BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +7d
assessed
44
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
31.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2614
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0242
actual +0.2264
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 1.6621 | 1.5807 | -4.89% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.9882 | -5.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9343 | -5.33% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8701 | -4.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.2694 | -6.03% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.2627 | -7.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8231 | -5.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7319 | -4.66% | 1.6621 | -8.51% | 0.0035 | ✓ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2193 | -6.77% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0339 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9469 | -6.77% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0457 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6466 | -5.89% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1792 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5354 | -5.56% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4236 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5001 | -5.31% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4586 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4899 | -5.42% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2391 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3316 | -4.40% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3186 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2458 | -3.99% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6164 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1648 | -4.02% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5405 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1818 | -4.20% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3200 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1884 | -4.60% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2619 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.986034 | -4.98% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4354 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3222 | -4.29% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1340 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3601 | -4.11% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0436 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2798 | -3.70% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0076 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3284 | -4.35% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0490 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0835 | -3.19% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1800 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1769 | -3.59% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1043 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.977281 | -2.42% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0675 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2458 | -5.29% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1128 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.933274 | -2.21% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4285 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0041 | -3.25% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2623 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.885277 | -1.39% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.4804 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.794691 | -0.75% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.3793 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.723389 | -3.17% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4834 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.578156 | -2.06% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5110 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.618536 | -1.85% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7155 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.70126 | -2.59% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2081 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.729418 | -2.77% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2499 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.684955 | -2.85% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1392 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.578025 | -0.79% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2236 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.702598 | -4.34% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.543854 | -1.17% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0318 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.507207 | -0.31% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1707 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.496998 | -0.61% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3730 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.458232 | +1.58% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5207 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.448942 | +2.56% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.4886 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.464824 | +3.05% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2375 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.464815 | +3.89% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5025 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.470061 | +3.95% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.1903 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.474407 | +3.91% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1014 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.473338 | +4.17% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.495007 | +1.10% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.1054 | ✗ | 1.00 |