INIT

Initia · Initia · beta_5y

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0363

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0049

actual -0.0009

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.12835	0.127264	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.125736	-0.80%	0.12835	+0.75%	0.0140	✗	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.126164	-0.81%	0.12675	-0.35%	0.0064	✓	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.122784	-0.70%	0.1272	+2.87%	0.0272	✗	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.125097	-0.76%	0.12365	-1.90%	0.0104	✓	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.12336	-0.68%	0.12605	+1.49%	0.0169	✗	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.1248	-0.64%	0.1242	-1.11%	0.0039	✓	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.139665	-1.26%	0.1256	-11.21%	0.1018	✓	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.12575	-0.79%	0.14145	+11.60%	0.1138	✗	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.12288	-0.82%	0.12675	+2.30%	0.0420	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.119615	-0.94%	0.1239	+2.61%	0.0255	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.116937	-0.65%	0.12075	+2.59%	0.0462	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.116764	-0.88%	0.1177	-0.08%	0.0022	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.109118	-0.53%	0.1178	+7.38%	0.0738	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.113667	-0.77%	0.1097	-4.23%	0.0422	✓	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.11617	-0.71%	0.11455	-2.09%	0.0019	✓	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.11222	-0.51%	0.117	+3.72%	0.0598	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.11787	-0.70%	0.1128	-4.97%	0.0423	✓	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.116742	-0.77%	0.1187	+0.89%	0.0227	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.111826	-0.91%	0.11765	+4.25%	0.0369	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.109125	-0.93%	0.11285	+2.45%	0.0317	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.104315	-0.70%	0.11015	+4.85%	0.0572	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.102701	-0.96%	0.10505	+1.30%	0.0122	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.101449	-1.46%	0.1037	+0.73%	0.0226	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.088892	-0.90%	0.10295	+14.77%	0.1453	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.089077	-0.69%	0.0897	+0.00%	0.0155	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.093534	-0.71%	0.0897	-4.78%	0.0422	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.09898	-0.87%	0.0942	-5.66%	0.0523	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.098823	-1.08%	0.09985	-0.05%	0.0129	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.088025	-0.76%	0.0999	+12.63%	0.1265	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.08931	-0.99%	0.0887	-1.66%	0.0091	✓	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.081695	-1.16%	0.0902	+9.13%	0.1029	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.073203	-0.54%	0.08265	+12.30%	0.0755	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.07536	-0.58%	0.0736	-2.90%	0.0230	✓	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.075626	-0.62%	0.0758	-0.39%	0.0009	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.075324	-0.89%	0.0761	+0.13%	0.0349	✓	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.068101	-0.29%	0.076	+11.27%	0.1077	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.067022	-0.27%	0.0683	+1.64%	0.0133	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.069522	-0.26%	0.0672	-3.59%	0.0089	✓	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.064802	+0.08%	0.0697	+7.64%	0.0604	✓	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.069925	-0.18%	0.06475	-7.57%	0.0728	✓	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.070059	-0.20%	0.07005	-0.21%	0.0006	✓	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.069807	-0.42%	0.0702	+0.14%	0.0002	✓	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.066058	+0.01%	0.0701	+6.13%	0.0757	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.065931	+0.05%	0.06605	+0.23%	0.0034	✓	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.067398	-0.00%	0.0659	-2.23%	0.0163	✓	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.067575	+0.04%	0.0674	-0.22%	0.0094	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.067637	-0.09%	0.06755	-0.22%	0.0061	✓	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.063488	+0.14%	0.0677	+6.78%	0.0628	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.062029	+0.29%	0.0634	+2.51%	0.0372	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.061261	+0.02%	0.06185	+0.98%	0.0326	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059356	+0.01%	0.06125	+3.20%	0.0324	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.058765	-0.06%	0.05935	+0.94%	0.0220	✗	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.054353	+0.10%	0.0588	+8.29%	0.0683	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.056987	-0.11%	0.0543	-4.82%	0.0418	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.053585	-0.03%	0.05705	+6.44%	0.0582	✗	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.054632	-0.03%	0.0536	-1.92%	0.0085	✗	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.054599	-0.19%	0.05465	-0.09%	0.0131	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.053578	-0.23%	0.0547	+1.86%	0.0150	✗	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.054284	-0.30%	0.0537	-1.38%	0.0052	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.056436	-0.64%	0.05445	-4.14%	0.0519	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.055201	-0.45%	0.0568	+2.43%	0.0198	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.057294	-0.79%	0.05545	-3.98%	0.0165	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054534	-0.58%	0.05775	+5.29%	0.0148	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.053038	-0.59%	0.05485	+2.81%	0.0229	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.050907	-0.47%	0.05335	+4.30%	0.0329	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.051111	-0.46%	0.05115	-0.39%	0.0029	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.050646	-0.50%	0.05135	+0.88%	0.0166	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.051274	-0.44%	0.0509	-1.17%	0.0039	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.050921	-0.55%	0.0515	+0.59%	0.0105	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.051321	-0.54%	0.0512	-0.78%	0.0061	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.050982	-0.43%	0.0516	+0.78%	0.0118	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.052112	-0.55%	0.0512	-2.29%	0.0154	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.052303	-0.47%	0.0524	-0.29%	0.0090	✗	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.053341	-0.67%	0.05255	-2.14%	0.0021	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.052673	-0.80%	0.0537	+1.13%	0.0204	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.050871	-0.45%	0.0531	+3.91%	0.0426	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.050584	-0.52%	0.0511	+0.49%	0.0009	✓	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.050398	-0.50%	0.05085	+0.39%	0.0148	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.049108	-0.59%	0.05065	+2.53%	0.0218	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.04959	-0.42%	0.0494	-0.80%	0.0139	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.049869	-0.46%	0.0498	-0.60%	0.0008	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.051133	-0.52%	0.0501	-2.53%	0.0333	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.049097	-0.51%	0.0514	+4.15%	0.0469	✗	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.048188	-0.44%	0.04935	+1.96%	0.0581	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.047939	-0.33%	0.0484	+0.62%	0.0049	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.049138	-0.43%	0.0481	-2.53%	0.0222	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.050731	-0.33%	0.04935	-3.05%	0.0303	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.054182	-0.40%	0.0509	-6.43%	0.0347	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.05515	-0.45%	0.0544	-1.81%	0.0314	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.054847	-0.46%	0.0554	+0.54%	0.0064	✗	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.055435	-0.65%	0.0551	-1.25%	0.0104	✗	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.05525	-0.63%	0.0558	+0.36%	0.0269	✗	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.054833	-0.57%	0.0556	+0.82%	0.0209	✗	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.053624	-0.70%	0.05515	+2.13%	0.0074	✗	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.052192	-0.30%	0.054	+3.15%	0.0257	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.052551	-0.28%	0.05235	-0.66%	0.0019	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.052409	-0.27%	0.0527	+0.29%	0.0097	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052861	-0.26%	0.05255	-0.85%	0.0080	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.054357	-0.26%	0.053	-2.75%	0.0096	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054716	-0.24%	0.0545	-0.64%	0.0006	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.053265	-0.25%	0.05485	+2.72%	0.0183	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.055065	-0.24%	0.0534	-3.26%	0.0047	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.056096	-0.27%	0.0552	-1.87%	0.0155	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056783	-0.29%	0.05625	-1.23%	0.0032	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.055353	-0.27%	0.05695	+2.61%	0.0117	✗	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054566	-0.24%	0.0555	+1.46%	0.0001	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054883	-0.21%	0.0547	-0.55%	0.0162	✗	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.057202	-0.26%	0.055	-4.10%	0.0274	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.05783	-0.29%	0.05735	-1.12%	0.0150	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.058217	-0.31%	0.058	-0.68%	0.0117	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.05811	-0.33%	0.0584	+0.17%	0.0038	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.056912	-0.33%	0.0583	+2.10%	0.0079	✗	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.057158	-0.42%	0.0571	-0.52%	0.0259	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.052262	-0.26%	0.0574	+9.54%	0.0715	✗	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.053419	-0.25%	0.0524	-2.15%	0.0063	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051937	-0.22%	0.05355	+2.88%	0.0203	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052389	-0.21%	0.05205	-0.86%	0.0003	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054978	-0.31%	0.0525	-4.81%	0.0451	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.05166	-0.17%	0.05515	+6.57%	0.0610	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.053309	-0.17%	0.05175	-3.09%	0.0103	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.058999	-0.34%	0.0534	-9.80%	0.0781	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.058284	-0.37%	0.0592	+1.20%	0.0323	✗	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.055574	-0.23%	0.0585	+5.03%	0.0425	✗	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.0568	-0.26%	0.0557	-2.19%	0.0070	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057692	-0.27%	0.05695	-1.56%	0.0224	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.059427	-0.37%	0.05785	-3.02%	0.0347	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.059571	-0.38%	0.05965	-0.25%	0.0219	✗	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.060028	-0.45%	0.0598	-0.83%	0.0116	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.058471	-0.39%	0.0603	+2.73%	0.0399	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.059411	-0.48%	0.0587	-1.68%	0.0198	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.058585	-0.45%	0.0597	+1.44%	0.0019	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.059779	-0.78%	0.05885	-2.32%	0.0278	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.057704	-0.51%	0.06025	+3.88%	0.0435	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054292	-0.38%	0.058	+6.42%	0.0378	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056578	-0.65%	0.0545	-4.30%	0.0342	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.057756	-0.59%	0.05695	-1.98%	0.0045	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.05411	-0.17%	0.0581	+7.20%	0.0744	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.053153	-0.09%	0.0542	+1.88%	0.0140	✓	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.055333	-0.12%	0.0532	-3.97%	0.0367	✓	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.058483	-0.20%	0.0554	-5.46%	0.0166	✓	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.064688	-0.48%	0.0586	-9.85%	0.0962	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.06364	-0.41%	0.065	+1.72%	0.0509	✗	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.071135	-1.20%	0.0639	-11.25%	0.0778	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.072909	-1.47%	0.072	-2.70%	0.0004	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.067896	-1.17%	0.074	+7.71%	0.0874	✗	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.062661	-0.22%	0.0687	+9.39%	0.0893	✗	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.063089	-0.18%	0.0628	-0.63%	0.0036	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.066928	-0.33%	0.0632	-5.88%	0.0523	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.077362	-0.50%	0.06715	-13.63%	0.1339	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.081191	-0.62%	0.07775	-4.83%	0.0372	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.080817	-0.59%	0.0817	+0.49%	0.0097	✗	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.082467	-0.64%	0.0813	-2.05%	0.0158	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.080476	-0.52%	0.083	+2.60%	0.0250	✗	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.085446	-0.64%	0.0809	-5.93%	0.0453	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.084417	-0.69%	0.086	+1.18%	0.0183	✗	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.08266	-0.47%	0.085	+2.35%	0.0248	✗	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.08391	-0.46%	0.08305	-1.48%	0.0094	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.083918	-0.39%	0.0843	+0.06%	0.0071	✗	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.084957	-0.34%	0.08425	-1.17%	0.0045	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.088147	-0.34%	0.08525	-3.62%	0.0304	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.094558	-0.41%	0.08845	-6.85%	0.0614	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.097232	-0.48%	0.09495	-2.81%	0.0282	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.103561	-0.61%	0.0977	-6.24%	0.0557	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.101531	-0.46%	0.1042	+2.16%	0.0279	✗	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.104671	-0.50%	0.102	-3.04%	0.0251	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.109925	-0.79%	0.1052	-5.05%	0.0469	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.101832	-0.55%	0.1108	+8.20%	0.0836	✗	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.108568	-1.26%	0.1024	-6.87%	0.0588	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.09913	-0.72%	0.10995	+10.12%	0.1104	✗	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.090237	-0.40%	0.09985	+10.21%	0.0974	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.089606	-0.44%	0.0906	+0.67%	0.0030	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.088647	-0.40%	0.09	+1.12%	0.0050	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.088782	-0.36%	0.089	-0.11%	0.0034	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.090166	-0.37%	0.0891	-1.55%	0.0155	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.090496	-0.44%	0.0905	-0.44%	0.0189	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.090514	-0.42%	0.0909	+0.00%	0.0012	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.094083	-0.60%	0.0909	-3.96%	0.0286	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.089988	-0.40%	0.09465	+4.76%	0.0613	✗	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.090338	-0.40%	0.09035	-0.39%	0.0135	✗	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.088861	-0.44%	0.0907	+1.62%	0.0101	✗	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.092282	-0.61%	0.08925	-3.88%	0.0353	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.08485	-0.29%	0.09285	+9.11%	0.0984	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.088201	-0.34%	0.0851	-3.84%	0.0365	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.089561	-0.38%	0.0885	-1.56%	0.0312	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.094152	-0.53%	0.0899	-5.02%	0.0514	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.088005	-0.45%	0.09465	+7.07%	0.0506	✗	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.093343	-0.80%	0.0884	-6.06%	0.0336	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.089957	-0.49%	0.0941	+4.09%	0.0596	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.086469	-0.50%	0.0904	+4.03%	0.0238	✗	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.083058	-0.47%	0.0869	+4.13%	0.0417	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.079786	-0.39%	0.08345	+4.18%	0.0378	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.079393	-0.39%	0.0801	+0.50%	0.0117	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.076223	-0.36%	0.0797	+4.18%	0.0021	✓	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.082221	-0.46%	0.0765	-7.38%	0.0458	✓	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.08328	-0.50%	0.0826	-1.31%	0.0092	✓	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.079862	-0.42%	0.0837	+4.36%	0.0336	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.081651	-0.49%	0.0802	-2.25%	0.0260	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.081515	-0.47%	0.08205	+0.18%	0.0159	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.084353	-0.82%	0.0819	-3.70%	0.0667	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.079282	-0.52%	0.08505	+6.71%	0.0721	✗	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.081444	-0.56%	0.0797	-2.69%	0.0433	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.081967	-0.65%	0.0819	-0.73%	0.0051	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.079744	-0.75%	0.0825	+2.68%	0.0331	✗	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.078106	-0.57%	0.08035	+2.29%	0.0442	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.074992	-0.54%	0.07855	+4.18%	0.0478	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.076603	-0.52%	0.0754	-2.08%	0.0355	✓	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.077676	-0.54%	0.077	-1.41%	0.0193	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.079058	-0.56%	0.0781	-1.76%	0.0073	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.07654	-0.47%	0.0795	+3.38%	0.0384	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.082873	-0.63%	0.0769	-7.79%	0.0441	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.081503	-0.61%	0.0834	+1.71%	0.0550	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.083833	-1.14%	0.082	-3.30%	0.0317	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.080217	-0.60%	0.0848	+5.08%	0.0599	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.076251	-0.58%	0.0807	+5.22%	0.0181	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.07665	-0.45%	0.0767	-0.39%	0.0145	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.079269	-0.42%	0.077	-3.27%	0.0090	✓	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.081171	-0.40%	0.0796	-2.33%	0.0268	✓	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.085134	-0.43%	0.0815	-4.68%	0.0266	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.09223	-0.61%	0.0855	-7.87%	0.0429	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.089507	-0.44%	0.0928	+3.23%	0.0477	✗	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.091442	-0.61%	0.0899	-2.28%	0.0427	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.090858	-0.70%	0.092	+0.55%	0.0082	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.084106	-0.47%	0.0915	+8.28%	0.0805	✗	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.08886	-0.83%	0.0845	-5.69%	0.0558	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.088837	-0.74%	0.0896	+0.11%	0.0042	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.083933	-0.55%	0.0895	+6.04%	0.0609	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.080899	-0.49%	0.0844	+3.81%	0.0217	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.08066	-0.54%	0.0813	+0.25%	0.0273	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.08403	-0.67%	0.0811	-4.14%	0.0169	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.085977	-1.29%	0.0846	-2.87%	0.0044	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.080655	-0.43%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.1164	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.078637	-0.33%	0.081	+2.66%	0.0546	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.083213	-0.58%	0.0789	-5.73%	0.1212	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.07987	-0.54%	0.0837	+4.23%	0.0547	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.075103	-0.39%	0.0803	+6.50%	0.0191	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.079285	-0.46%	0.0754	-5.34%	0.0306	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.080584	-0.51%	0.07965	-1.67%	0.0300	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.081293	-0.50%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0233	✗	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.08137	-0.46%	0.0817	-0.06%	0.0122	✗	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.081498	-0.49%	0.08175	-0.18%	0.0668	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.085025	-0.56%	0.0819	-4.21%	0.0273	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.089189	-0.63%	0.0855	-4.74%	0.0106	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.093564	-0.73%	0.08975	-4.77%	0.0358	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.0995	-1.04%	0.09425	-6.27%	0.0537	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.100012	-1.03%	0.10055	-0.49%	0.0121	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.100453	-1.32%	0.10105	-0.74%	0.0040	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.111241	-1.90%	0.1018	-10.23%	0.0717	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.122514	-3.76%	0.1134	-10.92%	0.0556	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.105171	-3.69%	0.1273	+16.58%	0.1899	✗	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.070439	-0.44%	0.1092	+54.35%	0.4544	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.068963	-0.42%	0.07075	+2.17%	0.0099	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.070626	-0.67%	0.06925	-2.60%	0.0643	✓	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.070115	-0.83%	0.0711	+0.57%	0.0279	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.065574	-0.27%	0.0707	+7.53%	0.1058	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.06639	-0.24%	0.06575	-1.20%	0.0121	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.067653	-0.29%	0.06655	-1.92%	0.0135	✓	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.070462	-0.48%	0.06785	-4.17%	0.0554	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.06928	-0.32%	0.0708	+1.87%	0.0435	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.061262	+0.18%	0.0695	+13.65%	0.0139	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.071924	-0.24%	0.06115	-15.19%	0.0382	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.077736	-0.47%	0.0721	-7.68%	0.0287	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.080881	-0.45%	0.0781	-3.88%	0.0160	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.081774	-0.40%	0.08125	-1.04%	0.0366	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.086854	-0.62%	0.0821	-6.06%	0.0256	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.105398	-1.68%	0.0874	-18.47%	0.1081	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.088052	-0.51%	0.1072	+21.13%	0.2024	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.096465	-1.06%	0.0885	-9.23%	0.0255	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.091394	-0.66%	0.0975	+5.98%	0.0641	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.089027	-0.64%	0.092	+2.68%	0.0216	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.089175	-1.25%	0.0896	-0.78%	0.0179	✓	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.088563	-1.05%	0.0903	+0.89%	0.0541	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.080959	-0.54%	0.0895	+9.95%	0.1056	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.080122	-0.47%	0.0814	+1.12%	0.0157	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.080426	-0.46%	0.0805	-0.37%	0.0004	✓	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.078813	-0.36%	0.0808	+2.15%	0.0104	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.084813	-0.45%	0.0791	-7.16%	0.0128	✓	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.093043	-0.81%	0.0852	-9.17%	0.0740	✓	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.092022	-0.52%	0.0938	+1.41%	0.0382	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.095302	-0.62%	0.0925	-3.55%	0.0248	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.094197	-0.95%	0.0959	+0.84%	0.0190	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.091957	-0.69%	0.0951	+2.70%	0.0513	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.089645	-0.62%	0.0926	+2.66%	0.0121	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.081542	-0.44%	0.0902	+10.13%	0.0471	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.08596	-0.85%	0.0819	-5.54%	0.0526	✓	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.08861	-0.44%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0286	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.09085	-0.49%	0.089	-2.52%	0.0185	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.09154	-0.50%	0.0913	-0.76%	0.0050	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.09228	-0.45%	0.092	-0.76%	0.0024	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.095865	-0.56%	0.0927	-3.84%	0.0182	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.097283	-0.53%	0.0964	-1.43%	0.0060	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.097482	-0.73%	0.0978	-0.41%	0.0483	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.095998	-0.62%	0.0982	+1.66%	0.0028	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.093748	-0.59%	0.0966	+2.44%	0.0157	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.089594	-0.56%	0.0943	+4.66%	0.0239	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.086777	-0.49%	0.0901	+3.33%	0.0098	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.088696	-0.57%	0.0872	-2.24%	0.0034	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.088663	-0.71%	0.0892	-0.11%	0.0229	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.087687	-0.47%	0.0893	+1.36%	0.0355	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.092574	-0.78%	0.0881	-5.57%	0.0511	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.101686	-1.85%	0.0933	-9.94%	0.0976	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.089857	-1.15%	0.1036	+13.97%	0.1395	✗	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.08325	-0.54%	0.0909	+8.60%	0.0978	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.083102	-0.36%	0.0837	+0.36%	0.0031	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.083915	-0.46%	0.0834	-1.07%	0.0192	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.083379	-0.38%	0.0843	+0.72%	0.0128	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.086483	-0.71%	0.0837	-3.90%	0.0399	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.083914	-0.81%	0.0871	+2.96%	0.0320	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.076594	-0.40%	0.0846	+10.01%	0.0397	✗	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.08137	-0.28%	0.0769	-5.76%	0.0393	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.085936	-0.31%	0.0816	-5.34%	0.0144	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.082885	-0.26%	0.0862	+3.73%	0.0067	✗	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.084696	-0.24%	0.0831	-2.12%	0.0210	✗	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.088899	-0.23%	0.0849	-4.71%	0.0006	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.086368	-0.15%	0.0891	+3.01%	0.0316	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.090479	-0.13%	0.0865	-4.53%	0.0046	✗	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.093543	-0.17%	0.0906	-3.31%	0.0430	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.098162	-0.24%	0.0937	-4.78%	0.0323	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.093709	-0.20%	0.0984	+4.79%	0.0045	✗	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.090336	-0.18%	0.0939	+3.76%	0.0332	✗	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.098995	-0.21%	0.0905	-8.77%	0.1155	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.100195	-0.20%	0.0992	-1.20%	0.0082	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.102607	-0.19%	0.1004	-2.33%	0.0413	✗	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.102206	-0.19%	0.1028	+0.39%	0.0365	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.103759	-0.23%	0.1024	-1.54%	0.0627	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.101625	-0.17%	0.104	+2.16%	0.1054	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.115706	-0.38%	0.1018	-12.35%	0.0240	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.114328	-0.32%	0.11615	+1.26%	0.0271	✗	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.116567	-0.37%	0.1147	-1.97%	0.0143	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.121192	-0.62%	0.117	-4.06%	0.0251	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.1103	-0.36%	0.12195	+10.16%	0.0802	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.107384	-0.25%	0.1107	+2.83%	0.0481	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.107413	-0.27%	0.10765	-0.05%	0.0261	✗	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.106485	-0.30%	0.1077	+0.84%	0.0262	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.104385	-0.21%	0.1068	+2.10%	0.0348	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.110428	-0.38%	0.1046	-5.64%	0.0437	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.127266	-1.15%	0.11085	-13.90%	0.0992	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.118969	-0.36%	0.12875	+7.83%	0.2231	✗	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.118363	-0.33%	0.1194	+0.55%	0.0500	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.118364	-0.37%	0.11875	-0.04%	0.0199	✓	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.119851	-0.37%	0.1188	-1.25%	0.0504	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.1247	-0.44%	0.1203	-3.95%	0.0021	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.120172	-0.31%	0.12525	+3.90%	0.0124	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.123544	-0.41%	0.12055	-2.82%	0.1242	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.125963	-0.42%	0.12405	-1.94%	0.0421	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.122921	-0.35%	0.1265	+2.55%	0.0673	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.131983	-0.39%	0.12335	-6.91%	0.0144	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.130956	-0.64%	0.1325	+0.53%	0.0238	✓	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.130574	-0.36%	0.1318	+0.57%	0.0595	✓	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.132387	-0.50%	0.13105	-1.50%	0.0181	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.116391	-0.14%	0.13305	+14.16%	0.0781	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.119052	-0.12%	0.11655	-2.22%	0.0513	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.115853	-0.04%	0.1192	+2.85%	0.0390	✓	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.122312	-0.03%	0.1159	-5.27%	0.0947	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.13755	-0.11%	0.12235	-11.15%	0.0055	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.13652	-0.06%	0.1377	+0.81%	0.0048	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.134665	+0.01%	0.1366	+1.45%	0.0003	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.137104	+0.04%	0.13465	-1.75%	0.0536	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.154832	-0.08%	0.13705	-11.55%	0.0732	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.158836	-0.07%	0.15495	-2.52%	0.0554	✗	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.162475	-0.08%	0.15895	-2.24%	0.0105	✗	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.173688	-0.21%	0.1626	-6.58%	0.0534	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.170071	-0.13%	0.17405	+2.20%	0.0575	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.171988	-0.15%	0.1703	-1.13%	0.0276	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.166215	-0.08%	0.17225	+3.55%	0.0091	✗	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.159697	-0.00%	0.16635	+4.16%	0.0329	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.167525	-0.01%	0.1597	-4.69%	0.0250	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.180448	-0.17%	0.16755	-7.30%	0.0104	✓	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.180633	-0.12%	0.18075	-0.06%	0.0532	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.175048	-0.09%	0.18085	+3.22%	0.0098	✓	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.173154	+0.00%	0.1752	+1.18%	0.0099	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.177307	-0.02%	0.17315	-2.37%	0.0266	✗	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.184594	+0.02%	0.17735	-3.90%	0.0352	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.196066	-0.04%	0.18455	-5.91%	0.0034	✗	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.210047	-0.14%	0.19615	-6.75%	0.0077	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.193541	-0.00%	0.21035	+8.68%	0.0777	✗	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.17468	+0.28%	0.19355	+11.11%	0.0161	✗	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.194558	+0.13%	0.1742	-10.34%	0.0491	✗	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.306875	-0.35%	0.1943	-36.91%	0.2852	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.320648	-0.45%	0.30795	-4.39%	0.0101	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.311092	-0.42%	0.3221	+3.10%	0.0082	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.337021	-0.58%	0.3124	-7.85%	0.0032	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.318117	-0.71%	0.339	+5.81%	0.0379	✗	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.323863	-0.47%	0.3204	-1.54%	0.0341	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.33411	-0.72%	0.3254	-3.31%	0.0295	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.337644	-1.30%	0.33655	-1.62%	0.0415	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.321583	-0.72%	0.3421	+5.62%	0.0168	✗	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.309847	-0.35%	0.3239	+4.16%	0.0679	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.310897	-0.39%	0.31095	-0.37%	0.0079	✗	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.318524	-0.48%	0.3121	-2.48%	0.0790	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.306707	-0.40%	0.32005	+3.93%	0.0274	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.311099	-0.50%	0.30795	-1.50%	0.0097	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.298013	-0.31%	0.31265	+4.58%	0.0293	✗	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.323318	-0.39%	0.29895	-7.90%	0.0444	✗	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.316608	-0.31%	0.3246	+2.20%	0.0126	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.324654	-0.34%	0.3176	-2.50%	0.0021	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.360285	-0.42%	0.32575	-9.96%	0.0319	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.367021	-0.46%	0.3618	-1.87%	0.0019	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.369636	-0.60%	0.3687	-0.85%	0.0042	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.392909	-0.89%	0.37185	-6.21%	0.0177	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.