MICRODUCK
microduck · Robinhood · beta_5y
- token id
- #784
- symbol
- MICRODUCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-29
- predictions
- 138
Track record at +30d
assessed
16
of 46 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.9705
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.2499
actual -1.2204
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.003037 | 0.00223 | -26.56% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002985 | 0.002157 | -27.75% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0018 | 0.001443 | -19.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001942 | 0.001552 | -20.09% | – | pending | – | – | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001786 | 0.001455 | -18.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002094 | 0.001674 | -20.08% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002361 | 0.001852 | -21.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.002423 | 0.001891 | -21.97% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002253 | 0.001811 | -19.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002043 | 0.001682 | -17.69% | – | pending | – | – | 1.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.002155 | 0.001779 | -17.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001548 | -15.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.50 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001555 | -14.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.001849 | 0.001571 | -14.99% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.002105 | 0.001769 | -15.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.002412 | 0.001973 | -18.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00238 | 0.001919 | -19.36% | – | pending | – | – | 1.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002877 | 0.002261 | -21.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.62 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.002327 | 0.001857 | -20.20% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.001718 | 0.001299 | -24.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.001685 | 0.001201 | -28.71% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.001688 | 0.001141 | -32.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.001969 | -17.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.003095 | 0.002661 | -14.00% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003635 | 0.003111 | -14.44% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00367 | 0.003103 | -15.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.004564 | 0.003751 | -17.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.004941 | 0.003994 | -19.17% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.004495 | 0.003671 | -18.34% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.004587 | 0.003712 | -19.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.004842 | 0.003834 | -20.81% | 0.003037 | -37.29% | 0.2101 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.005348 | 0.004167 | -22.07% | 0.002985 | -44.18% | 0.3034 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.004465 | 0.003504 | -21.52% | 0.0018 | -59.70% | 0.6881 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.004269 | 0.003215 | -24.69% | 0.001942 | -54.51% | 0.5115 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.005603 | 0.004464 | -20.32% | 0.001786 | -68.12% | 0.9300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.005509 | 0.004409 | -19.96% | 0.002094 | -61.99% | 0.8085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.004344 | 0.002972 | -31.58% | 0.002361 | -45.64% | 0.2980 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.005922 | 0.004585 | -22.58% | 0.002423 | -59.08% | 0.7207 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.008547 | 0.006921 | -19.02% | 0.002253 | -73.64% | 1.1648 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006287 | 0.004462 | -29.02% | 0.002043 | -67.50% | 0.8601 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008404 | 0.006339 | -24.58% | 0.002155 | -74.36% | 1.1355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006361 | 0.004104 | -35.49% | 0.001829 | -71.24% | 0.8884 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.008453 | 0.00599 | -29.14% | 0.001829 | -78.36% | 1.2663 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.008447 | -19.44% | 0.001849 | -82.37% | 1.5724 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.017855 | 0.017116 | -4.14% | 0.002105 | -88.21% | 2.1362 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.018005 | 0.017505 | -2.78% | 0.002412 | -86.60% | 2.0336 | ✓ | 1.00 |