01376	+14.67%	0.1078	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.012545	0.012303	-1.93%	0.014095	+12.36%	0.0730	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.01321	0.012922	-2.18%	0.01301	-1.51%	0.0438	✓	1.02
2026-06-07	oos	0.01346	0.013208	-1.87%	0.01302	-3.27%	0.0531	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.01349	0.013406	-0.62%	0.01338	-0.82%	0.0626	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.0139	0.013822	-0.56%	0.01294	-6.91%	0.1074	✓	1.03
2026-06-04	oos	0.01561	0.015323	-1.84%	0.01311	-16.02%	0.1523	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.01747	0.017045	-2.43%	0.012	-31.31%	0.3127	✓	0.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01654	0.016165	-2.27%	0.012545	-24.15%	0.1745	✓	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.01794	0.017545	-2.20%	0.01321	-26.37%	0.1729	✓	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.01799	0.017669	-1.78%	0.01346	-25.18%	0.1355	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	0.01787	0.017569	-1.69%	0.01349	-24.51%	0.0888	✓	0.91
2026-05-29	oos	0.01784	0.01754	-1.68%	0.0139	-22.09%	0.0628	✓	0.92
2026-05-28	oos	0.018475	0.018184	-1.57%	0.01561	-15.51%	0.0234	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.01875	0.018481	-1.43%	0.01747	-6.83%	0.0766	✗	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.020105	0.019843	-1.30%	0.01654	-17.73%	0.0698	✓	0.87
2026-05-25	oos	0.023435	0.022913	-2.23%	0.01794	-23.45%	0.1763	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.01931	0.019155	-0.80%	0.01799	-6.84%	0.0245	✓	0.85
2026-05-23	oos	0.01991	0.019728	-0.91%	0.01787	-10.25%	0.0662	✓	0.86
2026-05-22	oos	0.019475	0.019267	-1.07%	0.01784	-8.40%	0.0532	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.0206	0.020416	-0.89%	0.018475	-10.32%	0.0553	✓	0.83
2026-05-20	oos	0.02052	0.02035	-0.83%	0.01875	-8.63%	0.0471	✓	0.84
2026-05-19	oos	0.020385	0.020205	-0.89%	0.020105	-1.37%	0.0053	✓	0.83
2026-05-18	oos	0.021895	0.021693	-0.92%	0.023435	+7.03%	0.0739	✗	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.02097	0.020837	-0.63%	0.01931	-7.92%	0.0714	✓	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.02273	0.022569	-0.71%	0.01991	-12.41%	0.1099	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.024385	0.024194	-0.78%	0.019475	-20.14%	0.1806	✓	0.78
2026-05-14	oos	0.0265	0.026252	-0.94%	0.0206	-22.26%	0.2093	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.02909	0.028579	-1.75%	0.02052	-29.46%	0.3129	✓	0.80
2026-05-12	oos	0.04488	0.042013	-6.39%	0.020385	-54.58%	0.6938	✓	0.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.02601	0.025674	-1.29%	0.021895	-15.82%	0.1115	✓	0.79
2026-05-10	oos	0.01997	0.02003	+0.30%	0.02097	+5.01%	0.0971	✓	0.85
2026-05-09	oos	0.0197	0.019684	-0.08%	0.02273	+15.38%	0.1712	✗	0.85
2026-05-08	oos	0.01911	0.019092	-0.09%	0.024385	+27.60%	0.2564	✗	0.83
2026-05-07	oos	0.01818	0.018221	+0.23%	0.0265	+45.76%	0.3636	✓	0.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.018485	0.018609	+0.67%	0.02909	+57.37%	0.4715	✓	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.01823	0.018361	+0.72%	0.04488	+146.19%	0.8989	✓	0.99
2026-05-04	oos	0.01757	0.017658	+0.50%	0.02601	+48.04%	0.3649	✓	0.97
2026-05-03	oos	0.01781	0.017841	+0.17%	0.01997	+12.13%	0.0693	✓	0.96
2026-05-02	oos	0.01776	0.017786	+0.15%	0.0197	+10.92%	0.0782	✓	0.97
2026-05-01	oos	0.01715	0.017126	-0.14%	0.01911	+11.43%	0.0857	✗	0.97
2026-04-30	oos	0.017015	0.016946	-0.40%	0.01818	+6.85%	0.0213	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.01737	0.017276	-0.54%	0.018485	+6.42%	0.0074	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.01748	0.017366	-0.65%	0.01823	+4.29%	0.0140	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.017475	0.017374	-0.58%	0.01757	+0.54%	0.0228	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.017725	0.017656	-0.39%	0.01781	+0.48%	0.0103	✗	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.0174	0.01727	-0.75%	0.01776	+2.07%	0.0137	✗	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.01781	0.017662	-0.83%	0.01715	-3.71%	0.0403	✓	1.10
2026-04-23	oos	0.01766	0.017529	-0.74%	0.017015	-3.65%	0.0016	✓	1.10
2026-04-22	oos	0.01731	0.017147	-0.94%	0.01737	+0.35%	0.0480	✗	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.018155	0.017958	-1.08%	0.01748	-3.72%	0.0266	✓	1.12
2026-04-20	oos	0.018535	0.018324	-1.14%	0.017475	-5.72%	0.0693	✓	1.12
2026-04-19	oos	0.01845	0.018126	-1.76%	0.017725	-3.93%	0.0948	✓	1.14
2026-04-18	oos	0.02128	0.021152	-0.60%	0.0174	-18.23%	0.2232	✓	1.12
2026-04-17	oos	0.027215	0.027138	-0.28%	0.01781	-34.56%	0.4262	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.02657	0.026377	-0.72%	0.01766	-33.53%	0.4445	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.026955	0.026691	-0.98%	0.01731	-35.78%	0.4801	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.02686	0.026559	-1.12%	0.018155	-32.41%	0.4113	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.02782	0.02749	-1.19%	0.018535	-33.38%	0.4142	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.02737	0.026822	-2.00%	0.01845	-32.59%	0.4222	✓	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.02832	0.02791	-1.45%	0.02128	-24.86%	0.3115	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.02819	0.027823	-1.30%	0.027215	-3.46%	0.0838	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.02831	0.02789	-1.48%	0.02657	-6.15%	0.1004	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.02702	0.026599	-1.56%	0.026955	-0.24%	0.0447	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.02935	0.028938	-1.40%	0.02686	-8.48%	0.1093	✓	1.12
2026-04-06	oos	0.02841	0.027877	-1.88%	0.02782	-2.08%	0.0904	✓	1.13
2026-04-05	oos	0.02898	0.028431	-1.89%	0.02737	-5.56%	0.0664	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.029835	0.029209	-2.10%	0.02832	-5.08%	0.1253	✓	1.14
2026-04-03	oos	0.028205	0.027636	-2.02%	0.02819	-0.05%	0.0788	✓	1.14
2026-04-02	oos	0.027015	0.026514	-1.85%	0.02831	+4.79%	0.0149	✓	1.14
2026-04-01	oos	0.028485	0.028019	-1.64%	0.02702	-5.14%	0.0849	✓	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02728	0.026891	-1.43%	0.02935	+7.59%	0.0270	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02824	0.027822	-1.48%	0.02841	+0.60%	0.0154	✓	1.16
2026-03-29	oos	0.02713	0.026792	-1.25%	0.02898	+6.82%	0.0264	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.02862	0.028321	-1.05%	0.029835	+4.25%	0.0353	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.02884	0.028612	-0.79%	0.028205	-2.20%	0.0248	✓	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.02934	0.02926	-0.27%	0.027015	-7.92%	0.0476	✓	1.17
2026-03-25	oos	0.03119	0.031198	+0.02%	0.028485	-8.67%	0.0378	✗	1.16
2026-03-24	oos	0.0307	0.03073	+0.10%	0.02728	-11.14%	0.0803	✗	1.16
2026-03-23	oos	0.03012	0.030192	+0.24%	0.02824	-6.24%	0.0032	✓	1.16
2026-03-22	oos	0.02907	0.029104	+0.12%	0.02713	-6.67%	0.0374	✗	1.16
2026-03-21	oos	0.03052	0.030537	+0.06%	0.02862	-6.23%	0.0203	✗	1.16
2026-03-20	oos	0.03102	0.031044	+0.08%	0.02884	-7.03%	0.0033	✗	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	0.03068	0.030694	+0.04%	0.02934	-4.37%	0.0259	✗	1.16
2026-03-18	oos	0.03241	0.032389	-0.06%	0.03119	-3.76%	0.0387	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.03409	0.034029	-0.18%	0.0307	-9.94%	0.0482	✓	1.16
2026-03-16	oos	0.0348	0.034709	-0.26%	0.03012	-13.45%	0.0771	✓	1.18
2026-03-15	oos	0.03385	0.033765	-0.25%	0.02907	-14.12%	0.0666	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	0.03399	0.03388	-0.32%	0.03052	-10.21%	0.0652	✓	1.19
2026-03-13	oos	0.03436	0.034241	-0.35%	0.03102	-9.72%	0.0912	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.03411	0.03398	-0.38%	0.03068	-10.06%	0.0917	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.03478	0.034573	-0.59%	0.03241	-6.81%	0.0821	✓	1.19
2026-03-10	oos	0.03266	0.032537	-0.38%	0.03409	+4.38%	0.0189	✓	1.19
2026-03-09	oos	0.03109	0.030997	-0.30%	0.0348	+11.93%	0.0094	✗	1.18
2026-03-08	oos	0.03067	0.030572	-0.32%	0.03385	+10.37%	0.0167	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.02969	0.029638	-0.17%	0.03399	+14.48%	0.0674	✗	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03167	0.031578	-0.29%	0.03436	+8.49%	0.0356	✗	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.03208	0.031991	-0.28%	0.03411	+6.33%	0.0703	✗	1.22
2026-03-04	oos	0.03242	0.032315	-0.32%	0.03478	+7.28%	0.1159	✗	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0326	0.03249	-0.34%	0.03266	+0.18%	0.0252	✓	1.29
2026-03-02	oos	0.02987	0.029841	-0.10%	0.03109	+4.08%	0.0485	✗	1.29
2026-03-01	oos	0.02882	0.028835	+0.05%	0.03067	+6.42%	0.0577	✓	1.29
2026-02-28	oos	0.03017	0.030148	-0.07%	0.02969	-1.59%	0.0210	✓	1.31
2026-02-27	oos	0.030455	0.030418	-0.12%	0.03167	+3.99%	0.0037	✓	1.31
2026-02-26	oos	0.03044	0.030399	-0.13%	0.03208	+5.39%	0.0111	✓	1.32
2026-02-25	oos	0.03135	0.031259	-0.29%	0.03242	+3.41%	0.0517	✓	1.32
2026-02-24	oos	0.02889	0.028897	+0.02%	0.0326	+12.84%	0.0365	✓	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.029195	0.029188	-0.02%	0.02987	+2.31%	0.0574	✓	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.03072	0.030622	-0.32%	0.02882	-6.18%	0.0251	✓	1.28
2026-02-21	oos	0.03137	0.031238	-0.42%	0.03017	-3.83%	0.0159	✓	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.032015	0.031851	-0.51%	0.030455	-4.87%	0.0042	✓	1.28
2026-02-19	oos	0.03174	0.031608	-0.42%	0.03044	-4.10%	0.0475	✓	1.28
2026-02-18	oos	0.03252	0.032363	-0.48%	0.03135	-3.60%	0.0626	✓	1.32
2026-02-17	oos	0.03461	0.034337	-0.79%	0.02889	-16.53%	0.1181	✓	1.06
2026-02-16	oos	0.03456	0.034256	-0.88%	0.029195	-15.52%	0.0930	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.03583	0.03541	-1.17%	0.03072	-14.26%	0.1238	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.03387	0.03359	-0.83%	0.03137	-7.38%	0.0398	✓	1.07
2026-02-13	oos	0.03316	0.032945	-0.65%	0.032015	-3.45%	0.0156	✓	1.07
2026-02-12	oos	0.03225	0.03214	-0.34%	0.03174	-1.58%	0.0249	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.03194	0.031846	-0.29%	0.03252	+1.82%	0.0306	✗	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.02987	0.02991	+0.13%	0.03461	+15.87%	0.1674	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.03141	0.031372	-0.12%	0.03456	+10.03%	0.1162	✗	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.03117	0.031198	+0.09%	0.03583	+14.95%	0.1622	✓	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.03288	0.032886	+0.02%	0.03387	+3.01%	0.0207	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.03335	0.03334	-0.03%	0.03316	-0.57%	0.0225	✗	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.02907	0.029876	+2.77%	0.03225	+10.94%	0.0177	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.034805	0.03472	-0.24%	0.03194	-8.23%	0.0167	✗	1.17
2026-02-03	oos	0.034995	0.034832	-0.47%	0.02987	-14.64%	0.0402	✓	1.19
2026-02-02	oos	0.03587	0.035547	-0.90%	0.03141	-12.43%	0.0183	✗	1.23
2026-02-01	oos	0.03433	0.034322	-0.02%	0.03117	-9.20%	0.0119	✗	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.0361	0.035872	-0.63%	0.03288	-8.92%	0.0773	✗	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.04212	0.041346	-1.84%	0.03335	-20.82%	0.0044	✓	1.20
2026-01-29	oos	0.04236	0.041516	-1.99%	0.02907	-31.37%	0.0021	✓	1.21
2026-01-28	oos	0.04791	0.046916	-2.08%	0.034805	-27.35%	0.0722	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.04801	0.047046	-2.01%	0.034995	-27.11%	0.1061	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.0478	0.046767	-2.16%	0.03587	-24.96%	0.1351	✓	1.13
2026-01-25	oos	0.04549	0.044523	-2.13%	0.03433	-24.53%	0.1272	✓	1.12
2026-01-24	oos	0.04984	0.048811	-2.06%	0.0361	-27.57%	0.1664	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.04781	0.046644	-2.44%	0.04212	-11.90%	0.0345	✓	1.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.05072	0.049453	-2.50%	0.04236	-16.48%	0.0923	✓	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.05398	0.052493	-2.76%	0.04791	-11.24%	0.0889	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.05441	0.052887	-2.80%	0.04801	-11.76%	0.1069	✓	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.05993	0.058306	-2.71%	0.0478	-20.24%	0.1476	✓	1.07
2026-01-18	oos	0.0669	0.065111	-2.67%	0.04549	-32.00%	0.2748	✓	1.07
2026-01-17	oos	0.06146	0.060044	-2.30%	0.04984	-18.91%	0.1143	✓	1.10
2026-01-16	oos	0.06281	0.061516	-2.06%	0.04781	-23.88%	0.1803	✓	1.10
2026-01-15	oos	0.05834	0.057144	-2.05%	0.05072	-13.06%	0.0463	✓	1.10
2026-01-14	oos	0.0615	0.060685	-1.33%	0.05398	-12.23%	0.0277	✓	1.10
2026-01-13	oos	0.0646	0.063578	-1.58%	0.05441	-15.77%	0.0687	✓	1.13
2026-01-12	oos	0.0562	0.054622	-2.81%	0.05993	+6.64%	0.0776	✗	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.0575	0.056086	-2.46%	0.0669	+16.35%	0.1453	✗	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.0589	0.057656	-2.11%	0.06146	+4.35%	0.0102	✓	1.05
2026-01-09	oos	0.059	0.057925	-1.82%	0.06281	+6.46%	0.0211	✗	1.12
2026-01-08	oos	0.0596	0.058681	-1.54%	0.05834	-2.11%	0.0608	✓	1.12
2026-01-07	oos	0.0612	0.060368	-1.36%	0.0615	+0.49%	0.0862	✓	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.0647	0.064031	-1.03%	0.0646	-0.15%	0.0217	✓	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.0646	0.063918	-1.06%	0.0562	-13.00%	0.0781	✓	1.75
2026-01-04	oos	0.0645	0.063647	-1.32%	0.0575	-10.85%	0.0893	✓	1.80
2026-01-03	oos	0.0618	0.060975	-1.33%	0.0589	-4.69%	0.0302	✓	1.80
2026-01-02	oos	0.063	0.062081	-1.46%	0.059	-6.35%	0.0620	✓	1.80
2026-01-01	oos	0.0611	0.060142	-1.57%	0.0596	-2.45%	0.0546	✓	1.79
2025-12-31	oos	0.0563	0.05543	-1.54%	0.0612	+8.70%	0.0252	✗	1.74
2025-12-30	oos	0.0557	0.054935	-1.37%	0.0647	+16.16%	0.0605	✗	1.76
2025-12-29	oos	0.0564	0.055631	-1.36%	0.0646	+14.54%	0.0192	✗	1.74
2025-12-28	oos	0.0593	0.058556	-1.25%	0.0645	+8.77%	0.0265	✗	1.74
2025-12-27	oos	0.0607	0.059983	-1.18%	0.0618	+1.81%	0.0235	✓	1.71
2025-12-26	oos	0.059	0.058382	-1.05%	0.063	+6.78%	0.0251	✗	1.70
2025-12-25	oos	0.057	0.056531	-0.82%	0.0611	+7.19%	0.0475	✗	1.70
2025-12-24	oos	0.0594	0.05896	-0.74%	0.0563	-5.22%	0.0440	✓	1.70
2025-12-23	oos	0.0593	0.058855	-0.75%	0.0557	-6.07%	0.0740	✓	1.71
2025-12-22	oos	0.058	0.057649	-0.61%	0.0564	-2.76%	0.0066	✗	1.73
2025-12-21	oos	0.0582	0.057869	-0.57%	0.0593	+1.89%	0.0394	✗	1.73
2025-12-20	oos	0.0608	0.060377	-0.70%	0.0607	-0.16%	0.0157	✗	1.77
2025-12-19	oos	0.0596	0.059199	-0.67%	0.059	-1.01%	0.0127	✗	1.77
2025-12-18	oos	0.0566	0.056253	-0.61%	0.057	+0.71%	0.0219	✓	1.77
2025-12-17	oos	0.0578	0.057451	-0.60%	0.0594	+2.77%	0.0047	✓	1.78
2025-12-16	oos	0.063	0.062545	-0.72%	0.0593	-5.87%	0.0447	✓	1.76
2025-12-15	oos	0.0632	0.062722	-0.76%	0.058	-8.23%	0.1216	✓	1.77
2025-12-14	oos	0.0669	0.066362	-0.80%	0.0582	-13.00%	0.1406	✓	1.77
2025-12-13	oos	0.0717	0.071083	-0.86%	0.0608	-15.20%	0.1182	✓	1.76
2025-12-12	oos	0.0699	0.069331	-0.81%	0.0596	-14.74%	0.1081	✓	1.76
2025-12-11	oos	0.0709	0.070298	-0.85%	0.0566	-20.17%	0.0750	✓	1.78
2025-12-10	oos	0.071	0.070361	-0.90%	0.0578	-18.59%	0.0801	✓	1.78
2025-12-09	oos	0.073	0.072295	-0.97%	0.063	-13.70%	0.0404	✓	1.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.0699	0.069296	-0.86%	0.0632	-9.59%	0.0069	✓	1.78
2025-12-07	oos	0.0691	0.068555	-0.79%	0.0669	-3.18%	0.0200	✗	1.78
2025-12-06	oos	0.0719	0.071289	-0.85%	0.0717	-0.28%	0.0141	✓	1.80
2025-12-05	oos	0.069	0.068494	-0.73%	0.0699	+1.30%	0.0016	✓	1.80
2025-12-04	oos	0.0718	0.071216	-0.81%	0.0709	-1.25%	0.0133	✓	1.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.0749	0.074247	-0.87%	0.071	-5.21%	0.0169	✓	1.82
2025-12-02	oos	0.0751	0.07451	-0.79%	0.073	-2.80%	0.0482	✓	1.84
2025-12-01	oos	0.071	0.070547	-0.64%	0.0699	-1.55%	0.1033	✓	1.90
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.077553	-0.89%	0.0691	-11.69%	0.1161	✓	1.92
2025-11-29	oos	0.07905	0.078318	-0.93%	0.0719	-9.04%	0.0526	✓	1.90
2025-11-28	oos	0.0808	0.080053	-0.92%	0.069	-14.60%	0.1157	✓	1.90
2025-11-27	oos	0.08385	0.082996	-1.02%	0.0718	-14.37%	0.1610	✓	1.90
2025-11-26	oos	0.08755	0.086591	-1.10%	0.0749	-14.45%	0.2068	✓	1.90
2025-11-25	oos	0.08885	0.087867	-1.11%	0.0751	-15.48%	0.2457	✓	1.99
2025-11-24	oos	0.08875	0.087734	-1.14%	0.071	-20.00%	0.1663	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.08635	0.085405	-1.09%	0.07825	-9.38%	0.1684	✓	2.01
2025-11-22	oos	0.08625	0.085339	-1.06%	0.07905	-8.35%	0.2234	✓	2.10
2025-11-21	oos	0.09335	0.091904	-1.55%	0.0808	-13.44%	0.2679	✓	2.10
2025-11-20	oos	0.1142	0.110191	-3.51%	0.08385	-26.58%	0.3820	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.08525	0.084337	-1.07%	0.08755	+2.70%	0.0666	✗	2.67
2025-11-18	oos	0.08265	0.081761	-1.08%	0.08885	+7.50%	0.2504	✗	2.69
2025-11-17	oos	0.07945	0.078705	-0.94%	0.08875	+11.71%	0.2351	✗	2.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.082	0.081084	-1.12%	0.08635	+5.30%	0.2832	✗	2.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.08505	0.084001	-1.23%	0.08625	+1.41%	0.3531	✗	2.71
2025-11-14	oos	0.0849	0.083908	-1.17%	0.09335	+9.95%	0.3923	✗	2.72
2025-11-13	oos	0.08795	0.08661	-1.52%	0.1142	+29.85%	0.6831	✗	2.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.09065	0.089185	-1.62%	0.08525	-5.96%	0.2612	✗	2.90
2025-11-11	oos	0.092	0.090477	-1.66%	0.08265	-10.16%	0.2098	✗	2.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.10315	0.101217	-1.87%	0.07945	-22.98%	0.1615	✗	2.88
2025-11-09	oos	0.1014	0.099469	-1.90%	0.082	-19.13%	0.1132	✗	2.90
2025-11-08	oos	0.09815	0.096131	-2.06%	0.08505	-13.35%	0.0767	✗	2.92
2025-11-07	oos	0.0988	0.096539	-2.29%	0.0849	-14.07%	0.1270	✗	2.88
2025-11-06	oos	0.08365	0.082123	-1.83%	0.08795	+5.14%	0.1153	✗	2.80
2025-11-05	oos	0.0847	0.083108	-1.88%	0.09065	+7.02%	0.1486	✗	2.84
2025-11-04	oos	0.08105	0.079709	-1.65%	0.092	+13.51%	0.1001	✗	2.87
2025-11-03	oos	0.08535	0.083534	-2.13%	0.10315	+20.86%	0.2274	✗	3.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.10165	0.099462	-2.15%	0.1014	-0.25%	0.1802	✗	2.96
2025-11-01	oos	0.09955	0.097386	-2.17%	0.09815	-1.41%	0.2251	✗	2.97
2025-10-31	oos	0.09405	0.091943	-2.24%	0.0988	+5.05%	0.2468	✗	2.97
2025-10-30	oos	0.09355	0.091696	-1.98%	0.08365	-10.58%	0.1074	✗	2.97
2025-10-29	oos	0.10345	0.101606	-1.78%	0.0847	-18.12%	0.0131	✓	2.93
2025-10-28	oos	0.10255	0.100755	-1.75%	0.08105	-20.97%	0.1046	✗	3.02
2025-10-27	oos	0.10895	0.107028	-1.76%	0.08535	-21.66%	0.0208	✓	3.01
2025-10-26	oos	0.11645	0.114412	-1.75%	0.10165	-12.71%	0.0112	✓	3.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.1135	0.111649	-1.63%	0.09955	-12.29%	0.0700	✓	3.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.11195	0.10998	-1.76%	0.09405	-15.99%	0.1148	✓	3.09
2025-10-23	oos	0.11395	0.11207	-1.65%	0.09355	-17.90%	0.1293	✓	3.10
2025-10-22	oos	0.1096	0.108102	-1.37%	0.10345	-5.61%	0.1138	✓	3.11
2025-10-21	oos	0.11465	0.112985	-1.45%	0.10255	-10.55%	0.2245	✓	3.11
2025-10-20	oos	0.12245	0.120213	-1.83%	0.10895	-11.02%	0.1967	✓	3.14
2025-10-19	oos	0.12285	0.120935	-1.56%	0.11645	-5.21%	0.2017	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.12155	0.119942	-1.32%	0.1135	-6.62%	0.1827	✓	3.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.11985	0.11844	-1.18%	0.11195	-6.59%	0.1876	✓	3.12
2025-10-16	oos	0.1246	0.122612	-1.60%	0.11395	-8.55%	0.1282	✓	3.13
2025-10-15	oos	0.12925	0.126561	-2.08%	0.1096	-15.20%	0.0507	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.13585	0.133016	-2.09%	0.11465	-15.61%	0.0136	✓	3.17
2025-10-13	oos	0.14545	0.142732	-1.87%	0.12245	-15.81%	0.0213	✓	3.17
2025-10-12	oos	0.1329	0.128938	-2.98%	0.12285	-7.56%	0.1270	✗	3.07
2025-10-11	oos	0.12115	0.117235	-3.23%	0.12155	+0.33%	0.1369	✗	3.09
2025-10-10	oos	0.12685	0.122714	-3.26%	0.11985	-5.52%	0.1601	✗	3.09
2025-10-09	oos	0.19935	0.198391	-0.48%	0.1246	-37.50%	0.1914	✓	2.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.20705	0.206398	-0.32%	0.12925	-37.58%	0.2180	✓	2.33
2025-10-07	oos	0.199	0.198064	-0.47%	0.13585	-31.73%	0.2008	✓	2.48
2025-10-06	oos	0.21995	0.219626	-0.15%	0.14545	-33.87%	0.2202	✓	2.44
2025-10-05	oos	0.20715	0.206681	-0.23%	0.1329	-35.84%	0.2689	✓	2.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.2123	0.211695	-0.28%	0.12115	-42.93%	0.3123	✓	2.45
2025-10-03	oos	0.21945	0.21856	-0.41%	0.12685	-42.20%	0.3490	✓	2.46
2025-10-02	oos	0.22475	0.223238	-0.67%	0.19935	-11.30%	0.1356	✓	2.49
2025-10-01	oos	0.2153	0.213596	-0.79%	0.20705	-3.83%	0.1285	✓	2.52
2025-09-30	oos	0.20915	0.206881	-1.08%	0.199	-4.85%	0.2030	✓	2.64
2025-09-29	oos	0.20345	0.201178	-1.12%	0.21995	+8.11%	0.1454	✓	2.71
2025-09-28	oos	0.2131	0.210125	-1.40%	0.20715	-2.79%	0.2871	✓	2.84
2025-09-27	oos	0.2075	0.204216	-1.58%	0.2123	+2.31%	0.2791	✓	2.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.20955	0.205957	-1.71%	0.21945	+4.72%	0.2516	✓	2.89
2025-09-25	oos	0.1997	0.195836	-1.93%	0.22475	+12.54%	0.1541	✓	2.89
2025-09-24	oos	0.21865	0.214143	-2.06%	0.2153	-1.53%	0.1290	✓	2.94
2025-09-23	oos	0.21325	0.208776	-2.10%	0.20915	-1.92%	0.0517	✓	2.95
2025-09-22	oos	0.21845	0.21376	-2.15%	0.20345	-6.87%	0.0910	✓	2.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.2513	0.245999	-2.11%	0.2131	-15.20%	0.0675	✓	2.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.255	0.249442	-2.18%	0.2075	-18.63%	0.0318	✓	2.83
2025-09-19	oos	0.24655	0.24099	-2.26%	0.20955	-15.01%	0.0109	✓	2.83
2025-09-18	oos	0.2656	0.259774	-2.19%	0.1997	-24.81%	0.0622	✓	2.81

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.