BASECAT
Basecat · Base · beta_5y
- token id
- #592
- symbol
- BASECAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Base
- address
- 0xb2000000000000000000004c27f6523082f41d01
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +1d
assessed
50
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
58.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1059
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0047
actual -0.0183
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.01203 | 0.011931 | -0.82% | – | pending | – | – | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.012065 | 0.011964 | -0.84% | 0.01203 | -0.41% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.01172 | 0.011627 | -0.80% | 0.012065 | +2.94% | 0.0451 | ✗ | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.012275 | 0.012173 | -0.83% | 0.01172 | -4.52% | 0.0755 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.01293 | 0.012797 | -1.03% | 0.012275 | -5.07% | 0.0358 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.012765 | 0.012644 | -0.95% | 0.01293 | +1.29% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.012975 | 0.012837 | -1.06% | 0.012765 | -1.62% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012759 | -1.09% | 0.012975 | +0.58% | 0.0383 | ✗ | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.012605 | 0.01249 | -0.91% | 0.0129 | +2.34% | 0.0131 | ✗ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.013565 | 0.013406 | -1.18% | 0.012605 | -7.08% | 0.0090 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.013175 | 0.013047 | -0.98% | 0.013565 | +2.96% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 2.82 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01678 | 0.016272 | -3.03% | 0.013175 | -21.48% | 0.1505 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01299 | 0.012848 | -1.09% | 0.01678 | +29.18% | 0.2442 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.011325 | 0.011284 | -0.36% | 0.01299 | +14.70% | 0.1300 | ✗ | 2.44 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.01146 | 0.011425 | -0.31% | 0.011325 | -1.18% | 0.0342 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01295 | 0.012863 | -0.67% | 0.01146 | -11.51% | 0.0697 | ✓ | 2.39 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01176 | 0.011736 | -0.20% | 0.01295 | +10.12% | 0.1712 | ✗ | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.0129 | 0.012845 | -0.43% | 0.01176 | -8.84% | 0.0817 | ✓ | 2.70 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01304 | 0.012965 | -0.57% | 0.0129 | -1.07% | 0.0189 | ✗ | 2.72 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.013365 | 0.013299 | -0.49% | 0.01304 | -2.43% | 0.0772 | ✓ | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01108 | 0.011132 | +0.47% | 0.013365 | +20.62% | 0.1751 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.0119 | 0.011942 | +0.35% | 0.01108 | -6.89% | 0.0637 | ✗ | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.012285 | 0.012333 | +0.39% | 0.0119 | -3.13% | 0.0788 | ✗ | 2.81 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.013715 | 0.013734 | +0.14% | 0.012285 | -10.43% | 0.1087 | ✗ | 2.79 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.014675 | 0.014676 | +0.01% | 0.013715 | -6.54% | 0.0738 | ✗ | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01592 | 0.015873 | -0.29% | 0.014675 | -7.82% | 0.0453 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.016155 | 0.016118 | -0.23% | 0.01592 | -1.45% | 0.0139 | ✓ | 2.77 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.01685 | 0.01681 | -0.24% | 0.016155 | -4.12% | 0.0504 | ✓ | 2.78 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01852 | 0.018422 | -0.53% | 0.01685 | -9.02% | 0.0796 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01875 | 0.018644 | -0.57% | 0.01852 | -1.23% | 0.0069 | ✓ | 2.75 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.0173 | 0.017276 | -0.14% | 0.01875 | +8.38% | 0.1032 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.019505 | 0.019386 | -0.61% | 0.0173 | -11.30% | 0.1093 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01746 | 0.01752 | +0.34% | 0.019505 | +11.71% | 0.0425 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.018945 | 0.018987 | +0.22% | 0.01746 | -7.84% | 0.0829 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02233 | 0.022213 | -0.52% | 0.018945 | -15.16% | 0.1636 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.01693 | 0.017066 | +0.80% | 0.02233 | +31.90% | 0.2113 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.016355 | 0.016532 | +1.08% | 0.01693 | +3.52% | 0.0211 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.020295 | 0.02043 | +0.67% | 0.016355 | -19.41% | 0.2299 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.02134 | 0.021486 | +0.69% | 0.020295 | -4.90% | 0.0233 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.021645 | 0.02181 | +0.76% | 0.02134 | -1.41% | 0.0395 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.022805 | 0.022972 | +0.73% | 0.021645 | -5.09% | 0.0535 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.02132 | 0.021504 | +0.86% | 0.022805 | +6.97% | 0.0580 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.031655 | 0.031614 | -0.13% | 0.02132 | -32.65% | 0.4027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.03201 | 0.031882 | -0.40% | 0.031655 | -1.11% | 0.0154 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.039 | 0.038742 | -0.66% | 0.03201 | -17.92% | 0.1888 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.042955 | 0.042673 | -0.66% | 0.039 | -9.21% | 0.0818 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.0556 | 0.055158 | -0.80% | 0.042955 | -22.74% | 0.2344 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07782 | 0.075615 | -2.83% | 0.0556 | -28.55% | 0.3138 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.057 | 0.055667 | -2.34% | 0.07782 | +36.53% | 0.3330 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0465 | 0.045302 | -2.58% | 0.057 | +22.58% | 0.2494 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.02865 | 0.028601 | -0.17% | 0.0465 | +62.30% | 0.4361 | ✗ | 1.00 |