MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · beta_5y

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

71.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3280

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0763

actual -0.2757

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002628	-13.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.002553	-14.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001647	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001776	-8.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001658	-7.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.001924	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002149	-9.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002202	-9.14%	0.003037	+25.32%	0.2977	✗	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002092	-7.15%	0.002985	+32.51%	0.3286	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001931	-5.49%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0683	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002046	-5.02%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0536	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001769	-3.33%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0400	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001781	-2.62%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1893	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001806	-2.31%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2870	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002048	-2.69%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1600	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002303	-4.50%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0079	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002249	-5.50%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0481	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002664	-7.42%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1347	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002177	-6.44%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1124	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001564	-8.95%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.1873	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001483	-11.95%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.2533	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001442	-14.58%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.4332	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002287	-4.31%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0591	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003024	-2.29%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.2773	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.00353	-2.89%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2504	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003526	-3.92%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4397	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004294	-5.93%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9198	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004597	-6.97%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0088	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004209	-6.37%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9191	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004268	-6.95%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.5701	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004426	-8.60%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3276	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.004826	-9.75%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.2465	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.0041	-8.18%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.1506	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.00383	-10.28%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.1368	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005173	-7.67%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.0848	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005141	-6.68%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2343	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.003719	-14.39%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.1071	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005427	-8.36%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.2455	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.007941	-7.09%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.4976	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.005471	-12.97%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.2584	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.007507	-10.68%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.6145	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.005248	-17.50%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.007306	-13.57%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.2799	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.009618	-8.27%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.7672	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.01759	-1.48%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0515	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017823	-1.01%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7232	✓	1.00