INIT

Initia · Initia · beta_5y

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0972

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0137

actual -0.0067

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.12835	0.123846	-3.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.122405	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.122743	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.119681	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.121896	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.120386	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.121874	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.135417	-4.27%	0.12835	-9.26%	0.0680	✓	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.122686	-3.21%	0.12675	+0.00%	0.0249	✓	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.119977	-3.17%	0.1272	+2.66%	0.0596	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.116735	-3.32%	0.12365	+2.40%	0.0569	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.11464	-2.60%	0.12605	+7.09%	0.1071	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.114234	-3.03%	0.1242	+5.43%	0.0953	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.107236	-2.25%	0.1256	+14.49%	0.1660	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.111334	-2.81%	0.14145	+23.48%	0.2360	✗	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.113967	-2.59%	0.12675	+8.33%	0.1195	✗	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.110663	-1.89%	0.1239	+9.84%	0.1325	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.115976	-2.30%	0.12075	+1.73%	0.0722	✗	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.114784	-2.44%	0.1177	+0.04%	0.0478	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.109647	-2.84%	0.1178	+4.39%	0.0864	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.106941	-2.91%	0.1097	-0.41%	0.0412	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.102282	-2.63%	0.11455	+9.04%	0.1389	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.100184	-3.39%	0.117	+12.83%	0.1575	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.098359	-4.46%	0.1128	+9.57%	0.1221	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.086683	-3.36%	0.1187	+32.33%	0.2951	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.087024	-2.98%	0.11765	+31.16%	0.2844	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.091238	-3.14%	0.11285	+19.80%	0.2098	✗	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.096241	-3.61%	0.11015	+10.32%	0.1315	✗	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.095921	-3.98%	0.10505	+5.16%	0.0869	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.085864	-3.20%	0.1037	+16.91%	0.1960	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.086966	-3.59%	0.10295	+14.14%	0.1913	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.079736	-3.53%	0.0897	+8.53%	0.1485	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.071963	-2.22%	0.0897	+21.87%	0.1921	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.074027	-2.34%	0.0942	+24.27%	0.2136	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.074349	-2.30%	0.09985	+31.21%	0.2668	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.073889	-2.78%	0.0999	+31.45%	0.2231	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.067736	-0.83%	0.0887	+29.87%	0.1902	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.066961	-0.36%	0.0902	+34.23%	0.1982	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.069308	-0.56%	0.08265	+18.58%	0.1000	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.065413	+1.02%	0.0736	+13.67%	0.0792	✓	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.069959	-0.13%	0.0758	+8.21%	0.0462	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.070217	+0.02%	0.0761	+8.40%	0.0490	✓	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.069875	-0.32%	0.076	+8.42%	0.0857	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.066852	+1.21%	0.0683	+3.41%	0.0414	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.066891	+1.50%	0.0672	+1.97%	0.0328	✓	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.068374	+1.45%	0.0697	+3.41%	0.0281	✓	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.068909	+2.01%	0.06475	-4.15%	0.0276	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.069104	+2.07%	0.07005	+3.47%	0.0383	✓	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.065292	+2.98%	0.0702	+10.73%	0.0959	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.064335	+4.02%	0.0701	+13.34%	0.1325	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.062677	+2.33%	0.06605	+7.84%	0.0418	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.060797	+2.44%	0.0659	+11.04%	0.0689	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.060346	+2.63%	0.0674	+14.63%	0.1051	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.055749	+2.67%	0.06755	+24.40%	0.1616	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.058218	+2.05%	0.0677	+18.67%	0.1329	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.0547	+2.05%	0.0634	+18.28%	0.1272	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.055984	+2.44%	0.06185	+13.17%	0.0887	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.055553	+1.56%	0.06125	+11.97%	0.1174	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.054412	+1.33%	0.05935	+10.52%	0.1000	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.05507	+1.14%	0.0588	+7.99%	0.0707	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.056782	-0.03%	0.0543	-4.40%	0.0439	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.055561	+0.20%	0.05705	+2.89%	0.0112	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.057527	-0.39%	0.0536	-7.19%	0.0645	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054464	-0.70%	0.05465	-0.36%	0.0939	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.052745	-1.13%	0.0547	+2.53%	0.1059	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.050469	-1.33%	0.0537	+4.99%	0.1622	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.050659	-1.35%	0.05445	+6.04%	0.1638	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.050103	-1.57%	0.0568	+11.59%	0.1258	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.050735	-1.49%	0.05545	+7.67%	0.1484	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.050299	-1.76%	0.05775	+12.79%	0.1190	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.05069	-1.76%	0.05485	+6.30%	0.0881	✓	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.050407	-1.55%	0.05335	+4.20%	0.0511	✓	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.051427	-1.86%	0.05115	-2.39%	0.0264	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.051673	-1.67%	0.05135	-2.28%	0.0167	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.052616	-2.02%	0.0509	-5.21%	0.0038	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.051873	-2.31%	0.0515	-3.01%	0.0274	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.050277	-1.61%	0.0512	+0.20%	0.0517	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.04991	-1.85%	0.0516	+1.47%	0.0483	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.049792	-1.69%	0.0512	+1.09%	0.0489	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.048458	-1.91%	0.0524	+6.07%	0.0868	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.048998	-1.61%	0.05255	+5.52%	0.0623	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.049252	-1.69%	0.0537	+7.19%	0.0635	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.050435	-1.88%	0.0531	+3.31%	0.0143	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.048474	-1.78%	0.0511	+3.55%	0.0170	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.047754	-1.34%	0.05085	+5.06%	0.0710	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.047538	-1.17%	0.05065	+5.30%	0.0510	✗	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.048661	-1.40%	0.0494	+0.10%	0.0115	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.050336	-1.11%	0.0498	-2.16%	0.0066	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.053746	-1.20%	0.0501	-7.90%	0.0392	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.054618	-1.41%	0.0514	-7.22%	0.0342	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.054366	-1.33%	0.04935	-10.44%	0.0750	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.054934	-1.55%	0.0484	-13.26%	0.1211	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.054871	-1.31%	0.0481	-13.49%	0.0953	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.054552	-1.08%	0.04935	-10.52%	0.0561	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.053254	-1.38%	0.0509	-5.74%	0.0206	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.052077	-0.52%	0.0544	+3.92%	0.0333	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.052458	-0.46%	0.0554	+5.12%	0.0628	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.052336	-0.41%	0.0551	+4.85%	0.0482	✗	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052806	-0.37%	0.0558	+5.28%	0.0341	✗	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.05434	-0.29%	0.0556	+2.02%	0.0005	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.05474	-0.20%	0.05515	+0.55%	0.0175	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.053205	-0.36%	0.054	+1.12%	0.0366	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.055048	-0.28%	0.05235	-5.16%	0.0665	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.056026	-0.40%	0.0527	-6.31%	0.0785	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056678	-0.48%	0.05255	-7.73%	0.0715	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.055276	-0.40%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0525	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054487	-0.39%	0.0545	-0.37%	0.0440	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054847	-0.28%	0.05485	-0.27%	0.0292	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.057078	-0.47%	0.0534	-6.89%	0.0359	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057639	-0.62%	0.0552	-4.83%	0.0457	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.057988	-0.70%	0.05625	-3.68%	0.0414	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.057868	-0.74%	0.05695	-2.32%	0.0408	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.05668	-0.73%	0.0555	-2.80%	0.0474	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.056807	-1.03%	0.0547	-4.70%	0.0748	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.052132	-0.51%	0.055	+4.96%	0.0188	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.053335	-0.40%	0.05735	+7.10%	0.0154	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.05188	-0.33%	0.058	+11.43%	0.0521	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052334	-0.32%	0.0584	+11.24%	0.0645	✗	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.05476	-0.71%	0.0583	+5.71%	0.0264	✗	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051626	-0.24%	0.0571	+10.34%	0.0752	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.053262	-0.26%	0.0574	+7.49%	0.0902	✗	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.05865	-0.93%	0.0524	-11.49%	0.0579	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057904	-1.02%	0.05355	-8.46%	0.0288	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.055382	-0.57%	0.05205	-6.55%	0.0138	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056528	-0.74%	0.0525	-7.81%	0.0181	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057371	-0.83%	0.05515	-4.67%	0.0062	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.058922	-1.22%	0.05175	-13.24%	0.0869	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.059027	-1.29%	0.0534	-10.70%	0.0541	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.059368	-1.55%	0.0592	-1.82%	0.0367	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.057921	-1.33%	0.0585	-0.34%	0.0424	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.058755	-1.58%	0.0557	-6.70%	0.0189	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.058001	-1.44%	0.05695	-3.23%	0.0155	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.058928	-2.20%	0.05785	-3.98%	0.0176	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.057108	-1.54%	0.05965	+2.84%	0.0531	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.053967	-0.98%	0.0598	+9.72%	0.0628	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.055974	-1.71%	0.0603	+5.88%	0.0230	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.057097	-1.73%	0.0587	+1.03%	0.0142	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.053914	-0.53%	0.0597	+10.15%	0.0698	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.05314	-0.11%	0.05885	+10.62%	0.0536	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.055235	-0.30%	0.06025	+8.75%	0.0524	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.058102	-0.85%	0.058	-1.02%	0.0015	✓	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.063773	-1.89%	0.0545	-16.15%	0.1273	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.062767	-1.77%	0.05695	-10.88%	0.0396	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.069106	-4.02%	0.0581	-19.31%	0.1198	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.070494	-4.74%	0.0542	-26.76%	0.2005	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.065945	-4.01%	0.0532	-22.56%	0.1228	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.061794	-1.60%	0.0554	-11.78%	0.0191	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.062318	-1.39%	0.0586	-7.28%	0.0065	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.06589	-1.88%	0.065	-3.20%	0.0548	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.075733	-2.59%	0.0639	-17.81%	0.1208	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.079345	-2.88%	0.072	-11.87%	0.0711	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.079059	-2.76%	0.074	-8.98%	0.0509	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.080622	-2.86%	0.0687	-17.23%	0.1457	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.078873	-2.51%	0.0628	-22.37%	0.2175	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.083687	-2.69%	0.0632	-26.51%	0.2626	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.082779	-2.61%	0.06715	-21.00%	0.1951	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.08144	-1.94%	0.07775	-6.38%	0.0423	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.082834	-1.74%	0.0817	-3.08%	0.0153	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.083059	-1.41%	0.0813	-3.50%	0.0190	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.084263	-1.16%	0.083	-2.64%	0.0071	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.087426	-1.16%	0.0809	-8.54%	0.0658	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.093681	-1.34%	0.086	-9.43%	0.0761	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.096034	-1.71%	0.085	-13.00%	0.1175	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.102054	-2.06%	0.08305	-20.30%	0.1980	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.100506	-1.46%	0.0843	-17.35%	0.1680	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.10364	-1.48%	0.08425	-19.91%	0.1993	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.108215	-2.33%	0.08525	-23.06%	0.2335	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.100792	-1.57%	0.08845	-13.62%	0.1287	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.106494	-3.14%	0.09495	-13.64%	0.1165	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.098152	-1.70%	0.0977	-2.15%	0.0056	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.089937	-0.73%	0.1042	+15.01%	0.1503	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.089265	-0.82%	0.102	+13.33%	0.1191	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.088227	-0.87%	0.1052	+18.20%	0.1477	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.088485	-0.69%	0.1108	+24.35%	0.2096	✗	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.08985	-0.72%	0.1024	+13.15%	0.1152	✗	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.089905	-1.09%	0.10995	+20.96%	0.1652	✗	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.089912	-1.09%	0.09985	+9.85%	0.0503	✗	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.093255	-1.47%	0.0906	-4.28%	0.0747	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.089572	-0.86%	0.09	-0.39%	0.0203	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.090057	-0.71%	0.089	-1.87%	0.0106	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.088485	-0.86%	0.0891	-0.17%	0.0035	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.091584	-1.36%	0.0905	-2.53%	0.0197	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.084738	-0.43%	0.0909	+6.82%	0.0904	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.087871	-0.71%	0.0909	+2.71%	0.0591	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.088981	-1.02%	0.09465	+5.28%	0.0621	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.093223	-1.51%	0.09035	-4.54%	0.0471	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.087194	-1.36%	0.0907	+2.60%	0.0123	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.09216	-2.06%	0.08925	-5.15%	0.0523	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.089193	-1.34%	0.09285	+2.71%	0.0363	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.085621	-1.47%	0.0851	-2.07%	0.0391	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.082284	-1.40%	0.0885	+6.05%	0.0372	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.07912	-1.22%	0.0899	+12.23%	0.1047	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.07877	-1.17%	0.09465	+18.76%	0.1685	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.075408	-1.43%	0.0884	+15.56%	0.1235	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.081325	-1.54%	0.0941	+13.92%	0.1169	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.082282	-1.69%	0.0904	+8.00%	0.0498	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.078936	-1.58%	0.0869	+8.35%	0.0593	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.080548	-1.83%	0.08345	+1.71%	0.0062	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.080462	-1.76%	0.0801	-2.20%	0.0297	✓	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.082708	-2.75%	0.0797	-6.29%	0.1039	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.078039	-2.08%	0.0765	-4.02%	0.0413	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.080048	-2.26%	0.0826	+0.85%	0.0398	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.080436	-2.50%	0.0837	+1.45%	0.0348	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.078203	-2.67%	0.0802	-0.19%	0.0360	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.076859	-2.15%	0.08205	+4.46%	0.0278	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.073882	-2.01%	0.0819	+8.62%	0.0566	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.075429	-2.04%	0.08505	+10.45%	0.0921	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.076431	-2.14%	0.0797	+2.05%	0.0014	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.077748	-2.20%	0.0819	+3.02%	0.0390	✗	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.075382	-1.97%	0.0825	+7.28%	0.0821	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.081415	-2.38%	0.08035	-3.66%	0.0106	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.080236	-2.15%	0.07855	-4.21%	0.0192	✓	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.081993	-3.31%	0.0754	-11.08%	0.0542	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.078977	-2.14%	0.077	-4.58%	0.0282	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.075076	-2.12%	0.0781	+1.83%	0.0645	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.075687	-1.71%	0.0795	+3.25%	0.0831	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.078412	-1.49%	0.0769	-3.39%	0.0338	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.080252	-1.53%	0.0834	+2.33%	0.0532	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.084145	-1.58%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0265	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.091098	-1.83%	0.0848	-8.62%	0.0299	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.088698	-1.34%	0.0807	-10.23%	0.0449	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.090211	-1.94%	0.0767	-16.63%	0.0967	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.089429	-2.26%	0.077	-15.85%	0.1188	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.083145	-1.60%	0.0796	-5.80%	0.0377	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.087341	-2.52%	0.0815	-9.04%	0.0610	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.087341	-2.41%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.0352	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.082865	-1.82%	0.0928	+9.95%	0.0613	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.079926	-1.69%	0.0899	+10.58%	0.0332	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.079489	-1.99%	0.092	+13.44%	0.0511	✗	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.082696	-2.25%	0.0915	+8.16%	0.0462	✗	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.084077	-3.47%	0.0845	-2.99%	0.0331	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.079897	-1.36%	0.0896	+10.62%	0.1196	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.078099	-1.02%	0.0895	+13.43%	0.1709	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.082044	-1.98%	0.0844	+0.84%	0.0024	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.078913	-1.73%	0.0813	+1.25%	0.0362	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.074331	-1.42%	0.0811	+7.56%	0.0839	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.078339	-1.65%	0.0846	+6.21%	0.0722	✗	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.079478	-1.88%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.0547	✗	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.0802	-1.84%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0442	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.080343	-1.72%	0.0789	-3.49%	0.0917	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.080337	-1.91%	0.0837	+2.20%	0.0349	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.083544	-2.29%	0.0803	-6.08%	0.1131	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.087374	-2.65%	0.0754	-15.99%	0.1150	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.091336	-3.09%	0.07965	-15.49%	0.1199	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.096539	-3.99%	0.081	-19.44%	0.1387	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.097023	-3.98%	0.0817	-19.15%	0.1809	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.097162	-4.56%	0.08175	-19.70%	0.2007	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.10667	-5.93%	0.0819	-27.78%	0.2081	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.115341	-9.39%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2321	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.099358	-9.01%	0.08975	-17.81%	0.0836	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.069592	-1.64%	0.09425	+33.22%	0.3329	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.068246	-1.45%	0.10055	+45.20%	0.4010	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.069675	-2.00%	0.10105	+42.12%	0.3585	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.069098	-2.27%	0.1018	+43.99%	0.3978	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.0652	-0.84%	0.1134	+72.47%	0.5764	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.066039	-0.77%	0.1273	+91.28%	0.6771	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.067223	-0.92%	0.1092	+60.94%	0.5103	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.069801	-1.41%	0.07075	-0.07%	0.0042	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.068803	-1.00%	0.06925	-0.36%	0.0358	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.062102	+1.56%	0.0711	+16.27%	0.0714	✓	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.071438	-0.92%	0.0707	-1.94%	0.1032	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.076767	-1.71%	0.06575	-15.81%	0.0314	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.079772	-1.82%	0.06655	-18.09%	0.0303	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.080742	-1.65%	0.06785	-17.36%	0.0550	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.08544	-2.24%	0.0708	-18.99%	0.0146	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.102238	-4.63%	0.0695	-35.17%	0.1785	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.086774	-1.95%	0.06115	-30.90%	0.0033	✓	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.09452	-3.06%	0.0721	-26.05%	0.0440	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.090007	-2.17%	0.0781	-15.11%	0.0490	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.087744	-2.07%	0.08125	-9.32%	0.0560	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.087259	-3.37%	0.0821	-9.08%	0.0780	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.08681	-3.01%	0.0874	-2.35%	0.1572	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.079862	-1.89%	0.1072	+31.70%	0.3692	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.07912	-1.71%	0.0885	+9.94%	0.1807	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.079396	-1.74%	0.0975	+20.67%	0.2081	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.077929	-1.48%	0.092	+16.31%	0.1549	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.083778	-1.67%	0.0896	+5.16%	0.1250	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.09165	-2.29%	0.0903	-3.73%	0.0806	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.090999	-1.62%	0.0895	-3.24%	0.0633	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.094204	-1.77%	0.0814	-15.12%	0.0660	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.092827	-2.39%	0.0805	-15.35%	0.0611	✓	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.090897	-1.84%	0.0808	-12.74%	0.0161	✓	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.088541	-1.84%	0.0791	-12.31%	0.0170	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.080582	-1.61%	0.0852	+4.03%	0.0379	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.084595	-2.43%	0.0938	+8.19%	0.0666	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.087535	-1.65%	0.0925	+3.93%	0.0082	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.089675	-1.78%	0.0959	+5.04%	0.0032	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.090452	-1.68%	0.0951	+3.37%	0.0158	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.09122	-1.60%	0.0926	-0.11%	0.1024	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.094858	-1.60%	0.0902	-6.43%	0.0848	✓	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.096294	-1.54%	0.0819	-16.26%	0.1050	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.09618	-2.06%	0.0867	-11.71%	0.0901	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.094784	-1.88%	0.089	-7.87%	0.0580	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.092586	-1.82%	0.0913	-3.18%	0.0264	✓	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.088492	-1.78%	0.092	+2.11%	0.0119	✓	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.08581	-1.59%	0.0927	+6.31%	0.0064	✓	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.087687	-1.70%	0.0964	+8.07%	0.0217	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.087498	-2.02%	0.0978	+9.52%	0.0360	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.086842	-1.43%	0.0982	+11.46%	0.0432	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.091361	-2.08%	0.0966	+3.54%	0.0053	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.099231	-4.22%	0.0943	-8.98%	0.1103	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.088353	-2.80%	0.0901	-0.88%	0.0154	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.082453	-1.49%	0.0872	+4.18%	0.0585	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.082518	-1.06%	0.0892	+6.95%	0.0561	✗	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.083262	-1.23%	0.0893	+5.93%	0.1026	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.082843	-1.02%	0.0881	+5.26%	0.0786	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.085564	-1.76%	0.0933	+7.12%	0.0983	✗	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.082997	-1.89%	0.1036	+22.46%	0.2399	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.076093	-1.05%	0.0909	+18.21%	0.1388	✗	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.080952	-0.79%	0.0837	+2.57%	0.0017	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.0855	-0.81%	0.0834	-3.25%	0.0153	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.082533	-0.68%	0.0843	+1.44%	0.0271	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.084437	-0.54%	0.0837	-1.41%	0.0193	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.088763	-0.38%	0.0871	-2.24%	0.0243	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.086427	-0.08%	0.0846	-2.20%	0.0275	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.090594	-0.01%	0.0769	-15.12%	0.0045	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.093552	-0.16%	0.0816	-12.91%	0.0051	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.097998	-0.41%	0.0862	-12.40%	0.0205	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.09365	-0.27%	0.0831	-11.50%	0.0241	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.090413	-0.10%	0.0849	-6.19%	0.0132	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.098865	-0.34%	0.0891	-10.18%	0.1265	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.100057	-0.34%	0.0865	-13.84%	0.1669	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.102592	-0.20%	0.0906	-11.87%	0.1344	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.102182	-0.21%	0.0937	-8.50%	0.0547	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.103631	-0.35%	0.0984	-5.38%	0.0838	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.101514	-0.28%	0.0939	-7.76%	0.1902	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.114845	-1.12%	0.0905	-22.08%	0.2391	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.113596	-0.96%	0.0992	-13.51%	0.0968	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.115771	-1.05%	0.1004	-14.19%	0.1038	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.1198	-1.76%	0.1028	-15.70%	0.1719	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.109587	-1.01%	0.1024	-7.50%	0.1383	✓	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.107055	-0.55%	0.104	-3.39%	0.1279	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.106951	-0.70%	0.1018	-5.48%	0.0012	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.105982	-0.77%	0.11615	+8.75%	0.0010	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.104133	-0.45%	0.1147	+9.66%	0.0664	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.109809	-0.94%	0.117	+5.55%	0.0905	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.125023	-2.89%	0.12195	-5.28%	0.1472	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.118047	-1.13%	0.1107	-7.29%	0.0358	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.117491	-1.06%	0.10765	-9.35%	0.0751	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.11737	-1.20%	0.1077	-9.34%	0.0260	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.118808	-1.24%	0.1068	-11.22%	0.1092	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.123509	-1.39%	0.1046	-16.49%	0.1538	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.119368	-0.98%	0.11085	-8.05%	0.2043	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.122627	-1.15%	0.12875	+3.79%	0.4461	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.125106	-1.10%	0.1194	-5.61%	0.2544	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.12228	-0.87%	0.11875	-3.73%	0.2676	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.131363	-0.86%	0.1188	-10.34%	0.3048	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.129907	-1.44%	0.1203	-8.73%	0.2314	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.129749	-0.99%	0.12525	-4.43%	0.1663	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.131317	-1.30%	0.12055	-9.39%	0.1730	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.116159	-0.34%	0.12405	+6.44%	0.1134	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.119065	-0.11%	0.1265	+6.12%	0.1232	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.116178	+0.24%	0.12335	+6.43%	0.0164	✓	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.122733	+0.31%	0.1325	+8.30%	0.0931	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.137954	+0.18%	0.1318	-4.28%	0.1197	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.137209	+0.45%	0.13105	-4.06%	0.1781	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.135458	+0.60%	0.13305	-1.19%	0.1642	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.13802	+0.71%	0.11655	-14.96%	0.0389	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.15539	+0.28%	0.1192	-23.07%	0.0869	✗	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.159563	+0.39%	0.1159	-27.08%	0.0123	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.163084	+0.30%	0.12235	-24.75%	0.0747	✗	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.173731	-0.18%	0.1377	-20.88%	0.1216	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.170256	-0.03%	0.1366	-19.79%	0.1742	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.172094	-0.09%	0.13465	-21.83%	0.2026	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.16664	+0.17%	0.13705	-17.61%	0.1431	✗	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.160521	+0.51%	0.15495	-2.97%	0.1066	✗	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.168151	+0.36%	0.15895	-5.13%	0.1869	✗	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.180204	-0.30%	0.1626	-10.04%	0.2019	✓	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.180579	-0.15%	0.17405	-3.76%	0.2009	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.175317	+0.07%	0.1703	-2.80%	0.1561	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.173872	+0.42%	0.17225	-0.52%	0.1399	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.177821	+0.27%	0.16635	-6.20%	0.1214	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.185028	+0.26%	0.1597	-13.47%	0.0541	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.196036	-0.06%	0.16755	-14.58%	0.0227	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.20926	-0.52%	0.18075	-14.07%	0.0154	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.193616	+0.03%	0.18085	-6.56%	0.1102	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.176505	+1.32%	0.1752	+0.57%	0.0944	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.195248	+0.49%	0.17315	-10.89%	0.0641	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.304245	-1.20%	0.17735	-42.41%	0.2678	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.317579	-1.40%	0.18455	-42.70%	0.2982	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.308189	-1.35%	0.19615	-37.21%	0.2600	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.333335	-1.67%	0.21035	-37.95%	0.2486	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.31453	-1.83%	0.19355	-39.59%	0.2970	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.321131	-1.31%	0.1742	-46.47%	0.3404	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.330522	-1.79%	0.1943	-42.27%	0.3164	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.331922	-2.98%	0.30795	-9.98%	0.0996	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.317701	-1.91%	0.3221	-0.56%	0.0926	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.307257	-1.19%	0.3124	+0.47%	0.1604	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.308326	-1.21%	0.339	+8.62%	0.1631	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.315314	-1.48%	0.3204	+0.11%	0.2788	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.304216	-1.21%	0.3254	+5.67%	0.2729	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.307802	-1.55%	0.33655	+7.64%	0.2468	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.295723	-1.08%	0.3421	+14.43%	0.1653	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.32036	-1.31%	0.3239	-0.22%	0.1340	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.314261	-1.05%	0.31095	-2.09%	0.0682	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.322062	-1.13%	0.3121	-4.19%	0.0760	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.35672	-1.40%	0.32005	-11.54%	0.0249	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.362969	-1.55%	0.30795	-16.48%	0.0000	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.36474	-1.91%	0.31265	-15.92%	0.0085	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.38608	-2.62%	0.29895	-24.59%	0.0378	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.