STONK
STONK · Solana · beta_5y
- token id
- #304
- symbol
- STONK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-21
- predictions
- 69
Track record at +7d
assessed
16
of 23 predictions shown
direction hit
62.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2973
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0073
actual -0.2852
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.129745 | 0.125137 | -3.55% | – | pending | – | – | 3.65 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.12218 | 0.118031 | -3.40% | – | pending | – | – | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12545 | 0.119997 | -4.35% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114195 | 0.11117 | -2.65% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1019 | 0.100282 | -1.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.10575 | 0.104878 | -0.82% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.11242 | 0.111743 | -0.60% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.12122 | 0.120323 | -0.74% | 0.129745 | +7.03% | 0.0502 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.110945 | 0.111707 | +0.69% | 0.12218 | +10.13% | 0.0759 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.12159 | 0.122037 | +0.37% | 0.12545 | +3.17% | 0.0296 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.131815 | 0.13225 | +0.33% | 0.114195 | -13.37% | 0.1480 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14763 | 0.147092 | -0.36% | 0.1019 | -30.98% | 0.3469 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.139145 | 0.14094 | +1.29% | 0.10575 | -24.00% | 0.2686 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.140195 | 0.142797 | +1.86% | 0.11242 | -19.81% | 0.2264 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.154645 | 0.156222 | +1.02% | 0.12122 | -21.61% | 0.2589 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.171875 | 0.172404 | +0.31% | 0.110945 | -35.45% | 0.4201 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.216735 | 0.213017 | -1.72% | 0.12159 | -43.90% | 0.5318 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.194225 | 0.192458 | -0.91% | 0.131815 | -32.13% | 0.3306 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.229225 | 0.224981 | -1.85% | 0.14763 | -35.60% | 0.3881 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.217215 | 0.211548 | -2.61% | 0.139145 | -35.94% | 0.3971 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.24939 | 0.241574 | -3.13% | 0.140195 | -43.78% | 0.5207 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.255775 | 0.24882 | -2.72% | 0.154645 | -39.54% | 0.4377 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.24725 | 0.239181 | -3.26% | 0.171875 | -30.49% | 0.3271 | ✓ | 1.00 |