S

Sonic · native · beta_5y

token id: #120
symbol: S
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-06-24
predictions: 1,431

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0306

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.05664	0.056144	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-21	oos	0.056345	0.055859	-0.86%	0.05664	+1.30%	0.0183	✗	1.40
2026-10-20	oos	0.05751	0.056965	-0.95%	0.056345	-2.03%	0.0068	✓	1.40
2026-10-19	oos	0.05861	0.057887	-1.23%	0.05751	-1.88%	0.0254	✓	1.41
2026-10-18	oos	0.051685	0.051272	-0.80%	0.05861	+13.40%	0.1366	✗	1.40
2026-10-17	oos	0.052695	0.052292	-0.76%	0.051685	-1.92%	0.0225	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.054935	0.054474	-0.84%	0.052695	-4.08%	0.0312	✓	1.40
2026-10-15	oos	0.055925	0.055352	-1.02%	0.054935	-1.77%	0.0030	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.054155	0.053671	-0.89%	0.055925	+3.27%	0.0317	✗	1.38
2026-10-13	oos	0.057115	0.056285	-1.45%	0.054155	-5.18%	0.0130	✓	1.37
2026-10-12	oos	0.05647	0.055634	-1.48%	0.057115	+1.14%	0.0036	✓	1.38
2026-10-11	oos	0.06086	0.059236	-2.67%	0.05647	-7.21%	0.0179	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.04728	0.046704	-1.22%	0.06086	+28.72%	0.2535	✗	1.22
2026-10-09	oos	0.043925	0.043309	-1.40%	0.04728	+7.64%	0.0823	✗	1.22
2026-10-08	oos	0.038495	0.038232	-0.68%	0.043925	+14.11%	0.1264	✗	1.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.040855	0.040556	-0.73%	0.038495	-5.78%	0.0295	✓	1.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.043535	0.043157	-0.87%	0.040855	-6.16%	0.0240	✓	1.15
2026-10-05	oos	0.043635	0.043184	-1.03%	0.043535	-0.23%	0.0109	✗	1.15
2026-10-04	oos	0.040785	0.04044	-0.85%	0.043635	+6.99%	0.0865	✗	1.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.043395	0.042888	-1.17%	0.040785	-6.01%	0.0755	✓	1.23
2026-10-02	oos	0.03797	0.037661	-0.81%	0.043395	+14.29%	0.1383	✗	1.23
2026-10-01	oos	0.03865	0.038331	-0.83%	0.03797	-1.76%	0.0045	✓	1.22
2026-09-30	oos	0.040745	0.040277	-1.15%	0.03865	-5.14%	0.0607	✓	1.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.037615	0.037321	-0.78%	0.040745	+8.32%	0.0891	✗	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.038825	0.038491	-0.86%	0.037615	-3.12%	0.0258	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.04043	0.040047	-0.95%	0.038825	-3.97%	0.0152	✓	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.039945	0.039566	-0.95%	0.04043	+1.21%	0.0209	✗	1.32
2026-09-25	oos	0.04142	0.040984	-1.05%	0.039945	-3.56%	0.0306	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.04092	0.040499	-1.03%	0.04142	+1.22%	0.0269	✗	1.28
2026-09-23	oos	0.04014	0.039727	-1.03%	0.04092	+1.94%	0.0295	✗	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.04336	0.042595	-1.77%	0.04014	-7.43%	0.0325	✓	1.26
2026-09-21	oos	0.039495	0.038995	-1.27%	0.04336	+9.79%	0.1123	✗	1.36
2026-09-20	oos	0.039995	0.039109	-2.22%	0.039495	-1.25%	0.0909	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.033515	0.033096	-1.25%	0.039995	+19.33%	0.1908	✗	1.55
2026-09-18	oos	0.032415	0.031801	-1.89%	0.033515	+3.39%	0.0456	✗	1.55
2026-09-17	oos	0.027	0.026838	-0.60%	0.032415	+20.06%	0.1106	✗	1.36
2026-09-16	oos	0.025855	0.025741	-0.44%	0.027	+4.43%	0.0442	✗	1.34
2026-09-15	oos	0.02546	0.025373	-0.34%	0.025855	+1.55%	0.0093	✗	1.29
2026-09-14	oos	0.02675	0.026653	-0.36%	0.02546	-4.82%	0.0029	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.026345	0.026263	-0.31%	0.02675	+1.54%	0.0043	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.027485	0.027387	-0.36%	0.026345	-4.15%	0.0312	✓	1.27
2026-09-11	oos	0.02702	0.026956	-0.24%	0.027485	+1.72%	0.0185	✗	1.29
2026-09-10	oos	0.02649	0.026468	-0.08%	0.02702	+2.00%	0.0095	✗	1.28
2026-09-09	oos	0.02824	0.028197	-0.15%	0.02649	-6.20%	0.0341	✓	1.26
2026-09-08	oos	0.02972	0.029647	-0.25%	0.02824	-4.98%	0.0460	✓	1.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.029985	0.029921	-0.21%	0.02972	-0.88%	0.0036	✗	1.26
2026-09-06	oos	0.03098	0.030874	-0.34%	0.029985	-3.21%	0.0105	✓	1.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.02983	0.029754	-0.26%	0.03098	+3.86%	0.0329	✗	1.19
2026-09-04	oos	0.02953	0.029404	-0.43%	0.02983	+1.02%	0.0121	✗	1.15
2026-09-03	oos	0.02826	0.02821	-0.18%	0.02953	+4.49%	0.0694	✗	1.20
2026-09-02	oos	0.02658	0.026536	-0.17%	0.02826	+6.32%	0.0006	✓	1.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.02764	0.027556	-0.30%	0.02658	-3.84%	0.0346	✓	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.02777	0.0277	-0.25%	0.02764	-0.47%	0.0162	✗	1.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.02759	0.02753	-0.22%	0.02777	+0.65%	0.0054	✓	1.23
2026-08-29	oos	0.03037	0.030226	-0.48%	0.02759	-9.15%	0.0827	✓	1.17
2026-08-28	oos	0.02984	0.029693	-0.49%	0.03037	+1.78%	0.0166	✗	1.17
2026-08-27	oos	0.03047	0.0303	-0.56%	0.02984	-2.07%	0.0211	✗	1.18
2026-08-26	oos	0.03201	0.031642	-1.15%	0.03047	-4.81%	0.0566	✓	1.20
2026-08-25	oos	0.02739	0.027281	-0.40%	0.03201	+16.87%	0.1523	✗	1.19
2026-08-24	oos	0.028635	0.028478	-0.55%	0.02739	-4.35%	0.0320	✓	1.20
2026-08-23	oos	0.02816	0.027991	-0.60%	0.028635	+1.69%	0.0037	✓	1.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.02708	0.026913	-0.62%	0.02816	+3.99%	0.0349	✗	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.02856	0.028289	-0.95%	0.02708	-5.18%	0.0245	✓	1.17
2026-08-20	oos	0.02506	0.02491	-0.60%	0.02856	+13.97%	0.0613	✗	1.07
2026-08-19	oos	0.02324	0.023116	-0.53%	0.02506	+7.83%	0.0260	✗	1.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.021375	0.021292	-0.39%	0.02324	+8.73%	0.0177	✗	1.01
2026-08-17	oos	0.02184	0.021754	-0.39%	0.021375	-2.13%	0.0208	✓	1.02
2026-08-16	oos	0.02196	0.021863	-0.44%	0.02184	-0.55%	0.0281	✓	1.05
2026-08-15	oos	0.02231	0.022216	-0.42%	0.02196	-1.57%	0.0086	✓	1.05
2026-08-14	oos	0.02206	0.021978	-0.37%	0.02231	+1.13%	0.0143	✗	1.05
2026-08-13	oos	0.02262	0.022529	-0.40%	0.02206	-2.48%	0.0136	✓	1.05
2026-08-12	oos	0.02238	0.022304	-0.34%	0.02262	+1.07%	0.0138	✗	1.07
2026-08-11	oos	0.023	0.022915	-0.37%	0.02238	-2.70%	0.0216	✓	1.07
2026-08-10	oos	0.02353	0.023427	-0.44%	0.023	-2.25%	0.0120	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.02351	0.023401	-0.46%	0.02353	+0.09%	0.0215	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	0.02358	0.023445	-0.57%	0.02351	-0.30%	0.0038	✓	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.02169	0.021621	-0.32%	0.02358	+8.71%	0.0864	✗	1.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.0219	0.02183	-0.32%	0.02169	-0.96%	0.0172	✓	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.02193	0.021859	-0.32%	0.0219	-0.14%	0.0077	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.02235	0.02226	-0.40%	0.02193	-1.88%	0.0246	✓	1.12
2026-08-03	oos	0.02253	0.022406	-0.55%	0.02235	-0.80%	0.0131	✓	1.15
2026-08-02	oos	0.02177	0.021688	-0.38%	0.02253	+3.49%	0.0387	✗	1.16
2026-08-01	oos	0.0214	0.021321	-0.37%	0.02177	+1.73%	0.0074	✗	1.15
2026-07-31	oos	0.02131	0.021237	-0.34%	0.0214	+0.42%	0.0088	✗	1.15
2026-07-30	oos	0.02149	0.021424	-0.31%	0.02131	-0.84%	0.0297	✗	1.18
2026-07-29	oos	0.02114	0.021086	-0.26%	0.02149	+1.66%	0.0040	✗	1.17
2026-07-28	oos	0.02166	0.0216	-0.28%	0.02114	-2.40%	0.0224	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.02165	0.021597	-0.25%	0.02166	+0.05%	0.0002	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.02341	0.023337	-0.31%	0.02165	-7.52%	0.0466	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.02345	0.023379	-0.30%	0.02341	-0.17%	0.0168	✓	1.12
2026-07-24	oos	0.0234	0.023336	-0.27%	0.02345	+0.21%	0.0011	✓	1.12
2026-07-23	oos	0.02404	0.023975	-0.27%	0.0234	-2.66%	0.0075	✓	1.12
2026-07-22	oos	0.024615	0.02455	-0.26%	0.02404	-2.34%	0.0036	✓	1.10
2026-07-21	oos	0.02451	0.02445	-0.24%	0.024615	+0.43%	0.0139	✗	1.10
2026-07-20	oos	0.02515	0.025066	-0.34%	0.02451	-2.54%	0.0446	✓	1.12
2026-07-19	oos	0.02396	0.023902	-0.24%	0.02515	+4.97%	0.0419	✗	1.11
2026-07-18	oos	0.02426	0.024207	-0.22%	0.02396	-1.24%	0.0083	✓	1.12
2026-07-17	oos	0.02478	0.02472	-0.24%	0.02426	-2.10%	0.0347	✓	1.14
2026-07-16	oos	0.02491	0.024851	-0.24%	0.02478	-0.52%	0.0051	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.02547	0.025411	-0.23%	0.02491	-2.20%	0.0028	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.02549	0.025434	-0.22%	0.02547	-0.08%	0.0064	✗	1.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.02526	0.025201	-0.23%	0.02549	+0.91%	0.0421	✓	1.25
2026-07-12	oos	0.02531	0.025258	-0.20%	0.02526	-0.20%	0.0299	✗	1.27
2026-07-11	oos	0.025885	0.025825	-0.23%	0.02531	-2.22%	0.0195	✓	1.27
2026-07-10	oos	0.02603	0.025965	-0.25%	0.025885	-0.56%	0.0040	✗	1.27
2026-07-09	oos	0.025275	0.025221	-0.22%	0.02603	+2.99%	0.0128	✗	1.26
2026-07-08	oos	0.02502	0.024968	-0.21%	0.025275	+1.02%	0.0066	✓	1.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.02562	0.025563	-0.22%	0.02502	-2.34%	0.0003	✓	1.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.02665	0.026573	-0.29%	0.02562	-3.86%	0.0230	✓	1.27
2026-07-05	oos	0.02718	0.027082	-0.36%	0.02665	-1.95%	0.0247	✓	1.32
2026-07-04	oos	0.02669	0.026591	-0.37%	0.02718	+1.84%	0.0116	✗	1.32
2026-07-03	oos	0.02711	0.026958	-0.56%	0.02669	-1.55%	0.0216	✓	1.29
2026-07-02	oos	0.02489	0.024777	-0.46%	0.02711	+8.92%	0.0691	✗	1.25
2026-07-01	oos	0.02297	0.022906	-0.28%	0.02489	+8.36%	0.0528	✗	1.21
2026-06-30	oos	0.02269	0.022619	-0.31%	0.02297	+1.23%	0.0149	✓	1.25
2026-06-29	oos	0.02448	0.024331	-0.61%	0.02269	-7.31%	0.0362	✓	1.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.02413	0.023911	-0.91%	0.02448	+1.45%	0.0095	✗	1.21
2026-06-27	oos	0.02214	0.022025	-0.52%	0.02413	+8.99%	0.1008	✗	1.23
2026-06-26	oos	0.02018	0.020165	-0.07%	0.02214	+9.71%	0.0948	✗	1.24
2026-06-25	oos	0.02002	0.020021	+0.00%	0.02018	+0.80%	0.0018	✓	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.02089	0.020892	+0.01%	0.02002	-4.16%	0.0166	✗	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.02376	0.02374	-0.09%	0.02089	-12.08%	0.0972	✓	1.14
2026-06-22	oos	0.025055	0.025036	-0.07%	0.02376	-5.17%	0.0292	✓	1.12
2026-06-21	oos	0.02697	0.026937	-0.12%	0.025055	-7.10%	0.0854	✓	1.15
2026-06-20	oos	0.02794	0.027901	-0.14%	0.02697	-3.47%	0.0163	✓	1.14
2026-06-19	oos	0.03075	0.030672	-0.25%	0.02794	-9.14%	0.1071	✓	1.18
2026-06-18	oos	0.03279	0.03267	-0.37%	0.03075	-6.22%	0.0719	✓	1.20
2026-06-17	oos	0.03205	0.031945	-0.33%	0.03279	+2.31%	0.0565	✗	1.23
2026-06-16	oos	0.03216	0.032056	-0.32%	0.03205	-0.34%	0.0221	✗	1.24
2026-06-15	oos	0.03274	0.032603	-0.42%	0.03216	-1.77%	0.0009	✓	1.27
2026-06-14	oos	0.03225	0.032125	-0.39%	0.03274	+1.52%	0.0080	✗	1.27
2026-06-13	oos	0.03076	0.030675	-0.28%	0.03225	+4.84%	0.0249	✗	1.28
2026-06-12	oos	0.03053	0.030448	-0.27%	0.03076	+0.75%	0.0080	✓	1.31
2026-06-11	oos	0.03056	0.030474	-0.28%	0.03053	-0.10%	0.0024	✓	1.31
2026-06-10	oos	0.02939	0.029327	-0.22%	0.03056	+3.98%	0.0032	✓	1.31
2026-06-09	oos	0.03161	0.031478	-0.42%	0.02939	-7.02%	0.0635	✓	1.31
2026-06-08	oos	0.02988	0.029825	-0.18%	0.03161	+5.79%	0.0882	✗	1.36
2026-06-07	oos	0.02978	0.029737	-0.14%	0.02988	+0.34%	0.0100	✗	1.36
2026-06-06	oos	0.02949	0.029472	-0.06%	0.02978	+0.98%	0.0449	✓	1.40
2026-06-05	oos	0.02964	0.029632	-0.03%	0.02949	-0.51%	0.0007	✓	1.39
2026-06-04	oos	0.03336	0.033268	-0.28%	0.02964	-11.15%	0.0568	✓	1.32
2026-06-03	oos	0.03696	0.036818	-0.38%	0.03336	-9.74%	0.0939	✓	1.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.03707	0.036933	-0.37%	0.03696	-0.30%	0.0548	✗	1.35
2026-06-01	oos	0.04034	0.040127	-0.53%	0.03707	-8.11%	0.0069	✗	1.28
2026-05-31	oos	0.03982	0.039655	-0.42%	0.04034	+1.31%	0.0583	✗	1.32
2026-05-30	oos	0.04047	0.040292	-0.44%	0.03982	-1.61%	0.0084	✓	1.28
2026-05-29	oos	0.04032	0.040161	-0.39%	0.04047	+0.37%	0.0006	✓	1.28
2026-05-28	oos	0.04035	0.040205	-0.36%	0.04032	-0.07%	0.0054	✗	1.27
2026-05-27	oos	0.04289	0.042691	-0.46%	0.04035	-5.92%	0.0428	✓	1.25
2026-05-26	oos	0.04466	0.044416	-0.55%	0.04289	-3.96%	0.0099	✓	1.25
2026-05-25	oos	0.04606	0.045785	-0.60%	0.04466	-3.04%	0.0014	✓	1.26
2026-05-24	oos	0.04541	0.045188	-0.49%	0.04606	+1.43%	0.0146	✗	1.26
2026-05-23	oos	0.04681	0.04653	-0.60%	0.04541	-2.99%	0.0296	✓	1.24
2026-05-22	oos	0.04565	0.045363	-0.63%	0.04681	+2.54%	0.0116	✗	1.25
2026-05-21	oos	0.04834	0.047897	-0.92%	0.04565	-5.56%	0.0142	✓	1.23
2026-05-20	oos	0.04456	0.044318	-0.54%	0.04834	+8.48%	0.0857	✗	1.23
2026-05-19	oos	0.04363	0.043408	-0.51%	0.04456	+2.13%	0.0149	✗	1.23
2026-05-18	oos	0.04456	0.04429	-0.60%	0.04363	-2.09%	0.0121	✓	1.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.04397	0.043778	-0.44%	0.04456	+1.34%	0.0252	✗	1.25
2026-05-16	oos	0.045505	0.045309	-0.43%	0.04397	-3.37%	0.0188	✓	1.24
2026-05-15	oos	0.04681	0.046602	-0.44%	0.045505	-2.79%	0.0086	✓	1.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.04942	0.049171	-0.50%	0.04681	-5.28%	0.0174	✓	1.26
2026-05-13	oos	0.04843	0.048233	-0.41%	0.04942	+2.04%	0.0035	✓	1.24
2026-05-12	oos	0.050295	0.05007	-0.45%	0.04843	-3.71%	0.0148	✓	1.24
2026-05-11	oos	0.05302	0.052745	-0.52%	0.050295	-5.14%	0.0303	✓	1.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.055	0.054593	-0.74%	0.05302	-3.60%	0.0228	✓	1.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.05253	0.052236	-0.56%	0.055	+4.70%	0.0305	✗	1.11
2026-05-08	oos	0.05402	0.053574	-0.83%	0.05253	-2.76%	0.0260	✓	1.09
2026-05-07	oos	0.048855	0.048565	-0.59%	0.05402	+10.57%	0.1039	✗	1.09
2026-05-06	oos	0.04883	0.048439	-0.80%	0.048855	+0.05%	0.0279	✗	1.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.04528	0.045081	-0.44%	0.04883	+7.84%	0.0733	✗	1.01
2026-05-04	oos	0.04434	0.044146	-0.44%	0.04528	+2.12%	0.0121	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.0437	0.043502	-0.45%	0.04434	+1.46%	0.0026	✓	1.01
2026-05-02	oos	0.04378	0.043623	-0.36%	0.0437	-0.18%	0.0034	✓	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.04408	0.04393	-0.34%	0.04378	-0.68%	0.0093	✓	1.03
2026-04-30	oos	0.04319	0.043055	-0.31%	0.04408	+2.06%	0.0039	✓	1.10
2026-04-29	oos	0.045185	0.044971	-0.47%	0.04319	-4.42%	0.0484	✓	1.10
2026-04-28	oos	0.04602	0.045778	-0.53%	0.045185	-1.81%	0.0046	✓	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.04557	0.045404	-0.36%	0.04602	+0.99%	0.0289	✗	1.13
2026-04-26	oos	0.04674	0.046553	-0.40%	0.04557	-2.50%	0.0023	✓	1.13
2026-04-25	oos	0.04619	0.04598	-0.46%	0.04674	+1.19%	0.0016	✓	1.13
2026-04-24	oos	0.04634	0.046067	-0.59%	0.04619	-0.32%	0.0001	✓	1.14
2026-04-23	oos	0.04397	0.043795	-0.40%	0.04634	+5.39%	0.0686	✗	1.15
2026-04-22	oos	0.04344	0.043283	-0.36%	0.04397	+1.22%	0.0147	✗	1.15
2026-04-21	oos	0.04306	0.042887	-0.40%	0.04344	+0.88%	0.0149	✓	1.15
2026-04-20	oos	0.04319	0.043012	-0.41%	0.04306	-0.30%	0.0062	✓	1.16
2026-04-19	oos	0.041505	0.041368	-0.33%	0.04319	+4.06%	0.0114	✗	1.16
2026-04-18	oos	0.0428	0.042663	-0.32%	0.041505	-3.03%	0.0022	✓	1.16
2026-04-17	oos	0.04703	0.046765	-0.56%	0.0428	-8.99%	0.0680	✓	1.15
2026-04-16	oos	0.046245	0.045847	-0.86%	0.04703	+1.70%	0.0039	✓	1.16
2026-04-15	oos	0.04265	0.042443	-0.49%	0.046245	+8.43%	0.0808	✗	1.15
2026-04-14	oos	0.04094	0.040757	-0.45%	0.04265	+4.18%	0.0353	✗	1.15
2026-04-13	oos	0.042885	0.042657	-0.53%	0.04094	-4.54%	0.0370	✓	1.14
2026-04-12	oos	0.040445	0.040251	-0.48%	0.042885	+6.03%	0.0044	✓	1.16
2026-04-11	oos	0.04206	0.041847	-0.51%	0.040445	-3.84%	0.0035	✓	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.042265	0.042052	-0.50%	0.04206	-0.49%	0.0012	✓	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.04152	0.041329	-0.46%	0.042265	+1.79%	0.0032	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.04137	0.041179	-0.46%	0.04152	+0.36%	0.0033	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	0.04404	0.043752	-0.65%	0.04137	-6.06%	0.0427	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.04032	0.040139	-0.45%	0.04404	+9.23%	0.0433	✗	1.14
2026-04-05	oos	0.04081	0.040625	-0.45%	0.04032	-1.20%	0.0050	✓	1.14
2026-04-04	oos	0.04169	0.041493	-0.47%	0.04081	-2.11%	0.0459	✓	1.16
2026-04-03	oos	0.04201	0.0418	-0.50%	0.04169	-0.76%	0.0085	✓	1.18
2026-04-02	oos	0.04181	0.041581	-0.55%	0.04201	+0.48%	0.0091	✗	1.18
2026-04-01	oos	0.04561	0.045133	-1.05%	0.04181	-8.33%	0.0554	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.04091	0.040705	-0.50%	0.04561	+11.49%	0.1157	✗	1.18
2026-03-30	oos	0.04012	0.039939	-0.45%	0.04091	+1.97%	0.0021	✓	1.19
2026-03-29	oos	0.03984	0.039675	-0.41%	0.04012	+0.70%	0.0028	✓	1.19
2026-03-28	oos	0.04111	0.040918	-0.47%	0.03984	-3.09%	0.0201	✓	1.19
2026-03-27	oos	0.040245	0.040096	-0.37%	0.04111	+2.15%	0.0256	✗	1.19
2026-03-26	oos	0.04215	0.041982	-0.40%	0.040245	-4.52%	0.0005	✓	1.20
2026-03-25	oos	0.04345	0.043276	-0.40%	0.04215	-2.99%	0.0172	✗	1.20
2026-03-24	oos	0.04358	0.043401	-0.41%	0.04345	-0.30%	0.0119	✓	1.21
2026-03-23	oos	0.04382	0.043626	-0.44%	0.04358	-0.55%	0.0048	✗	1.21
2026-03-22	oos	0.04206	0.041896	-0.39%	0.04382	+4.18%	0.0083	✓	1.22
2026-03-21	oos	0.04309	0.04293	-0.37%	0.04206	-2.39%	0.0015	✓	1.22
2026-03-20	oos	0.04452	0.044354	-0.37%	0.04309	-3.21%	0.0013	✓	1.21
2026-03-19	oos	0.04455	0.044399	-0.34%	0.04452	-0.07%	0.0073	✓	1.21
2026-03-18	oos	0.045045	0.044903	-0.32%	0.04455	-1.10%	0.0152	✗	1.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.0492	0.048964	-0.48%	0.045045	-8.45%	0.0385	✓	1.21
2026-03-16	oos	0.04974	0.049395	-0.69%	0.0492	-1.09%	0.0117	✗	1.22
2026-03-15	oos	0.04646	0.046127	-0.72%	0.04974	+7.06%	0.0419	✗	1.20
2026-03-14	oos	0.04366	0.043515	-0.33%	0.04646	+6.41%	0.0389	✗	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.04252	0.042377	-0.34%	0.04366	+2.68%	0.0250	✗	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.042775	0.042635	-0.33%	0.04252	-0.60%	0.0097	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.04183	0.041709	-0.29%	0.042775	+2.26%	0.0197	✗	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.04131	0.041169	-0.34%	0.04183	+1.26%	0.0117	✗	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.04007	0.039938	-0.33%	0.04131	+3.09%	0.0074	✗	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.038575	0.038477	-0.25%	0.04007	+3.88%	0.0033	✓	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	0.03863	0.038562	-0.18%	0.038575	-0.14%	0.0237	✗	1.21
2026-03-06	oos	0.03965	0.039579	-0.18%	0.03863	-2.57%	0.0093	✓	1.20
2026-03-05	oos	0.04146	0.041374	-0.21%	0.03965	-4.37%	0.0055	✗	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.04239	0.042284	-0.25%	0.04146	-2.19%	0.0106	✗	1.21
2026-03-03	oos	0.04104	0.040943	-0.24%	0.04239	+3.29%	0.0419	✓	1.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.0404	0.040321	-0.20%	0.04104	+1.58%	0.0267	✗	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.039275	0.039194	-0.21%	0.0404	+2.86%	0.0275	✓	1.27
2026-02-28	oos	0.04006	0.039967	-0.23%	0.039275	-1.96%	0.0058	✗	1.29
2026-02-27	oos	0.03994	0.039857	-0.21%	0.04006	+0.30%	0.0164	✓	1.29
2026-02-26	oos	0.04056	0.040482	-0.19%	0.03994	-1.53%	0.0182	✗	1.30
2026-02-25	oos	0.042635	0.042504	-0.31%	0.04056	-4.87%	0.0372	✓	1.29
2026-02-24	oos	0.03908	0.038999	-0.21%	0.042635	+9.10%	0.0132	✗	1.28
2026-02-23	oos	0.03971	0.039633	-0.19%	0.03908	-1.59%	0.0032	✓	1.25
2026-02-22	oos	0.04125	0.04118	-0.17%	0.03971	-3.73%	0.0210	✗	1.27
2026-02-21	oos	0.04306	0.042966	-0.22%	0.04125	-4.20%	0.0344	✓	1.28
2026-02-20	oos	0.04351	0.043413	-0.22%	0.04306	-1.03%	0.0076	✓	1.27
2026-02-19	oos	0.04279	0.042712	-0.18%	0.04351	+1.68%	0.0005	✓	1.27
2026-02-18	oos	0.04403	0.043944	-0.20%	0.04279	-2.82%	0.0372	✓	1.28
2026-02-17	oos	0.048645	0.048466	-0.37%	0.04403	-9.49%	0.0763	✓	1.26
2026-02-16	oos	0.04907	0.048882	-0.38%	0.048645	-0.87%	0.0209	✗	1.26
2026-02-15	oos	0.04802	0.04783	-0.40%	0.04907	+2.19%	0.0244	✗	1.26
2026-02-14	oos	0.05037	0.049973	-0.79%	0.04802	-4.67%	0.0217	✓	1.26
2026-02-13	oos	0.04599	0.045823	-0.36%	0.05037	+9.52%	0.0770	✗	1.25
2026-02-12	oos	0.04486	0.044643	-0.48%	0.04599	+2.52%	0.0188	✓	1.26
2026-02-11	oos	0.04543	0.045193	-0.52%	0.04486	-1.25%	0.0078	✗	1.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.040455	0.040428	-0.07%	0.04543	+12.30%	0.1503	✗	1.29
2026-02-09	oos	0.04113	0.041112	-0.04%	0.040455	-1.64%	0.0079	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.0421	0.042083	-0.04%	0.04113	-2.30%	0.0196	✓	1.30
2026-02-07	oos	0.045525	0.04546	-0.14%	0.0421	-7.52%	0.0963	✓	1.31
2026-02-06	oos	0.047525	0.047384	-0.30%	0.045525	-4.21%	0.0166	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.04218	0.042245	+0.15%	0.047525	+12.67%	0.0346	✗	1.31
2026-02-04	oos	0.04777	0.047708	-0.13%	0.04218	-11.70%	0.1393	✗	1.74
2026-02-03	oos	0.05052	0.050416	-0.21%	0.04777	-5.44%	0.0081	✗	1.73
2026-02-02	oos	0.052515	0.052364	-0.29%	0.05052	-3.80%	0.0318	✗	1.74
2026-02-01	oos	0.04984	0.049806	-0.07%	0.052515	+5.37%	0.0164	✗	1.60
2026-01-31	oos	0.05228	0.052219	-0.12%	0.04984	-4.67%	0.0092	✓	1.66
2026-01-30	oos	0.06154	0.061365	-0.28%	0.05228	-15.05%	0.0542	✓	1.58
2026-01-29	oos	0.061395	0.061259	-0.22%	0.06154	+0.24%	0.0121	✗	1.59
2026-01-28	oos	0.06854	0.068277	-0.38%	0.061395	-10.42%	0.0240	✓	1.54
2026-01-27	oos	0.06747	0.067235	-0.35%	0.06854	+1.59%	0.0184	✗	1.56
2026-01-26	oos	0.06747	0.067224	-0.36%	0.06747	+0.00%	0.0115	✓	1.54
2026-01-25	oos	0.06591	0.065707	-0.31%	0.06747	+2.37%	0.0034	✓	1.55
2026-01-24	oos	0.070225	0.069983	-0.35%	0.06591	-6.14%	0.0158	✓	1.54
2026-01-23	oos	0.07085	0.070577	-0.38%	0.070225	-0.88%	0.0018	✓	1.55
2026-01-22	oos	0.07213	0.071867	-0.37%	0.07085	-1.77%	0.0144	✓	1.55
2026-01-21	oos	0.07287	0.072577	-0.40%	0.07213	-1.02%	0.0079	✓	1.55
2026-01-20	oos	0.07088	0.070678	-0.29%	0.07287	+2.81%	0.0123	✗	1.54
2026-01-19	oos	0.07668	0.076379	-0.39%	0.07088	-7.56%	0.0023	✓	1.54
2026-01-18	oos	0.0772	0.076925	-0.36%	0.07668	-0.67%	0.0147	✗	1.55
2026-01-17	oos	0.08104	0.080733	-0.38%	0.0772	-4.74%	0.0209	✓	1.53
2026-01-16	oos	0.08223	0.081917	-0.38%	0.08104	-1.45%	0.0044	✓	1.53
2026-01-15	oos	0.08222	0.081912	-0.37%	0.08223	+0.01%	0.0052	✗	1.53
2026-01-14	oos	0.086885	0.086511	-0.43%	0.08222	-5.37%	0.0291	✓	1.53
2026-01-13	oos	0.08951	0.088965	-0.61%	0.086885	-2.93%	0.0490	✓	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	0.08172	0.081393	-0.40%	0.08951	+9.53%	0.0263	✗	1.53
2026-01-11	oos	0.08444	0.084095	-0.41%	0.08172	-3.22%	0.0340	✓	1.54
2026-01-10	oos	0.08494	0.084619	-0.38%	0.08444	-0.59%	0.0107	✓	1.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.08794	0.087596	-0.39%	0.08494	-3.41%	0.0283	✓	1.60
2026-01-08	oos	0.089465	0.089108	-0.40%	0.08794	-1.70%	0.0043	✓	1.58
2026-01-07	oos	0.09185	0.09147	-0.41%	0.089465	-2.60%	0.0163	✓	2.11
2026-01-06	oos	0.09761	0.097028	-0.60%	0.09185	-5.90%	0.0009	✓	2.11
2026-01-05	oos	0.097	0.096314	-0.71%	0.09761	+0.63%	0.0167	✗	2.08
2026-01-04	oos	0.09157	0.090802	-0.84%	0.097	+5.93%	0.0146	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.08263	0.08231	-0.39%	0.09157	+10.82%	0.0871	✗	1.98
2026-01-02	oos	0.08252	0.082151	-0.45%	0.08263	+0.13%	0.0082	✓	1.98
2026-01-01	oos	0.08058	0.080196	-0.48%	0.08252	+2.41%	0.0016	✓	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.07379	0.073582	-0.28%	0.08058	+9.20%	0.0635	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.076875	0.076593	-0.37%	0.07379	-4.01%	0.0176	✓	1.92
2025-12-29	oos	0.0747	0.074476	-0.30%	0.076875	+2.91%	0.0030	✓	1.96
2025-12-28	oos	0.07763	0.077305	-0.42%	0.0747	-3.77%	0.0171	✓	1.96
2025-12-27	oos	0.0772	0.076836	-0.47%	0.07763	+0.56%	0.0087	✗	1.94
2025-12-26	oos	0.07268	0.072473	-0.29%	0.0772	+6.22%	0.0519	✗	1.93
2025-12-25	oos	0.0713	0.071111	-0.27%	0.07268	+1.94%	0.0191	✗	1.93
2025-12-24	oos	0.07579	0.075474	-0.42%	0.0713	-5.92%	0.0472	✓	1.94
2025-12-23	oos	0.07128	0.071134	-0.21%	0.07579	+6.33%	0.0594	✗	1.93
2025-12-22	oos	0.07369	0.073521	-0.23%	0.07128	-3.27%	0.0063	✓	1.92
2025-12-21	oos	0.075515	0.075333	-0.24%	0.07369	-2.42%	0.0203	✓	1.92
2025-12-20	oos	0.07844	0.078218	-0.28%	0.075515	-3.73%	0.0422	✓	1.96
2025-12-19	oos	0.07941	0.079113	-0.37%	0.07844	-1.22%	0.0137	✓	1.96
2025-12-18	oos	0.07469	0.074528	-0.22%	0.07941	+6.32%	0.0043	✗	1.95
2025-12-17	oos	0.07879	0.078573	-0.28%	0.07469	-5.20%	0.0337	✓	1.95
2025-12-16	oos	0.08329	0.082981	-0.37%	0.07879	-5.40%	0.0151	✓	1.95
2025-12-15	oos	0.08304	0.08279	-0.30%	0.08329	+0.30%	0.0262	✓	1.96
2025-12-14	oos	0.08731	0.087033	-0.32%	0.08304	-4.89%	0.0077	✓	1.95
2025-12-13	oos	0.0917	0.091384	-0.34%	0.08731	-4.79%	0.0000	✓	1.95
2025-12-12	oos	0.0907	0.090397	-0.33%	0.0917	+1.10%	0.0148	✗	1.95
2025-12-11	oos	0.09442	0.094092	-0.35%	0.0907	-3.94%	0.0119	✗	1.96
2025-12-10	oos	0.0953	0.094942	-0.38%	0.09442	-0.92%	0.0163	✓	1.97
2025-12-09	oos	0.09869	0.098279	-0.42%	0.0953	-3.43%	0.0168	✓	1.97
2025-12-08	oos	0.09609	0.095682	-0.42%	0.09869	+2.71%	0.0122	✓	1.94
2025-12-07	oos	0.09203	0.091774	-0.28%	0.09609	+4.41%	0.0406	✗	1.94
2025-12-06	oos	0.09565	0.09535	-0.31%	0.09203	-3.78%	0.0601	✓	1.96
2025-12-05	oos	0.09574	0.095459	-0.29%	0.09565	-0.09%	0.0037	✗	1.96
2025-12-04	oos	0.10124	0.100931	-0.31%	0.09574	-5.43%	0.0068	✗	1.97
2025-12-03	oos	0.10517	0.104798	-0.35%	0.10124	-3.74%	0.0057	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.10324	0.102866	-0.36%	0.10517	+1.87%	0.0238	✓	1.98
2025-12-01	oos	0.09531	0.095066	-0.26%	0.10324	+8.32%	0.0316	✓	2.02
2025-11-30	oos	0.10465	0.104341	-0.30%	0.09531	-8.92%	0.0033	✗	2.03
2025-11-29	oos	0.10764	0.10729	-0.33%	0.10465	-2.78%	0.0147	✓	2.01
2025-11-28	oos	0.11083	0.110424	-0.37%	0.10764	-2.88%	0.0239	✓	2.01
2025-11-27	oos	0.11165	0.111258	-0.35%	0.11083	-0.73%	0.0053	✗	2.01
2025-11-26	oos	0.11204	0.111621	-0.37%	0.11165	-0.35%	0.0182	✓	1.98
2025-11-25	oos	0.11271	0.112227	-0.43%	0.11204	-0.59%	0.0747	✓	2.06
2025-11-24	oos	0.11139	0.110921	-0.42%	0.11271	+1.19%	0.0382	✗	2.07
2025-11-23	oos	0.10407	0.103808	-0.25%	0.11139	+7.03%	0.0361	✗	2.06
2025-11-22	oos	0.10432	0.104075	-0.23%	0.10407	-0.24%	0.0526	✓	2.12
2025-11-21	oos	0.10554	0.105279	-0.25%	0.10432	-1.16%	0.0004	✓	2.11
2025-11-20	oos	0.11425	0.113861	-0.34%	0.10554	-7.62%	0.0400	✓	2.09
2025-11-19	oos	0.1208	0.120256	-0.45%	0.11425	-5.42%	0.0703	✗	2.20
2025-11-18	oos	0.123815	0.123241	-0.46%	0.1208	-2.44%	0.0146	✗	2.20
2025-11-17	oos	0.11994	0.119477	-0.39%	0.123815	+3.23%	0.0161	✗	2.22
2025-11-16	oos	0.12583	0.125336	-0.39%	0.11994	-4.68%	0.0057	✗	2.22
2025-11-15	oos	0.13222	0.131611	-0.46%	0.12583	-4.83%	0.0131	✓	2.22
2025-11-14	oos	0.1312	0.130617	-0.44%	0.13222	+0.78%	0.0122	✓	2.22
2025-11-13	oos	0.13693	0.13628	-0.47%	0.1312	-4.18%	0.0855	✗	2.34
2025-11-12	oos	0.14172	0.140804	-0.65%	0.13693	-3.38%	0.0194	✗	2.35
2025-11-11	oos	0.14019	0.13954	-0.46%	0.14172	+1.09%	0.0469	✗	2.35
2025-11-10	oos	0.15163	0.150534	-0.72%	0.14019	-7.54%	0.0050	✓	2.33
2025-11-09	oos	0.15409	0.152983	-0.72%	0.15163	-1.60%	0.0376	✓	2.35
2025-11-08	oos	0.16684	0.164246	-1.55%	0.15409	-7.64%	0.1208	✓	2.45
2025-11-07	oos	0.16628	0.163512	-1.66%	0.16684	+0.34%	0.0435	✗	2.40
2025-11-06	oos	0.12409	0.123616	-0.38%	0.16628	+34.00%	0.2526	✗	2.25
2025-11-05	oos	0.12541	0.124927	-0.39%	0.12409	-1.05%	0.0506	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.12529	0.12478	-0.41%	0.12541	+0.10%	0.0498	✓	2.34
2025-11-03	oos	0.1221	0.121802	-0.24%	0.12529	+2.61%	0.1536	✗	2.56
2025-11-02	oos	0.14051	0.139972	-0.38%	0.1221	-13.10%	0.0438	✓	2.53
2025-11-01	oos	0.142825	0.14228	-0.38%	0.14051	-1.62%	0.0236	✓	2.54
2025-10-31	oos	0.137605	0.137246	-0.26%	0.142825	+3.79%	0.0284	✗	2.53
2025-10-30	oos	0.143925	0.143533	-0.27%	0.137605	-4.39%	0.0715	✓	2.56
2025-10-29	oos	0.15944	0.158906	-0.33%	0.143925	-9.73%	0.0595	✓	2.50
2025-10-28	oos	0.16166	0.161229	-0.27%	0.15944	-1.37%	0.0544	✗	2.54
2025-10-27	oos	0.16729	0.166796	-0.30%	0.16166	-3.37%	0.0049	✓	2.54
2025-10-26	oos	0.174865	0.174177	-0.39%	0.16729	-4.33%	0.0301	✓	2.54
2025-10-25	oos	0.16693	0.166412	-0.31%	0.174865	+4.75%	0.0157	✓	2.56
2025-10-24	oos	0.165915	0.165393	-0.31%	0.16693	+0.61%	0.0050	✓	2.55
2025-10-23	oos	0.16373	0.163257	-0.29%	0.165915	+1.33%	0.0052	✓	2.55
2025-10-22	oos	0.16071	0.160301	-0.25%	0.16373	+1.88%	0.0386	✓	2.57
2025-10-21	oos	0.165255	0.164825	-0.26%	0.16071	-2.75%	0.0068	✓	2.57
2025-10-20	oos	0.174005	0.173478	-0.30%	0.165255	-5.03%	0.0039	✗	2.60
2025-10-19	oos	0.1764	0.175852	-0.31%	0.174005	-1.36%	0.0549	✓	2.57
2025-10-18	oos	0.172865	0.172448	-0.24%	0.1764	+2.04%	0.0123	✓	2.57
2025-10-17	oos	0.171525	0.171197	-0.19%	0.172865	+0.78%	0.0082	✓	2.57
2025-10-16	oos	0.181	0.180577	-0.23%	0.171525	-5.23%	0.0100	✓	2.56
2025-10-15	oos	0.18851	0.188035	-0.25%	0.181	-3.98%	0.0231	✗	2.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.20075	0.200133	-0.31%	0.18851	-6.10%	0.0079	✓	2.57
2025-10-13	oos	0.21232	0.211356	-0.45%	0.20075	-5.45%	0.0016	✓	2.58
2025-10-12	oos	0.19667	0.196108	-0.29%	0.21232	+7.96%	0.0749	✗	2.53
2025-10-11	oos	0.17866	0.178421	-0.13%	0.19667	+10.08%	0.0019	✗	2.51
2025-10-10	oos	0.1768	0.176749	-0.03%	0.17866	+1.05%	0.0615	✗	2.56
2025-10-09	oos	0.27329	0.272216	-0.39%	0.1768	-35.31%	0.3041	✓	1.71
2025-10-08	oos	0.28482	0.283352	-0.52%	0.27329	-4.05%	0.0134	✓	1.71
2025-10-07	oos	0.297305	0.294857	-0.82%	0.28482	-4.20%	0.0627	✓	1.76
2025-10-06	oos	0.2814	0.280114	-0.46%	0.297305	+5.65%	0.1115	✗	1.92
2025-10-05	oos	0.27518	0.273912	-0.46%	0.2814	+2.26%	0.0085	✗	1.91
2025-10-04	oos	0.27814	0.276895	-0.45%	0.27518	-1.06%	0.0228	✓	1.92
2025-10-03	oos	0.28135	0.279823	-0.54%	0.27814	-1.14%	0.0082	✓	1.92
2025-10-02	oos	0.27842	0.276642	-0.64%	0.28135	+1.05%	0.0100	✓	1.93
2025-10-01	oos	0.28123	0.278475	-0.98%	0.27842	-1.00%	0.0326	✓	1.98
2025-09-30	oos	0.25245	0.250792	-0.66%	0.28123	+11.40%	0.0389	✗	1.92
2025-09-29	oos	0.24691	0.245689	-0.49%	0.25245	+2.24%	0.0322	✗	1.96
2025-09-28	oos	0.246095	0.244063	-0.83%	0.24691	+0.33%	0.0266	✓	2.00
2025-09-27	oos	0.236765	0.236006	-0.32%	0.246095	+3.94%	0.0036	✓	2.01
2025-09-26	oos	0.2391	0.238312	-0.33%	0.236765	-0.98%	0.0062	✓	2.02
2025-09-25	oos	0.2298	0.229179	-0.27%	0.2391	+4.05%	0.0302	✗	2.01
2025-09-24	oos	0.25036	0.249544	-0.33%	0.2298	-8.21%	0.0046	✓	2.01
2025-09-23	oos	0.255405	0.254527	-0.34%	0.25036	-1.98%	0.0405	✓	2.03
2025-09-22	oos	0.249745	0.248968	-0.31%	0.255405	+2.27%	0.0381	✗	1.97
2025-09-21	oos	0.285965	0.284868	-0.38%	0.249745	-12.67%	0.0901	✓	1.86
2025-09-20	oos	0.28919	0.288064	-0.39%	0.285965	-1.12%	0.0003	✓	1.86
2025-09-19	oos	0.296955	0.295665	-0.43%	0.28919	-2.61%	0.0231	✓	1.86
2025-09-18	oos	0.31025	0.308366	-0.61%	0.296955	-4.29%	0.0151	✓	1.85

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.