SAGA

Saga · Saga · beta_5y

token id: #196
symbol: SAGA
variant: –
chain: Saga
address: usaga
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-07-16
predictions: 2,460

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

72.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2327

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0385

actual -0.0998

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.0202	0.018191	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-21	oos	0.01969	0.017619	-10.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-20	oos	0.019545	0.017539	-10.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-19	oos	0.018775	0.016842	-10.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-18	oos	0.01851	0.016617	-10.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.01908	0.017182	-9.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.02015	0.018119	-10.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-15	oos	0.01999	0.018024	-9.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-14	oos	0.02013	0.018149	-9.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.020745	0.018731	-9.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.020445	0.018465	-9.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.022525	0.020258	-10.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-10	oos	0.02213	0.019895	-10.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-09	oos	0.0218	0.019603	-10.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-08	oos	0.022475	0.020144	-10.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.02334	0.02094	-10.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.02469	0.022254	-9.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.02444	0.022043	-9.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-04	oos	0.022865	0.020674	-9.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-03	oos	0.023355	0.020979	-10.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.02255	0.020277	-10.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.0251	0.022586	-10.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-09-30	oos	0.025095	0.022556	-10.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-29	oos	0.025775	0.023237	-9.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-28	oos	0.027605	0.02508	-9.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-27	oos	0.02681	0.024461	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.03197	0.029143	-8.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.035605	0.032404	-8.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-24	oos	0.07402	0.064922	-12.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-09-23	oos	0.04774	0.043107	-9.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2026-09-22	oos	0.040475	0.036809	-9.06%	0.0202	-50.09%	0.5881	✓	0.52
2026-09-21	oos	0.039395	0.035808	-9.11%	0.01969	-50.02%	0.5720	✓	0.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.037745	0.033561	-11.08%	0.019545	-48.22%	0.5532	✓	0.58
2026-09-19	oos	0.025085	0.022618	-9.83%	0.018775	-25.15%	0.1907	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.0249	0.022407	-10.01%	0.01851	-25.66%	0.1986	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.02211	0.019877	-10.10%	0.01908	-13.70%	0.0670	✓	0.41
2026-09-16	oos	0.01972	0.017952	-8.97%	0.02015	+2.18%	0.0884	✓	0.40
2026-09-15	oos	0.02417	0.021463	-11.20%	0.01999	-17.29%	0.1085	✓	0.45
2026-09-14	oos	0.01882	0.017286	-8.15%	0.02013	+6.96%	0.1205	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.01715	0.015955	-6.97%	0.020745	+20.96%	0.2090	✗	0.68
2026-09-12	oos	0.01723	0.016047	-6.87%	0.020445	+18.66%	0.2041	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.01639	0.015404	-6.01%	0.022525	+37.43%	0.3272	✗	0.66
2026-09-10	oos	0.017345	0.016113	-7.11%	0.02213	+27.59%	0.2631	✗	0.68
2026-09-09	oos	0.014	0.013543	-3.26%	0.0218	+55.71%	0.4307	✗	0.86
2026-09-08	oos	0.0147	0.014047	-4.44%	0.022475	+52.89%	0.4332	✗	0.91
2026-09-07	oos	0.015485	0.01467	-5.26%	0.02334	+50.73%	0.4180	✗	0.90
2026-09-06	oos	0.0155	0.014867	-4.08%	0.02469	+59.29%	0.4489	✗	0.93
2026-09-05	oos	0.01546	0.014914	-3.53%	0.02444	+58.09%	0.4272	✗	0.93
2026-09-04	oos	0.014815	0.014417	-2.69%	0.022865	+54.34%	0.3876	✗	0.89
2026-09-03	oos	0.01502	0.014832	-1.25%	0.023355	+55.49%	0.4162	✗	0.90
2026-09-02	oos	0.014595	0.014368	-1.56%	0.02255	+54.50%	0.3596	✗	1.02
2026-09-01	oos	0.0147	0.014513	-1.27%	0.0251	+70.75%	0.4521	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.01503	0.015001	-0.19%	0.025095	+66.97%	0.4577	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.014655	0.014588	-0.46%	0.025775	+75.88%	0.4992	✗	0.94
2026-08-29	oos	0.01525	0.015097	-1.01%	0.027605	+81.02%	0.5443	✗	0.92
2026-08-28	oos	0.01509	0.014918	-1.14%	0.02681	+77.67%	0.5115	✗	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.015295	0.015341	+0.30%	0.03197	+109.02%	0.6876	✓	0.93
2026-08-26	oos	0.0153	0.015255	-0.30%	0.035605	+132.71%	0.7895	✗	0.93
2026-08-25	oos	0.01452	0.014635	+0.79%	0.07402	+409.78%	1.5542	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.01496	0.015042	+0.55%	0.04774	+219.12%	1.0922	✓	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.0152	0.015118	-0.54%	0.040475	+166.28%	0.8793	✗	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.01408	0.014135	+0.39%	0.039395	+179.79%	0.9057	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.015745	0.015579	-1.05%	0.037745	+139.73%	0.8501	✗	0.98
2026-08-20	oos	0.01418	0.013861	-2.25%	0.025085	+76.90%	0.4963	✗	0.91
2026-08-19	oos	0.01363	0.013139	-3.60%	0.0249	+82.69%	0.4945	✗	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.013255	0.012517	-5.57%	0.02211	+66.80%	0.3996	✗	1.02
2026-08-17	oos	0.013465	0.012679	-5.84%	0.01972	+46.45%	0.2714	✗	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.012975	0.012172	-6.19%	0.02417	+86.28%	0.4993	✗	1.01
2026-08-15	oos	0.013015	0.012233	-6.01%	0.01882	+44.60%	0.2145	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.01321	0.012413	-6.04%	0.01715	+29.83%	0.1206	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.01271	0.012096	-4.83%	0.01723	+35.56%	0.1469	✗	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.01427	0.01338	-6.24%	0.01639	+14.86%	0.0139	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.013665	0.012906	-5.55%	0.017345	+26.93%	0.1088	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.01491	0.013945	-6.47%	0.014	-6.10%	0.2332	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.01487	0.013967	-6.07%	0.0147	-1.14%	0.1263	✓	0.93
2026-08-08	oos	0.01653	0.01528	-7.56%	0.015485	-6.32%	0.1662	✓	0.91
2026-08-07	oos	0.013725	0.013054	-4.89%	0.0155	+12.93%	0.0180	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.013965	0.013192	-5.54%	0.01546	+10.71%	0.0379	✓	0.91
2026-08-05	oos	0.013395	0.01273	-4.96%	0.014815	+10.60%	0.0410	✓	0.92
2026-08-04	oos	0.01308	0.012422	-5.03%	0.01502	+14.83%	0.0271	✓	0.91
2026-08-03	oos	0.013395	0.012638	-5.65%	0.014595	+8.96%	0.0389	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.012855	0.012168	-5.34%	0.0147	+14.35%	0.0035	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.01228	0.011604	-5.50%	0.01503	+22.39%	0.0559	✓	0.90
2026-07-31	oos	0.012285	0.011573	-5.79%	0.014655	+19.29%	0.0446	✓	0.90
2026-07-30	oos	0.012	0.011359	-5.35%	0.01525	+27.08%	0.1125	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.012175	0.011476	-5.74%	0.01509	+23.94%	0.0843	✗	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.01255	0.011801	-5.97%	0.015295	+21.87%	0.0407	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.01231	0.011572	-6.00%	0.0153	+24.29%	0.0740	✗	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.01324	0.012419	-6.20%	0.01452	+9.67%	0.0107	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.01341	0.012532	-6.55%	0.01496	+11.56%	0.0129	✓	0.92
2026-07-24	oos	0.014255	0.013218	-7.27%	0.0152	+6.63%	0.0415	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.012765	0.011951	-6.38%	0.01408	+10.30%	0.0037	✓	0.99
2026-07-22	oos	0.01323	0.012387	-6.37%	0.015745	+19.01%	0.0741	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.01354	0.012658	-6.51%	0.01418	+4.73%	0.0227	✓	0.97
2026-07-20	oos	0.01278	0.011974	-6.30%	0.01363	+6.65%	0.0757	✗	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.012045	0.011345	-5.81%	0.013255	+10.05%	0.1556	✗	0.86
2026-07-18	oos	0.012375	0.011621	-6.09%	0.013465	+8.81%	0.1514	✗	0.85
2026-07-17	oos	0.012295	0.011538	-6.16%	0.012975	+5.53%	0.1330	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.01237	0.011588	-6.32%	0.013015	+5.21%	0.1286	✗	1.05
2026-07-15	oos	0.012765	0.011944	-6.43%	0.01321	+3.49%	0.1294	✗	1.05
2026-07-14	oos	0.01259	0.01178	-6.43%	0.01271	+0.95%	0.1015	✗	1.05
2026-07-13	oos	0.012285	0.011456	-6.75%	0.01427	+16.16%	0.2001	✗	1.07
2026-07-12	oos	0.012695	0.011811	-6.96%	0.013665	+7.64%	0.1493	✗	1.07
2026-07-11	oos	0.012735	0.01183	-7.11%	0.01491	+17.08%	0.2292	✗	1.02
2026-07-10	oos	0.01311	0.012142	-7.38%	0.01487	+13.42%	0.1913	✗	1.01
2026-07-09	oos	0.012865	0.011901	-7.49%	0.01653	+28.49%	0.3012	✗	1.01
2026-07-08	oos	0.012865	0.011892	-7.56%	0.013725	+6.68%	0.1014	✗	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.01287	0.011899	-7.55%	0.013965	+8.51%	0.1448	✗	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.01375	0.012701	-7.63%	0.013395	-2.58%	0.0435	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.01395	0.012837	-7.98%	0.01308	-6.24%	0.0112	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.014145	0.012962	-8.36%	0.013395	-5.30%	0.0266	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.0137	0.012555	-8.36%	0.012855	-6.17%	0.0081	✓	0.99
2026-07-02	oos	0.01404	0.01279	-8.90%	0.01228	-12.54%	0.0618	✓	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.012965	0.01186	-8.52%	0.012285	-5.24%	0.0104	✓	0.98
2026-06-30	oos	0.012555	0.011478	-8.58%	0.012	-4.42%	0.0541	✓	0.98
2026-06-29	oos	0.012925	0.01178	-8.86%	0.012175	-5.80%	0.0262	✓	0.98
2026-06-28	oos	0.012955	0.011767	-9.17%	0.01255	-3.13%	0.0031	✓	0.95
2026-06-27	oos	0.01281	0.011636	-9.17%	0.01231	-3.90%	0.0027	✓	0.97
2026-06-26	oos	0.01302	0.011792	-9.43%	0.01324	+1.69%	0.0326	✓	0.98
2026-06-25	oos	0.01316	0.011885	-9.68%	0.01341	+1.90%	0.0482	✓	0.98
2026-06-24	oos	0.0136	0.01226	-9.85%	0.014255	+4.82%	0.1037	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.014455	0.012949	-10.42%	0.012765	-11.69%	0.0501	✓	0.95
2026-06-22	oos	0.01462	0.013058	-10.68%	0.01323	-9.51%	0.0185	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.01546	0.01364	-11.77%	0.01354	-12.42%	0.0569	✓	0.98
2026-06-20	oos	0.01372	0.012265	-10.61%	0.01278	-6.85%	0.0253	✓	1.04
2026-06-19	oos	0.01305	0.01166	-10.65%	0.012045	-7.70%	0.0131	✓	1.03
2026-06-18	oos	0.01341	0.011916	-11.14%	0.012375	-7.72%	0.0068	✓	1.03
2026-06-17	oos	0.01376	0.012181	-11.47%	0.012295	-10.65%	0.0182	✓	1.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.014095	0.012478	-11.48%	0.01237	-12.24%	0.0214	✓	1.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.01301	0.011585	-10.95%	0.012765	-1.88%	0.1227	✗	1.08
2026-06-14	oos	0.01302	0.011553	-11.27%	0.01259	-3.30%	0.0978	✓	1.08
2026-06-13	oos	0.01338	0.011863	-11.34%	0.012285	-8.18%	0.0727	✓	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.01294	0.011535	-10.86%	0.012695	-1.89%	0.0924	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.01311	0.011746	-10.40%	0.012735	-2.86%	0.0773	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.012	0.010917	-9.02%	0.01311	+9.25%	0.1392	✗	1.02
2026-06-09	oos	0.012545	0.011463	-8.62%	0.012865	+2.55%	0.0910	✗	1.02
2026-06-08	oos	0.01321	0.012089	-8.48%	0.012865	-2.61%	0.0756	✓	1.02
2026-06-07	oos	0.01346	0.012389	-7.96%	0.01287	-4.38%	0.0378	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.01349	0.012565	-6.85%	0.01375	+1.93%	0.0365	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.0139	0.013006	-6.43%	0.01395	+0.36%	0.0278	✓	1.03
2026-06-04	oos	0.01561	0.014463	-7.35%	0.014145	-9.39%	0.0112	✓	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.01747	0.015988	-8.49%	0.0137	-21.58%	0.1322	✓	0.93
2026-06-02	oos	0.01654	0.015289	-7.56%	0.01404	-15.11%	0.0028	✓	1.02
2026-06-01	oos	0.01794	0.016745	-6.66%	0.012965	-27.73%	0.0995	✓	0.90
2026-05-31	oos	0.01799	0.017008	-5.46%	0.012555	-30.21%	0.0957	✓	0.91
2026-05-30	oos	0.01787	0.016949	-5.16%	0.012925	-27.67%	0.0853	✓	0.91
2026-05-29	oos	0.01784	0.016923	-5.14%	0.012955	-27.38%	0.0736	✓	0.92
2026-05-28	oos	0.018475	0.017549	-5.01%	0.01281	-30.66%	0.1284	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.01875	0.017903	-4.52%	0.01302	-30.56%	0.1274	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.020105	0.019328	-3.86%	0.01316	-34.54%	0.1762	✓	0.87
2026-05-25	oos	0.023435	0.022109	-5.66%	0.0136	-41.97%	0.2838	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.01931	0.018827	-2.50%	0.014455	-25.14%	0.0898	✓	0.85
2026-05-23	oos	0.01991	0.019358	-2.77%	0.01462	-26.57%	0.1257	✓	0.86
2026-05-22	oos	0.019475	0.018829	-3.32%	0.01546	-20.62%	0.0467	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.0206	0.020089	-2.48%	0.01372	-33.40%	0.2240	✓	0.83
2026-05-20	oos	0.02052	0.02011	-2.00%	0.01305	-36.40%	0.2660	✓	0.84
2026-05-19	oos	0.020385	0.019838	-2.69%	0.01341	-34.22%	0.2259	✓	0.83
2026-05-18	oos	0.021895	0.021307	-2.68%	0.01376	-37.15%	0.2880	✓	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.02097	0.020553	-1.99%	0.014095	-32.78%	0.2386	✓	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.02273	0.022289	-1.94%	0.01301	-42.76%	0.4033	✓	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.024385	0.023879	-2.07%	0.01302	-46.61%	0.4627	✓	0.78
2026-05-14	oos	0.0265	0.025814	-2.59%	0.01338	-49.51%	0.4862	✓	0.74
2026-05-13	oos	0.02909	0.027234	-6.38%	0.01294	-55.52%	0.5677	✓	0.80
2026-05-12	oos	0.04488	0.038641	-13.90%	0.01311	-70.79%	0.9341	✓	0.62
2026-05-11	oos	0.02601	0.02532	-2.65%	0.012	-53.86%	0.5212	✓	0.79
2026-05-10	oos	0.01997	0.020451	+2.41%	0.012545	-37.18%	0.2438	✗	0.85
2026-05-09	oos	0.0197	0.019874	+0.88%	0.01321	-32.94%	0.1993	✗	0.85
2026-05-08	oos	0.01911	0.019233	+0.64%	0.01346	-29.57%	0.1610	✗	0.83
2026-05-07	oos	0.01818	0.018615	+2.39%	0.01349	-25.80%	0.0966	✗	0.82
2026-05-06	oos	0.018485	0.019284	+4.32%	0.0139	-24.80%	0.0604	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.01823	0.019091	+4.73%	0.01561	-14.37%	0.0331	✓	0.99
2026-05-04	oos	0.01757	0.018301	+4.16%	0.01747	-0.57%	0.1665	✓	0.97
2026-05-03	oos	0.01781	0.018358	+3.08%	0.01654	-7.13%	0.0533	✓	0.96
2026-05-02	oos	0.01776	0.018404	+3.63%	0.01794	+1.01%	0.0696	✓	0.97
2026-05-01	oos	0.01715	0.017724	+3.35%	0.01799	+4.90%	0.0745	✓	0.97
2026-04-30	oos	0.017015	0.017495	+2.82%	0.01787	+5.02%	0.0562	✓	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.01737	0.01781	+2.53%	0.01784	+2.71%	0.0349	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.01748	0.017968	+2.79%	0.018475	+5.69%	0.0679	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.017475	0.018155	+3.89%	0.01875	+7.30%	0.0754	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.017725	0.018718	+5.60%	0.020105	+13.43%	0.1112	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.0174	0.018213	+4.67%	0.023435	+34.68%	0.2577	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.01781	0.018614	+4.52%	0.01931	+8.42%	0.0436	✓	1.10
2026-04-23	oos	0.01766	0.01874	+6.12%	0.01991	+12.74%	0.0837	✓	1.10
2026-04-22	oos	0.01731	0.018366	+6.10%	0.019475	+12.51%	0.0982	✓	1.10
2026-04-21	oos	0.018155	0.018918	+4.20%	0.0206	+13.47%	0.0678	✓	1.12
2026-04-20	oos	0.018535	0.01921	+3.64%	0.02052	+10.71%	0.0425	✓	1.12
2026-04-19	oos	0.01845	0.018664	+1.16%	0.020385	+10.49%	0.0437	✓	1.14
2026-04-18	oos	0.02128	0.022165	+4.16%	0.021895	+2.89%	0.0300	✓	1.12
2026-04-17	oos	0.027215	0.028008	+2.91%	0.02097	-22.95%	0.2937	✗	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.02657	0.026786	+0.81%	0.02273	-14.45%	0.2051	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.026955	0.026955	+0.00%	0.024385	-9.53%	0.1588	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.02686	0.026671	-0.71%	0.0265	-1.34%	0.1018	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.02782	0.027444	-1.35%	0.02909	+4.57%	0.0085	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.02737	0.026541	-3.03%	0.04488	+63.98%	0.3797	✗	1.13
2026-04-11	oos	0.02832	0.027701	-2.18%	0.02601	-8.16%	0.1894	✓	1.13
2026-04-10	oos	0.02819	0.02763	-1.99%	0.01997	-29.16%	0.4587	✓	1.13
2026-04-09	oos	0.02831	0.027574	-2.60%	0.0197	-30.41%	0.4680	✓	1.13
2026-04-08	oos	0.02702	0.026378	-2.38%	0.01911	-29.27%	0.4581	✓	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.02935	0.0285	-2.90%	0.01818	-38.06%	0.5691	✓	1.12
2026-04-06	oos	0.02841	0.027378	-3.63%	0.018485	-34.93%	0.5828	✓	1.13
2026-04-05	oos	0.02898	0.027875	-3.81%	0.01823	-37.09%	0.6048	✓	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.029835	0.02845	-4.64%	0.01757	-41.11%	0.6774	✓	1.14
2026-04-03	oos	0.028205	0.027006	-4.25%	0.01781	-36.86%	0.5988	✓	1.14
2026-04-02	oos	0.027015	0.025985	-3.81%	0.01776	-34.26%	0.5651	✓	1.14
2026-04-01	oos	0.028485	0.027432	-3.70%	0.01715	-39.79%	0.6272	✓	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02728	0.026439	-3.08%	0.017015	-37.63%	0.5695	✓	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02824	0.027153	-3.85%	0.01737	-38.49%	0.5942	✓	1.16
2026-03-29	oos	0.02713	0.026239	-3.28%	0.01748	-35.57%	0.5744	✓	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.02862	0.027681	-3.28%	0.017475	-38.94%	0.6378	✓	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.02884	0.028022	-2.84%	0.017725	-38.54%	0.6544	✓	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.02934	0.028907	-1.48%	0.0174	-40.70%	0.6494	✓	1.17
2026-03-25	oos	0.03119	0.031018	-0.55%	0.01781	-42.90%	0.6512	✓	1.16
2026-03-24	oos	0.0307	0.030508	-0.62%	0.01766	-42.48%	0.6679	✓	1.16
2026-03-23	oos	0.03012	0.030049	-0.24%	0.01731	-42.53%	0.6662	✓	1.16
2026-03-22	oos	0.02907	0.028671	-1.37%	0.018155	-37.55%	0.5945	✓	1.16
2026-03-21	oos	0.03052	0.030003	-1.69%	0.018535	-39.27%	0.5932	✓	1.16
2026-03-20	oos	0.03102	0.030575	-1.43%	0.01845	-40.52%	0.5586	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	0.03068	0.030226	-1.48%	0.02128	-30.64%	0.4438	✓	1.16
2026-03-18	oos	0.03241	0.031768	-1.98%	0.027215	-16.03%	0.2466	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.03409	0.033374	-2.10%	0.02657	-22.06%	0.2472	✓	1.16
2026-03-16	oos	0.0348	0.034112	-1.98%	0.026955	-22.54%	0.2347	✓	1.18
2026-03-15	oos	0.03385	0.033227	-1.84%	0.02686	-20.65%	0.2342	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	0.03399	0.033212	-2.29%	0.02782	-18.15%	0.2295	✓	1.19
2026-03-13	oos	0.03436	0.033567	-2.31%	0.02737	-20.34%	0.2009	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.03411	0.033381	-2.14%	0.02832	-16.97%	0.2070	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.03478	0.033925	-2.46%	0.02819	-18.95%	0.2317	✓	1.19
2026-03-10	oos	0.03266	0.032194	-1.43%	0.02831	-13.32%	0.1593	✓	1.19
2026-03-09	oos	0.03109	0.030761	-1.06%	0.02702	-13.09%	0.1745	✓	1.18
2026-03-08	oos	0.03067	0.030168	-1.64%	0.02935	-4.30%	0.1308	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.02969	0.02951	-0.61%	0.02841	-4.31%	0.0664	✓	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03167	0.031268	-1.27%	0.02898	-8.49%	0.0916	✓	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.03208	0.031826	-0.79%	0.029835	-7.00%	0.0012	✓	1.22
2026-03-04	oos	0.03242	0.032213	-0.64%	0.028205	-13.00%	0.0325	✓	1.22
2026-03-03	oos	0.0326	0.032062	-1.65%	0.027015	-17.13%	0.1437	✓	1.29
2026-03-02	oos	0.02987	0.029772	-0.33%	0.028485	-4.64%	0.0306	✓	1.29
2026-03-01	oos	0.02882	0.028636	-0.64%	0.02728	-5.34%	0.0958	✓	1.29
2026-02-28	oos	0.03017	0.029899	-0.90%	0.02824	-6.40%	0.0526	✓	1.31
2026-02-27	oos	0.030455	0.030045	-1.35%	0.02713	-10.92%	0.1040	✓	1.31
2026-02-26	oos	0.03044	0.030146	-0.97%	0.02862	-5.98%	0.0288	✓	1.32
2026-02-25	oos	0.03135	0.030901	-1.43%	0.02884	-8.01%	0.0368	✓	1.32
2026-02-24	oos	0.02889	0.028537	-1.22%	0.02934	+1.56%	0.0646	✓	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.029195	0.028874	-1.10%	0.03119	+6.83%	0.0483	✓	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.03072	0.030352	-1.20%	0.0307	-0.07%	0.0428	✓	1.28
2026-02-21	oos	0.03137	0.030869	-1.60%	0.03012	-3.98%	0.0787	✓	1.29
2026-02-20	oos	0.032015	0.03138	-1.98%	0.02907	-9.20%	0.0739	✓	1.28
2026-02-19	oos	0.03174	0.031109	-1.99%	0.03052	-3.84%	0.0557	✓	1.28
2026-02-18	oos	0.03252	0.031719	-2.46%	0.03102	-4.61%	0.1008	✓	1.32
2026-02-17	oos	0.03461	0.033348	-3.65%	0.03068	-11.36%	0.1211	✓	1.06
2026-02-16	oos	0.03456	0.03331	-3.62%	0.03241	-6.22%	0.0633	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.03583	0.034203	-4.54%	0.03409	-4.86%	0.0799	✓	1.06
2026-02-14	oos	0.03387	0.032644	-3.62%	0.0348	+2.75%	0.0118	✓	1.07
2026-02-13	oos	0.03316	0.032017	-3.45%	0.03385	+2.08%	0.0052	✓	1.07
2026-02-12	oos	0.03225	0.031233	-3.15%	0.03399	+5.40%	0.0058	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.03194	0.030974	-3.02%	0.03436	+7.58%	0.0434	✗	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.02987	0.02926	-2.04%	0.03411	+14.19%	0.1263	✗	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.03141	0.030391	-3.24%	0.03478	+10.73%	0.1333	✗	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.03117	0.030185	-3.16%	0.03266	+4.78%	0.0838	✗	1.11
2026-02-07	oos	0.03288	0.031575	-3.97%	0.03109	-5.44%	0.0022	✓	1.13
2026-02-06	oos	0.03335	0.031793	-4.67%	0.03067	-8.04%	0.0398	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.02907	0.02893	-0.48%	0.02969	+2.13%	0.0503	✓	1.11
2026-02-04	oos	0.034805	0.032843	-5.64%	0.03167	-9.01%	0.0450	✓	1.17
2026-02-03	oos	0.034995	0.032879	-6.05%	0.03208	-8.33%	0.0532	✓	1.19
2026-02-02	oos	0.03587	0.033548	-6.47%	0.03242	-9.62%	0.0632	✓	1.23
2026-02-01	oos	0.03433	0.03245	-5.48%	0.0326	-5.04%	0.1466	✗	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.0361	0.034074	-5.61%	0.02987	-17.26%	0.0404	✓	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.04212	0.039436	-6.37%	0.02882	-31.58%	0.0195	✓	1.20
2026-01-29	oos	0.04236	0.039784	-6.08%	0.03017	-28.78%	0.0042	✓	1.21
2026-01-28	oos	0.04791	0.045004	-6.07%	0.030455	-36.43%	0.0477	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.04801	0.045326	-5.59%	0.03044	-36.60%	0.0758	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.0478	0.045212	-5.41%	0.03135	-34.41%	0.0708	✓	1.13
2026-01-25	oos	0.04549	0.043453	-4.48%	0.02889	-36.49%	0.0707	✓	1.12
2026-01-24	oos	0.04984	0.047396	-4.90%	0.029195	-41.42%	0.1361	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.04781	0.045631	-4.56%	0.03072	-35.75%	0.0899	✓	1.09
2026-01-22	oos	0.05072	0.048316	-4.74%	0.03137	-38.15%	0.1299	✓	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.05398	0.051163	-5.22%	0.032015	-40.69%	0.1686	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.05441	0.05164	-5.09%	0.03174	-41.67%	0.1780	✓	1.12
2026-01-19	oos	0.05993	0.056873	-5.10%	0.03252	-45.74%	0.2032	✓	1.07
2026-01-18	oos	0.0669	0.063551	-5.01%	0.03461	-48.27%	0.2579	✓	1.07
2026-01-17	oos	0.06146	0.05868	-4.52%	0.03456	-43.77%	0.1742	✓	1.10
2026-01-16	oos	0.06281	0.059923	-4.60%	0.03583	-42.95%	0.1535	✓	1.10
2026-01-15	oos	0.05834	0.055743	-4.45%	0.03387	-41.94%	0.1516	✓	1.10
2026-01-14	oos	0.0615	0.059361	-3.48%	0.03316	-46.08%	0.2062	✓	1.10
2026-01-13	oos	0.0646	0.061899	-4.18%	0.03225	-50.08%	0.2398	✓	1.13
2026-01-12	oos	0.0562	0.053253	-5.24%	0.03194	-43.17%	0.1997	✓	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.0575	0.054519	-5.18%	0.02987	-48.05%	0.3139	✓	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.0589	0.056083	-4.78%	0.03141	-46.67%	0.3125	✓	1.05
2026-01-09	oos	0.059	0.056375	-4.45%	0.03117	-47.17%	0.3101	✓	1.12
2026-01-08	oos	0.0596	0.057164	-4.09%	0.03288	-44.83%	0.2454	✓	1.12
2026-01-07	oos	0.0612	0.058915	-3.73%	0.03335	-45.51%	0.1210	✓	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.0647	0.063178	-2.35%	0.02907	-55.07%	0.0804	✓	1.74
2026-01-05	oos	0.0646	0.063106	-2.31%	0.034805	-46.12%	0.1560	✓	1.75
2026-01-04	oos	0.0645	0.062191	-3.58%	0.034995	-45.74%	0.2337	✓	1.80
2026-01-03	oos	0.0618	0.059547	-3.65%	0.03587	-41.96%	0.2525	✓	1.80
2026-01-02	oos	0.063	0.060391	-4.14%	0.03433	-45.51%	0.2827	✓	1.80
2026-01-01	oos	0.0611	0.058251	-4.66%	0.0361	-40.92%	0.2625	✓	1.79
2025-12-31	oos	0.0563	0.053423	-5.11%	0.04212	-25.19%	0.1688	✓	1.74
2025-12-30	oos	0.0557	0.05322	-4.45%	0.04236	-23.95%	0.1490	✓	1.76
2025-12-29	oos	0.0564	0.053992	-4.27%	0.04791	-15.05%	0.1601	✓	1.74
2025-12-28	oos	0.0593	0.057058	-3.78%	0.04801	-19.04%	0.1970	✓	1.74
2025-12-27	oos	0.0607	0.058509	-3.61%	0.0478	-21.25%	0.2107	✓	1.71
2025-12-26	oos	0.059	0.056849	-3.65%	0.04549	-22.90%	0.2086	✓	1.70
2025-12-25	oos	0.057	0.055201	-3.16%	0.04984	-12.56%	0.1389	✓	1.70
2025-12-24	oos	0.0594	0.057769	-2.75%	0.04781	-19.51%	0.2251	✓	1.70
2025-12-23	oos	0.0593	0.0576	-2.87%	0.05072	-14.47%	0.1666	✓	1.71
2025-12-22	oos	0.058	0.056827	-2.02%	0.05398	-6.93%	0.0671	✓	1.73
2025-12-21	oos	0.0582	0.057263	-1.61%	0.05441	-6.51%	0.0447	✓	1.73
2025-12-20	oos	0.0608	0.059603	-1.97%	0.05993	-1.43%	0.0777	✓	1.77
2025-12-19	oos	0.0596	0.058391	-2.03%	0.0669	+12.25%	0.0280	✗	1.77
2025-12-18	oos	0.0566	0.05493	-2.95%	0.06146	+8.59%	0.0769	✓	1.77
2025-12-17	oos	0.0578	0.056455	-2.33%	0.06281	+8.67%	0.0754	✓	1.78
2025-12-16	oos	0.063	0.061777	-1.94%	0.05834	-7.40%	0.2059	✓	1.76
2025-12-15	oos	0.0632	0.061712	-2.35%	0.0615	-2.69%	0.2073	✓	1.77
2025-12-14	oos	0.0669	0.065549	-2.02%	0.0646	-3.44%	0.1538	✓	1.77
2025-12-13	oos	0.0717	0.070355	-1.88%	0.0562	-21.62%	0.2427	✓	1.76
2025-12-12	oos	0.0699	0.068926	-1.39%	0.0575	-17.74%	0.1928	✓	1.76
2025-12-11	oos	0.0709	0.070307	-0.84%	0.0589	-16.93%	0.1348	✓	1.78
2025-12-10	oos	0.071	0.070311	-0.97%	0.059	-16.90%	0.1457	✓	1.78
2025-12-09	oos	0.073	0.072148	-1.17%	0.0596	-18.36%	0.1582	✓	1.81
2025-12-08	oos	0.0699	0.069015	-1.27%	0.0612	-12.45%	0.1324	✓	1.78
2025-12-07	oos	0.0691	0.068297	-1.16%	0.0647	-6.37%	0.1182	✓	1.78
2025-12-06	oos	0.0719	0.070545	-1.88%	0.0646	-10.15%	0.1787	✓	1.80
2025-12-05	oos	0.069	0.068189	-1.17%	0.0645	-6.52%	0.0985	✓	1.80
2025-12-04	oos	0.0718	0.071107	-0.96%	0.0618	-13.93%	0.1105	✓	1.82
2025-12-03	oos	0.0749	0.074157	-0.99%	0.063	-15.89%	0.0937	✓	1.82
2025-12-02	oos	0.0751	0.074147	-1.27%	0.0611	-18.64%	0.1409	✓	1.84
2025-12-01	oos	0.071	0.069911	-1.53%	0.0563	-20.70%	0.2432	✓	1.90
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.076573	-2.14%	0.0557	-28.82%	0.2760	✓	1.92
2025-11-29	oos	0.07905	0.077237	-2.29%	0.0564	-28.65%	0.2351	✓	1.90
2025-11-28	oos	0.0808	0.078717	-2.58%	0.0593	-26.61%	0.2189	✓	1.90
2025-11-27	oos	0.08385	0.081411	-2.91%	0.0607	-27.61%	0.2191	✓	1.90
2025-11-26	oos	0.08755	0.084272	-3.74%	0.059	-32.61%	0.2886	✓	1.90
2025-11-25	oos	0.08885	0.085027	-4.30%	0.057	-35.85%	0.3964	✓	1.99
2025-11-24	oos	0.08875	0.08474	-4.52%	0.0594	-33.07%	0.3404	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.08635	0.082432	-4.54%	0.0593	-31.33%	0.3437	✓	2.01
2025-11-22	oos	0.08625	0.082249	-4.64%	0.058	-32.75%	0.4431	✓	2.10
2025-11-21	oos	0.09335	0.088103	-5.62%	0.0582	-37.65%	0.5009	✓	2.10
2025-11-20	oos	0.1142	0.104061	-8.88%	0.0608	-46.76%	0.5788	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.08525	0.081707	-4.16%	0.0596	-30.09%	0.2152	✓	2.67
2025-11-18	oos	0.08265	0.079609	-3.68%	0.0566	-31.52%	0.1157	✓	2.69
2025-11-17	oos	0.07945	0.076918	-3.19%	0.0578	-27.25%	0.1070	✓	2.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.082	0.079224	-3.39%	0.063	-23.17%	0.0413	✓	2.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.08505	0.081821	-3.80%	0.0632	-25.69%	0.0136	✓	2.71
2025-11-14	oos	0.0849	0.08173	-3.73%	0.0669	-21.20%	0.0119	✓	2.72
2025-11-13	oos	0.08795	0.084682	-3.72%	0.0717	-18.48%	0.1186	✗	2.89
2025-11-12	oos	0.09065	0.087293	-3.70%	0.0699	-22.89%	0.1220	✗	2.90
2025-11-11	oos	0.092	0.088464	-3.84%	0.0709	-22.93%	0.0906	✗	2.91
2025-11-10	oos	0.10315	0.098234	-4.77%	0.071	-31.17%	0.0810	✗	2.88
2025-11-09	oos	0.1014	0.096463	-4.87%	0.073	-28.01%	0.0739	✗	2.90
2025-11-08	oos	0.09815	0.093292	-4.95%	0.0699	-28.78%	0.0640	✗	2.92
2025-11-07	oos	0.0988	0.093898	-4.96%	0.0691	-30.06%	0.0764	✗	2.88
2025-11-06	oos	0.08365	0.08022	-4.10%	0.0719	-14.05%	0.2447	✗	2.80
2025-11-05	oos	0.0847	0.082113	-3.05%	0.069	-18.54%	0.2542	✗	2.84
2025-11-04	oos	0.08105	0.078521	-3.12%	0.0718	-11.41%	0.1889	✗	2.87
2025-11-03	oos	0.08535	0.08281	-2.98%	0.0749	-12.24%	0.2960	✗	3.02
2025-11-02	oos	0.10165	0.097721	-3.87%	0.0751	-26.12%	0.3030	✗	2.96
2025-11-01	oos	0.09955	0.095524	-4.04%	0.071	-28.68%	0.4259	✗	2.97
2025-10-31	oos	0.09405	0.090524	-3.75%	0.07825	-16.80%	0.4255	✗	2.97
2025-10-30	oos	0.09355	0.090737	-3.01%	0.07905	-15.50%	0.3856	✗	2.97
2025-10-29	oos	0.10345	0.100494	-2.86%	0.0808	-21.89%	0.3413	✗	2.93
2025-10-28	oos	0.10255	0.100161	-2.33%	0.08385	-18.24%	0.4624	✗	3.02
2025-10-27	oos	0.10895	0.105863	-2.83%	0.08755	-19.64%	0.5082	✗	3.01
2025-10-26	oos	0.11645	0.112237	-3.62%	0.08885	-23.70%	0.5814	✗	3.00
2025-10-25	oos	0.1135	0.109946	-3.13%	0.08875	-21.81%	0.5072	✗	3.07
2025-10-24	oos	0.11195	0.108311	-3.25%	0.08635	-22.87%	0.5338	✗	3.09
2025-10-23	oos	0.11395	0.110296	-3.21%	0.08625	-24.31%	0.5678	✗	3.10
2025-10-22	oos	0.1096	0.106678	-2.67%	0.09335	-14.83%	0.5960	✗	3.11
2025-10-21	oos	0.11465	0.111424	-2.81%	0.1142	-0.39%	0.7231	✗	3.11
2025-10-20	oos	0.12245	0.117924	-3.70%	0.08525	-30.38%	0.2709	✗	3.14
2025-10-19	oos	0.12285	0.118537	-3.51%	0.08265	-32.72%	0.1276	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.12155	0.117574	-3.27%	0.07945	-34.64%	0.0834	✗	3.13
2025-10-17	oos	0.11985	0.116032	-3.19%	0.082	-31.58%	0.0348	✗	3.12
2025-10-16	oos	0.1246	0.11989	-3.78%	0.08505	-31.74%	0.0455	✗	3.13
2025-10-15	oos	0.12925	0.123946	-4.10%	0.0849	-34.31%	0.1246	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.13585	0.130678	-3.81%	0.08795	-35.26%	0.0062	✓	3.17
2025-10-13	oos	0.14545	0.140115	-3.67%	0.09065	-37.68%	0.0368	✓	3.17
2025-10-12	oos	0.1329	0.128454	-3.35%	0.092	-30.78%	0.0059	✓	3.07
2025-10-11	oos	0.12115	0.118543	-2.15%	0.10315	-14.86%	0.0027	✓	3.09
2025-10-10	oos	0.12685	0.12525	-1.26%	0.1014	-20.06%	0.0242	✗	3.09
2025-10-09	oos	0.19935	0.198947	-0.20%	0.09815	-50.76%	0.3021	✓	2.33
2025-10-08	oos	0.20705	0.207413	+0.18%	0.0988	-52.28%	0.3276	✗	2.33
2025-10-07	oos	0.199	0.198803	-0.10%	0.08365	-57.96%	0.4165	✓	2.48
2025-10-06	oos	0.21995	0.22151	+0.71%	0.0847	-61.49%	0.5157	✗	2.44
2025-10-05	oos	0.20715	0.209148	+0.96%	0.08105	-60.87%	0.4689	✗	2.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.2123	0.21411	+0.85%	0.08535	-59.80%	0.5790	✗	2.45
2025-10-03	oos	0.21945	0.220949	+0.68%	0.10165	-53.68%	0.5274	✗	2.46
2025-10-02	oos	0.22475	0.223424	-0.59%	0.09955	-55.71%	0.5801	✓	2.49
2025-10-01	oos	0.2153	0.213667	-0.76%	0.09405	-56.32%	0.6198	✓	2.52
2025-09-30	oos	0.20915	0.205162	-1.91%	0.09355	-55.27%	0.6487	✓	2.64
2025-09-29	oos	0.20345	0.199931	-1.73%	0.10345	-49.15%	0.5543	✓	2.71
2025-09-28	oos	0.2131	0.206769	-2.97%	0.10255	-51.88%	0.7191	✓	2.84
2025-09-27	oos	0.2075	0.199726	-3.75%	0.10895	-47.49%	0.7197	✓	2.88
2025-09-26	oos	0.20955	0.201234	-3.97%	0.11645	-44.43%	0.6722	✓	2.89
2025-09-25	oos	0.1997	0.191754	-3.98%	0.1135	-43.16%	0.5933	✓	2.89
2025-09-24	oos	0.21865	0.209329	-4.26%	0.11195	-48.80%	0.5655	✓	2.94
2025-09-23	oos	0.21325	0.204174	-4.26%	0.11395	-46.57%	0.5327	✓	2.95
2025-09-22	oos	0.21845	0.209108	-4.28%	0.1096	-49.83%	0.5104	✓	2.90
2025-09-21	oos	0.2513	0.239157	-4.83%	0.11465	-54.38%	0.5616	✓	2.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.255	0.242173	-5.03%	0.12245	-51.98%	0.5525	✓	2.83
2025-09-19	oos	0.24655	0.234658	-4.82%	0.12285	-50.17%	0.4699	✓	2.83
2025-09-18	oos	0.2656	0.252504	-4.93%	0.12155	-54.24%	0.4829	✓	2.81

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.