EMBER
embercurve · Solana · beta_5y
- token id
- #783
- symbol
- EMBER
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 5dvXTZ5qwgafnHtwu3Ls3QrWx1U4LQsFeCuJgkk4QEC6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-11
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +7d
assessed
26
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
84.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4127
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0613
actual -0.4511
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.002102 | 0.002035 | -3.16% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002465 | 0.002369 | -3.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.002424 | 0.002354 | -2.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.002855 | 0.00273 | -4.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003005 | 0.002869 | -4.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003031 | 0.002919 | -3.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.68 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002896 | 0.002837 | -2.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.70 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.003313 | 0.003187 | -3.80% | 0.002102 | -36.57% | 0.4578 | ✓ | 1.64 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002646 | 0.002691 | +1.69% | 0.002465 | -6.86% | 0.1090 | ✗ | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.003509 | 0.003425 | -2.40% | 0.002424 | -30.92% | 0.3432 | ✓ | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00415 | 0.00398 | -4.09% | 0.002855 | -31.19% | 0.3337 | ✓ | 1.37 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005229 | 0.004844 | -7.37% | 0.003005 | -42.54% | 0.4571 | ✓ | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.005076 | 0.004763 | -6.17% | 0.003031 | -40.28% | 0.4332 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005148 | 0.004856 | -5.67% | 0.002896 | -43.75% | 0.5044 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005587 | 0.005237 | -6.26% | 0.003313 | -40.70% | 0.4632 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.006234 | 0.005765 | -7.52% | 0.002646 | -57.55% | 0.7579 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005932 | 0.005504 | -7.22% | 0.003509 | -40.85% | 0.4212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.004325 | 0.004265 | -1.40% | 0.00415 | -4.05% | 0.0206 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.004877 | 0.00477 | -2.20% | 0.005229 | +7.23% | 0.1252 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005381 | 0.005272 | -2.03% | 0.005076 | -5.68% | 0.0161 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006784 | 0.006449 | -4.95% | 0.005148 | -24.12% | 0.2018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007134 | 0.006752 | -5.35% | 0.005587 | -21.68% | 0.1515 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.006565 | 0.006405 | -2.44% | 0.006234 | -5.04% | 0.0237 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00693 | 0.006685 | -3.53% | 0.005932 | -14.40% | 0.1420 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00905 | 0.008336 | -7.89% | 0.004325 | -52.21% | 0.6833 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01286 | 0.011744 | -8.68% | 0.004877 | -62.08% | 0.9028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.013545 | 0.012341 | -8.89% | 0.005381 | -60.27% | 0.8338 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.012728 | -9.15% | 0.006784 | -51.57% | 0.6340 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0134 | 0.012073 | -9.90% | 0.007134 | -46.76% | 0.5317 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01968 | 0.017673 | -10.20% | 0.006565 | -66.64% | 0.9805 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.01742 | 0.015738 | -9.66% | 0.00693 | -60.22% | 0.7900 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.01335 | 0.012193 | -8.67% | 0.00905 | -32.21% | 0.2611 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.011735 | 0.010626 | -9.45% | 0.01286 | +9.59% | 0.1509 | ✗ | 1.00 |