ARGUS
Argus · Arc · beta_5y
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
85.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2874
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0211
actual -0.2974
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.009037 | 0.008507 | -5.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008983 | 0.00849 | -5.48% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007097 | -3.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006693 | -2.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005464 | -4.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006724 | -2.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007527 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.00851 | -2.18% | 0.009037 | +3.87% | 0.0349 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008456 | -2.24% | 0.008983 | +3.85% | 0.0307 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007152 | -4.82% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008424 | -3.06% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.010776 | -2.92% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010336 | -3.04% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.3903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012231 | -2.77% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4549 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013205 | -2.91% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4225 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013653 | -2.55% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4357 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013287 | -1.94% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5410 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013722 | -1.71% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014125 | -1.33% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.2078 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013088 | -1.82% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1834 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015262 | -1.47% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1698 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014035 | -1.41% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013816 | -1.60% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0173 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014501 | -1.22% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019003 | -0.98% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021298 | -0.94% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023697 | -1.34% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5792 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024356 | -1.61% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4575 | ✓ | 1.00 |