STONK
STONK · Solana · beta_5y
- token id
- #304
- symbol
- STONK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Solana
- address
- 6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-21
- predictions
- 69
Track record at +1d
assessed
22
of 23 predictions shown
direction hit
45.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0761
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0018
actual -0.0320
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | live | 0.129745 | 0.128879 | -0.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.65 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.12218 | 0.121389 | -0.65% | 0.129745 | -0.13% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12545 | 0.124149 | -1.04% | 0.12218 | -2.61% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114195 | 0.113732 | -0.41% | 0.12545 | +9.86% | 0.0847 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.1019 | 0.101752 | -0.15% | 0.114195 | +12.07% | 0.1174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.10575 | 0.10578 | +0.03% | 0.1019 | -3.64% | 0.0450 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.11242 | 0.112461 | +0.04% | 0.10575 | -5.93% | 0.0601 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.12122 | 0.121198 | -0.02% | 0.11242 | -7.26% | 0.0676 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.110945 | 0.111278 | +0.30% | 0.12122 | +9.26% | 0.0788 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.12159 | 0.121835 | +0.20% | 0.110945 | -8.75% | 0.0750 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.131815 | 0.132064 | +0.19% | 0.12159 | -7.76% | 0.0991 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14763 | 0.147582 | -0.03% | 0.131815 | -10.71% | 0.0896 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.139145 | 0.139665 | +0.37% | 0.14763 | +6.10% | 0.0462 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.140195 | 0.140837 | +0.46% | 0.139145 | -0.75% | 0.0165 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.154645 | 0.155015 | +0.24% | 0.140195 | -9.34% | 0.1109 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.171875 | 0.17211 | +0.14% | 0.154645 | -10.02% | 0.0878 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.216735 | 0.215903 | -0.38% | 0.171875 | -20.70% | 0.2012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.194225 | 0.193966 | -0.13% | 0.216735 | +11.59% | 0.1134 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.229225 | 0.228203 | -0.45% | 0.194225 | -15.27% | 0.1524 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.217215 | 0.215943 | -0.59% | 0.229225 | +5.53% | 0.0391 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.24939 | 0.247243 | -0.86% | 0.217215 | -12.90% | 0.1323 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.255775 | 0.254302 | -0.58% | 0.24939 | -2.50% | 0.0154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.24725 | 0.245764 | -0.60% | 0.255775 | +3.45% | 0.0246 | ✗ | 1.00 |