ALTLAYER

? · · beta_5y

token id: #993
symbol: ALTLAYER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-01-25
predictions: 2,949

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0633

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0180

actual -0.0054

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.013154	0.012531	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.009959	0.009628	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.010039	0.009644	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-19	oos	0.009206	0.008908	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.008851	0.008569	-3.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.008622	0.00832	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-16	oos	0.008284	0.008034	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.007993	0.007776	-2.72%	0.013154	+64.57%	0.5004	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.008056	0.007823	-2.88%	0.009959	+23.62%	0.2275	✗	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.008315	0.00805	-3.18%	0.010039	+20.73%	0.2227	✗	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.007828	0.007596	-2.96%	0.009206	+17.60%	0.1910	✗	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.008175	0.007918	-3.15%	0.008851	+8.27%	0.1299	✗	0.92
2026-10-10	oos	0.008126	0.007854	-3.35%	0.008622	+6.10%	0.1104	✗	0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.007945	0.007659	-3.60%	0.008284	+4.26%	0.0901	✗	0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.007255	0.007031	-3.10%	0.007993	+10.16%	0.1235	✗	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.007425	0.007196	-3.09%	0.008056	+8.48%	0.1318	✗	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.00794	0.007687	-3.19%	0.008315	+4.71%	0.1037	✗	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.008013	0.007752	-3.26%	0.007828	-2.31%	0.0518	✗	0.88
2026-10-04	oos	0.007874	0.007622	-3.19%	0.008175	+3.83%	0.0994	✗	0.88
2026-10-03	oos	0.008026	0.007747	-3.48%	0.008126	+1.25%	0.0675	✗	0.90
2026-10-02	oos	0.007874	0.007589	-3.62%	0.007945	+0.91%	0.0670	✗	0.90
2026-10-01	oos	0.007669	0.007407	-3.42%	0.007255	-5.39%	0.0139	✓	0.91
2026-09-30	oos	0.007738	0.007467	-3.50%	0.007425	-4.04%	0.0025	✓	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.007615	0.007355	-3.42%	0.00794	+4.27%	0.0556	✗	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.00753	0.007284	-3.28%	0.008013	+6.41%	0.0699	✗	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.008026	0.007745	-3.50%	0.007874	-1.90%	0.0053	✓	0.91
2026-09-26	oos	0.008165	0.007874	-3.56%	0.008026	-1.71%	0.0156	✓	0.91
2026-09-25	oos	0.008094	0.007798	-3.66%	0.007874	-2.72%	0.0052	✓	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.007837	0.007553	-3.63%	0.007669	-2.14%	0.0103	✓	0.91
2026-09-23	oos	0.007385	0.007146	-3.24%	0.007738	+4.78%	0.0887	✗	0.92
2026-09-22	oos	0.007746	0.007479	-3.45%	0.007615	-1.69%	0.0452	✗	0.90
2026-09-21	oos	0.007585	0.007322	-3.46%	0.00753	-0.72%	0.0618	✗	0.92
2026-09-20	oos	0.007175	0.006931	-3.39%	0.008026	+11.86%	0.1092	✗	0.94
2026-09-19	oos	0.007233	0.006974	-3.57%	0.008165	+12.89%	0.1217	✗	0.94
2026-09-18	oos	0.007113	0.006846	-3.75%	0.008094	+13.79%	0.1308	✗	0.94
2026-09-17	oos	0.006596	0.006379	-3.28%	0.007837	+18.81%	0.1179	✗	0.88
2026-09-16	oos	0.006387	0.006198	-2.96%	0.007385	+15.63%	0.0849	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.006335	0.006163	-2.72%	0.007746	+22.27%	0.1177	✗	0.84
2026-09-14	oos	0.006713	0.00649	-3.33%	0.007585	+12.98%	0.0729	✗	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.006425	0.006253	-2.68%	0.007175	+11.67%	0.0945	✗	0.78
2026-09-12	oos	0.006514	0.006335	-2.75%	0.007233	+11.05%	0.0940	✗	0.77
2026-09-11	oos	0.006255	0.006132	-1.96%	0.007113	+13.72%	0.1127	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	0.006032	0.005963	-1.15%	0.006596	+9.34%	0.1028	✗	0.78
2026-09-09	oos	0.006386	0.006293	-1.45%	0.006387	+0.02%	0.0356	✗	0.75
2026-09-08	oos	0.006584	0.006478	-1.61%	0.006335	-3.78%	0.0059	✓	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.006544	0.006458	-1.32%	0.006713	+2.58%	0.0478	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.006554	0.006507	-0.71%	0.006425	-1.96%	0.0193	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.006526	0.006534	+0.12%	0.006514	-0.19%	0.0198	✓	0.70
2026-09-04	oos	0.006451	0.006541	+1.40%	0.006255	-3.04%	0.0236	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.006306	0.006511	+3.26%	0.006032	-4.33%	0.0341	✗	0.70
2026-09-02	oos	0.006073	0.006328	+4.19%	0.006386	+5.15%	0.0001	✓	0.73
2026-09-01	oos	0.006069	0.006369	+4.94%	0.006584	+8.49%	0.0232	✓	0.74
2026-08-31	oos	0.006133	0.00645	+5.17%	0.006544	+6.71%	0.0100	✓	0.68
2026-08-30	oos	0.006067	0.006358	+4.80%	0.006554	+8.02%	0.0066	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.006205	0.006471	+4.29%	0.006526	+5.17%	0.0050	✓	0.66
2026-08-28	oos	0.006266	0.006486	+3.51%	0.006451	+2.95%	0.0209	✓	0.67
2026-08-27	oos	0.006537	0.006732	+2.99%	0.006306	-3.54%	0.0734	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.006475	0.006612	+2.11%	0.006073	-6.20%	0.0706	✗	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.006223	0.006346	+1.97%	0.006069	-2.47%	0.0349	✗	0.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.006415	0.006507	+1.44%	0.006133	-4.40%	0.0560	✗	0.61
2026-08-23	oos	0.006588	0.006625	+0.57%	0.006067	-7.91%	0.0875	✗	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.006517	0.006542	+0.38%	0.006205	-4.79%	0.0625	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.006912	0.006888	-0.35%	0.006266	-9.35%	0.0908	✓	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.006425	0.006366	-0.92%	0.006537	+1.74%	0.0240	✓	0.53
2026-08-19	oos	0.006133	0.006043	-1.48%	0.006475	+5.58%	0.0174	✗	0.39
2026-08-18	oos	0.005853	0.00574	-1.94%	0.006223	+6.32%	0.0149	✓	0.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.005956	0.00583	-2.12%	0.006415	+7.71%	0.0184	✓	0.38
2026-08-16	oos	0.005986	0.005847	-2.32%	0.006588	+10.06%	0.0353	✗	0.40
2026-08-15	oos	0.005995	0.005854	-2.36%	0.006517	+8.71%	0.0283	✗	0.39
2026-08-14	oos	0.005904	0.00577	-2.27%	0.006912	+17.07%	0.0942	✗	0.40
2026-08-13	oos	0.005935	0.0058	-2.28%	0.006425	+8.26%	0.0463	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.005835	0.005711	-2.13%	0.006133	+5.11%	0.0316	✗	0.45
2026-08-11	oos	0.005856	0.005734	-2.08%	0.005853	-0.05%	0.0128	✓	0.43
2026-08-10	oos	0.006138	0.005989	-2.43%	0.005956	-2.97%	0.0095	✓	0.45
2026-08-09	oos	0.006055	0.005914	-2.34%	0.005986	-1.14%	0.0271	✗	0.47
2026-08-08	oos	0.005933	0.0058	-2.25%	0.005995	+1.05%	0.0471	✗	0.47
2026-08-07	oos	0.005795	0.005672	-2.12%	0.005904	+1.88%	0.0545	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.005796	0.005671	-2.16%	0.005935	+2.40%	0.0519	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.005755	0.005633	-2.11%	0.005835	+1.39%	0.0441	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.005674	0.005559	-2.03%	0.005856	+3.21%	0.0559	✗	0.46
2026-08-03	oos	0.005733	0.005613	-2.09%	0.006138	+7.06%	0.0861	✗	0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.005739	0.005621	-2.06%	0.006055	+5.51%	0.0642	✗	0.48
2026-08-01	oos	0.005764	0.005642	-2.12%	0.005933	+2.93%	0.0338	✗	0.49
2026-07-31	oos	0.005828	0.0057	-2.19%	0.005795	-0.57%	0.0006	✓	0.49
2026-07-30	oos	0.005729	0.005624	-1.83%	0.005796	+1.17%	0.0338	✗	0.53
2026-07-29	oos	0.005684	0.005584	-1.76%	0.005755	+1.25%	0.0244	✗	0.53
2026-07-28	oos	0.005983	0.00586	-2.05%	0.005674	-5.16%	0.0339	✓	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.005768	0.005672	-1.67%	0.005733	-0.61%	0.0126	✓	0.51
2026-07-26	oos	0.006081	0.005978	-1.70%	0.005739	-5.62%	0.0271	✓	0.48
2026-07-25	oos	0.006113	0.006001	-1.83%	0.005764	-5.71%	0.0282	✓	0.50
2026-07-24	oos	0.006088	0.005985	-1.70%	0.005828	-4.27%	0.0168	✓	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.006245	0.006144	-1.62%	0.005729	-8.26%	0.0674	✓	0.49
2026-07-22	oos	0.006349	0.006251	-1.54%	0.005684	-10.47%	0.0789	✓	0.48
2026-07-21	oos	0.006386	0.006287	-1.55%	0.005983	-6.31%	0.0297	✓	0.49
2026-07-20	oos	0.006312	0.006209	-1.64%	0.005768	-8.62%	0.0619	✓	0.50
2026-07-19	oos	0.006308	0.006206	-1.62%	0.006081	-3.60%	0.0254	✓	0.50
2026-07-18	oos	0.006367	0.006266	-1.59%	0.006113	-3.99%	0.0204	✓	0.55
2026-07-17	oos	0.006455	0.006345	-1.71%	0.006088	-5.69%	0.0430	✓	0.57
2026-07-16	oos	0.006606	0.006482	-1.88%	0.006245	-5.46%	0.0491	✓	0.60
2026-07-15	oos	0.006508	0.006396	-1.72%	0.006349	-2.44%	0.0194	✓	0.57
2026-07-14	oos	0.006388	0.006288	-1.57%	0.006386	-0.03%	0.0017	✓	0.59
2026-07-13	oos	0.006296	0.00619	-1.69%	0.006312	+0.25%	0.0089	✓	0.62
2026-07-12	oos	0.006429	0.006323	-1.65%	0.006308	-1.88%	0.0113	✓	0.61
2026-07-11	oos	0.006432	0.006327	-1.64%	0.006367	-1.01%	0.0039	✓	0.64
2026-07-10	oos	0.006578	0.006456	-1.85%	0.006455	-1.87%	0.0022	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.006204	0.006111	-1.50%	0.006606	+6.48%	0.0719	✗	0.64
2026-07-08	oos	0.006248	0.006151	-1.56%	0.006508	+4.16%	0.0316	✗	0.64
2026-07-07	oos	0.006407	0.006305	-1.59%	0.006388	-0.30%	0.0036	✓	0.64
2026-07-06	oos	0.006427	0.006328	-1.53%	0.006296	-2.04%	0.0127	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	0.006585	0.00647	-1.74%	0.006429	-2.37%	0.0082	✓	0.71
2026-07-04	oos	0.006629	0.006498	-1.98%	0.006432	-2.97%	0.0179	✓	0.72
2026-07-03	oos	0.006348	0.00623	-1.86%	0.006578	+3.62%	0.0375	✗	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	0.005916	0.005823	-1.57%	0.006204	+4.87%	0.0463	✗	0.63
2026-07-01	oos	0.005829	0.005732	-1.67%	0.006248	+7.19%	0.0626	✗	0.63
2026-06-30	oos	0.005636	0.005544	-1.63%	0.006407	+13.68%	0.0944	✗	0.64
2026-06-29	oos	0.005697	0.00561	-1.53%	0.006427	+12.81%	0.0962	✗	0.64
2026-06-28	oos	0.005635	0.005549	-1.52%	0.006585	+16.86%	0.1281	✗	0.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.005643	0.005562	-1.43%	0.006629	+17.47%	0.1423	✗	0.65
2026-06-26	oos	0.005744	0.005657	-1.51%	0.006348	+10.52%	0.0885	✗	0.65
2026-06-25	oos	0.005694	0.005614	-1.40%	0.005916	+3.90%	0.0333	✗	0.65
2026-06-24	oos	0.005806	0.005731	-1.29%	0.005829	+0.40%	0.0282	✗	0.67
2026-06-23	oos	0.006027	0.005949	-1.30%	0.005636	-6.49%	0.0078	✓	0.68
2026-06-22	oos	0.006304	0.006215	-1.41%	0.005697	-9.63%	0.0463	✓	0.67
2026-06-21	oos	0.006296	0.006208	-1.39%	0.005635	-10.50%	0.0557	✓	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	0.006457	0.006365	-1.43%	0.005643	-12.61%	0.0750	✓	0.66
2026-06-19	oos	0.006908	0.006768	-2.02%	0.005744	-16.85%	0.1250	✓	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	0.006797	0.006662	-1.98%	0.005694	-16.23%	0.1202	✓	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	0.006667	0.006548	-1.79%	0.005806	-12.91%	0.0798	✓	0.73
2026-06-16	oos	0.006764	0.006633	-1.94%	0.006027	-10.90%	0.0621	✓	0.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.006499	0.006391	-1.66%	0.006304	-3.00%	0.0139	✓	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.006642	0.006514	-1.93%	0.006296	-5.21%	0.0042	✓	0.78
2026-06-13	oos	0.006614	0.006471	-2.17%	0.006457	-2.37%	0.0004	✓	0.78
2026-06-12	oos	0.006249	0.006135	-1.82%	0.006908	+10.55%	0.1194	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.006328	0.006198	-2.06%	0.006797	+7.41%	0.1008	✗	0.79
2026-06-10	oos	0.006105	0.005986	-1.95%	0.006667	+9.21%	0.0708	✗	0.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.006306	0.006156	-2.38%	0.006764	+7.26%	0.0465	✗	0.77
2026-06-08	oos	0.005884	0.005771	-1.92%	0.006499	+10.45%	0.0779	✗	0.82
2026-06-07	oos	0.005673	0.005579	-1.66%	0.006642	+17.08%	0.1432	✗	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.005673	0.005587	-1.52%	0.006614	+16.59%	0.1193	✗	0.87
2026-06-05	oos	0.005884	0.005785	-1.68%	0.006249	+6.20%	0.0429	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.006227	0.006101	-2.02%	0.006328	+1.62%	0.0397	✗	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	0.006755	0.00658	-2.59%	0.006105	-9.62%	0.0417	✓	0.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.006585	0.006435	-2.28%	0.006306	-4.24%	0.0472	✗	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.006995	0.006828	-2.38%	0.005884	-15.88%	0.0505	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.006888	0.006738	-2.18%	0.005673	-17.64%	0.0466	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.006857	0.006714	-2.08%	0.005673	-17.27%	0.0121	✓	0.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.006807	0.006672	-1.99%	0.005884	-13.56%	0.0277	✗	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.006977	0.006832	-2.08%	0.006227	-10.75%	0.0245	✗	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.007658	0.007427	-3.01%	0.006755	-11.79%	0.0224	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.007008	0.00687	-1.96%	0.006585	-6.04%	0.0676	✗	0.85
2026-05-25	oos	0.007234	0.007092	-1.96%	0.006995	-3.30%	0.0538	✗	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.007556	0.007395	-2.14%	0.006888	-8.84%	0.0329	✓	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.008217	0.007974	-2.96%	0.006857	-16.55%	0.1186	✓	0.84
2026-05-22	oos	0.008229	0.007938	-3.54%	0.006807	-17.28%	0.1298	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.007309	0.007136	-2.37%	0.006977	-4.54%	0.0285	✗	0.96
2026-05-20	oos	0.007392	0.007194	-2.68%	0.007658	+3.60%	0.1025	✗	0.96
2026-05-19	oos	0.006698	0.006569	-1.92%	0.007008	+4.63%	0.0762	✗	0.94
2026-05-18	oos	0.006725	0.006599	-1.88%	0.007234	+7.57%	0.0881	✗	0.96
2026-05-17	oos	0.006618	0.006513	-1.59%	0.007556	+14.17%	0.1539	✗	0.94
2026-05-16	oos	0.00679	0.006684	-1.56%	0.008217	+21.02%	0.2242	✗	0.94
2026-05-15	oos	0.006873	0.006778	-1.38%	0.008229	+19.73%	0.2386	✗	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.007406	0.007291	-1.56%	0.007309	-1.31%	0.0438	✗	0.93
2026-05-13	oos	0.007467	0.00735	-1.56%	0.007392	-1.00%	0.0273	✗	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.008015	0.00787	-1.82%	0.006698	-16.43%	0.1184	✓	0.90
2026-05-11	oos	0.008285	0.008129	-1.89%	0.006725	-18.83%	0.1380	✓	0.85
2026-05-10	oos	0.008314	0.008159	-1.87%	0.006618	-20.40%	0.1577	✓	0.86
2026-05-09	oos	0.008144	0.007994	-1.85%	0.00679	-16.63%	0.1357	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.008256	0.008091	-2.00%	0.006873	-16.75%	0.1511	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.008129	0.007972	-1.93%	0.007406	-8.89%	0.0847	✓	0.83
2026-05-06	oos	0.008023	0.007883	-1.74%	0.007467	-6.93%	0.0317	✓	0.84
2026-05-05	oos	0.007856	0.007727	-1.65%	0.008015	+2.02%	0.0416	✗	0.95
2026-05-04	oos	0.007689	0.007571	-1.53%	0.008285	+7.75%	0.0683	✗	0.94
2026-05-03	oos	0.007594	0.007482	-1.48%	0.008314	+9.48%	0.0628	✗	0.94
2026-05-02	oos	0.007688	0.00757	-1.54%	0.008144	+5.93%	0.0495	✗	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.007531	0.007431	-1.32%	0.008256	+9.63%	0.0817	✗	0.96
2026-04-30	oos	0.007457	0.007353	-1.40%	0.008129	+9.01%	0.0547	✗	0.96
2026-04-29	oos	0.007736	0.007593	-1.85%	0.008023	+3.71%	0.0149	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.007534	0.007421	-1.51%	0.007856	+4.27%	0.0006	✓	0.99
2026-04-27	oos	0.007579	0.007472	-1.41%	0.007689	+1.45%	0.0026	✓	0.99
2026-04-26	oos	0.007956	0.007818	-1.73%	0.007594	-4.55%	0.0277	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.008065	0.007901	-2.03%	0.007688	-4.67%	0.0404	✓	0.99
2026-04-24	oos	0.007884	0.007733	-1.92%	0.007531	-4.48%	0.0363	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.007859	0.007709	-1.91%	0.007457	-5.12%	0.0077	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.007632	0.007496	-1.78%	0.007736	+1.36%	0.0633	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.007424	0.007288	-1.84%	0.007534	+1.48%	0.0336	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.007413	0.007265	-1.99%	0.007579	+2.24%	0.0227	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.006926	0.006809	-1.69%	0.007956	+14.87%	0.0923	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.007115	0.006991	-1.74%	0.008065	+13.35%	0.1180	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.007504	0.007348	-2.07%	0.007884	+5.06%	0.0657	✗	0.99
2026-04-16	oos	0.007688	0.00748	-2.70%	0.007859	+2.22%	0.0084	✓	1.01
2026-04-15	oos	0.006918	0.006767	-2.18%	0.007632	+10.32%	0.0761	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.006786	0.006639	-2.16%	0.007424	+9.40%	0.0827	✗	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.006972	0.006797	-2.51%	0.007413	+6.33%	0.0680	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.006626	0.006474	-2.30%	0.006926	+4.53%	0.0243	✗	1.02
2026-04-11	oos	0.006895	0.006702	-2.79%	0.007115	+3.19%	0.0235	✓	1.02
2026-04-10	oos	0.006739	0.006584	-2.29%	0.007504	+11.35%	0.0752	✗	1.02
2026-04-09	oos	0.006756	0.006591	-2.43%	0.007688	+13.80%	0.1072	✗	1.02
2026-04-08	oos	0.006529	0.006383	-2.24%	0.006918	+5.96%	0.0284	✗	1.01
2026-04-07	oos	0.006675	0.006464	-3.16%	0.006786	+1.66%	0.0172	✓	1.01
2026-04-06	oos	0.006187	0.006049	-2.24%	0.006972	+12.69%	0.0646	✗	0.99
2026-04-05	oos	0.006164	0.006048	-1.88%	0.006626	+7.50%	0.0664	✗	0.99
2026-04-04	oos	0.006393	0.006248	-2.27%	0.006895	+7.85%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.00662	0.006388	-3.50%	0.006739	+1.80%	0.0338	✓	1.01
2026-04-02	oos	0.006065	0.00595	-1.89%	0.006756	+11.39%	0.0557	✗	1.01
2026-04-01	oos	0.006334	0.006199	-2.14%	0.006529	+3.08%	0.0089	✓	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.006283	0.006144	-2.21%	0.006675	+6.24%	0.0291	✗	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.006164	0.006043	-1.96%	0.006187	+0.37%	0.0083	✓	1.02
2026-03-29	oos	0.006084	0.00598	-1.72%	0.006164	+1.31%	0.0155	✓	1.02
2026-03-28	oos	0.006208	0.006108	-1.60%	0.006393	+2.98%	0.0308	✗	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.006345	0.006252	-1.47%	0.00662	+4.33%	0.0480	✗	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.006635	0.006549	-1.30%	0.006065	-8.59%	0.0487	✓	1.02
2026-03-25	oos	0.006988	0.006905	-1.19%	0.006334	-9.36%	0.0400	✓	1.01
2026-03-24	oos	0.006844	0.006773	-1.03%	0.006283	-8.20%	0.0415	✓	1.01
2026-03-23	oos	0.006966	0.006902	-0.91%	0.006164	-11.51%	0.0523	✓	1.01
2026-03-22	oos	0.006818	0.006741	-1.12%	0.006084	-10.77%	0.0738	✓	1.02
2026-03-21	oos	0.007104	0.007032	-1.02%	0.006208	-12.61%	0.0855	✓	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.007474	0.0074	-0.99%	0.006345	-15.11%	0.0927	✓	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.007541	0.007461	-1.06%	0.006635	-12.01%	0.1006	✓	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.007558	0.007498	-0.80%	0.006988	-7.54%	0.0712	✓	1.04
2026-03-17	oos	0.008071	0.007996	-0.93%	0.006844	-15.20%	0.1071	✓	1.03
2026-03-16	oos	0.008065	0.007991	-0.92%	0.006966	-13.63%	0.0802	✓	1.04
2026-03-15	oos	0.007898	0.007808	-1.13%	0.006818	-13.67%	0.0620	✓	1.04
2026-03-14	oos	0.007474	0.007406	-0.91%	0.007104	-4.95%	0.0075	✓	1.03
2026-03-13	oos	0.007445	0.007377	-0.91%	0.007474	+0.39%	0.0196	✗	1.04
2026-03-12	oos	0.007551	0.007474	-1.02%	0.007541	-0.13%	0.0180	✗	1.04
2026-03-11	oos	0.007653	0.007555	-1.28%	0.007558	-1.24%	0.0149	✓	1.05
2026-03-10	oos	0.007546	0.007465	-1.07%	0.008071	+6.96%	0.0205	✗	1.04
2026-03-09	oos	0.00727	0.007197	-1.00%	0.008065	+10.94%	0.0204	✗	1.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.007116	0.00703	-1.21%	0.007898	+10.99%	0.0129	✗	1.05
2026-03-07	oos	0.007076	0.007008	-0.96%	0.007474	+5.62%	0.0039	✓	1.05
2026-03-06	oos	0.007153	0.007096	-0.79%	0.007445	+4.08%	0.0052	✓	1.05
2026-03-05	oos	0.007255	0.007212	-0.59%	0.007551	+4.08%	0.0512	✗	1.06
2026-03-04	oos	0.007432	0.007382	-0.68%	0.007653	+2.97%	0.0729	✗	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.007324	0.007262	-0.85%	0.007546	+3.03%	0.0123	✗	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.007251	0.007197	-0.74%	0.00727	+0.26%	0.0165	✗	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.007123	0.007062	-0.85%	0.007116	-0.10%	0.0041	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.007539	0.007455	-1.11%	0.007076	-6.14%	0.0571	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.007517	0.007432	-1.14%	0.007153	-4.84%	0.0763	✓	1.14
2026-02-26	oos	0.007536	0.007471	-0.86%	0.007255	-3.73%	0.0853	✓	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.007779	0.007699	-1.03%	0.007432	-4.46%	0.1112	✓	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.007418	0.007341	-1.03%	0.007324	-1.27%	0.0763	✓	1.15
2026-02-23	oos	0.007368	0.007305	-0.85%	0.007251	-1.59%	0.0792	✓	1.14
2026-02-22	oos	0.007626	0.007572	-0.71%	0.007123	-6.60%	0.0293	✓	1.15
2026-02-21	oos	0.007988	0.007918	-0.87%	0.007539	-5.62%	0.0322	✓	1.15
2026-02-20	oos	0.008236	0.008146	-1.09%	0.007517	-8.73%	0.0442	✓	1.14
2026-02-19	oos	0.00803	0.007958	-0.90%	0.007536	-6.15%	0.0633	✓	1.14
2026-02-18	oos	0.008196	0.008109	-1.06%	0.007779	-5.09%	0.0687	✓	1.16
2026-02-17	oos	0.008763	0.008629	-1.53%	0.007418	-15.35%	0.0976	✓	1.04
2026-02-16	oos	0.008626	0.008515	-1.28%	0.007368	-14.58%	0.0783	✓	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.008606	0.008496	-1.28%	0.007626	-11.39%	0.0899	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.009088	0.008933	-1.70%	0.007988	-12.10%	0.0839	✓	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.008898	0.008748	-1.69%	0.008236	-7.44%	0.0476	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.008649	0.008502	-1.70%	0.00803	-7.16%	0.0693	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.00848	0.008344	-1.60%	0.008196	-3.35%	0.0083	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.008161	0.008073	-1.08%	0.008763	+7.38%	0.1033	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.008358	0.008255	-1.24%	0.008626	+3.21%	0.0633	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.008366	0.008266	-1.20%	0.008606	+2.87%	0.0638	✗	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.008586	0.008463	-1.44%	0.009088	+5.85%	0.0626	✗	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.008428	0.008313	-1.36%	0.008898	+5.58%	0.0954	✗	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.007656	0.007701	+0.59%	0.008649	+12.97%	0.0540	✓	1.17
2026-02-04	oos	0.009233	0.009076	-1.70%	0.00848	-8.16%	0.0333	✗	1.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.009308	0.009147	-1.73%	0.008161	-12.32%	0.0017	✓	1.22
2026-02-02	oos	0.00974	0.009537	-2.09%	0.008358	-14.19%	0.0106	✓	1.24
2026-02-01	oos	0.00922	0.009078	-1.54%	0.008366	-9.26%	0.0266	✗	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.00963	0.009457	-1.80%	0.008586	-10.84%	0.0680	✗	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.01037	0.010163	-1.99%	0.008428	-18.73%	0.0492	✗	1.34
2026-01-29	oos	0.01036	0.010161	-1.92%	0.007656	-26.10%	0.1196	✗	1.36
2026-01-28	oos	0.01125	0.011008	-2.15%	0.009233	-17.93%	0.0905	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.01143	0.011186	-2.13%	0.009308	-18.57%	0.0406	✗	1.37
2026-01-26	oos	0.01164	0.011347	-2.52%	0.00974	-16.32%	0.0030	✓	1.35
2026-01-25	oos	0.01115	0.010885	-2.37%	0.00922	-17.31%	0.0064	✓	1.35
2026-01-24	oos	0.01185	0.011543	-2.59%	0.00963	-18.73%	0.0149	✓	1.33
2026-01-23	oos	0.01141	0.011155	-2.23%	0.01037	-9.11%	0.0103	✓	1.35
2026-01-22	oos	0.01138	0.011139	-2.12%	0.01036	-8.96%	0.0042	✓	1.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.01178	0.011516	-2.24%	0.01125	-4.50%	0.0203	✓	1.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.01133	0.011115	-1.90%	0.01143	+0.88%	0.0156	✓	1.35
2026-01-19	oos	0.01221	0.011952	-2.11%	0.01164	-4.67%	0.0377	✗	1.35
2026-01-18	oos	0.01248	0.012228	-2.02%	0.01115	-10.66%	0.0136	✓	1.35
2026-01-17	oos	0.01285	0.012597	-1.97%	0.01185	-7.78%	0.0268	✗	1.34
2026-01-16	oos	0.01323	0.012901	-2.48%	0.01141	-13.76%	0.0355	✓	1.34
2026-01-15	oos	0.01237	0.012171	-1.61%	0.01138	-8.00%	0.0216	✗	1.34
2026-01-14	oos	0.01325	0.013001	-1.88%	0.01178	-11.09%	0.0094	✓	1.33
2026-01-13	oos	0.01367	0.013325	-2.52%	0.01133	-17.12%	0.0571	✓	1.36
2026-01-12	oos	0.01253	0.012262	-2.14%	0.01221	-2.55%	0.0242	✓	1.34
2026-01-11	oos	0.01279	0.012519	-2.12%	0.01248	-2.42%	0.0435	✓	1.35
2026-01-10	oos	0.01283	0.012558	-2.12%	0.01285	+0.16%	0.0462	✓	1.35
2026-01-09	oos	0.01297	0.012696	-2.12%	0.01323	+2.00%	0.0357	✓	1.43
2026-01-08	oos	0.01303	0.012755	-2.11%	0.01237	-5.07%	0.0990	✓	1.40
2026-01-07	oos	0.01327	0.012992	-2.10%	0.01325	-0.15%	0.0960	✓	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	0.01365	0.013357	-2.15%	0.01367	+0.15%	0.0108	✓	1.93
2026-01-05	oos	0.01354	0.013247	-2.16%	0.01253	-7.46%	0.0005	✓	1.94
2026-01-04	oos	0.01384	0.013442	-2.87%	0.01279	-7.59%	0.0361	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0129	0.012622	-2.15%	0.01283	-0.54%	0.0213	✓	2.00
2026-01-02	oos	0.01273	0.012439	-2.29%	0.01297	+1.89%	0.0295	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.01248	0.012146	-2.68%	0.01303	+4.41%	0.0197	✓	1.99
2025-12-31	oos	0.01146	0.011236	-1.95%	0.01327	+15.79%	0.0831	✗	1.97
2025-12-30	oos	0.01159	0.011372	-1.88%	0.01365	+17.77%	0.0669	✗	1.98
2025-12-29	oos	0.0117	0.011478	-1.90%	0.01354	+15.73%	0.0192	✗	1.95
2025-12-28	oos	0.01186	0.011629	-1.95%	0.01384	+16.69%	0.0952	✗	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.01213	0.011858	-2.24%	0.0129	+6.35%	0.0241	✗	1.92
2025-12-26	oos	0.01161	0.011387	-1.92%	0.01273	+9.65%	0.0546	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.01145	0.011241	-1.83%	0.01248	+9.00%	0.0709	✗	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.01147	0.011268	-1.76%	0.01146	-0.09%	0.0193	✗	1.90
2025-12-23	oos	0.01141	0.011217	-1.69%	0.01159	+1.58%	0.0117	✓	1.90
2025-12-22	oos	0.01153	0.011338	-1.67%	0.0117	+1.47%	0.0628	✗	1.91
2025-12-21	oos	0.01145	0.01127	-1.57%	0.01186	+3.58%	0.0675	✗	1.91
2025-12-20	oos	0.01182	0.011602	-1.84%	0.01213	+2.62%	0.0558	✗	1.94
2025-12-19	oos	0.01167	0.011458	-1.81%	0.01161	-0.51%	0.0308	✗	1.94
2025-12-18	oos	0.01078	0.010631	-1.38%	0.01145	+6.22%	0.0361	✗	1.92
2025-12-17	oos	0.01131	0.011143	-1.47%	0.01147	+1.41%	0.0021	✓	1.93
2025-12-16	oos	0.012	0.011808	-1.60%	0.01141	-4.92%	0.0250	✓	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.01187	0.011677	-1.62%	0.01153	-2.86%	0.0598	✓	1.93
2025-12-14	oos	0.01225	0.012053	-1.61%	0.01145	-6.53%	0.0616	✓	1.94
2025-12-13	oos	0.01305	0.012814	-1.80%	0.01182	-9.43%	0.0391	✓	1.93
2025-12-12	oos	0.01244	0.012257	-1.47%	0.01167	-6.19%	0.0019	✓	1.93
2025-12-11	oos	0.01283	0.012644	-1.45%	0.01078	-15.98%	0.0051	✓	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01307	0.012867	-1.56%	0.01131	-13.47%	0.0015	✓	1.95
2025-12-09	oos	0.01353	0.013287	-1.80%	0.012	-11.31%	0.0023	✓	1.94
2025-12-08	oos	0.01316	0.01292	-1.82%	0.01187	-9.80%	0.0078	✓	1.93
2025-12-07	oos	0.01283	0.012623	-1.61%	0.01225	-4.52%	0.0182	✗	1.93
2025-12-06	oos	0.01318	0.012938	-1.84%	0.01305	-0.99%	0.0129	✓	1.95
2025-12-05	oos	0.01275	0.012544	-1.62%	0.01244	-2.43%	0.0286	✓	1.95
2025-12-04	oos	0.01314	0.012944	-1.49%	0.01283	-2.36%	0.0184	✓	1.98
2025-12-03	oos	0.01376	0.013521	-1.74%	0.01307	-5.01%	0.0037	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.01343	0.013189	-1.79%	0.01353	+0.74%	0.0044	✓	1.99
2025-12-01	oos	0.01251	0.012321	-1.51%	0.01316	+5.20%	0.0351	✓	2.04
2025-11-30	oos	0.01321	0.013014	-1.48%	0.01283	-2.88%	0.0150	✓	2.10
2025-11-29	oos	0.01387	0.013634	-1.70%	0.01318	-4.97%	0.0021	✓	2.07
2025-11-28	oos	0.01559	0.015101	-3.14%	0.01275	-18.22%	0.1333	✓	2.08
2025-11-27	oos	0.01384	0.0136	-1.74%	0.01314	-5.06%	0.0521	✓	2.09
2025-11-26	oos	0.01412	0.013849	-1.92%	0.01376	-2.55%	0.0737	✓	2.07
2025-11-25	oos	0.01388	0.013605	-1.98%	0.01343	-3.24%	0.1082	✓	2.14
2025-11-24	oos	0.01384	0.013563	-2.00%	0.01251	-9.61%	0.0321	✓	2.14
2025-11-23	oos	0.01332	0.013093	-1.71%	0.01321	-0.83%	0.0772	✓	2.14
2025-11-22	oos	0.01345	0.013219	-1.72%	0.01387	+3.12%	0.1072	✓	2.22
2025-11-21	oos	0.01408	0.013768	-2.22%	0.01559	+10.72%	0.0225	✓	2.21
2025-11-20	oos	0.01571	0.015148	-3.58%	0.01384	-11.90%	0.2077	✓	2.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.01424	0.013968	-1.91%	0.01412	-0.84%	0.0385	✗	2.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.01455	0.014267	-1.95%	0.01388	-4.60%	0.1305	✗	2.55
2025-11-17	oos	0.01405	0.013811	-1.70%	0.01384	-1.49%	0.1107	✗	2.55
2025-11-16	oos	0.01451	0.014255	-1.75%	0.01332	-8.20%	0.1404	✗	2.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.01521	0.014919	-1.91%	0.01345	-11.57%	0.2048	✗	2.56
2025-11-14	oos	0.01491	0.014653	-1.73%	0.01408	-5.57%	0.2292	✗	2.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.01581	0.015532	-1.76%	0.01571	-0.63%	0.3882	✗	2.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.01634	0.016033	-1.88%	0.01424	-12.85%	0.1653	✗	2.69
2025-11-11	oos	0.01619	0.015926	-1.63%	0.01455	-10.13%	0.1891	✗	2.71
2025-11-10	oos	0.01779	0.0174	-2.19%	0.01405	-21.02%	0.1650	✗	2.70
2025-11-09	oos	0.01728	0.016918	-2.10%	0.01451	-16.03%	0.1320	✗	2.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.01723	0.01684	-2.26%	0.01521	-11.72%	0.0850	✗	2.74
2025-11-07	oos	0.01771	0.017214	-2.80%	0.01491	-15.81%	0.0999	✗	2.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.01611	0.015786	-2.01%	0.01581	-1.86%	0.0468	✗	2.71
2025-11-05	oos	0.01679	0.016418	-2.21%	0.01634	-2.68%	0.0545	✗	2.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.01601	0.015691	-1.99%	0.01619	+1.12%	0.0102	✓	2.75
2025-11-03	oos	0.01679	0.016411	-2.25%	0.01779	+5.96%	0.0965	✗	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	0.01997	0.01914	-4.16%	0.01728	-13.47%	0.0513	✗	2.83
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.017217	-1.95%	0.01723	-1.88%	0.2074	✗	2.82
2025-10-31	oos	0.01636	0.016132	-1.39%	0.01771	+8.25%	0.2595	✗	2.82
2025-10-30	oos	0.01664	0.016398	-1.46%	0.01611	-3.19%	0.1729	✗	2.85
2025-10-29	oos	0.01889	0.018526	-1.93%	0.01679	-11.12%	0.0601	✗	2.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.0188	0.018461	-1.80%	0.01601	-14.84%	0.1599	✗	2.83
2025-10-27	oos	0.01958	0.019185	-2.02%	0.01679	-14.25%	0.0598	✗	2.83
2025-10-26	oos	0.02034	0.019854	-2.39%	0.01997	-1.82%	0.1066	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.01946	0.019041	-2.15%	0.01756	-9.76%	0.0390	✓	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	0.01934	0.01893	-2.12%	0.01636	-15.41%	0.1059	✓	2.97
2025-10-23	oos	0.0192	0.018782	-2.18%	0.01664	-13.33%	0.0719	✓	2.97
2025-10-22	oos	0.01829	0.017959	-1.81%	0.01889	+3.28%	0.0162	✓	2.97
2025-10-21	oos	0.01894	0.018565	-1.98%	0.0188	-0.74%	0.1094	✓	2.97
2025-10-20	oos	0.01966	0.019229	-2.19%	0.01958	-0.41%	0.0765	✓	3.02
2025-10-19	oos	0.01935	0.018959	-2.02%	0.02034	+5.12%	0.0860	✓	2.97
2025-10-18	oos	0.01916	0.018822	-1.77%	0.01946	+1.57%	0.0884	✓	2.99
2025-10-17	oos	0.01885	0.018566	-1.51%	0.01934	+2.60%	0.0847	✓	2.98
2025-10-16	oos	0.01937	0.019074	-1.53%	0.0192	-0.88%	0.0461	✓	3.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.02053	0.020173	-1.74%	0.01829	-10.91%	0.0098	✓	2.99
2025-10-14	oos	0.02154	0.021111	-1.99%	0.01894	-12.07%	0.0190	✓	3.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.02263	0.022095	-2.36%	0.01966	-13.12%	0.0084	✓	3.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.022	0.021486	-2.34%	0.01935	-12.05%	0.0632	✗	2.94
2025-10-11	oos	0.01948	0.01923	-1.28%	0.01916	-1.64%	0.0910	✗	2.90
2025-10-10	oos	0.01861	0.018499	-0.60%	0.01885	+1.29%	0.1946	✗	2.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.02809	0.027534	-1.98%	0.01937	-31.04%	0.0949	✓	2.18
2025-10-08	oos	0.0289	0.028302	-2.07%	0.02053	-28.96%	0.0748	✓	2.30
2025-10-07	oos	0.02774	0.027209	-1.91%	0.02154	-22.35%	0.0691	✓	2.32
2025-10-06	oos	0.0304	0.029721	-2.23%	0.02263	-25.56%	0.0914	✓	2.30
2025-10-05	oos	0.02887	0.02829	-2.01%	0.022	-23.80%	0.0893	✓	2.29
2025-10-04	oos	0.02937	0.028743	-2.13%	0.01948	-33.67%	0.1582	✓	2.30
2025-10-03	oos	0.03044	0.029653	-2.59%	0.01861	-38.86%	0.2834	✓	2.30
2025-10-02	oos	0.02927	0.028474	-2.72%	0.02809	-4.03%	0.0343	✓	2.29
2025-10-01	oos	0.02791	0.027194	-2.57%	0.0289	+3.55%	0.0280	✓	2.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.02696	0.026253	-2.62%	0.02774	+2.89%	0.0949	✓	2.41
2025-09-29	oos	0.02742	0.026707	-2.60%	0.0304	+10.87%	0.0789	✓	2.40
2025-09-28	oos	0.02841	0.02763	-2.74%	0.02887	+1.62%	0.1954	✓	2.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02835	0.027493	-3.02%	0.02937	+3.60%	0.2177	✓	2.58
2025-09-26	oos	0.0281	0.027277	-2.93%	0.03044	+8.33%	0.1710	✓	2.58
2025-09-25	oos	0.02673	0.026027	-2.63%	0.02927	+9.50%	0.1418	✓	2.57
2025-09-24	oos	0.02903	0.02828	-2.58%	0.02791	-3.86%	0.1327	✓	2.61
2025-09-23	oos	0.02867	0.028016	-2.28%	0.02696	-5.96%	0.0861	✓	2.63
2025-09-22	oos	0.02965	0.028982	-2.25%	0.02742	-7.52%	0.0920	✓	2.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.03334	0.032535	-2.41%	0.02841	-14.79%	0.0694	✓	2.44
2025-09-20	oos	0.03391	0.033097	-2.40%	0.02835	-16.40%	0.0249	✓	2.41
2025-09-19	oos	0.03336	0.032628	-2.19%	0.0281	-15.77%	0.0180	✓	2.47
2025-09-18	oos	0.03557	0.034669	-2.53%	0.02673	-24.85%	0.0814	✓	2.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.