DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 459
Track record at +7d
assessed
133
of 153 predictions shown
direction hit
78.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2081
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0336
actual -0.2049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.001118 | 0.001087 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.001264 | -3.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000925913 | -2.43% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001366 | -2.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001773 | -3.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.001947 | -4.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002719 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002344 | -1.92% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.00227 | -1.54% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002334 | -1.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002474 | -1.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002553 | -1.51% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002813 | -1.64% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003094 | -1.88% | 0.002796 | -11.31% | 0.0136 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003004 | -1.64% | 0.00239 | -21.76% | 0.0744 | ✓ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002899 | -1.62% | 0.002305 | -21.78% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002982 | -1.74% | 0.002374 | -21.78% | 0.1002 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.003012 | -1.77% | 0.002516 | -17.94% | 0.1045 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003167 | -2.04% | 0.002592 | -19.83% | 0.1731 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003231 | -2.35% | 0.00286 | -13.57% | 0.0637 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003102 | -2.82% | 0.003153 | -1.22% | 0.0018 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002737 | -2.15% | 0.003054 | +9.19% | 0.0296 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002688 | -1.92% | 0.002947 | +7.52% | 0.0900 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.00279 | -2.15% | 0.003035 | +6.45% | 0.0976 | ✗ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002869 | -2.35% | 0.003066 | +4.36% | 0.0964 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002916 | -2.77% | 0.003233 | +7.80% | 0.0989 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002865 | -2.75% | 0.003309 | +12.32% | 0.0683 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002641 | -1.97% | 0.003192 | +18.49% | 0.2752 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002826 | -2.44% | 0.002797 | -3.45% | 0.0538 | ✗ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003003 | -3.06% | 0.002741 | -11.52% | 0.1071 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003211 | -4.38% | 0.002851 | -15.10% | 0.1346 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002894 | -3.58% | 0.002938 | -2.13% | 0.1000 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002654 | -2.56% | 0.002999 | +10.10% | 0.1494 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002524 | -2.10% | 0.002946 | +14.27% | 0.1731 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002591 | -1.99% | 0.002694 | +1.89% | 0.3896 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002741 | -2.60% | 0.002897 | +2.95% | 0.3112 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002603 | -2.03% | 0.003098 | +16.60% | 0.1699 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002548 | -1.47% | 0.003358 | +29.85% | 0.0806 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002701 | -1.94% | 0.003002 | +9.01% | 0.1349 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.00282 | -2.25% | 0.002724 | -5.58% | 0.1270 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002561 | -0.49% | 0.002578 | +0.19% | 0.1204 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003184 | -2.86% | 0.002644 | -19.34% | 0.2277 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003081 | -2.70% | 0.002814 | -11.15% | 0.1228 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.00292 | -1.26% | 0.002657 | -10.15% | 0.1289 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003433 | -2.55% | 0.002586 | -26.60% | 0.3188 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.00387 | -3.57% | 0.002754 | -31.37% | 0.4397 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003891 | -3.60% | 0.002885 | -28.52% | 0.3564 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004095 | -4.04% | 0.002573 | -39.70% | 0.4476 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.004188 | -4.11% | 0.003278 | -24.95% | 0.3142 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003904 | -2.50% | 0.003167 | -20.90% | 0.5113 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003893 | -2.25% | 0.002957 | -25.76% | 0.4903 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004303 | -3.19% | 0.003523 | -20.74% | 0.3563 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.0047 | -4.29% | 0.004013 | -18.29% | 0.2546 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.004853 | -4.59% | 0.004036 | -20.64% | 0.2858 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004822 | -4.34% | 0.004267 | -15.35% | 0.1862 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.005013 | -5.07% | 0.004368 | -17.29% | 0.0776 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005562 | -6.00% | 0.004004 | -32.33% | 0.1282 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.005788 | -6.89% | 0.003983 | -35.93% | 0.2306 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004817 | -3.90% | 0.004445 | -11.31% | 0.0436 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005073 | -4.35% | 0.004911 | -7.41% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.00613 | -7.59% | 0.005086 | -23.32% | 0.0262 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005552 | -5.79% | 0.005041 | -14.47% | 0.1591 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.005739 | -5.89% | 0.005281 | -13.40% | 0.0698 | ✗ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.00567 | -4.36% | 0.005917 | -0.20% | 0.0515 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.005759 | -3.97% | 0.006217 | +3.67% | 0.0839 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.00572 | -2.90% | 0.005012 | -14.92% | 0.2148 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005262 | +0.47% | 0.005304 | +1.26% | 0.1931 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006192 | -1.87% | 0.006633 | +5.12% | 0.1174 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.007309 | -4.71% | 0.005894 | -23.16% | 0.4400 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.00695 | -2.60% | 0.006098 | -14.53% | 0.3376 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007215 | -2.48% | 0.005929 | -19.86% | 0.2004 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006726 | +0.45% | 0.005997 | -10.44% | 0.1615 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006723 | +2.06% | 0.005891 | -10.57% | 0.1498 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007871 | -0.61% | 0.005238 | -33.86% | 0.2146 | ✓ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009057 | -4.26% | 0.00631 | -33.30% | 0.2183 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010094 | -7.66% | 0.00767 | -29.83% | 0.1125 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.010431 | -8.66% | 0.007135 | -37.52% | 0.2161 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.01039 | -7.86% | 0.007398 | -34.40% | 0.1848 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.01101 | -8.89% | 0.006696 | -44.59% | 0.3495 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.011217 | -9.48% | 0.006587 | -46.84% | 0.3767 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.013284 | -13.70% | 0.007919 | -48.55% | 0.2249 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.011203 | -9.82% | 0.00946 | -23.85% | 0.0827 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.010963 | -6.76% | 0.010931 | -7.03% | 0.1001 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.011322 | -6.63% | 0.01142 | -5.81% | 0.1710 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.011022 | -5.50% | 0.011277 | -3.31% | 0.1019 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.011026 | -3.14% | 0.012084 | +6.16% | 0.1450 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.01129 | -3.03% | 0.012392 | +6.43% | 0.0568 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.011797 | -3.57% | 0.015393 | +25.82% | 0.1924 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.012872 | -5.60% | 0.012423 | -8.89% | 0.0932 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.01504 | -9.58% | 0.011758 | -29.31% | 0.2722 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.016891 | -10.41% | 0.012125 | -35.69% | 0.3585 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.015826 | -9.56% | 0.011663 | -33.35% | 0.3274 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.015306 | -8.76% | 0.011383 | -32.14% | 0.2802 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.013141 | -2.08% | 0.011643 | -13.24% | 0.1260 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.014996 | -5.21% | 0.012234 | -22.66% | 0.2087 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.011417 | +3.30% | 0.013635 | +23.37% | 0.1128 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.014294 | +1.02% | 0.016633 | +17.55% | 0.0790 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.015956 | -0.25% | 0.018853 | +17.86% | 0.0852 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.016928 | -0.72% | 0.017499 | +2.62% | 0.0664 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.016925 | -0.62% | 0.016775 | -1.50% | 0.0982 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.02234 | -3.65% | 0.01342 | -42.12% | 0.5703 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.015539 | -4.67% | 0.015819 | -2.95% | 0.0495 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.019321 | -5.10% | 0.011052 | -45.72% | 0.5887 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.023366 | -3.93% | 0.01415 | -41.82% | 0.5285 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.024738 | -3.81% | 0.015996 | -37.80% | 0.4328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.02948 | -3.63% | 0.017052 | -44.25% | 0.5527 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.032837 | -4.60% | 0.01703 | -50.52% | 0.6691 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009818 | +9.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000015991 | +1.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015453 | +3.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000016703 | +2.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000024772 | -3.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000023941 | -4.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000025376 | -5.07% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000032077 | -4.16% | 0.000009 | -73.11% | 1.3639 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.00002728 | -4.81% | 0.0000157 | -45.22% | 0.6797 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.00002747 | -4.78% | 0.0000149 | -48.35% | 0.6913 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000030912 | -5.21% | 0.00001622 | -50.26% | 0.6857 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000029846 | -5.55% | 0.0000257 | -18.67% | 0.1991 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000030489 | -4.72% | 0.00002504 | -21.75% | 0.1246 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000031844 | -4.91% | 0.00002673 | -20.19% | 0.0444 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.00003223 | -4.36% | 0.00003347 | -0.68% | 0.0816 | ✗ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000030514 | -3.62% | 0.00002866 | -9.48% | 0.0467 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000030783 | -2.80% | 0.00002885 | -8.90% | 0.0128 | ✓ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.00003094 | -2.34% | 0.00003261 | +2.94% | 0.1392 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000036657 | -3.48% | 0.0000316 | -16.80% | 0.0485 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000036968 | -2.97% | 0.000032 | -16.01% | 0.0681 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029194 | -0.33% | 0.00003349 | +14.34% | 0.1132 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038117 | -2.34% | 0.0000337 | -13.66% | 0.0430 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000044834 | -1.62% | 0.00003166 | -30.52% | 0.3222 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.00005036 | -2.12% | 0.00003167 | -38.45% | 0.4938 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000046412 | -1.82% | 0.00003168 | -32.98% | 0.4429 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037119 | -1.41% | 0.00003798 | +0.88% | 0.0683 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041371 | -1.00% | 0.0000381 | -8.83% | 0.0524 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000044783 | -0.53% | 0.00002929 | -34.94% | 0.4200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049572 | -0.86% | 0.00003903 | -21.94% | 0.2450 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055753 | -0.44% | 0.00004557 | -18.62% | 0.2235 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050344 | -1.23% | 0.00005145 | +0.94% | 0.0180 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000044818 | -0.40% | 0.00004727 | +5.04% | 0.0186 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000047588 | -1.64% | 0.00003765 | -22.18% | 0.2827 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.00004303 | -0.58% | 0.00004179 | -3.44% | 0.0487 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000045292 | -1.28% | 0.00004502 | -1.87% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060031 | -1.41% | 0.00005 | -17.88% | 0.2017 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060036 | -1.73% | 0.000056 | -8.33% | 0.1035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061515 | -0.19% | 0.00005097 | -17.30% | 0.1306 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000056897 | -0.22% | 0.000045 | -21.08% | 0.2000 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057802 | +0.51% | 0.00004838 | -15.88% | 0.1255 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000059951 | -0.23% | 0.00004328 | -27.97% | 0.3200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000057758 | -0.24% | 0.00004588 | -20.76% | 0.2100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055308 | -0.67% | 0.00006089 | +9.36% | 0.1571 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000058924 | -1.81% | 0.00006109 | +1.80% | 0.0543 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000067906 | -2.95% | 0.00006163 | -11.92% | 0.1880 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000061762 | -3.32% | 0.00005702 | -10.74% | 0.1820 | ✓ | 1.00 |