ALTLAYER

? · · beta_5y

token id: #993
symbol: ALTLAYER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-01-25
predictions: 2,949

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1101

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0183

actual -0.0146

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.013154	0.012146	-7.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.013003	0.012015	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-20	oos	0.010039	0.009435	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-19	oos	0.009206	0.008663	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.008851	0.008351	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.008622	0.008111	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-16	oos	0.008284	0.007786	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.007993	0.007526	-5.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.008056	0.007561	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-13	oos	0.008315	0.007813	-6.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-12	oos	0.007828	0.007311	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-11	oos	0.008175	0.007639	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-10	oos	0.008126	0.007555	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-09	oos	0.007945	0.00736	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-08	oos	0.007255	0.006687	-7.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-07	oos	0.007425	0.00686	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-06	oos	0.00794	0.007369	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-05	oos	0.008013	0.007456	-6.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-04	oos	0.007874	0.007352	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-03	oos	0.008026	0.007466	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-02	oos	0.007874	0.007324	-6.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-01	oos	0.007669	0.007142	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-30	oos	0.007738	0.007202	-6.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-29	oos	0.007615	0.00711	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-28	oos	0.00753	0.007051	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-09-27	oos	0.008026	0.00753	-6.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-26	oos	0.008165	0.007663	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-25	oos	0.008094	0.007615	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-24	oos	0.007837	0.007417	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-09-23	oos	0.007385	0.007034	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-09-22	oos	0.007746	0.007389	-4.61%	0.013154	+69.82%	0.5977	✗	0.90
2026-09-21	oos	0.007585	0.007284	-3.97%	0.013003	+71.43%	0.6071	✗	0.92
2026-09-20	oos	0.007175	0.006862	-4.36%	0.010039	+39.91%	0.3601	✗	0.94
2026-09-19	oos	0.007233	0.006934	-4.14%	0.009206	+27.27%	0.2765	✗	0.94
2026-09-18	oos	0.007113	0.006841	-3.82%	0.008851	+24.43%	0.2445	✗	0.94
2026-09-17	oos	0.006596	0.006334	-3.97%	0.008622	+30.71%	0.2523	✗	0.88
2026-09-16	oos	0.006387	0.006164	-3.49%	0.008284	+29.70%	0.2358	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.006335	0.006123	-3.34%	0.007993	+26.17%	0.1964	✗	0.84
2026-09-14	oos	0.006713	0.006519	-2.90%	0.008056	+19.99%	0.1772	✗	0.81
2026-09-13	oos	0.006425	0.00625	-2.73%	0.008315	+29.41%	0.2240	✗	0.78
2026-09-12	oos	0.006514	0.006351	-2.49%	0.007828	+20.18%	0.1656	✗	0.77
2026-09-11	oos	0.006255	0.006134	-1.93%	0.008175	+30.70%	0.2254	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	0.006032	0.005937	-1.58%	0.008126	+34.70%	0.2515	✗	0.78
2026-09-09	oos	0.006386	0.006305	-1.27%	0.007945	+24.42%	0.1914	✗	0.75
2026-09-08	oos	0.006584	0.006502	-1.24%	0.007255	+10.20%	0.0789	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.006544	0.006503	-0.63%	0.007425	+13.46%	0.0930	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.006554	0.006547	-0.10%	0.00794	+21.16%	0.1485	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.006526	0.006588	+0.96%	0.008013	+22.79%	0.1455	✓	0.70
2026-09-04	oos	0.006451	0.006607	+2.42%	0.007874	+22.05%	0.1200	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.006306	0.006601	+4.69%	0.008026	+27.29%	0.1659	✓	0.70
2026-09-02	oos	0.006073	0.006319	+4.04%	0.007874	+29.64%	0.1548	✓	0.73
2026-09-01	oos	0.006069	0.00637	+4.96%	0.007669	+26.36%	0.1171	✓	0.74
2026-08-31	oos	0.006133	0.0065	+5.99%	0.007738	+26.17%	0.1325	✓	0.68
2026-08-30	oos	0.006067	0.006407	+5.61%	0.007615	+25.52%	0.1209	✓	0.70
2026-08-29	oos	0.006205	0.006593	+6.25%	0.00753	+21.36%	0.0900	✓	0.66
2026-08-28	oos	0.006266	0.006655	+6.20%	0.008026	+28.09%	0.1330	✓	0.67
2026-08-27	oos	0.006537	0.007076	+8.24%	0.008165	+24.91%	0.1106	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.006475	0.006949	+7.33%	0.008094	+25.00%	0.1120	✓	0.65
2026-08-25	oos	0.006223	0.00668	+7.35%	0.007837	+25.94%	0.1115	✓	0.67
2026-08-24	oos	0.006415	0.006913	+7.77%	0.007385	+15.12%	0.0255	✓	0.61
2026-08-23	oos	0.006588	0.007011	+6.42%	0.007746	+17.58%	0.0340	✓	0.64
2026-08-22	oos	0.006517	0.006912	+6.06%	0.007585	+16.39%	0.0193	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.006912	0.007381	+6.78%	0.007175	+3.80%	0.0497	✓	0.60
2026-08-20	oos	0.006425	0.006619	+3.01%	0.007233	+12.58%	0.0318	✓	0.53
2026-08-19	oos	0.006133	0.006167	+0.56%	0.007113	+15.98%	0.0819	✓	0.39
2026-08-18	oos	0.005853	0.005728	-2.13%	0.006596	+12.69%	0.0847	✗	0.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.005956	0.005815	-2.36%	0.006387	+7.24%	0.0304	✗	0.38
2026-08-16	oos	0.005986	0.005794	-3.21%	0.006335	+5.83%	0.0162	✓	0.40
2026-08-15	oos	0.005995	0.005813	-3.04%	0.006713	+11.98%	0.0594	✗	0.39
2026-08-14	oos	0.005904	0.00573	-2.95%	0.006425	+8.82%	0.0359	✗	0.40
2026-08-13	oos	0.005935	0.005776	-2.68%	0.006514	+9.75%	0.0415	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.005835	0.005686	-2.56%	0.006255	+7.20%	0.0074	✓	0.45
2026-08-11	oos	0.005856	0.005706	-2.56%	0.006032	+3.01%	0.0249	✓	0.43
2026-08-10	oos	0.006138	0.005982	-2.55%	0.006386	+4.04%	0.0268	✓	0.45
2026-08-09	oos	0.006055	0.005926	-2.13%	0.006584	+8.74%	0.0151	✓	0.47
2026-08-08	oos	0.005933	0.005811	-2.06%	0.006544	+10.31%	0.0255	✗	0.47
2026-08-07	oos	0.005795	0.005683	-1.94%	0.006554	+13.09%	0.0400	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.005796	0.005664	-2.28%	0.006526	+12.59%	0.0381	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.005755	0.005636	-2.07%	0.006451	+12.09%	0.0342	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.005674	0.005538	-2.40%	0.006306	+11.13%	0.0193	✓	0.46
2026-08-03	oos	0.005733	0.005572	-2.82%	0.006073	+5.94%	0.0075	✓	0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.005739	0.005575	-2.86%	0.006069	+5.75%	0.0110	✓	0.48
2026-08-01	oos	0.005764	0.005574	-3.30%	0.006133	+6.40%	0.0149	✓	0.49
2026-07-31	oos	0.005828	0.005631	-3.38%	0.006067	+4.10%	0.0298	✓	0.49
2026-07-30	oos	0.005729	0.005587	-2.48%	0.006205	+8.31%	0.0045	✓	0.53
2026-07-29	oos	0.005684	0.005521	-2.88%	0.006266	+10.24%	0.0228	✓	0.53
2026-07-28	oos	0.005983	0.005818	-2.76%	0.006537	+9.26%	0.0023	✓	0.52
2026-07-27	oos	0.005768	0.005621	-2.56%	0.006475	+12.26%	0.0320	✗	0.51
2026-07-26	oos	0.006081	0.005974	-1.76%	0.006223	+2.34%	0.0467	✓	0.48
2026-07-25	oos	0.006113	0.005988	-2.05%	0.006415	+4.94%	0.0345	✓	0.50
2026-07-24	oos	0.006088	0.005983	-1.72%	0.006588	+8.21%	0.0012	✓	0.49
2026-07-23	oos	0.006245	0.006174	-1.14%	0.006517	+4.36%	0.0287	✓	0.49
2026-07-22	oos	0.006349	0.00631	-0.61%	0.006912	+8.87%	0.0091	✗	0.48
2026-07-21	oos	0.006386	0.006361	-0.38%	0.006425	+0.61%	0.0353	✓	0.49
2026-07-20	oos	0.006312	0.006269	-0.69%	0.006133	-2.84%	0.0521	✓	0.50
2026-07-19	oos	0.006308	0.006261	-0.74%	0.005853	-7.21%	0.0675	✓	0.50
2026-07-18	oos	0.006367	0.006326	-0.65%	0.005956	-6.46%	0.0575	✓	0.55
2026-07-17	oos	0.006455	0.006398	-0.89%	0.005986	-7.27%	0.0570	✓	0.57
2026-07-16	oos	0.006606	0.006542	-0.97%	0.005995	-9.25%	0.0802	✓	0.60
2026-07-15	oos	0.006508	0.00647	-0.59%	0.005904	-9.28%	0.0759	✓	0.57
2026-07-14	oos	0.006388	0.006366	-0.35%	0.005935	-7.09%	0.0556	✓	0.59
2026-07-13	oos	0.006296	0.006239	-0.91%	0.005835	-7.32%	0.0781	✓	0.62
2026-07-12	oos	0.006429	0.006389	-0.63%	0.005856	-8.91%	0.0851	✓	0.61
2026-07-11	oos	0.006432	0.006389	-0.67%	0.006138	-4.57%	0.0414	✓	0.64
2026-07-10	oos	0.006578	0.006531	-0.71%	0.006055	-7.95%	0.0831	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.006204	0.006158	-0.74%	0.005933	-4.37%	0.0545	✓	0.64
2026-07-08	oos	0.006248	0.006188	-0.96%	0.005795	-7.25%	0.0922	✓	0.64
2026-07-07	oos	0.006407	0.006352	-0.86%	0.005796	-9.54%	0.1010	✓	0.64
2026-07-06	oos	0.006427	0.006384	-0.67%	0.005755	-10.46%	0.1098	✓	0.65
2026-07-05	oos	0.006585	0.00653	-0.84%	0.005674	-13.83%	0.1457	✓	0.71
2026-07-04	oos	0.006629	0.006569	-0.91%	0.005733	-13.52%	0.1404	✓	0.72
2026-07-03	oos	0.006348	0.006298	-0.79%	0.005739	-9.59%	0.1033	✓	0.67
2026-07-02	oos	0.005916	0.00588	-0.61%	0.005764	-2.57%	0.0329	✓	0.63
2026-07-01	oos	0.005829	0.005786	-0.74%	0.005828	-0.02%	0.0224	✓	0.63
2026-06-30	oos	0.005636	0.005596	-0.71%	0.005729	+1.65%	0.0406	✓	0.64
2026-06-29	oos	0.005697	0.005663	-0.60%	0.005684	-0.23%	0.0349	✓	0.64
2026-06-28	oos	0.005635	0.005596	-0.68%	0.005983	+6.18%	0.0211	✗	0.64
2026-06-27	oos	0.005643	0.005603	-0.71%	0.005768	+2.22%	0.0104	✓	0.65
2026-06-26	oos	0.005744	0.005699	-0.78%	0.006081	+5.87%	0.0095	✗	0.65
2026-06-25	oos	0.005694	0.005646	-0.85%	0.006113	+7.36%	0.0315	✗	0.65
2026-06-24	oos	0.005806	0.00576	-0.79%	0.006088	+4.86%	0.0224	✗	0.67
2026-06-23	oos	0.006027	0.005982	-0.75%	0.006245	+3.62%	0.0174	✗	0.68
2026-06-22	oos	0.006304	0.006245	-0.93%	0.006349	+0.71%	0.0055	✓	0.67
2026-06-21	oos	0.006296	0.006231	-1.03%	0.006386	+1.43%	0.0094	✓	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	0.006457	0.006387	-1.09%	0.006312	-2.25%	0.0218	✓	0.66
2026-06-19	oos	0.006908	0.006796	-1.62%	0.006308	-8.69%	0.0876	✓	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	0.006797	0.006682	-1.70%	0.006367	-6.33%	0.0696	✓	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	0.006667	0.006561	-1.59%	0.006455	-3.18%	0.0100	✓	0.73
2026-06-16	oos	0.006764	0.006651	-1.67%	0.006606	-2.34%	0.0139	✓	0.73
2026-06-15	oos	0.006499	0.006402	-1.49%	0.006508	+0.14%	0.0348	✗	0.77
2026-06-14	oos	0.006642	0.006525	-1.76%	0.006388	-3.82%	0.0127	✓	0.78
2026-06-13	oos	0.006614	0.006491	-1.86%	0.006296	-4.81%	0.0038	✓	0.78
2026-06-12	oos	0.006249	0.006141	-1.73%	0.006429	+2.88%	0.0433	✗	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.006328	0.006206	-1.94%	0.006432	+1.64%	0.0332	✗	0.79
2026-06-10	oos	0.006105	0.005987	-1.94%	0.006578	+7.75%	0.0611	✗	0.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.006306	0.006156	-2.38%	0.006204	-1.62%	0.0106	✓	0.77
2026-06-08	oos	0.005884	0.005734	-2.55%	0.006248	+6.19%	0.0967	✗	0.82
2026-06-07	oos	0.005673	0.005511	-2.85%	0.006407	+12.94%	0.1503	✗	0.84
2026-06-06	oos	0.005673	0.005517	-2.76%	0.006427	+13.29%	0.1090	✗	0.87
2026-06-05	oos	0.005884	0.005711	-2.94%	0.006585	+11.91%	0.1075	✗	0.85
2026-06-04	oos	0.006227	0.005994	-3.75%	0.006629	+6.46%	0.1102	✗	0.83
2026-06-03	oos	0.006755	0.006468	-4.24%	0.006348	-6.03%	0.0005	✓	0.80
2026-06-02	oos	0.006585	0.006279	-4.64%	0.005916	-10.16%	0.0106	✓	0.87
2026-06-01	oos	0.006995	0.006646	-4.99%	0.005829	-16.67%	0.0076	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	0.006888	0.006582	-4.44%	0.005636	-18.18%	0.0358	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.006857	0.006563	-4.29%	0.005697	-16.92%	0.0241	✓	0.81
2026-05-29	oos	0.006807	0.006513	-4.33%	0.005635	-17.22%	0.0301	✓	0.83
2026-05-28	oos	0.006977	0.006678	-4.29%	0.005643	-19.12%	0.0005	✓	0.83
2026-05-27	oos	0.007658	0.007295	-4.74%	0.005744	-24.99%	0.0705	✓	0.79
2026-05-26	oos	0.007008	0.006747	-3.73%	0.005694	-18.75%	0.0345	✓	0.85
2026-05-25	oos	0.007234	0.006976	-3.57%	0.005806	-19.74%	0.0164	✓	0.85
2026-05-24	oos	0.007556	0.007253	-4.01%	0.006027	-20.24%	0.0115	✓	0.84
2026-05-23	oos	0.008217	0.007803	-5.04%	0.006304	-23.28%	0.0606	✓	0.84
2026-05-22	oos	0.008229	0.007762	-5.68%	0.006296	-23.49%	0.0585	✓	0.85
2026-05-21	oos	0.007309	0.007037	-3.72%	0.006457	-11.66%	0.0941	✗	0.96
2026-05-20	oos	0.007392	0.007098	-3.98%	0.006908	-6.55%	0.1642	✗	0.96
2026-05-19	oos	0.006698	0.006484	-3.20%	0.006797	+1.48%	0.2345	✗	0.94
2026-05-18	oos	0.006725	0.006511	-3.19%	0.006667	-0.86%	0.1936	✗	0.96
2026-05-17	oos	0.006618	0.006434	-2.78%	0.006764	+2.21%	0.2059	✗	0.94
2026-05-16	oos	0.00679	0.006606	-2.71%	0.006499	-4.29%	0.1380	✗	0.94
2026-05-15	oos	0.006873	0.006701	-2.51%	0.006642	-3.36%	0.1677	✗	0.95
2026-05-14	oos	0.007406	0.007242	-2.21%	0.006614	-10.69%	0.1225	✗	0.93
2026-05-13	oos	0.007467	0.007238	-3.06%	0.006249	-16.31%	0.0605	✗	0.94
2026-05-12	oos	0.008015	0.007759	-3.20%	0.006328	-21.05%	0.0095	✓	0.90
2026-05-11	oos	0.008285	0.008048	-2.86%	0.006105	-26.31%	0.0325	✓	0.85
2026-05-10	oos	0.008314	0.008105	-2.51%	0.006306	-24.15%	0.0045	✓	0.86
2026-05-09	oos	0.008144	0.007919	-2.76%	0.005884	-27.75%	0.0864	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.008256	0.008007	-3.02%	0.005673	-31.29%	0.1445	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.008129	0.007899	-2.83%	0.005673	-30.21%	0.1040	✓	0.83
2026-05-06	oos	0.008023	0.007873	-1.87%	0.005884	-26.66%	0.0481	✓	0.84
2026-05-05	oos	0.007856	0.007717	-1.77%	0.006227	-20.74%	0.0118	✓	0.95
2026-05-04	oos	0.007689	0.007542	-1.92%	0.006755	-12.15%	0.0969	✗	0.94
2026-05-03	oos	0.007594	0.007419	-2.30%	0.006585	-13.29%	0.0353	✗	0.94
2026-05-02	oos	0.007688	0.007512	-2.28%	0.006995	-9.01%	0.0221	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.007531	0.007368	-2.16%	0.006888	-8.54%	0.0088	✓	0.96
2026-04-30	oos	0.007457	0.007241	-2.89%	0.006857	-8.05%	0.0219	✓	0.96
2026-04-29	oos	0.007736	0.007468	-3.47%	0.006807	-12.01%	0.0617	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.007534	0.007321	-2.82%	0.006977	-7.39%	0.0112	✓	0.99
2026-04-27	oos	0.007579	0.007417	-2.14%	0.007658	+1.04%	0.0717	✗	0.99
2026-04-26	oos	0.007956	0.007818	-1.74%	0.007008	-11.92%	0.0732	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.008065	0.007874	-2.37%	0.007234	-10.30%	0.0796	✓	0.99
2026-04-24	oos	0.007884	0.007714	-2.15%	0.007556	-4.16%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.007859	0.007732	-1.62%	0.008217	+4.56%	0.0819	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.007632	0.007536	-1.25%	0.008229	+7.82%	0.1238	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.007424	0.007293	-1.77%	0.007309	-1.55%	0.0132	✓	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.007413	0.007272	-1.90%	0.007392	-0.28%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.006926	0.006778	-2.13%	0.006698	-3.29%	0.0509	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.007115	0.007029	-1.21%	0.006725	-5.48%	0.0600	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.007504	0.007451	-0.70%	0.006618	-11.81%	0.1226	✓	0.99
2026-04-16	oos	0.007688	0.00755	-1.80%	0.00679	-11.68%	0.1448	✓	1.01
2026-04-15	oos	0.006918	0.006853	-0.94%	0.006873	-0.65%	0.0521	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.006786	0.00674	-0.67%	0.007406	+9.14%	0.0047	✓	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.006972	0.006966	-0.08%	0.007467	+7.10%	0.0066	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.006626	0.006487	-2.10%	0.008015	+20.96%	0.0803	✗	1.02
2026-04-11	oos	0.006895	0.006839	-0.81%	0.008285	+20.16%	0.0782	✗	1.02
2026-04-10	oos	0.006739	0.006702	-0.55%	0.008314	+23.37%	0.0949	✗	1.02
2026-04-09	oos	0.006756	0.006701	-0.82%	0.008144	+20.54%	0.0766	✗	1.02
2026-04-08	oos	0.006529	0.006479	-0.76%	0.008256	+26.45%	0.1201	✗	1.01
2026-04-07	oos	0.006675	0.006655	-0.30%	0.008129	+21.78%	0.0920	✗	1.01
2026-04-06	oos	0.006187	0.006058	-2.09%	0.008023	+29.68%	0.1144	✗	0.99
2026-04-05	oos	0.006164	0.006014	-2.43%	0.007856	+27.45%	0.1091	✗	0.99
2026-04-04	oos	0.006393	0.006207	-2.91%	0.007689	+20.27%	0.0434	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.00662	0.006399	-3.35%	0.007594	+14.71%	0.0098	✓	1.01
2026-04-02	oos	0.006065	0.005871	-3.19%	0.007688	+26.76%	0.1061	✗	1.01
2026-04-01	oos	0.006334	0.006147	-2.95%	0.007531	+18.90%	0.0637	✗	1.01
2026-03-31	oos	0.006283	0.006109	-2.77%	0.007457	+18.69%	0.0851	✗	1.02
2026-03-30	oos	0.006164	0.005983	-2.93%	0.007736	+25.50%	0.1276	✗	1.02
2026-03-29	oos	0.006084	0.005914	-2.79%	0.007534	+23.83%	0.0940	✗	1.02
2026-03-28	oos	0.006208	0.006071	-2.20%	0.007579	+22.08%	0.0655	✗	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.006345	0.006244	-1.60%	0.007956	+25.39%	0.0696	✗	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.006635	0.00661	-0.38%	0.008065	+21.55%	0.0754	✗	1.02
2026-03-25	oos	0.006988	0.007055	+0.96%	0.007884	+12.82%	0.0272	✓	1.01
2026-03-24	oos	0.006844	0.006919	+1.10%	0.007859	+14.83%	0.0221	✓	1.01
2026-03-23	oos	0.006966	0.007072	+1.52%	0.007632	+9.56%	0.0233	✗	1.01
2026-03-22	oos	0.006818	0.006874	+0.82%	0.007424	+8.89%	0.0436	✗	1.02
2026-03-21	oos	0.007104	0.007194	+1.27%	0.007413	+4.35%	0.0679	✗	1.02
2026-03-20	oos	0.007474	0.00762	+1.95%	0.006926	-7.33%	0.1420	✗	1.01
2026-03-19	oos	0.007541	0.007684	+1.89%	0.007115	-5.65%	0.1578	✗	1.01
2026-03-18	oos	0.007558	0.007754	+2.60%	0.007504	-0.71%	0.1146	✗	1.04
2026-03-17	oos	0.008071	0.008338	+3.31%	0.007688	-4.75%	0.0982	✗	1.03
2026-03-16	oos	0.008065	0.008341	+3.42%	0.006918	-14.23%	0.1864	✗	1.04
2026-03-15	oos	0.007898	0.008143	+3.11%	0.006786	-14.08%	0.2014	✗	1.04
2026-03-14	oos	0.007474	0.007683	+2.79%	0.006972	-6.72%	0.1425	✗	1.03
2026-03-13	oos	0.007445	0.00765	+2.75%	0.006626	-11.00%	0.1409	✗	1.04
2026-03-12	oos	0.007551	0.007743	+2.54%	0.006895	-8.69%	0.1531	✗	1.04
2026-03-11	oos	0.007653	0.007848	+2.54%	0.006739	-11.94%	0.1930	✗	1.05
2026-03-10	oos	0.007546	0.007712	+2.20%	0.006756	-10.47%	0.1593	✗	1.04
2026-03-09	oos	0.00727	0.007423	+2.11%	0.006529	-10.19%	0.1678	✗	1.04
2026-03-08	oos	0.007116	0.007261	+2.04%	0.006675	-6.20%	0.1744	✗	1.05
2026-03-07	oos	0.007076	0.007249	+2.45%	0.006187	-12.56%	0.1832	✗	1.05
2026-03-06	oos	0.007153	0.007333	+2.52%	0.006164	-13.83%	0.1874	✗	1.05
2026-03-05	oos	0.007255	0.007479	+3.09%	0.006393	-11.88%	0.1015	✗	1.06
2026-03-04	oos	0.007432	0.00768	+3.34%	0.00662	-10.93%	0.0613	✗	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.007324	0.007519	+2.67%	0.006065	-17.19%	0.1913	✗	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.007251	0.00745	+2.74%	0.006334	-12.65%	0.1506	✗	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.007123	0.007294	+2.40%	0.006283	-11.79%	0.1909	✗	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.007539	0.007703	+2.18%	0.006164	-18.24%	0.2190	✗	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.007517	0.007654	+1.82%	0.006084	-19.06%	0.2312	✗	1.14
2026-02-26	oos	0.007536	0.007664	+1.69%	0.006208	-17.62%	0.1907	✗	1.14
2026-02-25	oos	0.007779	0.007896	+1.50%	0.006345	-18.43%	0.1909	✗	1.14
2026-02-24	oos	0.007418	0.007541	+1.66%	0.006635	-10.56%	0.2092	✗	1.15
2026-02-23	oos	0.007368	0.007511	+1.93%	0.006988	-5.16%	0.1839	✗	1.14
2026-02-22	oos	0.007626	0.007765	+1.83%	0.006844	-10.25%	0.1747	✗	1.15
2026-02-21	oos	0.007988	0.008105	+1.47%	0.006966	-12.79%	0.1999	✗	1.15
2026-02-20	oos	0.008236	0.008344	+1.31%	0.006818	-17.22%	0.1996	✗	1.14
2026-02-19	oos	0.00803	0.008148	+1.47%	0.007104	-11.53%	0.1696	✗	1.14
2026-02-18	oos	0.008196	0.008307	+1.35%	0.007474	-8.81%	0.1747	✗	1.16
2026-02-17	oos	0.008763	0.008805	+0.47%	0.007541	-13.94%	0.1920	✗	1.04
2026-02-16	oos	0.008626	0.008652	+0.30%	0.007558	-12.38%	0.1709	✗	1.05
2026-02-15	oos	0.008606	0.00862	+0.16%	0.008071	-6.22%	0.1416	✗	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.009088	0.009036	-0.57%	0.008065	-11.25%	0.1875	✓	1.05
2026-02-13	oos	0.008898	0.008857	-0.46%	0.007898	-11.24%	0.1742	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.008649	0.008638	-0.13%	0.007474	-13.59%	0.2222	✓	1.06
2026-02-11	oos	0.00848	0.008461	-0.22%	0.007445	-12.21%	0.1883	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.008161	0.008134	-0.33%	0.007551	-7.47%	0.1012	✓	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.008358	0.008305	-0.63%	0.007653	-8.44%	0.0834	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.008366	0.008302	-0.77%	0.007546	-9.80%	0.0905	✓	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.008586	0.008515	-0.83%	0.00727	-15.33%	0.1449	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.008428	0.008332	-1.14%	0.007116	-15.57%	0.0834	✓	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.007656	0.007691	+0.46%	0.007076	-7.58%	0.1640	✗	1.17
2026-02-04	oos	0.009233	0.008993	-2.60%	0.007153	-22.53%	0.1466	✓	1.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.009308	0.009004	-3.27%	0.007255	-22.06%	0.1365	✓	1.22
2026-02-02	oos	0.00974	0.009346	-4.05%	0.007432	-23.70%	0.1314	✓	1.24
2026-02-01	oos	0.00922	0.008881	-3.67%	0.007324	-20.56%	0.0509	✓	1.20
2026-01-31	oos	0.00963	0.009228	-4.18%	0.007251	-24.70%	0.0687	✓	1.29
2026-01-30	oos	0.01037	0.009872	-4.80%	0.007123	-31.31%	0.0038	✓	1.34
2026-01-29	oos	0.01036	0.009861	-4.81%	0.007539	-27.23%	0.0469	✓	1.36
2026-01-28	oos	0.01125	0.010759	-4.37%	0.007517	-33.18%	0.0449	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.01143	0.010903	-4.61%	0.007536	-34.07%	0.0116	✓	1.37
2026-01-26	oos	0.01164	0.011054	-5.03%	0.007779	-33.17%	0.0018	✓	1.35
2026-01-25	oos	0.01115	0.010556	-5.33%	0.007418	-33.47%	0.0529	✓	1.35
2026-01-24	oos	0.01185	0.011217	-5.34%	0.007368	-37.82%	0.0081	✓	1.33
2026-01-23	oos	0.01141	0.010814	-5.23%	0.007626	-33.16%	0.0280	✓	1.35
2026-01-22	oos	0.01138	0.010789	-5.19%	0.007988	-29.81%	0.0697	✗	1.35
2026-01-21	oos	0.01178	0.011177	-5.12%	0.008236	-30.08%	0.0636	✗	1.35
2026-01-20	oos	0.01133	0.010731	-5.29%	0.00803	-29.13%	0.0843	✗	1.35
2026-01-19	oos	0.01221	0.01167	-4.42%	0.008196	-32.87%	0.0931	✗	1.35
2026-01-18	oos	0.01248	0.011881	-4.80%	0.008763	-29.78%	0.1374	✗	1.35
2026-01-17	oos	0.01285	0.012343	-3.95%	0.008626	-32.87%	0.0756	✗	1.34
2026-01-16	oos	0.01323	0.012762	-3.54%	0.008606	-34.95%	0.0455	✗	1.34
2026-01-15	oos	0.01237	0.011967	-3.26%	0.009088	-26.53%	0.1466	✗	1.34
2026-01-14	oos	0.01325	0.012899	-2.65%	0.008898	-32.85%	0.0831	✗	1.33
2026-01-13	oos	0.01367	0.013201	-3.43%	0.008649	-36.73%	0.0753	✗	1.36
2026-01-12	oos	0.01253	0.011995	-4.27%	0.00848	-32.32%	0.0645	✗	1.34
2026-01-11	oos	0.01279	0.012254	-4.19%	0.008161	-36.19%	0.0311	✓	1.35
2026-01-10	oos	0.01283	0.012327	-3.92%	0.008358	-34.86%	0.0444	✓	1.35
2026-01-09	oos	0.01297	0.012507	-3.57%	0.008366	-35.50%	0.0391	✓	1.43
2026-01-08	oos	0.01303	0.012603	-3.27%	0.008586	-34.11%	0.0011	✓	1.40
2026-01-07	oos	0.01327	0.01283	-3.32%	0.008428	-36.49%	0.0743	✗	1.92
2026-01-06	oos	0.01365	0.013248	-2.95%	0.007656	-43.91%	0.2252	✗	1.93
2026-01-05	oos	0.01354	0.013142	-2.94%	0.009233	-31.81%	0.1339	✗	1.94
2026-01-04	oos	0.01384	0.013353	-3.52%	0.009308	-32.75%	0.0202	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0129	0.012462	-3.40%	0.00974	-24.50%	0.0359	✗	2.00
2026-01-02	oos	0.01273	0.012302	-3.37%	0.00922	-27.57%	0.0238	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.01248	0.012045	-3.48%	0.00963	-22.84%	0.0161	✓	1.99
2025-12-31	oos	0.01146	0.011061	-3.48%	0.01037	-9.51%	0.0132	✓	1.97
2025-12-30	oos	0.01159	0.011183	-3.51%	0.01036	-10.61%	0.0125	✓	1.98
2025-12-29	oos	0.0117	0.011252	-3.83%	0.01125	-3.85%	0.0457	✓	1.95
2025-12-28	oos	0.01186	0.011402	-3.86%	0.01143	-3.63%	0.0249	✓	1.95
2025-12-27	oos	0.01213	0.01165	-3.96%	0.01164	-4.04%	0.0105	✓	1.92
2025-12-26	oos	0.01161	0.01116	-3.88%	0.01115	-3.96%	0.0151	✓	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.01145	0.011042	-3.57%	0.01185	+3.49%	0.0296	✓	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.01147	0.011092	-3.29%	0.01141	-0.52%	0.0118	✓	1.90
2025-12-23	oos	0.01141	0.011074	-2.95%	0.01138	-0.26%	0.0165	✓	1.90
2025-12-22	oos	0.01153	0.01123	-2.60%	0.01178	+2.17%	0.0305	✗	1.91
2025-12-21	oos	0.01145	0.011175	-2.40%	0.01133	-1.05%	0.0208	✓	1.91
2025-12-20	oos	0.01182	0.011556	-2.23%	0.01221	+3.30%	0.0359	✓	1.94
2025-12-19	oos	0.01167	0.011424	-2.11%	0.01248	+6.94%	0.0300	✓	1.94
2025-12-18	oos	0.01078	0.010553	-2.10%	0.01285	+19.20%	0.0087	✓	1.92
2025-12-17	oos	0.01131	0.01108	-2.03%	0.01323	+16.98%	0.0199	✓	1.93
2025-12-16	oos	0.012	0.011759	-2.01%	0.01237	+3.08%	0.1114	✓	1.92
2025-12-15	oos	0.01187	0.011625	-2.07%	0.01325	+11.63%	0.0909	✓	1.93
2025-12-14	oos	0.01225	0.012001	-2.03%	0.01367	+11.59%	0.0220	✓	1.94
2025-12-13	oos	0.01305	0.012786	-2.02%	0.01253	-3.98%	0.0401	✓	1.93
2025-12-12	oos	0.01244	0.012208	-1.87%	0.01279	+2.81%	0.0339	✗	1.93
2025-12-11	oos	0.01283	0.012622	-1.62%	0.01283	+0.00%	0.0623	✗	1.94
2025-12-10	oos	0.01307	0.012817	-1.94%	0.01297	-0.77%	0.0443	✗	1.95
2025-12-09	oos	0.01353	0.013271	-1.91%	0.01303	-3.70%	0.0169	✓	1.94
2025-12-08	oos	0.01316	0.012886	-2.08%	0.01327	+0.84%	0.0161	✓	1.93
2025-12-07	oos	0.01283	0.012562	-2.09%	0.01365	+6.39%	0.0135	✓	1.93
2025-12-06	oos	0.01318	0.012864	-2.39%	0.01354	+2.73%	0.0470	✓	1.95
2025-12-05	oos	0.01275	0.012471	-2.19%	0.01384	+8.55%	0.0577	✗	1.95
2025-12-04	oos	0.01314	0.012868	-2.07%	0.0129	-1.83%	0.0348	✗	1.98
2025-12-03	oos	0.01376	0.013499	-1.90%	0.01273	-7.49%	0.0166	✓	1.97
2025-12-02	oos	0.01343	0.013174	-1.91%	0.01248	-7.07%	0.0026	✓	1.99
2025-12-01	oos	0.01251	0.012262	-1.99%	0.01146	-8.39%	0.0962	✓	2.04
2025-11-30	oos	0.01321	0.012974	-1.78%	0.01159	-12.26%	0.0665	✓	2.10
2025-11-29	oos	0.01387	0.013625	-1.76%	0.0117	-15.65%	0.0657	✓	2.07
2025-11-28	oos	0.01559	0.01518	-2.63%	0.01186	-23.93%	0.1764	✓	2.08
2025-11-27	oos	0.01384	0.013583	-1.86%	0.01213	-12.36%	0.0311	✓	2.09
2025-11-26	oos	0.01412	0.013825	-2.09%	0.01161	-17.78%	0.1006	✓	2.07
2025-11-25	oos	0.01388	0.013566	-2.26%	0.01145	-17.51%	0.1659	✓	2.14
2025-11-24	oos	0.01384	0.013556	-2.05%	0.01147	-17.12%	0.1511	✓	2.14
2025-11-23	oos	0.01332	0.013065	-1.91%	0.01141	-14.34%	0.1507	✓	2.14
2025-11-22	oos	0.01345	0.013175	-2.05%	0.01153	-14.28%	0.2324	✓	2.22
2025-11-21	oos	0.01408	0.013753	-2.32%	0.01145	-18.68%	0.2743	✓	2.21
2025-11-20	oos	0.01571	0.015189	-3.32%	0.01182	-24.76%	0.2954	✓	2.18
2025-11-19	oos	0.01424	0.01395	-2.03%	0.01167	-18.05%	0.0831	✓	2.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.01455	0.01427	-1.92%	0.01078	-25.91%	0.0675	✓	2.55
2025-11-17	oos	0.01405	0.013815	-1.67%	0.01131	-19.50%	0.0313	✓	2.55
2025-11-16	oos	0.01451	0.01427	-1.65%	0.012	-17.30%	0.0044	✓	2.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.01521	0.014938	-1.79%	0.01187	-21.96%	0.0268	✗	2.56
2025-11-14	oos	0.01491	0.01468	-1.54%	0.01225	-17.84%	0.0036	✓	2.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.01581	0.015546	-1.67%	0.01305	-17.46%	0.0891	✗	2.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.01634	0.01607	-1.65%	0.01244	-23.87%	0.0630	✗	2.69
2025-11-11	oos	0.01619	0.015918	-1.68%	0.01283	-20.75%	0.0746	✗	2.71
2025-11-10	oos	0.01779	0.017407	-2.15%	0.01307	-26.53%	0.0942	✗	2.70
2025-11-09	oos	0.01728	0.016909	-2.15%	0.01353	-21.70%	0.1057	✗	2.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.01723	0.016847	-2.22%	0.01316	-23.62%	0.0839	✗	2.74
2025-11-07	oos	0.01771	0.017266	-2.51%	0.01283	-27.56%	0.0683	✗	2.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.01611	0.015759	-2.18%	0.01318	-18.19%	0.1639	✗	2.71
2025-11-05	oos	0.01679	0.01637	-2.50%	0.01275	-24.06%	0.1615	✗	2.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.01601	0.015623	-2.42%	0.01314	-17.93%	0.0937	✗	2.75
2025-11-03	oos	0.01679	0.016296	-2.94%	0.01376	-18.05%	0.2119	✗	2.90
2025-11-02	oos	0.01997	0.019151	-4.10%	0.01343	-32.75%	0.1857	✗	2.83
2025-11-01	oos	0.01756	0.016931	-3.58%	0.01251	-28.76%	0.3844	✗	2.82
2025-10-31	oos	0.01636	0.015766	-3.63%	0.01321	-19.25%	0.3660	✗	2.82
2025-10-30	oos	0.01664	0.016073	-3.41%	0.01387	-16.65%	0.3534	✗	2.85
2025-10-29	oos	0.01889	0.018204	-3.63%	0.01559	-17.47%	0.3701	✗	2.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.0188	0.01816	-3.40%	0.01384	-26.38%	0.3290	✗	2.83
2025-10-27	oos	0.01958	0.018879	-3.58%	0.01412	-27.89%	0.3659	✗	2.83
2025-10-26	oos	0.02034	0.0196	-3.64%	0.01388	-31.76%	0.4217	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.01946	0.018712	-3.84%	0.01384	-28.88%	0.3766	✗	2.88
2025-10-24	oos	0.01934	0.01867	-3.46%	0.01332	-31.13%	0.3927	✗	2.97
2025-10-23	oos	0.0192	0.018541	-3.43%	0.01345	-29.95%	0.4588	✗	2.97
2025-10-22	oos	0.01829	0.017712	-3.16%	0.01408	-23.02%	0.4681	✗	2.97
2025-10-21	oos	0.01894	0.01833	-3.22%	0.01571	-17.05%	0.5135	✗	2.97
2025-10-20	oos	0.01966	0.01895	-3.61%	0.01424	-27.57%	0.2868	✗	3.02
2025-10-19	oos	0.01935	0.018696	-3.38%	0.01455	-24.81%	0.2149	✗	2.97
2025-10-18	oos	0.01916	0.018536	-3.25%	0.01405	-26.67%	0.1770	✗	2.99
2025-10-17	oos	0.01885	0.018296	-2.94%	0.01451	-23.02%	0.1337	✗	2.98
2025-10-16	oos	0.01937	0.018737	-3.27%	0.01521	-21.48%	0.1642	✗	3.00
2025-10-15	oos	0.02053	0.019825	-3.44%	0.01491	-27.37%	0.1913	✗	2.99
2025-10-14	oos	0.02154	0.020801	-3.43%	0.01581	-26.60%	0.1057	✗	3.00
2025-10-13	oos	0.02263	0.021892	-3.26%	0.01634	-27.79%	0.0855	✗	3.00
2025-10-12	oos	0.022	0.021118	-4.01%	0.01619	-26.41%	0.0596	✗	2.94
2025-10-11	oos	0.01948	0.018269	-6.21%	0.01779	-8.68%	0.1015	✗	2.90
2025-10-10	oos	0.01861	0.016944	-8.95%	0.01728	-7.15%	0.2449	✗	2.96
2025-10-09	oos	0.02809	0.027345	-2.65%	0.01723	-38.66%	0.0825	✓	2.18
2025-10-08	oos	0.0289	0.028251	-2.24%	0.01771	-38.72%	0.0593	✓	2.30
2025-10-07	oos	0.02774	0.026954	-2.83%	0.01611	-41.93%	0.0954	✓	2.32
2025-10-06	oos	0.0304	0.029902	-1.64%	0.01679	-44.77%	0.1562	✓	2.30
2025-10-05	oos	0.02887	0.028267	-2.09%	0.01601	-44.54%	0.1186	✓	2.29
2025-10-04	oos	0.02937	0.028612	-2.58%	0.01679	-42.83%	0.2131	✓	2.30
2025-10-03	oos	0.03044	0.02965	-2.60%	0.01997	-34.40%	0.1624	✓	2.30
2025-10-02	oos	0.02927	0.028222	-3.58%	0.01756	-40.01%	0.2642	✓	2.29
2025-10-01	oos	0.02791	0.026519	-4.98%	0.01636	-41.38%	0.2999	✓	2.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.02696	0.02522	-6.45%	0.01664	-38.28%	0.2910	✓	2.41
2025-09-29	oos	0.02742	0.025642	-6.48%	0.01889	-31.11%	0.2127	✓	2.40
2025-09-28	oos	0.02841	0.026614	-6.32%	0.0188	-33.83%	0.3632	✓	2.49
2025-09-27	oos	0.02835	0.026485	-6.58%	0.01958	-30.93%	0.4035	✓	2.58
2025-09-26	oos	0.0281	0.026098	-7.12%	0.02034	-27.62%	0.3608	✓	2.58
2025-09-25	oos	0.02673	0.024525	-8.25%	0.01946	-27.20%	0.2926	✓	2.57
2025-09-24	oos	0.02903	0.027032	-6.88%	0.01934	-33.38%	0.2812	✓	2.61
2025-09-23	oos	0.02867	0.026769	-6.63%	0.0192	-33.03%	0.2873	✓	2.63
2025-09-22	oos	0.02965	0.027924	-5.82%	0.01829	-38.31%	0.3040	✓	2.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.03334	0.031751	-4.76%	0.01894	-43.19%	0.3657	✓	2.44
2025-09-20	oos	0.03391	0.032401	-4.45%	0.01966	-42.02%	0.3891	✓	2.41
2025-09-19	oos	0.03336	0.031995	-4.09%	0.01935	-42.00%	0.3484	✓	2.47
2025-09-18	oos	0.03557	0.034236	-3.75%	0.01916	-46.13%	0.3595	✓	2.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.