DARK

Darkwoods · Robinhood · beta_5y

token id: #795
symbol: DARK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 459

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 153 predictions shown

direction hit

64.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0990

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0050

actual -0.0376

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.001118	0.001117	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-21	oos	0.001307	0.001303	-0.34%	0.001118	+0.00%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.000949	0.000949562	+0.06%	0.001307	+37.72%	0.3224	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.001397	0.001396	-0.07%	0.000949	-32.07%	0.3993	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.001845	0.001835	-0.52%	0.001397	-24.26%	0.2706	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.002037	0.002023	-0.71%	0.001845	-9.45%	0.0998	✓	1.00
2025-08-04	oos	0.002796	0.002776	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	3.62
2025-08-03	oos	0.00239	0.002378	-0.47%	0.002796	+17.03%	0.1368	✗	3.45
2025-08-02	oos	0.002305	0.002297	-0.36%	0.00239	+3.67%	0.0110	✓	3.43
2025-08-01	oos	0.002374	0.002365	-0.38%	0.002305	-2.91%	0.0046	✓	3.37
2025-07-31	oos	0.002516	0.002506	-0.39%	0.002374	-5.64%	0.0237	✗	3.55
2025-07-30	oos	0.002592	0.002583	-0.34%	0.002516	-2.93%	0.0380	✗	3.63
2025-07-29	oos	0.00286	0.002848	-0.41%	0.002592	-9.37%	0.0913	✓	3.37
2025-07-28	oos	0.003153	0.003135	-0.56%	0.00286	-9.29%	0.0880	✓	3.38
2025-07-27	oos	0.003054	0.003038	-0.52%	0.003153	+3.24%	0.0775	✗	3.44
2025-07-26	oos	0.002947	0.002934	-0.45%	0.003054	+3.63%	0.0020	✓	3.34
2025-07-25	oos	0.003035	0.003021	-0.47%	0.002947	-2.90%	0.0343	✓	3.37
2025-07-24	oos	0.003066	0.003052	-0.47%	0.003035	-1.01%	0.0162	✗	3.35
2025-07-23	oos	0.003233	0.003214	-0.58%	0.003066	-5.17%	0.0358	✓	3.29
2025-07-22	oos	0.003309	0.003286	-0.70%	0.003233	-2.30%	0.0176	✗	3.32
2025-07-21	oos	0.003192	0.003165	-0.83%	0.003309	+3.67%	0.0282	✓	3.32
2025-07-20	oos	0.002797	0.002782	-0.54%	0.003192	+14.12%	0.1331	✗	4.40
2025-07-19	oos	0.002741	0.002729	-0.45%	0.002797	+2.04%	0.0453	✗	4.02
2025-07-18	oos	0.002851	0.002837	-0.51%	0.002741	-3.86%	0.0305	✓	4.05
2025-07-17	oos	0.002938	0.002921	-0.56%	0.002851	-2.96%	0.0185	✗	4.07
2025-07-16	oos	0.002999	0.002978	-0.69%	0.002938	-2.03%	0.0337	✓	4.02
2025-07-15	oos	0.002946	0.002926	-0.68%	0.002999	+1.80%	0.0059	✓	4.02
2025-07-14	oos	0.002694	0.002683	-0.41%	0.002946	+9.35%	0.1668	✗	4.17
2025-07-13	oos	0.002897	0.002882	-0.53%	0.002694	-7.01%	0.0929	✓	4.18
2025-07-12	oos	0.003098	0.003077	-0.68%	0.002897	-6.49%	0.1192	✓	4.21
2025-07-11	oos	0.003358	0.003321	-1.09%	0.003098	-7.74%	0.0657	✓	4.20
2025-07-10	oos	0.003002	0.002977	-0.85%	0.003358	+11.86%	0.0652	✗	4.17
2025-07-09	oos	0.002724	0.00271	-0.52%	0.003002	+10.21%	0.0739	✓	4.22
2025-07-08	oos	0.002578	0.002568	-0.38%	0.002724	+5.66%	0.0300	✓	4.21
2025-07-07	oos	0.002644	0.002635	-0.34%	0.002578	-2.50%	0.0485	✓	4.21
2025-07-06	oos	0.002814	0.0028	-0.49%	0.002644	-6.04%	0.0206	✓	4.22
2025-07-05	oos	0.002657	0.002648	-0.34%	0.002814	+5.91%	0.0232	✗	4.21
2025-07-04	oos	0.002586	0.002582	-0.17%	0.002657	+2.75%	0.0203	✗	4.21
2025-07-03	oos	0.002754	0.002747	-0.26%	0.002586	-6.10%	0.0020	✓	4.24
2025-07-02	oos	0.002885	0.002875	-0.34%	0.002754	-4.54%	0.0719	✓	4.24
2025-07-01	oos	0.002573	0.002575	+0.07%	0.002885	+12.13%	0.0107	✗	4.21
2025-06-30	oos	0.003278	0.003263	-0.46%	0.002573	-21.51%	0.1811	✓	4.11
2025-06-29	oos	0.003167	0.003154	-0.42%	0.003278	+3.50%	0.0858	✗	4.19
2025-06-28	oos	0.002957	0.002955	-0.06%	0.003167	+7.10%	0.0293	✗	4.17
2025-06-27	oos	0.003523	0.003512	-0.33%	0.002957	-16.07%	0.1812	✓	4.16
2025-06-26	oos	0.004013	0.003991	-0.55%	0.003523	-12.21%	0.1279	✓	4.15
2025-06-25	oos	0.004036	0.004015	-0.52%	0.004013	-0.57%	0.0139	✗	4.17
2025-06-24	oos	0.004267	0.004239	-0.65%	0.004036	-5.41%	0.0986	✓	4.19
2025-06-23	oos	0.004368	0.004338	-0.68%	0.004267	-2.31%	0.0452	✓	4.19
2025-06-22	oos	0.004004	0.00399	-0.34%	0.004368	+9.09%	0.0929	✓	4.28
2025-06-21	oos	0.003983	0.003973	-0.25%	0.004004	+0.53%	0.0575	✗	4.34
2025-06-20	oos	0.004445	0.004427	-0.40%	0.003983	-10.39%	0.0569	✓	4.33
2025-06-19	oos	0.004911	0.004882	-0.59%	0.004445	-9.49%	0.0374	✓	4.33
2025-06-18	oos	0.005086	0.005054	-0.62%	0.004911	-3.44%	0.0187	✓	4.34
2025-06-17	oos	0.005041	0.005014	-0.54%	0.005086	+0.89%	0.0008	✓	4.34
2025-06-16	oos	0.005281	0.005248	-0.63%	0.005041	-4.54%	0.0551	✗	4.45
2025-06-15	oos	0.005917	0.005864	-0.89%	0.005281	-10.75%	0.1579	✓	4.50
2025-06-14	oos	0.006217	0.006144	-1.17%	0.005917	-4.83%	0.0434	✓	4.50
2025-06-13	oos	0.005012	0.004995	-0.33%	0.006217	+24.04%	0.2472	✗	4.64
2025-06-12	oos	0.005304	0.005285	-0.37%	0.005012	-5.51%	0.0702	✓	4.64
2025-06-11	oos	0.006633	0.006559	-1.11%	0.005304	-20.04%	0.0868	✓	4.57
2025-06-10	oos	0.005894	0.00586	-0.58%	0.006633	+12.54%	0.1956	✗	4.81
2025-06-09	oos	0.006098	0.006061	-0.60%	0.005894	-3.35%	0.0280	✓	4.82
2025-06-08	oos	0.005929	0.005909	-0.34%	0.006098	+2.85%	0.1804	✓	5.07
2025-06-07	oos	0.005997	0.005981	-0.26%	0.005929	-1.13%	0.0167	✓	5.07
2025-06-06	oos	0.005891	0.005886	-0.08%	0.005997	+1.80%	0.0402	✓	5.07
2025-06-05	oos	0.005238	0.005266	+0.54%	0.005891	+12.47%	0.0257	✗	5.02
2025-06-04	oos	0.00631	0.006322	+0.19%	0.005238	-16.99%	0.0315	✗	5.07
2025-06-03	oos	0.00767	0.007638	-0.42%	0.00631	-17.73%	0.1580	✓	5.00
2025-06-02	oos	0.007135	0.007138	+0.04%	0.00767	+7.50%	0.0939	✓	5.09
2025-06-01	oos	0.007398	0.007401	+0.04%	0.007135	-3.56%	0.0465	✗	5.09
2025-05-31	oos	0.006696	0.006734	+0.57%	0.007398	+10.48%	0.0435	✓	5.05
2025-05-30	oos	0.006587	0.006641	+0.83%	0.006696	+1.65%	0.0215	✗	5.05
2025-05-29	oos	0.007919	0.00795	+0.39%	0.006587	-16.82%	0.1148	✗	4.98
2025-05-28	oos	0.00946	0.009436	-0.26%	0.007919	-16.29%	0.0708	✓	4.96
2025-05-27	oos	0.010931	0.010825	-0.97%	0.00946	-13.46%	0.0822	✓	4.92
2025-05-26	oos	0.01142	0.011283	-1.20%	0.010931	-4.28%	0.0097	✓	4.95
2025-05-25	oos	0.011277	0.01117	-0.95%	0.01142	+1.27%	0.0032	✓	4.96
2025-05-24	oos	0.012084	0.011944	-1.16%	0.011277	-6.68%	0.1152	✓	4.99
2025-05-23	oos	0.012392	0.012242	-1.21%	0.012084	-2.49%	0.0345	✓	4.99
2025-05-22	oos	0.015393	0.014942	-2.93%	0.012392	-19.50%	0.0200	✓	5.16
2025-05-21	oos	0.012423	0.012244	-1.44%	0.015393	+23.91%	0.1376	✗	4.99
2025-05-20	oos	0.011758	0.011672	-0.73%	0.012423	+5.66%	0.0679	✓	5.01
2025-05-19	oos	0.012125	0.012034	-0.75%	0.011758	-3.03%	0.0831	✓	5.02
2025-05-18	oos	0.011663	0.011604	-0.51%	0.012125	+3.96%	0.0861	✗	5.22
2025-05-17	oos	0.011383	0.011378	-0.05%	0.011663	+2.46%	0.1455	✓	5.39
2025-05-16	oos	0.011643	0.011641	-0.02%	0.011383	-2.23%	0.0191	✓	1.00
2025-05-15	oos	0.012234	0.012223	-0.09%	0.011643	-4.83%	0.0458	✓	1.00
2025-05-14	oos	0.013635	0.013573	-0.46%	0.012234	-10.28%	0.1062	✓	1.00
2025-05-13	oos	0.016633	0.016394	-1.44%	0.013635	-18.02%	0.1786	✓	1.00
2025-05-12	oos	0.018853	0.018479	-1.99%	0.016633	-11.78%	0.1181	✓	1.00
2025-05-11	oos	0.017499	0.017201	-1.70%	0.018853	+7.74%	0.1046	✗	1.00
2025-05-10	oos	0.016775	0.016495	-1.67%	0.017499	+4.32%	0.0656	✗	1.00
2025-05-09	oos	0.01342	0.013436	+0.12%	0.016775	+25.00%	0.2043	✓	1.00
2025-05-08	in	0.015819	0.015677	-0.90%	0.01342	-15.17%	0.1529	✓	1.00
2025-05-07	in	0.011052	0.011164	+1.01%	0.015819	+43.13%	0.2866	✓	1.00
2025-05-06	in	0.01415	0.014223	+0.51%	0.011052	-21.89%	0.2545	✗	1.00
2025-05-05	in	0.015996	0.016023	+0.17%	0.01415	-11.54%	0.1463	✗	1.00
2025-05-04	in	0.017052	0.017049	-0.02%	0.015996	-6.19%	0.0686	✓	1.00
2025-05-03	in	0.01703	0.017023	-0.04%	0.017052	+0.13%	0.0184	✗	1.00
2025-05-02	in	0.023187	0.022849	-1.46%	0.01703	-26.55%	0.2829	✓	1.00
2025-05-01	in	0.0163	0.016191	-0.67%	0.023187	+42.25%	0.3550	✗	1.00
2025-04-30	in	0.02036	0.020185	-0.86%	0.0163	-19.94%	0.2383	✓	1.00
2025-04-29	in	0.024322	0.024136	-0.77%	0.02036	-16.29%	0.1692	✓	1.00
2025-04-28	in	0.025719	0.025531	-0.73%	0.024322	-5.43%	0.0404	✓	1.00
2025-04-27	in	0.030589	0.030332	-0.84%	0.025719	-15.92%	0.1783	✓	1.00
2025-04-26	in	0.03442	0.03391	-1.48%	0.030589	-11.13%	0.0937	✓	1.00
2024-01-16	in	0.000009	0.00000916	+1.77%	–	pending	–	–	-1.27
2024-01-15	in	0.0000157	0.000015789	+0.57%	0.000009	-42.68%	0.5458	✗	-1.09
2024-01-14	in	0.0000149	0.00001503	+0.87%	0.0000157	+5.37%	0.0650	✓	-1.13
2024-01-13	in	0.00001622	0.00001636	+0.87%	0.0000149	-8.14%	0.1263	✗	-1.21
2024-01-12	in	0.0000257	0.000025597	-0.40%	0.00001622	-36.89%	0.4543	✓	-1.23
2024-01-11	in	0.00002504	0.000024919	-0.49%	0.0000257	+2.64%	0.0822	✓	-1.41
2024-01-10	in	0.00002673	0.000026546	-0.69%	0.00002504	-6.32%	0.0684	✓	-1.44
2024-01-09	in	0.00003347	0.000033135	-1.00%	0.00002673	-20.14%	0.1986	✓	-1.38
2024-01-08	in	0.00002866	0.000028454	-0.72%	0.00003347	+16.78%	0.1387	✗	-1.26
2024-01-07	in	0.00002885	0.000028668	-0.63%	0.00002866	-0.66%	0.1010	✗	-1.51
2024-01-06	in	0.00003261	0.000032315	-0.90%	0.00002885	-11.53%	0.1149	✓	-1.54
2024-01-05	in	0.0000316	0.000031269	-1.05%	0.00003261	+3.20%	0.0353	✗	-1.52
2024-01-04	in	0.000032	0.000031767	-0.73%	0.0000316	-1.25%	0.0055	✓	-1.52
2024-01-03	in	0.00003349	0.000033208	-0.84%	0.000032	-4.45%	0.0099	✗	-1.54
2024-01-02	in	0.0000337	0.000033428	-0.81%	0.00003349	-0.62%	0.0814	✓	-1.73
2024-01-01	in	0.00003166	0.000031502	-0.50%	0.0000337	+6.44%	0.0978	✗	-1.80
2023-12-31	in	0.00003167	0.000031575	-0.30%	0.00003166	-0.03%	0.0928	✗	-2.01
2023-12-30	in	0.00003168	0.000031615	-0.20%	0.00003167	-0.03%	0.0087	✗	-2.02
2023-12-29	in	0.00003798	0.000037721	-0.68%	0.00003168	-16.59%	0.1708	✓	-2.03
2023-12-28	in	0.0000381	0.000037876	-0.59%	0.00003798	-0.31%	0.0223	✓	-2.05
2023-12-27	in	0.00002929	0.000029352	+0.21%	0.0000381	+30.08%	0.2256	✓	-1.70
2023-12-26	in	0.00003903	0.000038869	-0.41%	0.00002929	-24.96%	0.2512	✓	-1.43
2023-12-25	in	0.00004557	0.000045356	-0.47%	0.00003903	-14.35%	0.1948	✓	-1.79
2023-12-24	in	0.00005145	0.000051054	-0.77%	0.00004557	-11.43%	0.0911	✓	-1.73
2023-12-23	in	0.00004727	0.00004691	-0.76%	0.00005145	+8.84%	0.0657	✗	-1.65
2023-12-22	in	0.00003765	0.000037555	-0.25%	0.00004727	+25.55%	0.2366	✗	1.00
2023-12-21	in	0.00004179	0.000041678	-0.27%	0.00003765	-9.91%	0.1048	✓	1.00
2023-12-20	in	0.00004502	0.000044913	-0.24%	0.00004179	-7.17%	0.0767	✓	1.00
2023-12-19	in	0.00005	0.000049825	-0.35%	0.00004502	-9.96%	0.1342	✓	1.00
2023-12-18	in	0.000056	0.000055716	-0.51%	0.00005	-10.71%	0.0992	✓	1.00
2023-12-17	in	0.00005097	0.000050716	-0.50%	0.000056	+9.87%	0.0681	✗	1.00
2023-12-16	in	0.000045	0.000044893	-0.24%	0.00005097	+13.27%	0.1482	✗	1.00
2023-12-15	in	0.00004838	0.000047956	-0.88%	0.000045	-6.99%	0.0708	✓	1.00
2023-12-14	in	0.00004328	0.000043233	-0.11%	0.00004838	+11.78%	0.1382	✗	1.00
2023-12-13	in	0.00004588	0.000045772	-0.24%	0.00004328	-5.67%	0.0593	✓	1.00
2023-12-12	in	0.00006089	0.000060587	-0.50%	0.00004588	-24.65%	0.3114	✓	1.00
2023-12-11	in	0.00006109	0.000060715	-0.61%	0.00006089	-0.33%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2023-12-10	in	0.00006163	0.000061367	-0.43%	0.00006109	-0.88%	0.0558	✗	1.00
2023-12-09	in	0.00005702	0.000056808	-0.37%	0.00006163	+8.08%	0.0799	✗	1.00
2023-12-08	in	0.00005751	0.000057353	-0.27%	0.00005702	-0.85%	0.0049	✗	1.00
2023-12-07	in	0.00006009	0.000059788	-0.50%	0.00005751	-4.29%	0.0597	✓	1.00
2023-12-06	in	0.0000579	0.000057649	-0.43%	0.00006009	+3.78%	0.0526	✗	1.00
2023-12-05	in	0.00005568	0.000055456	-0.40%	0.0000579	+3.99%	0.0504	✗	1.00
2023-12-04	in	0.00006001	0.000059696	-0.52%	0.00005568	-7.22%	0.1184	✓	1.00
2023-12-03	in	0.00006997	0.00006938	-0.84%	0.00006001	-14.23%	0.1940	✓	1.00
2023-12-02	in	0.00006388	0.000063403	-0.75%	0.00006997	+9.53%	0.0858	✗	1.00