BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · beta_5y
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +30d
assessed
21
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
38.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.0335
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0105
actual +1.0230
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 1.6621 | 1.4257 | -14.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 1.8028 | -14.33% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.7547 | -14.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.6914 | -13.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.0484 | -15.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.0575 | -15.62% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.6628 | -13.75% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.567 | -13.74% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.0281 | -14.80% | – | pending | – | – | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.7941 | -14.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.5013 | -14.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.3981 | -14.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.3581 | -14.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.3529 | -14.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.2036 | -13.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.1289 | -13.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.0531 | -13.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.075 | -12.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.0873 | -12.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.877657 | -15.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.2047 | -12.80% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.247 | -12.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.1752 | -11.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.2293 | -11.48% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0072 | -10.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.0961 | -10.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.914431 | -8.70% | – | pending | – | – | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.1803 | -10.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.888075 | -6.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.962967 | -7.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.86082 | -4.12% | 1.6621 | +85.12% | 0.6812 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.792691 | -1.00% | 2.1044 | +162.82% | 1.0224 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.708453 | -5.17% | 2.0432 | +173.50% | 1.0375 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.561656 | -4.85% | 1.9664 | +233.12% | 1.2457 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.597343 | -5.21% | 2.4152 | +283.24% | 1.3831 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.66511 | -7.61% | 2.4383 | +238.69% | 1.2352 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.698169 | -6.94% | 1.9279 | +156.98% | 0.9477 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.659876 | -6.41% | 1.8166 | +157.66% | 0.9297 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.571694 | -1.87% | 2.3803 | +308.57% | 1.3839 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.694889 | -5.39% | 2.0884 | +184.34% | 1.0215 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.538796 | -2.09% | 1.7495 | +217.93% | 1.1214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.502996 | -1.14% | 1.6258 | +219.53% | 1.0927 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.496164 | -0.78% | 1.5842 | +216.81% | 1.0809 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.455428 | +0.96% | 1.5753 | +249.20% | 1.1879 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.445346 | +1.74% | 1.3928 | +218.17% | 1.0997 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.467361 | +3.62% | 1.2975 | +187.67% | 0.9696 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.467947 | +4.59% | 1.2135 | +171.23% | 0.8902 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.474514 | +4.93% | 1.2336 | +172.81% | 0.8839 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.482346 | +5.65% | 1.2458 | +172.87% | 0.8666 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.490922 | +8.04% | 1.0377 | +128.37% | 0.7066 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.505223 | +3.19% | 1.3815 | +182.17% | 0.9169 | ✓ | 1.00 |