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2022-08-22 · +7d

gru_s4 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3329
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.7%
in alpha space · 74.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0033.061+1.93%3.47+15.55%0.2096✓1.585.0M2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06840.069549+1.68%0.06651-2.76%0.0146✓1.112.4M2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022530.022827+1.32%0.02267+0.62%0.0397✓0.8713.0M2022-08-29
OPTIMOptimism1.1691.1838+1.27%1.174+0.43%0.0832✓1.723.5M2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3236.3972+1.17%6.015-4.87%0.0163✗0.8510.1M2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5151.5326+1.16%1.495-1.32%0.0379✓1.18147k2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9837.0558+1.04%6.339-9.22%0.0377✗1.3010.7M2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum32.7632.9946+0.72%32.49-0.82%0.0846✓1.87365k2022-08-29
FLOWFlownative2.132.1435+0.63%1.919-9.91%0.0408✗1.311.2M2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,930.038,986.03+0.63%9,081.72+1.70%0.0832✓1.367.3M2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37550.376814+0.35%0.3367-10.33%0.0443✗1.28182k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35070.351814+0.32%0.3223-8.10%0.0266✗1.15110k2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3826.3995+0.27%6.682+4.70%0.0927✓0.935.3M2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.05101+0.22%0.0491-3.54%0.0135✓0.97798k2022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40220.40303+0.21%0.4238+5.37%0.1095✓1.1176k2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.797.8044+0.19%7.74-0.64%0.0511✓1.11638k2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.3870.387453+0.12%0.3701-4.37%0.0160✓1.16492k2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073130.073211+0.11%0.07284-0.40%0.0583✓1.1929k2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum5.665.6659+0.11%5.12-9.54%0.0563✗0.841.6M2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.0977+0.08%1.955-6.73%0.0222✓1.74115k2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0833.0849+0.06%3.276+6.26%0.0940✓0.64749k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.850.850211+0.02%0.8693+2.27%0.0797✓1.082.2M2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash122.68122.7099+0.02%119.61-2.50%0.0337✓1.114.9M2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11110.111105+0.00%0.1063-4.32%0.0130✓1.073.7M2022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022240.022228-0.05%0.02336+5.04%0.0931✗0.81419k2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0534.0138-0.11%33.55-1.47%0.0626✗1.4316.0M2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.4017.3881-0.17%7.276-1.69%0.0392✗1.0214.0M2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2814.2505-0.21%13.83-3.15%0.0356✗1.231.3M2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum5.2055.1914-0.26%4.983-4.27%0.0317✗1.3610.1M2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.3471.3433-0.28%1.263-6.24%0.0040✗1.23518k2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.136616-0.28%0.1311-4.31%0.0108✗0.972.1M2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,624.781,619.81-0.31%1,551.65-4.50%0.0282✗1.33576.1M2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0457.0232-0.31%6.7-4.90%0.0097✗1.0719.5M2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09951.0959-0.33%1.0799-1.78%0.0644✗1.484.7M2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50310.501395-0.34%0.523+3.96%0.0852✗0.81661k2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29050.289472-0.35%0.291+0.17%0.0559✗0.953.5M2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum88.5188.1848-0.37%85.76-3.11%0.0543✗1.546.5M2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.191.1855-0.38%1.1021-7.39%0.0066✓1.241.0M2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.014260.014204-0.39%0.013701-3.92%0.0017✓0.641.6M2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.5622.47-0.40%19.33-14.32%0.0814✓1.3024.5M2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash65.0964.8229-0.41%63.75-2.06%0.0431✗1.121.9M2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.278779-0.44%0.283+1.07%0.0535✗0.72878k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.14670.145996-0.48%0.148+0.89%0.0670✗1.00149k2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7040.700569-0.49%0.684-2.84%0.0481✗1.354.8M2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.932120.927572-0.49%0.87542-6.08%0.0063✓0.9713k2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831610.827435-0.50%0.79536-4.36%0.0096✗0.92524k2022-08-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.211412-0.51%0.2019-4.99%0.0073✗1.00152k2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.045956-0.53%0.04816+4.24%0.0833✗0.6816k2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03641.0308-0.54%0.9656-6.83%0.0357✓0.563.8M2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12830.127594-0.55%0.1306+1.79%0.0530✗0.564.2M2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.2256.901-0.56%55.79-2.50%0.0334✗1.0013.5M2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.390680.388395-0.58%0.3855-1.33%0.0427✗0.9470k2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5950.591462-0.59%0.525-11.76%0.0535✓1.232,8642022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7130.708755-0.60%0.698-2.10%0.0318✗0.88263k2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0035020.003481-0.60%0.003238-7.54%0.0266✓0.861.1M2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.56854.5406-0.61%4.397-3.75%0.0093✗0.78827k2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.003210.003189-0.66%0.00301-6.23%0.0025✓1.03537k2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.14060.139663-0.67%0.13956-0.74%0.0651✗1.23243k2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.5891.5784-0.67%1.5357-3.35%0.0310✗1.10494k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7191.7075-0.67%1.615-6.05%0.0083✗1.20121k2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8550.849211-0.68%0.946+10.64%0.1305✗0.424.4M2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.84e-7-0.72%8.90e-7+0.00%0.0498✗0.802.7M2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.6713.5717-0.72%12.6-7.83%0.0137✓1.142.2M2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06550.065026-0.72%0.0617-5.80%0.0124✗1.221.2M2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12140.120514-0.73%0.123+1.32%0.0743✗1.0138k2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum50.4550.0793-0.73%48.57-3.73%0.0352✗1.2315k2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41252.3946-0.74%2.1453-11.08%0.0455✓1.2113k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21830.216626-0.77%0.2102-3.71%0.0233✗1.0072k2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49050.486739-0.77%0.4607-6.08%0.0044✓1.11419k2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000038840.00003854-0.77%0.00004993+28.55%0.3061✗0.881.8M2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058170.005772-0.77%0.005874+0.98%0.0531✗0.672,6422022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative9.5829.5079-0.77%9.1-5.03%0.0071✓0.951.9M2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10510.104275-0.79%0.101-3.90%0.0057✓0.713,6712022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.381.3691-0.79%1.33-3.62%0.0221✗0.96182k2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.547615-0.79%0.527-4.53%0.0219✗1.1395k2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration50.5850.1681-0.81%50.12-0.91%0.0523✗1.00560k2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0531.0444-0.82%0.987-6.27%0.0080✓1.211.1M2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82160.814712-0.84%0.7824-4.77%0.0378✗1.47205k2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.09810.09726-0.86%0.0924-5.81%0.0011✓0.94430k2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,398.2521,211.77-0.87%20,286.97-5.19%0.0088✓1.00469.7M2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017460.001731-0.88%0.001636-6.30%0.0089✓0.89766k2022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.3883-0.90%2.15-10.79%0.0402✓1.22281k2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.82e-7-0.91%8.80e-7-1.12%0.0418✗0.8218k2022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.891.8725-0.93%1.729-8.52%0.0312✓0.91718k2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04060.040222-0.93%0.0373-8.13%0.0299✓0.8511k2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10.099063-0.94%0.1032+3.20%0.0780✗0.69234k2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase17.0616.8983-0.95%16.44-3.63%0.0313✗1.10125k2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.46150.457101-0.95%0.4505-2.38%0.0412✗1.0542.0M2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3056220.302612-0.98%0.305285-0.11%0.0665✗1.08805k2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026250.025989-0.99%0.02554-2.70%0.0502✗1.273,2032022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum3.47033.4358-1.00%3.1823-8.30%0.0237✓0.9938k2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37730.373544-1.00%0.3664-2.89%0.0397✗1.11175k2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana35.4335.0734-1.01%32.41-8.52%0.0172✓1.1681.1M2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.00691-1.01%0.00649-7.02%0.0283✓0.641.3M2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase0.9134550.904236-1.01%0.918733+0.58%0.0581✗0.7977k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04610.045631-1.02%0.0441-4.34%0.0182✗0.98187k2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2170.214773-1.03%0.2219+2.26%0.1048✗1.35111k2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7010.693787-1.03%0.672-4.14%0.0169✗0.92322k2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.25410.251475-1.03%0.2484-2.24%0.0383✗0.9584k2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11060.109454-1.04%0.1045-5.52%0.0001✓0.87256k2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9181.8981-1.04%1.8412-4.00%0.0262✗1.0636k2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08910.088157-1.06%0.0843-5.39%0.0071✓0.9711k2022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.00410.004057-1.06%0.00407-0.73%0.0559✗0.99152k2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.099.9821-1.07%10.28+1.88%0.0925✗1.18318k2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1685-1.07%2.089-4.70%0.0240✗1.1559k2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.29994-1.08%0.2981-1.68%0.0430✗0.928.2M2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.147667-1.09%0.1447-3.08%0.0310✗0.96614k2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.798-1.10%1.768-2.75%0.0342✗0.96151k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38340.379168-1.10%0.3499-8.74%0.0137✓1.25239k2022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.295310.292015-1.12%0.30106+1.95%0.0862✗1.0413k2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.90.889844-1.13%0.989+9.89%0.1706✗1.221.2M2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4390.433758-1.19%0.441+0.46%0.0699✗1.008,8922022-08-29
DASHDashDash47.2346.6658-1.19%47.46+0.49%0.0687✗0.97493k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0213280.021072-1.20%0.020994-1.57%0.0397✗0.8113k2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.23270.229894-1.21%0.2257-3.01%0.0297✗0.90528k2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.0456570.045105-1.21%0.044565-2.39%0.0329✗0.8432k2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.13821.1244-1.21%1.0621-6.68%0.0113✓0.8655k2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2919-1.21%2.13-8.19%0.0289✓0.83778k2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0683810.067531-1.24%0.063828-6.66%0.0018✓1.021.9M2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase13.476313.3085-1.24%12.6602-6.06%0.0013✓0.9644k2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.55350.546581-1.25%0.5461-1.34%0.0466✗0.891.9M2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063297-1.25%0.0576-10.14%0.0328✓1.15282k2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.361850.357303-1.26%0.3476-3.94%0.0238✗0.9690k2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.7840.773996-1.28%0.6813-13.10%0.0515✓1.43325k2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.27440.270883-1.28%0.2566-6.49%0.0019✓0.98118k2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.166138-1.28%0.164-2.55%0.0444✗1.081,7442022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.049660.049019-1.29%0.044446-10.50%0.0692✓0.5430k2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2041-1.30%1.189-2.54%0.0400✗0.992.1M2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009290.009169-1.30%0.00891-4.09%0.0116✓0.756.4M2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.29154.5698-1.30%54.194-1.98%0.0327✗0.74330k2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0656310.064764-1.32%0.063437-3.34%0.0103✓0.58164k2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05970.058883-1.37%0.0606+1.51%0.0778✗0.92120k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.710.700246-1.37%0.74+4.23%0.0755✗0.38105k2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum27.7227.3362-1.38%27.34-1.37%0.0512✗0.968.3M2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1094920.107968-1.39%0.105918-3.26%0.0267✗0.867.8M2022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.8762.8359-1.39%2.856-0.70%0.0520✗0.84749k2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.722.6818-1.40%2.24-17.65%0.1535✓0.5093k2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157720.155428-1.45%0.15839+0.42%0.1318✗2.126362022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.321710.31697-1.47%0.36085+12.17%0.1789✗0.92342k2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.56970.561268-1.48%0.55401-2.75%0.0556✗1.2945k2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06850.067473-1.50%0.0637-7.01%0.0086✓0.92121k2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.10795.0305-1.51%5.2836+3.44%0.0568✗0.14171k2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,122.2020,798.82-1.53%20,303.80-3.87%0.0267✗0.958,8302022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039920.039309-1.53%0.03792-5.01%0.0079✓0.822,6252022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1840.181136-1.56%0.174-5.43%0.0169✗1.07608k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6230.613197-1.57%0.553-11.24%0.0451✓1.0996k2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.1917.8948-1.62%17.22-5.33%0.0008✓0.711.7M2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero153.73151.2316-1.63%152.71-0.66%0.0630✗1.001.1M2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03720.036595-1.63%0.0365-1.88%0.0471✗0.9381k2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.05330.052412-1.67%0.0525-1.50%0.0549✗1.00253k2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036870.036254-1.67%0.03677-0.27%0.0668✗0.9923k2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.000091530.000089991-1.68%0.0001317+43.89%0.4239✗0.81314k2022-08-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03441.0168-1.70%–pending––1.1112k2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.0910.8914-1.79%11.438+3.14%0.1082✗1.1110.0M2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum107.36105.4317-1.80%101.16-5.77%0.0038✓0.853.4M2022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.256492-1.80%0.2615+0.11%0.0198✗0.0187k2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070690.069414-1.80%0.06742-4.63%0.0143✓0.829772022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16490.161838-1.86%0.1725+4.61%0.1357✗1.351,6582022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013160.000012907-1.92%0.00001248-5.17%0.0152✓0.92864k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017750.017396-2.00%0.0151-14.93%0.1051✓0.68167k2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.1196.9758-2.01%6.102-14.29%0.1173✓0.315.3M2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014850.001454-2.08%0.001401-5.63%0.0045✓0.781.6M2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08720.085358-2.11%0.08429-3.34%0.0077✓0.09916k2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.415.2915-2.19%4.53-16.27%0.1333✓0.411.5M2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067980.006643-2.28%0.006696-1.50%0.0317✗0.4557k2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.403240.394008-2.29%0.33586-16.71%0.1067✓0.99435k2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.956.7841-2.39%6.38-8.20%0.0410✓0.381.6M2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.2855.1539-2.48%4.266-19.28%0.1840✓0.102.3M2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.036.8538-2.51%6.29-10.53%0.0660✓0.372.4M2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35741.3228-2.55%1.2628-6.97%0.0042✓0.951.3M2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92681.8769-2.59%1.7099-11.26%0.0360✓1.07781k2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0235640.022946-2.62%0.023085-2.03%0.0122✓0.12240k2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008191-2.95%0.00853+1.07%0.1019✗1.15477k2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum45.243.7777-3.15%35-22.57%0.1761✓0.891.8M2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.649.3218-3.30%8.46-12.24%0.0737✓0.442.6M2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9784.8092-3.39%4.177-16.09%0.1236✓0.331.7M2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.2962-3.43%5.31-18.56%0.1507✓0.373.3M2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.61.5451-3.43%1.44-10.00%0.0731✓-0.05105k2022-08-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.39494.2409-3.50%4.68+6.49%0.1518✗1.00173k2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.22280.214625-3.67%0.2159-3.10%0.0494✗0.811.8M2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.41986.1588-4.07%5.7778-10.00%0.0548✓0.173.1M2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.81e-76.51e-7-4.43%8.65e-7+27.01%0.3253✗0.77180k2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.48424.2525-5.17%3.8811-13.45%0.0624✓0.542.1M2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017780.001684-5.28%0.001529-14.00%0.0585✓0.729,7092022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.774.5112-5.42%4.203-11.89%0.0189✓0.97139k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.15355.7533-6.50%6.0774-1.24%0.0649✓0.192.1M2022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.60713.2916-9.00%12.777-12.53%0.0157✓0.452.0M2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.