INIT

Initia · Initia · beta_5y

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2024

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0324

actual -0.0121

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.12835	0.117162	-8.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.115555	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.116049	-8.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.113292	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.11545	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.113983	-8.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.115286	-8.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.12769	-9.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.115863	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.113725	-8.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.110544	-8.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.108887	-7.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.108464	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.101634	-7.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.105241	-8.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.107995	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.105786	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.110801	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.109782	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.104514	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.101909	-7.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.097055	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.094616	-8.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.09282	-9.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.082124	-8.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.082408	-8.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.086226	-8.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.090562	-9.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.090322	-9.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.081377	-8.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.0826	-8.43%	0.12835	+42.29%	0.4581	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.076777	-7.11%	0.12675	+53.36%	0.5397	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.069193	-5.99%	0.1272	+72.83%	0.5935	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.071025	-6.30%	0.12365	+63.13%	0.5491	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.071492	-6.06%	0.12605	+65.64%	0.5571	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.070577	-7.14%	0.1242	+63.42%	0.5151	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.06506	-4.74%	0.1256	+83.89%	0.6052	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.064561	-3.93%	0.14145	+110.49%	0.7214	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.066578	-4.48%	0.12675	+81.85%	0.6123	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.063088	-2.57%	0.1239	+91.35%	0.6197	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.067195	-4.08%	0.12075	+72.38%	0.5479	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.067712	-3.54%	0.1177	+67.66%	0.4983	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.06756	-3.62%	0.1178	+68.05%	0.5026	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.064704	-2.04%	0.1097	+66.09%	0.4897	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.064922	-1.48%	0.11455	+73.82%	0.5371	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.066472	-1.38%	0.117	+73.59%	0.5262	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.067452	-0.15%	0.1128	+66.99%	0.4660	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.068499	+1.18%	0.1187	+75.33%	0.4958	✓	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.064818	+2.24%	0.11765	+85.57%	0.5349	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.064348	+4.04%	0.11285	+82.46%	0.5291	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.063262	+3.29%	0.11015	+79.84%	0.4793	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.062281	+4.94%	0.10505	+77.00%	0.4433	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.062772	+6.75%	0.1037	+76.36%	0.4519	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.058172	+7.13%	0.10295	+89.59%	0.5042	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.06086	+6.68%	0.0897	+57.23%	0.3305	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.057399	+7.09%	0.0897	+67.35%	0.3750	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.059465	+8.81%	0.0942	+72.37%	0.4151	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.05866	+7.24%	0.09985	+82.54%	0.4761	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.057766	+7.57%	0.0999	+86.03%	0.4823	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.058777	+7.95%	0.0887	+62.90%	0.3472	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.059929	+5.51%	0.0902	+58.80%	0.3048	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.058196	+4.95%	0.08265	+49.05%	0.2338	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.061047	+5.71%	0.0736	+27.45%	0.1517	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.055671	+1.50%	0.0758	+38.20%	0.1992	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.052973	-0.71%	0.0761	+42.64%	0.1949	✗	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.049821	-2.60%	0.076	+48.58%	0.2305	✗	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.049915	-2.79%	0.0683	+33.01%	0.1201	✗	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.049087	-3.56%	0.0672	+32.02%	0.0959	✗	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.049567	-3.75%	0.0697	+35.34%	0.0866	✗	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.04914	-4.02%	0.06475	+26.46%	0.0419	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.049474	-4.12%	0.07005	+35.76%	0.1137	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.0491	-4.10%	0.0702	+37.11%	0.1183	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.050068	-4.45%	0.0701	+33.78%	0.1185	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.050298	-4.29%	0.06605	+25.69%	0.0311	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.051395	-4.29%	0.0659	+22.72%	0.0257	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.050692	-4.53%	0.0674	+26.93%	0.0532	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.049057	-4.00%	0.06755	+32.19%	0.0811	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.048589	-4.45%	0.0677	+33.14%	0.0845	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.048596	-4.06%	0.0634	+25.17%	0.0288	✓	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.047273	-4.31%	0.06185	+25.20%	0.0163	✓	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.047611	-4.39%	0.06125	+22.99%	0.0358	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.047921	-4.35%	0.05935	+18.46%	0.0025	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.048897	-4.87%	0.0588	+14.40%	0.0643	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.047174	-4.41%	0.0543	+10.03%	0.0937	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.046911	-3.08%	0.05705	+17.87%	0.0230	✓	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.046505	-3.32%	0.0536	+11.43%	0.0810	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.047612	-3.52%	0.05465	+10.74%	0.1210	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.049225	-3.29%	0.0547	+7.47%	0.1403	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.052678	-3.17%	0.0537	-1.29%	0.1806	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.053355	-3.69%	0.05445	-1.71%	0.2056	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.053304	-3.26%	0.0568	+3.09%	0.1488	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.054281	-2.72%	0.05545	-0.63%	0.1645	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.054572	-1.85%	0.05775	+3.87%	0.1267	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.054446	-1.28%	0.05485	-0.54%	0.0930	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.053025	-1.80%	0.05335	-1.20%	0.0573	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.051781	-1.09%	0.05115	-2.29%	0.0122	✓	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.052134	-1.07%	0.05135	-2.56%	0.0099	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.051989	-1.07%	0.0509	-3.14%	0.0030	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.05249	-0.96%	0.0515	-2.83%	0.0065	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.054165	-0.62%	0.0512	-6.06%	0.0272	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054747	-0.19%	0.0516	-5.93%	0.0330	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.052886	-0.96%	0.0512	-4.12%	0.0527	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.054906	-0.53%	0.0524	-5.07%	0.0431	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.055769	-0.86%	0.05255	-6.58%	0.0618	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056328	-1.09%	0.0537	-5.71%	0.0603	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.054937	-1.01%	0.0531	-4.32%	0.0643	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054163	-0.98%	0.0511	-6.58%	0.1055	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054614	-0.70%	0.05085	-7.55%	0.0881	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.056686	-1.16%	0.05065	-11.68%	0.1230	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057116	-1.52%	0.0494	-14.83%	0.1525	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.057342	-1.81%	0.0498	-14.73%	0.1471	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.057274	-1.76%	0.0501	-14.07%	0.1490	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.056163	-1.64%	0.0514	-9.98%	0.1086	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.056063	-2.33%	0.04935	-14.02%	0.1739	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.051694	-1.35%	0.0484	-7.63%	0.1583	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.053073	-0.89%	0.0481	-10.18%	0.1540	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.05168	-0.71%	0.04935	-5.19%	0.1092	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052148	-0.67%	0.0509	-3.05%	0.0778	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054328	-1.49%	0.0544	-1.36%	0.0739	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051484	-0.51%	0.0554	+7.05%	0.0087	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.053114	-0.54%	0.0551	+3.18%	0.0085	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.057902	-2.19%	0.0558	-5.74%	0.0673	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057266	-2.11%	0.0556	-4.96%	0.0561	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.054994	-1.27%	0.05515	-0.99%	0.0370	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056057	-1.57%	0.054	-5.18%	0.0497	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.056742	-1.91%	0.05235	-9.51%	0.0958	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.058026	-2.72%	0.0527	-11.65%	0.1212	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.058071	-2.89%	0.05255	-12.12%	0.0927	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.058248	-3.40%	0.053	-12.11%	0.0700	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.057016	-2.87%	0.0545	-7.16%	0.0235	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.05771	-3.33%	0.05485	-8.12%	0.0410	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.057022	-3.11%	0.0534	-9.26%	0.0361	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.057805	-4.06%	0.0552	-8.38%	0.0489	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.056126	-3.23%	0.05625	-3.02%	0.0007	✓	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.053351	-2.11%	0.05695	+4.50%	0.0296	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.054992	-3.44%	0.0555	-2.55%	0.0107	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.055812	-3.94%	0.0547	-5.85%	0.0090	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.05294	-2.32%	0.055	+1.48%	0.0379	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.052239	-1.81%	0.05735	+7.80%	0.0505	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.054039	-2.46%	0.058	+4.69%	0.0356	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.056298	-3.93%	0.0584	-0.34%	0.0462	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.061023	-6.12%	0.0583	-10.31%	0.0283	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.059963	-6.16%	0.0571	-10.64%	0.0112	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.06523	-9.40%	0.0574	-20.28%	0.0523	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.066227	-10.50%	0.0524	-29.19%	0.1394	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.062	-9.75%	0.05355	-22.05%	0.0492	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.058072	-7.53%	0.05205	-17.12%	0.0066	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.058653	-7.19%	0.0525	-16.93%	0.0127	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.061986	-7.69%	0.05515	-17.87%	0.0185	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.071247	-8.36%	0.05175	-33.44%	0.2286	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.074912	-8.31%	0.0534	-34.64%	0.2614	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.074617	-8.22%	0.0592	-27.18%	0.1621	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.075985	-8.45%	0.0585	-29.52%	0.1939	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.074143	-8.35%	0.0557	-31.15%	0.2203	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.079222	-7.88%	0.05695	-33.78%	0.2658	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.078626	-7.50%	0.05785	-31.94%	0.2393	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.077369	-6.84%	0.05965	-28.18%	0.1935	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.079218	-6.03%	0.0598	-29.06%	0.2150	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.079831	-5.24%	0.0603	-28.43%	0.2099	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.08157	-4.32%	0.0587	-31.14%	0.2592	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.085085	-3.80%	0.0597	-32.50%	0.3079	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.091455	-3.68%	0.05885	-38.02%	0.3920	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.093212	-4.59%	0.06025	-38.33%	0.3926	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.098809	-5.17%	0.058	-44.34%	0.4926	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.098108	-3.82%	0.0545	-46.57%	0.5507	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.10141	-3.60%	0.05695	-45.87%	0.5394	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.104907	-5.32%	0.0581	-47.56%	0.5522	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.098496	-3.81%	0.0542	-47.07%	0.5654	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.103566	-5.81%	0.0532	-51.61%	0.6309	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.096732	-3.12%	0.0554	-44.52%	0.4475	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.089373	-1.35%	0.0586	-35.32%	0.2825	✓	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.088541	-1.62%	0.065	-27.78%	0.1732	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.086903	-2.36%	0.0639	-28.20%	0.2050	✓	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.087419	-1.89%	0.072	-19.19%	0.1334	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.088916	-1.75%	0.074	-18.23%	0.1449	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.088329	-2.83%	0.0687	-24.42%	0.2256	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.088138	-3.04%	0.0628	-30.91%	0.3148	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.091373	-3.46%	0.0632	-33.23%	0.3393	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.08831	-2.26%	0.06715	-25.68%	0.2420	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.089282	-1.56%	0.07775	-14.28%	0.1089	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.087607	-1.84%	0.0817	-8.46%	0.0657	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.090268	-2.78%	0.0813	-12.44%	0.0997	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.084308	-0.93%	0.083	-2.47%	0.0010	✓	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.086839	-1.88%	0.0809	-8.59%	0.0424	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.087336	-2.85%	0.086	-4.34%	0.0279	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.090985	-3.87%	0.085	-10.20%	0.0850	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.085163	-3.66%	0.08305	-6.05%	0.0569	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.090144	-4.20%	0.0843	-10.41%	0.0798	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.087507	-3.20%	0.08425	-6.80%	0.0412	✓	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.08381	-3.56%	0.08525	-1.90%	0.0141	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.080713	-3.28%	0.08845	+5.99%	0.0471	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.077678	-3.02%	0.09495	+18.54%	0.1296	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.077485	-2.78%	0.0977	+22.58%	0.1812	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.073449	-3.99%	0.1042	+36.21%	0.2421	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.079431	-3.84%	0.102	+23.49%	0.1592	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.080198	-4.18%	0.1052	+25.69%	0.1750	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.076832	-4.20%	0.1108	+38.15%	0.2725	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.078157	-4.74%	0.1024	+24.80%	0.1726	✗	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.078215	-4.50%	0.10995	+34.25%	0.2541	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.07971	-6.28%	0.09985	+17.40%	0.0816	✗	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.075368	-5.44%	0.0906	+13.68%	0.0481	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.076888	-6.12%	0.09	+9.89%	0.0099	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.077138	-6.50%	0.089	+7.88%	0.0050	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.075142	-6.48%	0.0891	+10.89%	0.0300	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.07411	-5.65%	0.0905	+15.21%	0.0782	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.071434	-5.26%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.1423	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.072514	-5.83%	0.0909	+18.05%	0.1127	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.073283	-6.17%	0.09465	+21.19%	0.1252	✗	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.074427	-6.38%	0.09035	+13.65%	0.0562	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.072306	-5.97%	0.0907	+17.95%	0.0751	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.078037	-6.43%	0.08925	+7.01%	0.0298	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.077393	-5.62%	0.09285	+13.23%	0.1088	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.078855	-7.01%	0.0851	+0.35%	0.0164	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.076036	-5.78%	0.0885	+9.67%	0.0641	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.072114	-5.98%	0.0899	+17.21%	0.1160	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.072892	-5.34%	0.09465	+22.92%	0.1760	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.075878	-4.68%	0.0884	+11.06%	0.1122	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.077684	-4.68%	0.0941	+15.46%	0.1209	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.081546	-4.62%	0.0904	+5.73%	0.0316	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.088705	-4.41%	0.0869	-6.36%	0.0352	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.086713	-3.54%	0.08345	-7.17%	0.0378	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.087535	-4.85%	0.0801	-12.93%	0.1057	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.086389	-5.59%	0.0797	-12.90%	0.1217	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.080766	-4.42%	0.0765	-9.47%	0.0518	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.084408	-5.80%	0.0826	-7.81%	0.0551	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.084152	-5.98%	0.0837	-6.48%	0.0423	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.080266	-4.90%	0.0802	-4.98%	0.0252	✓	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.077388	-4.81%	0.08205	+0.92%	0.0229	✓	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.076559	-5.60%	0.0819	+0.99%	0.0154	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.079711	-5.78%	0.08505	+0.53%	0.0424	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.081186	-6.79%	0.0797	-8.50%	0.0307	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.078066	-3.62%	0.0819	+1.11%	0.0993	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.076761	-2.71%	0.0825	+4.56%	0.1541	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.079426	-5.11%	0.08035	-4.00%	0.0351	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.076843	-4.31%	0.07855	-2.18%	0.0334	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.072161	-4.30%	0.0754	+0.00%	0.0055	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.075943	-4.65%	0.077	-3.33%	0.0176	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.076703	-5.31%	0.0781	-3.58%	0.0164	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.077528	-5.11%	0.0795	-2.69%	0.0444	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.077751	-4.89%	0.0769	-5.93%	0.0159	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.077153	-5.80%	0.0834	+1.83%	0.0054	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.079796	-6.67%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0874	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.083174	-7.33%	0.0848	-5.52%	0.0299	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.086345	-8.39%	0.0807	-14.38%	0.1165	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.09061	-9.89%	0.0767	-23.72%	0.1643	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.090763	-10.18%	0.077	-23.80%	0.1978	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.090812	-10.79%	0.0796	-21.81%	0.2030	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.098586	-13.06%	0.0815	-28.13%	0.2291	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.105934	-16.78%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2504	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.092381	-15.40%	0.0928	-15.02%	0.0712	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.067598	-4.45%	0.0899	+27.07%	0.2066	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.066503	-3.97%	0.092	+32.85%	0.2613	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.067664	-4.83%	0.0915	+28.69%	0.2171	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.067206	-4.94%	0.0845	+19.52%	0.1643	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.063738	-3.06%	0.0896	+36.27%	0.3116	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.064591	-2.94%	0.0895	+34.49%	0.3244	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.0657	-3.17%	0.0844	+24.39%	0.2558	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.067872	-4.14%	0.0813	+14.83%	0.1946	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.066839	-3.83%	0.0811	+16.69%	0.2729	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.06098	-0.28%	0.0846	+38.35%	0.2445	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.069295	-3.89%	0.0871	+20.80%	0.3210	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.074168	-5.03%	0.081	+3.71%	0.1729	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.076805	-5.47%	0.0789	-2.89%	0.1304	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.077557	-5.53%	0.0837	+1.95%	0.2323	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.082078	-6.09%	0.0803	-8.12%	0.1596	✗	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.097545	-9.01%	0.0754	-29.66%	0.0323	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.083632	-5.50%	0.07965	-10.00%	0.2279	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.091348	-6.31%	0.081	-16.92%	0.2232	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.087083	-5.34%	0.0817	-11.20%	0.2604	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.084924	-5.22%	0.08175	-8.76%	0.2633	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.084314	-6.63%	0.0819	-9.30%	0.3241	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.083898	-6.26%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.4066	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.077361	-4.96%	0.08975	+10.26%	0.4873	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.076614	-4.83%	0.09425	+17.08%	0.5387	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.076769	-4.99%	0.10055	+24.44%	0.6019	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.075408	-4.67%	0.10105	+27.75%	0.6306	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.081326	-4.55%	0.1018	+19.48%	0.6268	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.08913	-4.98%	0.1134	+20.90%	0.6390	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.088634	-4.18%	0.1273	+37.62%	0.7564	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.092275	-3.78%	0.1092	+13.87%	0.5712	✗	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.091199	-4.10%	0.07075	-25.60%	0.1328	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.089439	-3.41%	0.06925	-25.22%	0.1715	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.086616	-3.97%	0.0711	-21.18%	0.2565	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.078468	-4.19%	0.0707	-13.68%	0.2638	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.082433	-4.92%	0.06575	-24.16%	0.1144	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.084951	-4.55%	0.06655	-25.22%	0.0712	✗	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.087087	-4.61%	0.06785	-25.68%	0.0821	✗	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.088107	-4.23%	0.0708	-23.04%	0.1501	✗	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.088756	-4.25%	0.0695	-25.03%	0.2577	✗	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.093074	-3.45%	0.06115	-36.57%	0.3654	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.094415	-3.46%	0.0721	-26.28%	0.2243	✗	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.094124	-4.15%	0.0781	-20.47%	0.1951	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.092569	-4.17%	0.08125	-15.89%	0.1551	✗	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.090372	-4.17%	0.0821	-12.94%	0.2194	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.086412	-4.09%	0.0874	-3.00%	0.2524	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.083803	-3.90%	0.1072	+22.94%	0.3242	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.085781	-3.83%	0.0885	-0.78%	0.1207	✗	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.085477	-4.28%	0.0975	+9.18%	0.0857	✗	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.08492	-3.61%	0.092	+4.43%	0.0524	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.089369	-4.21%	0.0896	-3.97%	0.0072	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.096831	-6.53%	0.0903	-12.84%	0.0532	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.086632	-4.70%	0.0895	-1.54%	0.0100	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.081057	-3.16%	0.0814	-2.75%	0.0374	✓	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.081112	-2.74%	0.0805	-3.48%	0.0529	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.08213	-2.57%	0.0808	-4.15%	0.0343	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.081763	-2.31%	0.0791	-5.50%	0.0257	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.084309	-3.20%	0.0852	-2.18%	0.0835	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.081989	-3.09%	0.0938	+10.87%	0.0125	✓	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.074765	-2.78%	0.0925	+20.29%	0.0023	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.079474	-2.61%	0.0959	+17.52%	0.0139	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.084036	-2.51%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.0434	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.081169	-2.32%	0.0926	+11.43%	0.0954	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.083519	-1.63%	0.0902	+6.24%	0.0799	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.088183	-1.03%	0.0819	-8.08%	0.0944	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.086193	-0.35%	0.0867	+0.23%	0.0072	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.090828	+0.25%	0.089	-1.77%	0.0271	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.093532	-0.18%	0.0913	-2.56%	0.0094	✗	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.097676	-0.74%	0.092	-6.50%	0.0234	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.093492	-0.43%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0222	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.090713	+0.24%	0.0964	+6.52%	0.0109	✗	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.098286	-0.92%	0.0978	-1.41%	0.1076	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.099643	-0.75%	0.0982	-2.19%	0.0633	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.10252	-0.27%	0.0966	-6.03%	0.0254	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.102051	-0.34%	0.0943	-7.91%	0.0008	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.103558	-0.42%	0.0901	-13.37%	0.0784	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.100929	-0.86%	0.0872	-14.34%	0.1780	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.112944	-2.76%	0.0892	-23.20%	0.1864	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.111748	-2.57%	0.0893	-22.14%	0.1309	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.113995	-2.57%	0.0881	-24.70%	0.1820	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.117623	-3.55%	0.0933	-23.49%	0.1442	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.108334	-2.14%	0.1036	-6.41%	0.0328	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.106323	-1.23%	0.0909	-15.56%	0.1528	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.105965	-1.61%	0.0837	-22.28%	0.2192	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.104917	-1.76%	0.0834	-21.91%	0.2456	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.103167	-1.37%	0.0843	-19.41%	0.3061	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.10855	-2.07%	0.0837	-24.49%	0.3554	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.122155	-5.12%	0.0871	-32.35%	0.3847	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.115946	-2.89%	0.0846	-29.15%	0.2175	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.115405	-2.82%	0.0769	-35.24%	0.1867	✓	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.115071	-3.14%	0.0816	-31.31%	0.1697	✓	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.116428	-3.22%	0.0862	-28.35%	0.1166	✓	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.121003	-3.39%	0.0831	-33.65%	0.1095	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.117236	-2.75%	0.0849	-29.57%	0.1392	✓	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.121116	-2.37%	0.0891	-28.17%	0.0284	✓	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.123968	-2.00%	0.0865	-31.62%	0.0217	✓	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.121401	-1.58%	0.0906	-26.55%	0.0158	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.130929	-1.19%	0.0937	-29.28%	0.0728	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.12928	-1.91%	0.0984	-25.34%	0.0819	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.127964	-2.35%	0.0939	-28.35%	0.0474	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.129612	-2.58%	0.0905	-31.98%	0.0285	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.114054	-2.14%	0.0992	-14.89%	0.2216	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.118455	-0.63%	0.1004	-15.77%	0.2694	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.1154	-0.43%	0.1028	-11.30%	0.1641	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.12319	+0.69%	0.1024	-16.31%	0.2135	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.13964	+1.41%	0.104	-24.47%	0.2873	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.139755	+2.31%	0.1018	-25.48%	0.4279	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.137531	+2.14%	0.11615	-13.74%	0.4259	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.140305	+2.37%	0.1147	-16.31%	0.3451	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.157519	+1.66%	0.117	-24.49%	0.2931	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.162832	+2.44%	0.12195	-23.28%	0.3706	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.165891	+2.02%	0.1107	-31.92%	0.3179	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.175566	+0.87%	0.10765	-38.15%	0.3545	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.171512	+0.71%	0.1077	-36.76%	0.2787	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.173414	+0.68%	0.1068	-38.00%	0.2963	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.168356	+1.21%	0.1046	-37.12%	0.3556	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.162603	+1.82%	0.11085	-30.59%	0.3612	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.169507	+1.17%	0.12875	-23.16%	0.4400	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.180535	-0.12%	0.1194	-33.94%	0.1867	✗	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.180572	-0.15%	0.11875	-34.34%	0.0696	✗	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.175637	+0.25%	0.1188	-32.19%	0.0827	✓	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.174209	+0.61%	0.1203	-30.52%	0.0095	✓	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.177579	+0.13%	0.12525	-29.38%	0.0385	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.184208	-0.19%	0.12055	-34.68%	0.0787	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.194944	-0.61%	0.12405	-36.76%	0.0518	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.206953	-1.61%	0.1265	-39.86%	0.0963	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.192302	-0.64%	0.12335	-36.27%	0.0984	✓	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.175835	+0.94%	0.1325	-23.94%	0.1452	✗	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.193753	-0.28%	0.1318	-32.17%	0.1492	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.297952	-3.25%	0.13105	-57.44%	0.4197	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.3111	-3.42%	0.13305	-58.69%	0.4445	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.301483	-3.49%	0.11655	-62.69%	0.4616	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.325825	-3.89%	0.1192	-64.84%	0.5137	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.309377	-3.44%	0.1159	-63.83%	0.4586	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.315364	-3.08%	0.12235	-62.40%	0.5708	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.325898	-3.17%	0.1377	-59.08%	0.5872	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.327098	-4.39%	0.1366	-60.07%	0.6224	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.31186	-3.72%	0.13465	-58.43%	0.6205	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.300377	-3.40%	0.13705	-55.93%	0.6374	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.302148	-3.19%	0.15495	-50.35%	0.5529	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.307489	-3.92%	0.15895	-50.34%	0.6792	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.296923	-3.58%	0.1626	-47.20%	0.7238	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.300349	-3.93%	0.17405	-44.33%	0.6792	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.288712	-3.42%	0.1703	-43.03%	0.6013	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.312505	-3.73%	0.17225	-46.93%	0.5306	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.307146	-3.29%	0.16635	-47.62%	0.5588	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.315005	-3.30%	0.1597	-50.97%	0.5340	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.347173	-4.04%	0.16755	-53.69%	0.5377	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.352995	-4.26%	0.18075	-50.98%	0.5295	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.354394	-4.69%	0.18085	-51.36%	0.4815	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.373835	-5.70%	0.1752	-55.81%	0.4884	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.