BASECAT
Basecat · Base · beta_5y
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +7d
assessed
44
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
61.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2594
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0423
actual -0.2146
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.01203 | 0.011448 | -4.84% | – | pending | – | – | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.012065 | 0.011455 | -5.05% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011123 | -5.10% | – | pending | – | – | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.011621 | -5.32% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012114 | -6.31% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.011974 | -6.19% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012082 | -6.88% | – | pending | – | – | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.011966 | -7.24% | 0.01203 | -6.74% | 0.0659 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.011759 | -6.71% | 0.012065 | -4.28% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.01246 | -8.15% | 0.01172 | -13.60% | 0.0556 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.012192 | -7.46% | 0.012275 | -6.83% | 0.0035 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.014608 | -12.94% | 0.01293 | -22.94% | 0.0698 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012 | -7.62% | 0.012765 | -1.73% | 0.1079 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.010786 | -4.76% | 0.012975 | +14.57% | 0.2159 | ✗ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.010937 | -4.56% | 0.0129 | +12.57% | 0.1521 | ✗ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.012119 | -6.42% | 0.012605 | -2.66% | 0.0888 | ✗ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011198 | -4.78% | 0.013565 | +15.35% | 0.2702 | ✗ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012126 | -6.00% | 0.013175 | +2.13% | 0.2120 | ✗ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.01219 | -6.52% | 0.01678 | +28.68% | 0.4101 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.01259 | -5.80% | 0.01299 | -2.81% | 0.0922 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.010947 | -1.20% | 0.011325 | +2.21% | 0.0991 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.011681 | -1.84% | 0.01146 | -3.70% | 0.0857 | ✗ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.0121 | -1.50% | 0.01295 | +5.41% | 0.0773 | ✗ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013318 | -2.90% | 0.01176 | -14.25% | 0.1872 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014142 | -3.63% | 0.0129 | -12.10% | 0.1677 | ✓ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015093 | -5.19% | 0.01304 | -18.09% | 0.2125 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.015365 | -4.89% | 0.013365 | -17.27% | 0.1501 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.016004 | -5.02% | 0.01108 | -34.24% | 0.3813 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.017316 | -6.50% | 0.0119 | -35.75% | 0.3901 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.01752 | -6.56% | 0.012285 | -34.48% | 0.3280 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.01646 | -4.86% | 0.013715 | -20.72% | 0.1523 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.018173 | -6.83% | 0.014675 | -24.76% | 0.1769 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.017093 | -2.10% | 0.01592 | -8.82% | 0.1110 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.01842 | -2.77% | 0.016155 | -14.73% | 0.1696 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.021126 | -5.39% | 0.01685 | -24.54% | 0.2652 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.017135 | +1.21% | 0.01852 | +9.39% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.016838 | +2.95% | 0.01875 | +14.64% | 0.0049 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.020469 | +0.86% | 0.0173 | -14.76% | 0.2996 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021545 | +0.96% | 0.019505 | -8.60% | 0.2018 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.022034 | +1.80% | 0.01746 | -19.33% | 0.2879 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.023224 | +1.84% | 0.018945 | -16.93% | 0.2538 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.021821 | +2.35% | 0.02233 | +4.74% | 0.0233 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.030956 | -2.21% | 0.01693 | -46.52% | 0.6010 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.030576 | -4.48% | 0.016355 | -48.91% | 0.5980 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.037022 | -5.07% | 0.020295 | -47.96% | 0.5640 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.040829 | -4.95% | 0.02134 | -50.32% | 0.6371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.053248 | -4.23% | 0.021645 | -61.07% | 0.8551 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.071487 | -8.14% | 0.022805 | -70.70% | 1.1098 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.053303 | -6.49% | 0.02132 | -62.60% | 0.8849 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.043715 | -5.99% | 0.031655 | -31.92% | 0.2629 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.028662 | +0.04% | 0.03201 | +11.73% | 0.0979 | ✓ | 1.00 |