DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 459
Track record at +30d
assessed
87
of 153 predictions shown
direction hit
93.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7605
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1345
actual -0.8949
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.001118 | 0.000929763 | -16.84% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001307 | 0.0011 | -15.86% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.00078725 | -17.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001214 | -13.11% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001607 | -12.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.001773 | -12.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002603 | -6.92% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002275 | -4.77% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.00221 | -4.13% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002267 | -4.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002403 | -4.51% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002484 | -4.16% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002735 | -4.38% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003007 | -4.63% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.002937 | -3.85% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002826 | -4.09% | – | pending | – | – | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.0029 | -4.45% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.002929 | -4.46% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003073 | -4.95% | – | pending | – | – | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.003133 | -5.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.002998 | -6.08% | – | pending | – | – | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002659 | -4.92% | – | pending | – | – | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002618 | -4.49% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002708 | -5.00% | – | pending | – | – | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002782 | -5.30% | – | pending | – | – | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.002817 | -6.06% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002771 | -5.95% | – | pending | – | – | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002578 | -4.31% | – | pending | – | – | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.00274 | -5.43% | – | pending | – | – | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.002882 | -6.99% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.00304 | -9.46% | – | pending | – | – | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.002769 | -7.77% | – | pending | – | – | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002555 | -6.22% | – | pending | – | – | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.002433 | -5.64% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002497 | -5.57% | – | pending | – | – | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002624 | -6.75% | – | pending | – | – | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002501 | -5.86% | 0.002796 | +5.25% | 0.1448 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.002451 | -5.23% | 0.00239 | -7.60% | 0.2597 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002592 | -5.90% | 0.002305 | -16.30% | 0.2285 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002695 | -6.58% | 0.002374 | -17.71% | 0.2936 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.002468 | -4.09% | 0.002516 | -2.22% | 0.3627 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003015 | -8.03% | 0.002592 | -20.93% | 0.5406 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.002918 | -7.85% | 0.00286 | -9.69% | 0.3736 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.00279 | -5.66% | 0.003153 | +6.63% | 0.2740 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003245 | -7.88% | 0.003054 | -13.31% | 0.5148 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003615 | -9.92% | 0.002947 | -26.56% | 0.6082 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003625 | -10.19% | 0.003035 | -24.80% | 0.5567 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.003794 | -11.08% | 0.003066 | -28.15% | 0.6706 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.003872 | -11.35% | 0.003233 | -25.98% | 0.6813 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003664 | -8.49% | 0.003309 | -17.36% | 0.8404 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003653 | -8.28% | 0.003192 | -19.86% | 0.7398 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.00399 | -10.23% | 0.002797 | -37.08% | 0.9056 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.004291 | -12.62% | 0.002741 | -44.19% | 0.9643 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.004403 | -13.42% | 0.002851 | -43.94% | 0.9454 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004376 | -13.19% | 0.002938 | -41.72% | 0.9685 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.004498 | -14.83% | 0.002999 | -43.21% | 0.8727 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.004941 | -16.50% | 0.002946 | -50.21% | 1.0082 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.005087 | -18.17% | 0.002694 | -56.67% | 1.2113 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004292 | -14.37% | 0.002897 | -42.20% | 0.9299 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.004481 | -15.52% | 0.003098 | -41.59% | 0.8581 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.005268 | -20.57% | 0.003358 | -49.37% | 0.8103 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.004798 | -18.60% | 0.003002 | -49.07% | 0.7125 | ✓ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.004938 | -19.03% | 0.002724 | -55.33% | 0.6375 | ✓ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.004923 | -16.97% | 0.002578 | -56.52% | 0.7967 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.004989 | -16.81% | 0.002644 | -55.91% | 0.7607 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.004973 | -15.59% | 0.002814 | -52.23% | 0.7980 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.004634 | -11.52% | 0.002657 | -49.27% | 0.8758 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.005363 | -15.00% | 0.002586 | -59.02% | 0.8857 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.006254 | -18.46% | 0.002754 | -64.09% | 1.0146 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.00597 | -16.33% | 0.002885 | -59.57% | 0.8685 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.0062 | -16.20% | 0.002573 | -65.22% | 0.8801 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.005827 | -12.98% | 0.003278 | -51.05% | 0.6958 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.005865 | -10.96% | 0.003167 | -51.92% | 0.8231 | ✓ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.00683 | -13.75% | 0.002957 | -62.66% | 0.9205 | ✓ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.007766 | -17.90% | 0.003523 | -62.76% | 0.7578 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.00854 | -21.87% | 0.004013 | -63.29% | 0.6664 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.008784 | -23.08% | 0.004036 | -64.66% | 0.6834 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.008759 | -22.33% | 0.004267 | -62.16% | 0.5851 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.009219 | -23.71% | 0.004368 | -63.85% | 0.6359 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.00932 | -24.79% | 0.004004 | -67.69% | 0.5415 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.011046 | -28.24% | 0.003983 | -74.12% | 0.5580 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.009338 | -24.83% | 0.004445 | -64.22% | 0.4429 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.009208 | -21.69% | 0.004911 | -58.23% | 0.5239 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.009526 | -21.44% | 0.005086 | -58.05% | 0.5941 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.009318 | -20.11% | 0.005041 | -56.78% | 0.5212 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.009383 | -17.57% | 0.005281 | -53.61% | 0.7642 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.009638 | -17.22% | 0.005917 | -49.18% | 0.5080 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.010094 | -17.49% | 0.006217 | -49.18% | 0.5007 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.010995 | -19.36% | 0.005012 | -63.24% | 0.8101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.012762 | -23.27% | 0.005304 | -68.11% | 0.8932 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.014368 | -23.79% | 0.006633 | -64.82% | 0.8285 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.01347 | -23.02% | 0.005894 | -66.32% | 0.8840 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.0131 | -21.91% | 0.006098 | -63.65% | 0.8156 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | oos | 0.01342 | 0.011196 | -16.58% | 0.005929 | -55.82% | 0.6625 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.012971 | -18.00% | 0.005997 | -62.09% | 0.7941 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.009725 | -12.01% | 0.005891 | -46.70% | 0.5741 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.012444 | -12.06% | 0.005238 | -62.98% | 0.9130 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.014116 | -11.75% | 0.00631 | -60.55% | 0.9057 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.015199 | -10.87% | 0.00767 | -55.02% | 0.7959 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.015331 | -9.98% | 0.007135 | -58.10% | 0.8645 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.021413 | -7.65% | 0.007398 | -68.09% | 1.1494 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.01368 | -16.07% | 0.006696 | -58.92% | 0.7952 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.017634 | -13.39% | 0.006587 | -67.65% | 1.0842 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.022028 | -9.43% | 0.007919 | -67.44% | 1.1363 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.023452 | -8.81% | 0.00946 | -63.22% | 1.0340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.02814 | -8.01% | 0.010931 | -64.26% | 1.0958 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.031571 | -8.28% | 0.01142 | -66.82% | 1.1621 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000009018 | +0.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000014906 | -5.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000014421 | -3.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.000015294 | -5.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000022299 | -13.23% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.00002159 | -13.78% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000023069 | -13.70% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.000030481 | -8.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000025188 | -12.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000024671 | -14.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000028236 | -13.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000027151 | -14.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000027814 | -13.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000028988 | -13.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000030015 | -10.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000028049 | -11.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000028126 | -11.19% | – | pending | – | – | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000028409 | -10.32% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000034399 | -9.43% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000034961 | -8.24% | – | pending | – | – | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000027157 | -7.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000036484 | -6.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.000044119 | -3.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000049528 | -3.74% | – | pending | – | – | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000046247 | -2.16% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.00003609 | -4.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000040866 | -2.21% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000044768 | -0.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.00004913 | -1.74% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000056366 | +0.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000049536 | -2.81% | 0.000009 | -82.34% | 1.7476 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000044051 | -2.11% | 0.0000157 | -65.11% | 1.0377 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000047364 | -2.10% | 0.0000149 | -69.20% | 1.1508 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000041551 | -3.99% | 0.00001622 | -62.52% | 0.9363 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.000043854 | -4.42% | 0.0000257 | -43.98% | 0.5317 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000058989 | -3.12% | 0.00002504 | -58.88% | 0.9678 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000058979 | -3.46% | 0.00002673 | -56.24% | 0.9153 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000062455 | +1.34% | 0.00003347 | -45.69% | 0.6756 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000057681 | +1.16% | 0.00002866 | -49.74% | 0.7716 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.00005995 | +4.24% | 0.00002885 | -49.83% | 0.7259 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000061975 | +3.14% | 0.00003261 | -45.73% | 0.6584 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.00005951 | +2.78% | 0.0000316 | -45.42% | 0.6426 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000056317 | +1.14% | 0.000032 | -42.53% | 0.5677 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000058434 | -2.63% | 0.00003349 | -44.19% | 0.5773 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000066347 | -5.18% | 0.0000337 | -51.84% | 0.7950 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000059581 | -6.73% | 0.00003166 | -50.44% | 0.7457 | ✓ | 1.00 |