S

Sonic · native · beta_5y

token id: #120
symbol: S
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-06-24
predictions: 1,431

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0843

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0131

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.05664	0.054513	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-21	oos	0.056345	0.054212	-3.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-20	oos	0.05751	0.055221	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-19	oos	0.05861	0.055998	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-18	oos	0.051685	0.049927	-3.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	0.052695	0.050931	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.054935	0.052966	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-15	oos	0.055925	0.053657	-4.06%	0.05664	+1.28%	0.0192	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.054155	0.052019	-3.94%	0.056345	+4.04%	0.0608	✗	1.38
2026-10-13	oos	0.057115	0.054316	-4.90%	0.05751	+0.69%	0.0598	✗	1.37
2026-10-12	oos	0.05647	0.053582	-5.12%	0.05861	+3.79%	0.0881	✗	1.38
2026-10-11	oos	0.06086	0.056453	-7.24%	0.051685	-15.08%	0.0624	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.04728	0.045042	-4.73%	0.052695	+11.45%	0.1797	✗	1.22
2026-10-09	oos	0.043925	0.041749	-4.95%	0.054935	+25.07%	0.2900	✗	1.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.038495	0.037131	-3.54%	0.055925	+45.28%	0.4033	✗	1.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.040855	0.039354	-3.67%	0.054155	+32.55%	0.3437	✗	1.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.043535	0.041864	-3.84%	0.057115	+31.19%	0.3438	✗	1.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.043635	0.041854	-4.08%	0.05647	+29.41%	0.3545	✗	1.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.040785	0.039253	-3.76%	0.06086	+49.22%	0.4780	✗	1.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.043395	0.041458	-4.46%	0.04728	+8.95%	0.1582	✗	1.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.03797	0.036571	-3.68%	0.043925	+15.68%	0.2121	✗	1.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.03865	0.037217	-3.71%	0.038495	-0.40%	0.0801	✗	1.22
2026-09-30	oos	0.040745	0.038981	-4.33%	0.040855	+0.27%	0.0512	✗	1.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.037615	0.036267	-3.58%	0.043535	+15.74%	0.1532	✗	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.038825	0.03734	-3.83%	0.043635	+12.39%	0.1207	✗	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.04043	0.038787	-4.06%	0.040785	+0.88%	0.0187	✓	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.039945	0.038318	-4.07%	0.043395	+8.64%	0.1193	✗	1.32
2026-09-25	oos	0.04142	0.03962	-4.35%	0.03797	-8.33%	0.0488	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.04092	0.039189	-4.23%	0.03865	-5.55%	0.0209	✓	1.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04014	0.038485	-4.12%	0.040745	+1.51%	0.0696	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.04336	0.041012	-5.41%	0.037615	-13.25%	0.0485	✓	1.26
2026-09-21	oos	0.039495	0.037778	-4.35%	0.038825	-1.70%	0.0775	✗	1.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.039995	0.037502	-6.23%	0.04043	+1.09%	0.0132	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.033515	0.032151	-4.07%	0.039945	+19.19%	0.1575	✗	1.55
2026-09-18	oos	0.032415	0.030769	-5.08%	0.04142	+27.78%	0.2366	✗	1.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.027	0.026361	-2.37%	0.04092	+51.56%	0.3038	✗	1.36
2026-09-16	oos	0.025855	0.025424	-1.67%	0.04014	+55.25%	0.3190	✗	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.02546	0.025144	-1.24%	0.04336	+70.31%	0.3753	✗	1.29
2026-09-14	oos	0.02675	0.026443	-1.15%	0.039495	+47.64%	0.2708	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.026345	0.026123	-0.84%	0.039995	+51.81%	0.3555	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.027485	0.02722	-0.96%	0.033515	+21.94%	0.1444	✗	1.27
2026-09-11	oos	0.02702	0.026922	-0.36%	0.032415	+19.97%	0.1260	✗	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02649	0.026536	+0.17%	0.027	+1.93%	0.0205	✓	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	0.02824	0.028278	+0.13%	0.025855	-8.45%	0.0548	✗	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.02972	0.029652	-0.23%	0.02546	-14.33%	0.1059	✓	1.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.029985	0.030015	+0.10%	0.02675	-10.79%	0.1004	✗	1.26
2026-09-06	oos	0.03098	0.030992	+0.04%	0.026345	-14.96%	0.1086	✗	1.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.02983	0.029959	+0.43%	0.027485	-7.86%	0.0473	✗	1.19
2026-09-04	oos	0.02953	0.029601	+0.24%	0.02702	-8.50%	0.0550	✗	1.15
2026-09-03	oos	0.02826	0.028604	+1.22%	0.02649	-6.26%	0.0049	✓	1.20
2026-09-02	oos	0.02658	0.026779	+0.75%	0.02824	+6.25%	0.0371	✓	1.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.02764	0.027724	+0.30%	0.02972	+7.53%	0.0522	✓	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.02777	0.027936	+0.60%	0.029985	+7.98%	0.0625	✓	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.02759	0.027736	+0.53%	0.03098	+12.29%	0.0691	✓	1.23
2026-08-29	oos	0.03037	0.030265	-0.34%	0.02983	-1.78%	0.0381	✓	1.17
2026-08-28	oos	0.02984	0.029726	-0.38%	0.02953	-1.04%	0.0338	✓	1.17
2026-08-27	oos	0.03047	0.030449	-0.07%	0.02826	-7.25%	0.0891	✓	1.18
2026-08-26	oos	0.03201	0.031549	-1.44%	0.02658	-16.96%	0.1449	✓	1.20
2026-08-25	oos	0.02739	0.027487	+0.36%	0.02764	+0.91%	0.0228	✓	1.19
2026-08-24	oos	0.028635	0.028569	-0.23%	0.02777	-3.02%	0.0220	✓	1.20
2026-08-23	oos	0.02816	0.02799	-0.61%	0.02759	-2.02%	0.0134	✓	1.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.02708	0.026905	-0.65%	0.03037	+12.15%	0.1031	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.02856	0.028182	-1.32%	0.02984	+4.48%	0.0645	✗	1.17
2026-08-20	oos	0.02506	0.024774	-1.14%	0.03047	+21.59%	0.1051	✗	1.07
2026-08-19	oos	0.02324	0.022934	-1.31%	0.03201	+37.74%	0.1956	✗	1.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.021375	0.021091	-1.33%	0.02739	+28.14%	0.0648	✗	1.01
2026-08-17	oos	0.02184	0.021549	-1.33%	0.028635	+31.11%	0.0766	✗	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.02196	0.021637	-1.47%	0.02816	+28.23%	0.0402	✗	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.02231	0.021998	-1.40%	0.02708	+21.38%	0.0025	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.02206	0.021783	-1.26%	0.02856	+29.47%	0.0420	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.02262	0.02232	-1.33%	0.02506	+10.79%	0.0321	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.02238	0.022122	-1.15%	0.02324	+3.84%	0.0454	✓	1.07
2026-08-11	oos	0.023	0.022724	-1.20%	0.021375	-7.07%	0.0804	✓	1.07
2026-08-10	oos	0.02353	0.023216	-1.33%	0.02184	-7.18%	0.0706	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.02351	0.023194	-1.35%	0.02196	-6.59%	0.0201	✓	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	0.02358	0.023209	-1.57%	0.02231	-5.39%	0.0070	✓	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.02169	0.021484	-0.95%	0.02206	+1.71%	0.0599	✗	1.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.0219	0.021691	-0.96%	0.02262	+3.29%	0.0566	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.02193	0.021724	-0.94%	0.02238	+2.05%	0.0508	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.02235	0.022096	-1.14%	0.023	+2.91%	0.0492	✗	1.12
2026-08-03	oos	0.02253	0.0222	-1.46%	0.02353	+4.44%	0.0501	✗	1.15
2026-08-02	oos	0.02177	0.021536	-1.08%	0.02351	+7.99%	0.0634	✗	1.16
2026-08-01	oos	0.0214	0.021183	-1.01%	0.02358	+10.19%	0.0685	✗	1.15
2026-07-31	oos	0.02131	0.021116	-0.91%	0.02169	+1.78%	0.0104	✓	1.15
2026-07-30	oos	0.02149	0.021327	-0.76%	0.0219	+1.91%	0.0348	✗	1.18
2026-07-29	oos	0.02114	0.021024	-0.55%	0.02193	+3.74%	0.0293	✗	1.17
2026-07-28	oos	0.02166	0.021534	-0.58%	0.02235	+3.19%	0.0335	✗	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.02165	0.02155	-0.46%	0.02253	+4.06%	0.0486	✗	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.02341	0.023263	-0.63%	0.02177	-7.01%	0.0345	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.02345	0.023311	-0.59%	0.0214	-8.74%	0.0585	✓	1.12
2026-07-24	oos	0.0234	0.023289	-0.47%	0.02131	-8.93%	0.0666	✓	1.12
2026-07-23	oos	0.02404	0.023942	-0.41%	0.02149	-10.61%	0.1024	✓	1.12
2026-07-22	oos	0.024615	0.024542	-0.30%	0.02114	-14.12%	0.1122	✓	1.10
2026-07-21	oos	0.02451	0.024461	-0.20%	0.02166	-11.63%	0.0764	✓	1.10
2026-07-20	oos	0.02515	0.025015	-0.54%	0.02165	-13.92%	0.1180	✓	1.12
2026-07-19	oos	0.02396	0.023882	-0.32%	0.02341	-2.30%	0.0312	✓	1.11
2026-07-18	oos	0.02426	0.024212	-0.20%	0.02345	-3.34%	0.0233	✓	1.12
2026-07-17	oos	0.02478	0.024706	-0.30%	0.0234	-5.57%	0.0577	✓	1.14
2026-07-16	oos	0.02491	0.024836	-0.30%	0.02404	-3.49%	0.0558	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.02547	0.025413	-0.22%	0.024615	-3.36%	0.0563	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.02549	0.025453	-0.15%	0.02451	-3.84%	0.0651	✓	1.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.02526	0.025189	-0.28%	0.02515	-0.44%	0.0593	✓	1.25
2026-07-12	oos	0.02531	0.025271	-0.15%	0.02396	-5.33%	0.0719	✓	1.27
2026-07-11	oos	0.025885	0.025824	-0.23%	0.02426	-6.28%	0.0827	✓	1.27
2026-07-10	oos	0.02603	0.025956	-0.29%	0.02478	-4.80%	0.0417	✓	1.27
2026-07-09	oos	0.025275	0.025217	-0.23%	0.02491	-1.44%	0.0241	✓	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	0.02502	0.024951	-0.27%	0.02547	+1.80%	0.0287	✓	1.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.02562	0.025541	-0.31%	0.02549	-0.51%	0.0347	✓	1.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.02665	0.026512	-0.52%	0.02526	-5.22%	0.0135	✓	1.27
2026-07-05	oos	0.02718	0.026978	-0.74%	0.02531	-6.88%	0.0671	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.02669	0.026477	-0.80%	0.025885	-3.02%	0.0369	✓	1.32
2026-07-03	oos	0.02711	0.026779	-1.22%	0.02603	-3.98%	0.0610	✓	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	0.02489	0.024654	-0.95%	0.025275	+1.55%	0.0090	✓	1.25
2026-07-01	oos	0.02297	0.022835	-0.59%	0.02502	+8.92%	0.0463	✗	1.21
2026-06-30	oos	0.02269	0.022539	-0.67%	0.02562	+12.91%	0.0298	✗	1.25
2026-06-29	oos	0.02448	0.024163	-1.29%	0.02665	+8.86%	0.0226	✗	1.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.02413	0.023672	-1.90%	0.02718	+12.64%	0.0570	✗	1.21
2026-06-27	oos	0.02214	0.021891	-1.13%	0.02669	+20.55%	0.1350	✗	1.23
2026-06-26	oos	0.02018	0.020164	-0.08%	0.02711	+34.34%	0.2452	✗	1.24
2026-06-25	oos	0.02002	0.020068	+0.24%	0.02489	+24.33%	0.1790	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.02089	0.020948	+0.28%	0.02297	+9.96%	0.1129	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.02376	0.023757	-0.01%	0.02269	-4.50%	0.0316	✗	1.14
2026-06-22	oos	0.025055	0.025046	-0.04%	0.02448	-2.29%	0.0457	✗	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.02697	0.026906	-0.24%	0.02413	-10.53%	0.0383	✓	1.15
2026-06-20	oos	0.02794	0.027856	-0.30%	0.02214	-20.76%	0.1510	✓	1.14
2026-06-19	oos	0.03075	0.030522	-0.74%	0.02018	-34.37%	0.3476	✓	1.18
2026-06-18	oos	0.03279	0.032414	-1.15%	0.02002	-38.94%	0.4197	✓	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.03205	0.031719	-1.03%	0.02089	-34.82%	0.3496	✓	1.23
2026-06-16	oos	0.03216	0.031813	-1.08%	0.02376	-26.12%	0.2346	✓	1.24
2026-06-15	oos	0.03274	0.032285	-1.39%	0.025055	-23.47%	0.2080	✓	1.27
2026-06-14	oos	0.03225	0.031814	-1.35%	0.02697	-16.37%	0.1166	✓	1.27
2026-06-13	oos	0.03076	0.030457	-0.98%	0.02794	-9.17%	0.0821	✓	1.28
2026-06-12	oos	0.03053	0.030244	-0.94%	0.03075	+0.72%	0.0179	✗	1.31
2026-06-11	oos	0.03056	0.030264	-0.97%	0.03279	+7.30%	0.0944	✗	1.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.02939	0.029202	-0.64%	0.03205	+9.05%	0.0305	✗	1.31
2026-06-09	oos	0.03161	0.031216	-1.25%	0.03216	+1.74%	0.0511	✓	1.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.02988	0.029693	-0.63%	0.03274	+9.57%	0.0301	✗	1.36
2026-06-07	oos	0.02978	0.029639	-0.47%	0.03225	+8.29%	0.0336	✗	1.36
2026-06-06	oos	0.02949	0.029485	-0.02%	0.03076	+4.31%	0.0376	✓	1.40
2026-06-05	oos	0.02964	0.029677	+0.12%	0.03053	+3.00%	0.0274	✗	1.39
2026-06-04	oos	0.03336	0.033039	-0.96%	0.03056	-8.39%	0.0730	✓	1.32
2026-06-03	oos	0.03696	0.036418	-1.47%	0.02939	-20.48%	0.1605	✓	1.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.03707	0.036508	-1.52%	0.03161	-14.73%	0.0394	✓	1.35
2026-06-01	oos	0.04034	0.039507	-2.06%	0.02988	-25.93%	0.1224	✓	1.28
2026-05-31	oos	0.03982	0.039102	-1.80%	0.02978	-25.21%	0.0739	✓	1.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.04047	0.039694	-1.92%	0.02949	-27.13%	0.0505	✓	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.04032	0.039599	-1.79%	0.02964	-26.49%	0.0543	✓	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.04035	0.039681	-1.66%	0.03336	-17.32%	0.0066	✓	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.04289	0.042073	-1.90%	0.03696	-13.83%	0.0558	✗	1.25
2026-05-26	oos	0.04466	0.043736	-2.07%	0.03707	-17.00%	0.0047	✓	1.25
2026-05-25	oos	0.04606	0.045069	-2.15%	0.04034	-12.42%	0.0099	✓	1.26
2026-05-24	oos	0.04541	0.044533	-1.93%	0.03982	-12.31%	0.0548	✓	1.26
2026-05-23	oos	0.04681	0.045764	-2.24%	0.04047	-13.54%	0.0753	✓	1.24
2026-05-22	oos	0.04565	0.044608	-2.28%	0.04032	-11.68%	0.0662	✓	1.25
2026-05-21	oos	0.04834	0.046978	-2.82%	0.04035	-16.53%	0.0862	✓	1.23
2026-05-20	oos	0.04456	0.04371	-1.91%	0.04289	-3.75%	0.0324	✗	1.23
2026-05-19	oos	0.04363	0.042847	-1.79%	0.04466	+2.36%	0.0566	✗	1.23
2026-05-18	oos	0.04456	0.043685	-1.96%	0.04606	+3.37%	0.0480	✗	1.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.04397	0.043282	-1.56%	0.04541	+3.27%	0.0550	✗	1.25
2026-05-16	oos	0.045505	0.044811	-1.52%	0.04681	+2.87%	0.0670	✗	1.24
2026-05-15	oos	0.04681	0.046102	-1.51%	0.04565	-2.48%	0.0487	✗	1.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.04942	0.048659	-1.54%	0.04834	-2.19%	0.0496	✗	1.26
2026-05-13	oos	0.04843	0.047728	-1.45%	0.04456	-7.99%	0.0399	✓	1.24
2026-05-12	oos	0.050295	0.049575	-1.43%	0.04363	-13.25%	0.0693	✓	1.24
2026-05-11	oos	0.05302	0.052215	-1.52%	0.04456	-15.96%	0.0907	✓	1.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.055	0.053935	-1.94%	0.04397	-20.05%	0.1371	✓	1.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.05253	0.051649	-1.68%	0.045505	-13.37%	0.0910	✓	1.11
2026-05-08	oos	0.05402	0.052801	-2.26%	0.04681	-13.35%	0.1050	✓	1.09
2026-05-07	oos	0.048855	0.048093	-1.56%	0.04942	+1.16%	0.0126	✓	1.09
2026-05-06	oos	0.04883	0.047979	-1.74%	0.04843	-0.82%	0.0385	✗	1.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.04528	0.044834	-0.98%	0.050295	+11.08%	0.1202	✗	1.01
2026-05-04	oos	0.04434	0.043884	-1.03%	0.05302	+19.58%	0.1656	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.0437	0.04321	-1.12%	0.055	+25.86%	0.1955	✗	1.01
2026-05-02	oos	0.04378	0.043398	-0.87%	0.05253	+19.99%	0.1657	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.04408	0.043736	-0.78%	0.05402	+22.55%	0.1859	✗	1.03
2026-04-30	oos	0.04319	0.042834	-0.83%	0.048855	+13.12%	0.0796	✗	1.10
2026-04-29	oos	0.045185	0.044578	-1.34%	0.04883	+8.07%	0.0114	✓	1.10
2026-04-28	oos	0.04602	0.045358	-1.44%	0.04528	-1.61%	0.0677	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.04557	0.045143	-0.94%	0.04434	-2.70%	0.0538	✓	1.13
2026-04-26	oos	0.04674	0.046354	-0.83%	0.0437	-6.50%	0.0573	✓	1.13
2026-04-25	oos	0.04619	0.045743	-0.97%	0.04378	-5.22%	0.0588	✓	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.04634	0.045772	-1.23%	0.04408	-4.88%	0.0490	✓	1.14
2026-04-23	oos	0.04397	0.043757	-0.48%	0.04319	-1.77%	0.0163	✗	1.15
2026-04-22	oos	0.04344	0.043262	-0.41%	0.045185	+4.02%	0.0801	✗	1.15
2026-04-21	oos	0.04306	0.042701	-0.83%	0.04602	+6.87%	0.0753	✗	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.04319	0.042764	-0.99%	0.04557	+5.51%	0.0409	✗	1.16
2026-04-19	oos	0.041505	0.041075	-1.04%	0.04674	+12.61%	0.0552	✗	1.16
2026-04-18	oos	0.0428	0.042449	-0.82%	0.04619	+7.92%	0.0555	✗	1.16
2026-04-17	oos	0.04703	0.046331	-1.49%	0.04634	-1.47%	0.0052	✓	1.15
2026-04-16	oos	0.046245	0.045199	-2.26%	0.04397	-4.92%	0.0746	✓	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	0.04265	0.042007	-1.51%	0.04344	+1.85%	0.0172	✓	1.15
2026-04-14	oos	0.04094	0.040312	-1.53%	0.04306	+5.18%	0.0328	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.042885	0.042132	-1.76%	0.04319	+0.71%	0.0033	✓	1.14
2026-04-12	oos	0.040445	0.039671	-1.91%	0.041505	+2.62%	0.0041	✓	1.16
2026-04-11	oos	0.04206	0.04127	-1.88%	0.0428	+1.76%	0.0049	✓	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.042265	0.041503	-1.80%	0.04703	+11.27%	0.0617	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.04152	0.040806	-1.72%	0.046245	+11.38%	0.0721	✗	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.04137	0.040654	-1.73%	0.04265	+3.09%	0.0117	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.04404	0.04312	-2.09%	0.04094	-7.04%	0.0877	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.04032	0.039635	-1.70%	0.042885	+6.36%	0.0100	✓	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.04081	0.040116	-1.70%	0.040445	-0.89%	0.0203	✓	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.04169	0.040942	-1.79%	0.04206	+0.89%	0.0692	✓	1.16
2026-04-03	oos	0.04201	0.041224	-1.87%	0.042265	+0.61%	0.0769	✓	1.18
2026-04-02	oos	0.04181	0.040987	-1.97%	0.04152	-0.69%	0.0705	✓	1.18
2026-04-01	oos	0.04561	0.044269	-2.94%	0.04137	-9.30%	0.1177	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.04091	0.040234	-1.65%	0.04404	+7.65%	0.0281	✗	1.18
2026-03-30	oos	0.04012	0.039529	-1.47%	0.04032	+0.50%	0.0172	✓	1.19
2026-03-29	oos	0.03984	0.039319	-1.31%	0.04081	+2.43%	0.0165	✓	1.19
2026-03-28	oos	0.04111	0.040538	-1.39%	0.04169	+1.41%	0.0107	✓	1.19
2026-03-27	oos	0.040245	0.039806	-1.09%	0.04201	+4.39%	0.0431	✗	1.19
2026-03-26	oos	0.04215	0.041716	-1.03%	0.04181	-0.81%	0.0353	✗	1.20
2026-03-25	oos	0.04345	0.043067	-0.88%	0.04561	+4.97%	0.1124	✗	1.20
2026-03-24	oos	0.04358	0.043203	-0.87%	0.04091	-6.13%	0.0143	✓	1.21
2026-03-23	oos	0.04382	0.043417	-0.92%	0.04012	-8.44%	0.0062	✓	1.21
2026-03-22	oos	0.04206	0.041671	-0.92%	0.03984	-5.28%	0.0106	✓	1.22
2026-03-21	oos	0.04309	0.042719	-0.86%	0.04111	-4.60%	0.0083	✓	1.22
2026-03-20	oos	0.04452	0.044171	-0.78%	0.040245	-9.60%	0.0196	✓	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.04455	0.044227	-0.72%	0.04215	-5.39%	0.0280	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.045045	0.044787	-0.57%	0.04345	-3.54%	0.0313	✓	1.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.0492	0.048786	-0.84%	0.04358	-11.42%	0.0557	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.04974	0.04916	-1.17%	0.04382	-11.90%	0.0478	✓	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.04646	0.045898	-1.21%	0.04206	-9.47%	0.0020	✓	1.20
2026-03-14	oos	0.04366	0.043442	-0.50%	0.04309	-1.31%	0.0315	✗	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.04252	0.042312	-0.49%	0.04452	+4.70%	0.0584	✗	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.042775	0.042557	-0.51%	0.04455	+4.15%	0.0562	✗	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.04183	0.041663	-0.40%	0.045045	+7.69%	0.0605	✗	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.04131	0.041112	-0.48%	0.0492	+19.10%	0.1135	✗	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.04007	0.039866	-0.51%	0.04974	+24.13%	0.1136	✗	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.038575	0.038402	-0.45%	0.04646	+20.44%	0.0721	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.03863	0.03855	-0.21%	0.04366	+13.02%	0.0553	✗	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03965	0.039569	-0.20%	0.04252	+7.24%	0.0231	✗	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.04146	0.041373	-0.21%	0.042775	+3.17%	0.0394	✗	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.04239	0.042266	-0.29%	0.04183	-1.32%	0.0315	✗	1.21
2026-03-03	oos	0.04104	0.040902	-0.34%	0.04131	+0.66%	0.0193	✓	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.0404	0.040318	-0.20%	0.04007	-0.82%	0.0011	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.039275	0.03915	-0.32%	0.038575	-1.78%	0.0187	✓	1.27
2026-02-28	oos	0.04006	0.039921	-0.35%	0.03863	-3.57%	0.0385	✓	1.29
2026-02-27	oos	0.03994	0.039803	-0.34%	0.03965	-0.73%	0.0472	✓	1.29
2026-02-26	oos	0.04056	0.040452	-0.27%	0.04146	+2.22%	0.0390	✓	1.30
2026-02-25	oos	0.042635	0.042372	-0.62%	0.04239	-0.57%	0.0859	✓	1.29
2026-02-24	oos	0.03908	0.038927	-0.39%	0.04104	+5.02%	0.0295	✓	1.28
2026-02-23	oos	0.03971	0.039574	-0.34%	0.0404	+1.74%	0.0585	✓	1.25
2026-02-22	oos	0.04125	0.041141	-0.26%	0.039275	-4.79%	0.0113	✓	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.04306	0.042857	-0.47%	0.04006	-6.97%	0.0487	✓	1.28
2026-02-20	oos	0.04351	0.043294	-0.50%	0.03994	-8.21%	0.0403	✓	1.27
2026-02-19	oos	0.04279	0.042632	-0.37%	0.04056	-5.21%	0.0596	✓	1.27
2026-02-18	oos	0.04403	0.043827	-0.46%	0.042635	-3.17%	0.0576	✓	1.28
2026-02-17	oos	0.048645	0.048116	-1.09%	0.03908	-19.66%	0.1430	✓	1.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.04907	0.048484	-1.19%	0.03971	-19.07%	0.1196	✓	1.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.04802	0.047431	-1.23%	0.04125	-14.10%	0.1179	✓	1.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.05037	0.04927	-2.18%	0.04306	-14.51%	0.1011	✓	1.26
2026-02-13	oos	0.04599	0.045483	-1.10%	0.04351	-5.39%	0.0292	✓	1.25
2026-02-12	oos	0.04486	0.044303	-1.24%	0.04279	-4.61%	0.0492	✓	1.26
2026-02-11	oos	0.04543	0.044832	-1.32%	0.04403	-3.08%	0.0068	✓	1.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.040455	0.040462	+0.02%	0.048645	+20.24%	0.2094	✓	1.29
2026-02-09	oos	0.04113	0.04115	+0.05%	0.04907	+19.30%	0.1990	✓	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.0421	0.042122	+0.05%	0.04802	+14.06%	0.1588	✓	1.30
2026-02-07	oos	0.045525	0.045382	-0.31%	0.05037	+10.64%	0.0940	✗	1.31
2026-02-06	oos	0.047525	0.047153	-0.78%	0.04599	-3.23%	0.0064	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.04218	0.042825	+1.53%	0.04486	+6.35%	0.0231	✗	1.31
2026-02-04	oos	0.04777	0.047627	-0.30%	0.04543	-4.90%	0.1015	✗	1.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.05052	0.050187	-0.66%	0.040455	-19.92%	0.0511	✓	1.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.052515	0.052009	-0.96%	0.04113	-21.68%	0.0344	✓	1.74
2026-02-01	oos	0.04984	0.049792	-0.10%	0.0421	-15.53%	0.0235	✓	1.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.05228	0.052135	-0.28%	0.045525	-12.92%	0.0757	✗	1.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.06154	0.06096	-0.94%	0.047525	-22.77%	0.0292	✗	1.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.061395	0.060942	-0.74%	0.04218	-31.30%	0.1034	✗	1.59
2026-01-28	oos	0.06854	0.067748	-1.16%	0.04777	-30.30%	0.0421	✓	1.54
2026-01-27	oos	0.06747	0.066743	-1.08%	0.05052	-25.12%	0.0230	✓	1.56
2026-01-26	oos	0.06747	0.066706	-1.13%	0.052515	-22.17%	0.0617	✓	1.54
2026-01-25	oos	0.06591	0.065308	-0.91%	0.04984	-24.38%	0.0871	✓	1.55
2026-01-24	oos	0.070225	0.06947	-1.07%	0.05228	-25.55%	0.0926	✓	1.54
2026-01-23	oos	0.07085	0.070038	-1.15%	0.06154	-13.14%	0.0336	✓	1.55
2026-01-22	oos	0.07213	0.071314	-1.13%	0.061395	-14.88%	0.0615	✓	1.55
2026-01-21	oos	0.07287	0.072052	-1.12%	0.06854	-5.94%	0.0465	✓	1.55
2026-01-20	oos	0.07088	0.070272	-0.86%	0.06747	-4.81%	0.0547	✓	1.54
2026-01-19	oos	0.07668	0.075834	-1.10%	0.06747	-12.01%	0.0434	✓	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.0772	0.076413	-1.02%	0.06591	-14.62%	0.0260	✓	1.55
2026-01-17	oos	0.08104	0.080149	-1.10%	0.070225	-13.35%	0.0322	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.08223	0.081281	-1.15%	0.07085	-13.84%	0.0376	✓	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.08222	0.081223	-1.21%	0.07213	-12.27%	0.0174	✓	1.53
2026-01-14	oos	0.086885	0.08581	-1.24%	0.07287	-16.13%	0.0387	✓	1.53
2026-01-13	oos	0.08951	0.088015	-1.67%	0.07088	-20.81%	0.0969	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.08172	0.080617	-1.35%	0.07668	-6.17%	0.0729	✓	1.53
2026-01-11	oos	0.08444	0.083304	-1.35%	0.0772	-8.57%	0.1223	✓	1.54
2026-01-10	oos	0.08494	0.083851	-1.28%	0.08104	-4.59%	0.1136	✓	1.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.08794	0.086839	-1.25%	0.08223	-6.49%	0.1405	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.089465	0.088318	-1.28%	0.08222	-8.10%	0.1488	✓	1.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.09185	0.090602	-1.36%	0.086885	-5.41%	0.1692	✓	2.11
2026-01-06	oos	0.09761	0.095832	-1.82%	0.08951	-8.30%	0.1054	✓	2.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.097	0.095021	-2.04%	0.08172	-15.75%	0.0905	✓	2.08
2026-01-04	oos	0.09157	0.089538	-2.22%	0.08444	-7.79%	0.0449	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.08263	0.081655	-1.18%	0.08494	+2.80%	0.0443	✗	1.98
2026-01-02	oos	0.08252	0.081403	-1.35%	0.08794	+6.57%	0.0650	✗	1.98
2026-01-01	oos	0.08058	0.07943	-1.43%	0.089465	+11.03%	0.0687	✗	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.07379	0.073126	-0.90%	0.09185	+24.47%	0.1458	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.076875	0.075994	-1.15%	0.09761	+26.97%	0.1378	✗	1.92
2025-12-29	oos	0.0747	0.073962	-0.99%	0.097	+29.85%	0.1247	✗	1.96
2025-12-28	oos	0.07763	0.076608	-1.32%	0.09157	+17.96%	0.0994	✗	1.96
2025-12-27	oos	0.0772	0.0761	-1.42%	0.08263	+7.03%	0.0215	✗	1.94
2025-12-26	oos	0.07268	0.072008	-0.93%	0.08252	+13.54%	0.0782	✗	1.93
2025-12-25	oos	0.0713	0.070694	-0.85%	0.08058	+13.02%	0.0965	✗	1.93
2025-12-24	oos	0.07579	0.074837	-1.26%	0.07379	-2.64%	0.0116	✓	1.94
2025-12-23	oos	0.07128	0.070832	-0.63%	0.076875	+7.85%	0.0606	✗	1.93
2025-12-22	oos	0.07369	0.073148	-0.74%	0.0747	+1.37%	0.0526	✗	1.92
2025-12-21	oos	0.075515	0.074917	-0.79%	0.07763	+2.80%	0.0521	✗	1.92
2025-12-20	oos	0.07844	0.077701	-0.94%	0.0772	-1.58%	0.0050	✓	1.96
2025-12-19	oos	0.07941	0.078484	-1.17%	0.07268	-8.48%	0.0590	✓	1.96
2025-12-18	oos	0.07469	0.074166	-0.70%	0.0713	-4.54%	0.0781	✓	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.07879	0.078083	-0.90%	0.07579	-3.81%	0.0612	✓	1.95
2025-12-16	oos	0.08329	0.082321	-1.16%	0.07128	-14.42%	0.1346	✓	1.95
2025-12-15	oos	0.08304	0.082182	-1.03%	0.07369	-11.26%	0.1569	✓	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.08731	0.086332	-1.12%	0.075515	-13.51%	0.1442	✓	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.0917	0.090617	-1.18%	0.07844	-14.46%	0.1020	✓	1.95
2025-12-12	oos	0.0907	0.089652	-1.16%	0.07941	-12.45%	0.0734	✓	1.95
2025-12-11	oos	0.09442	0.093344	-1.14%	0.07469	-20.90%	0.0666	✓	1.96
2025-12-10	oos	0.0953	0.094142	-1.22%	0.07879	-17.32%	0.0492	✓	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.09869	0.097396	-1.31%	0.08329	-15.60%	0.0510	✓	1.97
2025-12-08	oos	0.09609	0.09479	-1.35%	0.08304	-13.58%	0.0394	✓	1.94
2025-12-07	oos	0.09203	0.091155	-0.95%	0.08731	-5.13%	0.0053	✓	1.94
2025-12-06	oos	0.09565	0.094624	-1.07%	0.0917	-4.13%	0.0529	✓	1.96
2025-12-05	oos	0.09574	0.094752	-1.03%	0.0907	-5.26%	0.0641	✓	1.96
2025-12-04	oos	0.10124	0.100223	-1.00%	0.09442	-6.74%	0.0692	✓	1.97
2025-12-03	oos	0.10517	0.104007	-1.11%	0.0953	-9.38%	0.0573	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.10324	0.102052	-1.15%	0.09869	-4.41%	0.0632	✓	1.98
2025-12-01	oos	0.09531	0.094512	-0.84%	0.09609	+0.82%	0.0831	✓	2.02
2025-11-30	oos	0.10465	0.103597	-1.01%	0.09203	-12.06%	0.1191	✓	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.10764	0.1064	-1.15%	0.09565	-11.14%	0.0717	✓	2.01
2025-11-28	oos	0.11083	0.109382	-1.31%	0.09574	-13.62%	0.0984	✓	2.01
2025-11-27	oos	0.11165	0.110233	-1.27%	0.10124	-9.32%	0.1022	✓	2.01
2025-11-26	oos	0.11204	0.110492	-1.38%	0.10517	-6.13%	0.1137	✓	1.98
2025-11-25	oos	0.11271	0.111028	-1.49%	0.10324	-8.40%	0.1648	✓	2.06
2025-11-24	oos	0.11139	0.109765	-1.46%	0.09531	-14.44%	0.0941	✓	2.07
2025-11-23	oos	0.10407	0.10311	-0.92%	0.10465	+0.56%	0.0681	✓	2.06
2025-11-22	oos	0.10432	0.103474	-0.81%	0.10764	+3.18%	0.1092	✓	2.12
2025-11-21	oos	0.10554	0.10465	-0.84%	0.11083	+5.01%	0.0827	✓	2.11
2025-11-20	oos	0.11425	0.112774	-1.29%	0.11165	-2.28%	0.1226	✓	2.09
2025-11-19	oos	0.1208	0.118706	-1.73%	0.11204	-7.25%	0.0338	✓	2.20
2025-11-18	oos	0.123815	0.121541	-1.84%	0.11271	-8.97%	0.0608	✗	2.20
2025-11-17	oos	0.11994	0.118053	-1.57%	0.11139	-7.13%	0.0362	✗	2.22
2025-11-16	oos	0.12583	0.123639	-1.74%	0.10407	-17.29%	0.0090	✓	2.22
2025-11-15	oos	0.13222	0.129547	-2.02%	0.10432	-21.10%	0.0508	✗	2.22
2025-11-14	oos	0.1312	0.128671	-1.93%	0.10554	-19.56%	0.0359	✗	2.22
2025-11-13	oos	0.13693	0.133952	-2.17%	0.11425	-16.56%	0.1709	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.14172	0.13805	-2.59%	0.1208	-14.76%	0.1147	✗	2.35
2025-11-11	oos	0.14019	0.137093	-2.21%	0.123815	-11.68%	0.1400	✗	2.35
2025-11-10	oos	0.15163	0.147579	-2.67%	0.11994	-20.90%	0.1193	✗	2.33
2025-11-09	oos	0.15409	0.150049	-2.62%	0.12583	-18.34%	0.0729	✗	2.35
2025-11-08	oos	0.16684	0.159877	-4.17%	0.13222	-20.75%	0.0230	✓	2.45
2025-11-07	oos	0.16628	0.159035	-4.36%	0.1312	-21.10%	0.0210	✓	2.40
2025-11-06	oos	0.12409	0.121785	-1.86%	0.13693	+10.35%	0.1548	✗	2.25
2025-11-05	oos	0.12541	0.122929	-1.98%	0.14172	+13.01%	0.1918	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.12529	0.123029	-1.80%	0.14019	+11.89%	0.0952	✗	2.34
2025-11-03	oos	0.1221	0.120241	-1.52%	0.15163	+24.19%	0.2459	✗	2.56
2025-11-02	oos	0.14051	0.138413	-1.49%	0.15409	+9.66%	0.2447	✗	2.53
2025-11-01	oos	0.142825	0.140867	-1.37%	0.16684	+16.81%	0.3548	✗	2.54
2025-10-31	oos	0.137605	0.136174	-1.04%	0.16628	+20.84%	0.3491	✗	2.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.143925	0.142455	-1.02%	0.12409	-13.78%	0.0337	✗	2.56
2025-10-29	oos	0.15944	0.157827	-1.01%	0.12541	-21.34%	0.0856	✓	2.50
2025-10-28	oos	0.16166	0.160552	-0.69%	0.12529	-22.50%	0.0234	✗	2.54
2025-10-27	oos	0.16729	0.166061	-0.73%	0.1221	-27.01%	0.1341	✓	2.54
2025-10-26	oos	0.174865	0.173003	-1.06%	0.14051	-19.65%	0.1176	✓	2.54
2025-10-25	oos	0.16693	0.165415	-0.91%	0.142825	-14.44%	0.1096	✓	2.56
2025-10-24	oos	0.165915	0.164307	-0.97%	0.137605	-17.06%	0.1430	✓	2.55
2025-10-23	oos	0.16373	0.16218	-0.95%	0.143925	-12.10%	0.0772	✓	2.55
2025-10-22	oos	0.16071	0.159285	-0.89%	0.15944	-0.79%	0.0569	✓	2.57
2025-10-21	oos	0.165255	0.163671	-0.96%	0.16166	-2.18%	0.1181	✓	2.57
2025-10-20	oos	0.174005	0.171932	-1.19%	0.16729	-3.86%	0.1089	✓	2.60
2025-10-19	oos	0.1764	0.174227	-1.23%	0.174865	-0.87%	0.1315	✓	2.57
2025-10-18	oos	0.172865	0.171109	-1.02%	0.16693	-3.43%	0.1295	✓	2.57
2025-10-17	oos	0.171525	0.170071	-0.85%	0.165915	-3.27%	0.1329	✓	2.57
2025-10-16	oos	0.181	0.17902	-1.09%	0.16373	-9.54%	0.1343	✓	2.56
2025-10-15	oos	0.18851	0.186129	-1.26%	0.16071	-14.75%	0.0710	✓	2.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.20075	0.198113	-1.31%	0.165255	-17.68%	0.0721	✓	2.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.21232	0.208884	-1.62%	0.174005	-18.05%	0.0751	✓	2.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.19667	0.194164	-1.27%	0.1764	-10.31%	0.0485	✗	2.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.17866	0.177246	-0.79%	0.172865	-3.24%	0.0569	✗	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	0.1768	0.175761	-0.59%	0.171525	-2.98%	0.1279	✗	2.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.27329	0.270329	-1.08%	0.181	-33.77%	0.1995	✓	1.71
2025-10-08	oos	0.28482	0.281473	-1.17%	0.18851	-33.81%	0.2171	✓	1.71
2025-10-07	oos	0.297305	0.2916	-1.92%	0.20075	-32.48%	0.2480	✓	1.76
2025-10-06	oos	0.2814	0.278788	-0.93%	0.21232	-24.55%	0.1212	✓	1.92
2025-10-05	oos	0.27518	0.272602	-0.94%	0.19667	-28.53%	0.1909	✓	1.91
2025-10-04	oos	0.27814	0.275339	-1.01%	0.17866	-35.77%	0.2400	✓	1.92
2025-10-03	oos	0.28135	0.277925	-1.22%	0.1768	-37.16%	0.3001	✓	1.92
2025-10-02	oos	0.27842	0.274397	-1.44%	0.27329	-1.84%	0.0214	✓	1.93
2025-10-01	oos	0.28123	0.274976	-2.22%	0.28482	+1.28%	0.0413	✓	1.98
2025-09-30	oos	0.25245	0.248008	-1.76%	0.297305	+17.77%	0.0620	✗	1.92
2025-09-29	oos	0.24691	0.243283	-1.47%	0.2814	+13.97%	0.0240	✓	1.96
2025-09-28	oos	0.246095	0.240625	-2.22%	0.27518	+11.82%	0.0576	✓	2.00
2025-09-27	oos	0.236765	0.233724	-1.28%	0.27814	+17.48%	0.0470	✓	2.01
2025-09-26	oos	0.2391	0.235997	-1.30%	0.28135	+17.67%	0.0443	✓	2.02
2025-09-25	oos	0.2298	0.227258	-1.11%	0.27842	+21.16%	0.0003	✓	2.01
2025-09-24	oos	0.25036	0.247282	-1.23%	0.28123	+12.33%	0.0368	✗	2.01
2025-09-23	oos	0.255405	0.252162	-1.27%	0.25245	-1.16%	0.0357	✓	2.03
2025-09-22	oos	0.249745	0.246917	-1.13%	0.24691	-1.14%	0.0282	✓	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	0.285965	0.282001	-1.39%	0.246095	-13.94%	0.0858	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.28919	0.285085	-1.42%	0.236765	-18.13%	0.0855	✓	1.86
2025-09-19	oos	0.296955	0.292213	-1.60%	0.2391	-19.48%	0.1017	✓	1.86
2025-09-18	oos	0.31025	0.304058	-2.00%	0.2298	-25.93%	0.1480	✓	1.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.