STX

Stacks · native · gru_s4

token id: #65
symbol: STX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-01-20
predictions: 5,166

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0749

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0140

actual +0.0035

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.35975	0.349044	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.35575	0.346381	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.3583	0.348662	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-18	oos	0.35505	0.345612	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.3681	0.356252	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.3924	0.376771	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.43015	0.409678	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.4238	0.40275	-4.97%	0.35975	-15.11%	0.1336	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.4344	0.411812	-5.20%	0.35575	-18.11%	0.1434	✓	1.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.4101	0.388808	-5.19%	0.3583	-12.63%	0.0834	✓	1.49
2026-10-11	oos	0.3984	0.378118	-5.09%	0.35505	-10.88%	0.0332	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.40105	0.380746	-5.06%	0.3681	-8.22%	0.0064	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.39515	0.375276	-5.03%	0.3924	-0.70%	0.0634	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.38165	0.362744	-4.95%	0.43015	+12.71%	0.1627	✗	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.37065	0.351401	-5.19%	0.4238	+14.34%	0.2184	✗	1.50
2026-10-06	oos	0.3845	0.363365	-5.50%	0.4344	+12.98%	0.2217	✗	1.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.37935	0.358399	-5.52%	0.4101	+8.11%	0.2053	✗	1.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.38935	0.36813	-5.45%	0.3984	+2.32%	0.1282	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	0.3843	0.362743	-5.61%	0.40105	+4.36%	0.1329	✗	1.49
2026-10-02	oos	0.3678	0.347354	-5.56%	0.39515	+7.44%	0.1638	✗	1.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.37365	0.352754	-5.59%	0.38165	+2.14%	0.1348	✗	1.48
2026-09-30	oos	0.37085	0.348335	-6.07%	0.37065	-0.05%	0.0671	✗	1.49
2026-09-29	oos	0.3168	0.299755	-5.38%	0.3845	+21.37%	0.2155	✗	1.49
2026-09-28	oos	0.3139	0.296742	-5.47%	0.37935	+20.85%	0.2054	✗	1.48
2026-09-27	oos	0.3385	0.31827	-5.98%	0.38935	+15.02%	0.1668	✗	1.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.3427	0.322545	-5.88%	0.3843	+12.14%	0.1696	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.32625	0.30833	-5.49%	0.3678	+12.74%	0.1693	✗	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.3134	0.296759	-5.31%	0.37365	+19.22%	0.2224	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.3081	0.292481	-5.07%	0.37085	+20.37%	0.2518	✗	1.47
2026-09-22	oos	0.33585	0.31973	-4.80%	0.3168	-5.67%	0.0342	✓	1.44
2026-09-21	oos	0.3414	0.327095	-4.19%	0.3139	-8.06%	0.0117	✓	1.43
2026-09-20	oos	0.33615	0.322156	-4.16%	0.3385	+0.70%	0.0128	✓	1.56
2026-09-19	oos	0.3152	0.303099	-3.84%	0.3427	+8.72%	0.0625	✗	1.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.2841	0.274152	-3.50%	0.32625	+14.84%	0.1127	✗	1.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.2511	0.244609	-2.58%	0.3134	+24.81%	0.0964	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.24255	0.237284	-2.17%	0.3081	+27.03%	0.1066	✗	1.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.2348	0.230773	-1.72%	0.33585	+43.04%	0.1786	✗	1.50
2026-09-14	oos	0.2637	0.255497	-3.11%	0.3414	+29.47%	0.1449	✗	1.42
2026-09-13	oos	0.26525	0.256921	-3.14%	0.33615	+26.73%	0.1899	✗	1.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.26815	0.259737	-3.14%	0.3152	+17.55%	0.1222	✗	1.42
2026-09-11	oos	0.25275	0.246122	-2.62%	0.2841	+12.40%	0.0767	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.25315	0.246619	-2.58%	0.2511	-0.81%	0.0216	✓	1.45
2026-09-09	oos	0.27385	0.267909	-2.17%	0.24255	-11.43%	0.0603	✓	1.41
2026-09-08	oos	0.2715	0.266936	-1.68%	0.2348	-13.52%	0.0758	✓	1.41
2026-09-07	oos	0.2772	0.273306	-1.40%	0.2637	-4.87%	0.0193	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.2692	0.267179	-0.75%	0.26525	-1.47%	0.0574	✗	1.43
2026-09-05	oos	0.2693	0.26629	-1.12%	0.26815	-0.43%	0.0539	✗	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.2646	0.260984	-1.37%	0.25275	-4.48%	0.0126	✓	1.42
2026-09-03	oos	0.2749	0.271008	-1.42%	0.25315	-7.91%	0.0161	✗	1.41
2026-09-02	oos	0.2611	0.253971	-2.73%	0.27385	+4.88%	0.0570	✗	1.46
2026-09-01	oos	0.2553	0.248241	-2.76%	0.2715	+6.35%	0.0696	✗	1.48
2026-08-31	oos	0.2511	0.244586	-2.59%	0.2772	+10.39%	0.1155	✗	1.44
2026-08-30	oos	0.2343	0.229267	-2.15%	0.2692	+14.90%	0.1124	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.2434	0.237554	-2.40%	0.2693	+10.64%	0.0971	✗	1.40
2026-08-28	oos	0.2603	0.250898	-3.61%	0.2646	+1.65%	0.0204	✓	1.41
2026-08-27	oos	0.2572	0.248603	-3.34%	0.2749	+6.88%	0.0828	✗	1.45
2026-08-26	oos	0.2688	0.256469	-4.59%	0.2611	-2.86%	0.0503	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.2634	0.248963	-5.48%	0.2553	-3.08%	0.0464	✓	1.47
2026-08-24	oos	0.231	0.223587	-3.21%	0.2511	+8.70%	0.1240	✗	1.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.234	0.224505	-4.06%	0.2343	+0.13%	0.0439	✗	1.51
2026-08-22	oos	0.2193	0.210436	-4.04%	0.2434	+10.99%	0.1228	✗	1.49
2026-08-21	oos	0.1898	0.184786	-2.64%	0.2603	+37.14%	0.3524	✗	1.56
2026-08-20	oos	0.1461	0.145348	-0.51%	0.2572	+76.04%	0.4513	✗	1.26
2026-08-19	oos	0.1284	0.127126	-0.99%	0.2688	+109.35%	0.5976	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.11995	0.118461	-1.24%	0.2634	+119.59%	0.5723	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.1209	0.119295	-1.33%	0.231	+91.07%	0.4210	✗	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.1222	0.12062	-1.29%	0.234	+91.49%	0.4036	✗	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.12165	0.120071	-1.30%	0.2193	+80.27%	0.3581	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.1222	0.120642	-1.28%	0.1898	+55.32%	0.1881	✗	1.22
2026-08-13	oos	0.1245	0.1228	-1.37%	0.1461	+17.35%	0.0014	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.1229	0.121333	-1.27%	0.1284	+4.48%	0.0544	✓	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.1276	0.125858	-1.37%	0.11995	-6.00%	0.0703	✓	1.24
2026-08-10	oos	0.1309	0.128975	-1.47%	0.1209	-7.64%	0.0755	✓	1.23
2026-08-09	oos	0.1298	0.127774	-1.56%	0.1222	-5.86%	0.0056	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.1326	0.130529	-1.56%	0.12165	-8.26%	0.0340	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.1292	0.127372	-1.42%	0.1222	-5.42%	0.0046	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.1301	0.128366	-1.33%	0.1245	-4.30%	0.0143	✓	1.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.1338	0.131861	-1.45%	0.1229	-8.15%	0.0473	✓	1.24
2026-08-04	oos	0.1347	0.132729	-1.46%	0.1276	-5.27%	0.0294	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.1386	0.136263	-1.69%	0.1309	-5.56%	0.0488	✓	1.24
2026-08-02	oos	0.1391	0.136586	-1.81%	0.1298	-6.69%	0.0783	✓	1.30
2026-08-01	oos	0.1393	0.136872	-1.74%	0.1326	-4.81%	0.0752	✓	1.29
2026-07-31	oos	0.1375	0.135141	-1.72%	0.1292	-6.04%	0.0868	✓	1.29
2026-07-30	oos	0.14015	0.137317	-2.02%	0.1301	-7.17%	0.0447	✓	1.32
2026-07-29	oos	0.1348	0.132521	-1.69%	0.1338	-0.74%	0.0045	✓	1.29
2026-07-28	oos	0.13795	0.135541	-1.75%	0.1347	-2.36%	0.0103	✓	1.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.1342	0.132213	-1.48%	0.1386	+3.28%	0.0518	✗	1.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.1469	0.144394	-1.71%	0.1391	-5.31%	0.0021	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.1368	0.135196	-1.17%	0.1393	+1.83%	0.0588	✗	1.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.1449	0.14329	-1.11%	0.1375	-5.11%	0.0172	✓	1.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.16445	0.162269	-1.33%	0.14015	-14.78%	0.1406	✓	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1693	0.167348	-1.15%	0.1348	-20.38%	0.1774	✓	1.15
2026-07-21	oos	0.1674	0.16568	-1.03%	0.13795	-17.59%	0.1358	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1655	0.16378	-1.04%	0.1342	-18.91%	0.1721	✓	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1637	0.162104	-0.97%	0.1469	-10.26%	0.1101	✓	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.16525	0.16375	-0.91%	0.1368	-17.22%	0.1710	✓	1.14
2026-07-17	oos	0.1646	0.163176	-0.87%	0.1449	-11.97%	0.1222	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.1671	0.165615	-0.89%	0.16445	-1.59%	0.0304	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.1684	0.167055	-0.80%	0.1693	+0.53%	0.0107	✓	1.15
2026-07-14	oos	0.16875	0.167498	-0.74%	0.1674	-0.80%	0.0274	✓	1.15
2026-07-13	oos	0.166	0.164711	-0.78%	0.1655	-0.30%	0.0517	✓	1.22
2026-07-12	oos	0.16895	0.167812	-0.67%	0.1637	-3.11%	0.0429	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.1718	0.170624	-0.68%	0.16525	-3.81%	0.0519	✓	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.1717	0.170577	-0.65%	0.1646	-4.14%	0.0311	✓	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.169	0.168015	-0.58%	0.1671	-1.12%	0.0171	✓	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.166066	-0.50%	0.1684	+0.90%	0.0343	✓	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.1647	0.164092	-0.37%	0.16875	+2.46%	0.0045	✓	1.25
2026-07-06	oos	0.171	0.170404	-0.35%	0.166	-2.92%	0.0082	✗	1.25
2026-07-05	oos	0.1726	0.171941	-0.38%	0.16895	-2.11%	0.0206	✓	1.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.1731	0.172574	-0.30%	0.1718	-0.75%	0.0180	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.1736	0.172991	-0.35%	0.1717	-1.09%	0.0386	✓	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.1664	0.16615	-0.15%	0.169	+1.56%	0.0158	✓	1.21
2026-07-01	oos	0.1652	0.165212	+0.01%	0.1669	+1.03%	0.0356	✗	1.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.1608	0.16128	+0.30%	0.1647	+2.43%	0.0766	✗	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.1666	0.166735	+0.08%	0.171	+2.64%	0.0514	✗	1.24
2026-06-28	oos	0.1651	0.165517	+0.25%	0.1726	+4.54%	0.0409	✗	1.24
2026-06-27	oos	0.1675	0.168025	+0.31%	0.1731	+3.34%	0.0339	✗	1.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.1696	0.170238	+0.38%	0.1736	+2.36%	0.0316	✗	1.25
2026-06-25	oos	0.1643	0.165379	+0.66%	0.1664	+1.28%	0.0303	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.1719	0.172529	+0.37%	0.1652	-3.90%	0.0228	✗	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.1774	0.177634	+0.13%	0.1608	-9.36%	0.0171	✗	1.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.1796	0.179587	-0.01%	0.1666	-7.24%	0.0009	✓	1.21
2026-06-21	oos	0.1771	0.177089	-0.01%	0.1651	-6.78%	0.0043	✗	1.21
2026-06-20	oos	0.1835	0.183288	-0.12%	0.1675	-8.72%	0.0066	✓	1.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.1808	0.180827	+0.02%	0.1696	-6.19%	0.0041	✓	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1843	0.184437	+0.07%	0.1643	-10.85%	0.0524	✗	1.22
2026-06-17	oos	0.1901	0.190071	-0.02%	0.1719	-9.57%	0.0332	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.193	0.192899	-0.05%	0.1774	-8.08%	0.0272	✓	1.22
2026-06-15	oos	0.1936	0.193503	-0.05%	0.1796	-7.23%	0.0306	✓	1.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.1951	0.194916	-0.09%	0.1771	-9.23%	0.0486	✓	1.23
2026-06-13	oos	0.1847	0.185138	+0.24%	0.1835	-0.65%	0.0049	✗	1.23
2026-06-12	oos	0.17915	0.180018	+0.48%	0.1808	+0.92%	0.0056	✓	1.22
2026-06-11	oos	0.1834	0.184047	+0.35%	0.1843	+0.49%	0.0146	✓	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.1751	0.176849	+1.00%	0.1901	+8.57%	0.0146	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.18185	0.183333	+0.82%	0.193	+6.13%	0.0233	✗	1.21
2026-06-08	oos	0.1853	0.18634	+0.56%	0.1936	+4.48%	0.0220	✗	1.21
2026-06-07	oos	0.1875	0.18839	+0.47%	0.1951	+4.05%	0.0101	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.1802	0.182894	+1.50%	0.1847	+2.50%	0.0579	✗	1.19
2026-06-05	oos	0.1759	0.179528	+2.06%	0.17915	+1.85%	0.0499	✗	1.19
2026-06-04	oos	0.1913	0.192719	+0.74%	0.1834	-4.13%	0.0452	✗	1.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.2105	0.21016	-0.16%	0.1751	-16.82%	0.1366	✓	1.11
2026-06-02	oos	0.2124	0.211039	-0.64%	0.18185	-14.38%	0.0603	✓	1.14
2026-06-01	oos	0.234	0.229276	-2.02%	0.1853	-20.81%	0.0807	✓	1.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.2396	0.233648	-2.48%	0.1875	-21.74%	0.0570	✓	1.08
2026-05-30	oos	0.2355	0.229852	-2.40%	0.1802	-23.48%	0.0418	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.2345	0.229149	-2.28%	0.1759	-24.99%	0.0704	✓	1.05
2026-05-28	oos	0.2335	0.228124	-2.30%	0.1913	-18.07%	0.0272	✓	1.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.233	0.227415	-2.40%	0.2105	-9.66%	0.0777	✗	1.04
2026-05-26	oos	0.2425	0.236026	-2.67%	0.2124	-12.41%	0.0276	✗	1.03
2026-05-25	oos	0.2476	0.240638	-2.81%	0.234	-5.49%	0.0607	✗	1.11
2026-05-24	oos	0.244	0.237169	-2.80%	0.2396	-1.80%	0.0601	✗	1.10
2026-05-23	oos	0.2479	0.240748	-2.88%	0.2355	-5.00%	0.0195	✓	1.09
2026-05-22	oos	0.2406	0.233967	-2.76%	0.2345	-2.54%	0.0326	✗	1.09
2026-05-21	oos	0.2509	0.243287	-3.03%	0.2335	-6.94%	0.0166	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	0.2419	0.234765	-2.95%	0.233	-3.68%	0.0375	✗	1.08
2026-05-19	oos	0.2334	0.226891	-2.79%	0.2425	+3.90%	0.0798	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.2381	0.231217	-2.89%	0.2476	+3.99%	0.0642	✗	1.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.2338	0.227485	-2.70%	0.244	+4.36%	0.0761	✗	1.08
2026-05-16	oos	0.238	0.231689	-2.65%	0.2479	+4.16%	0.0880	✗	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.2496	0.242959	-2.66%	0.2406	-3.61%	0.0407	✗	1.08
2026-05-14	oos	0.2681	0.261295	-2.54%	0.2509	-6.42%	0.0064	✓	1.06
2026-05-13	oos	0.2663	0.258961	-2.76%	0.2419	-9.16%	0.0438	✓	1.06
2026-05-12	oos	0.2703	0.263527	-2.51%	0.2334	-13.65%	0.0721	✓	1.04
2026-05-11	oos	0.2713	0.265325	-2.20%	0.2381	-12.24%	0.0465	✓	1.02
2026-05-10	oos	0.2684	0.263008	-2.01%	0.2338	-12.89%	0.0555	✓	1.04
2026-05-09	oos	0.2645	0.25857	-2.24%	0.238	-10.02%	0.0495	✓	1.04
2026-05-08	oos	0.2656	0.259412	-2.33%	0.2496	-6.02%	0.0238	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.25205	0.246765	-2.10%	0.2681	+6.37%	0.0690	✗	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.2516	0.247735	-1.54%	0.2663	+5.84%	0.1000	✗	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.2531	0.248276	-1.91%	0.2703	+6.80%	0.0899	✗	0.94
2026-05-04	oos	0.2234	0.221067	-1.04%	0.2713	+21.44%	0.1826	✗	0.96
2026-05-03	oos	0.2239	0.220324	-1.60%	0.2684	+19.87%	0.1562	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.2266	0.223097	-1.55%	0.2645	+16.73%	0.1470	✗	0.94
2026-05-01	oos	0.2227	0.218835	-1.74%	0.2656	+19.26%	0.1705	✗	0.94
2026-04-30	oos	0.22055	0.215293	-2.38%	0.25205	+14.28%	0.1117	✗	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.22185	0.216412	-2.45%	0.2516	+13.41%	0.0804	✗	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.22455	0.219237	-2.37%	0.2531	+12.71%	0.0872	✗	0.97
2026-04-27	oos	0.2268	0.222396	-1.94%	0.2234	-1.50%	0.0261	✓	0.97
2026-04-26	oos	0.2317	0.228448	-1.40%	0.2239	-3.37%	0.0187	✓	0.97
2026-04-25	oos	0.2275	0.223453	-1.78%	0.2266	-0.40%	0.0011	✓	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.2285	0.224545	-1.73%	0.2227	-2.54%	0.0180	✓	0.99
2026-04-23	oos	0.2275	0.224685	-1.24%	0.22055	-3.05%	0.0067	✓	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.2262	0.223508	-1.19%	0.22185	-1.92%	0.0240	✗	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.2244	0.220289	-1.83%	0.22455	+0.07%	0.0196	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.2239	0.219589	-1.93%	0.2268	+1.30%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.2195	0.21454	-2.26%	0.2317	+5.56%	0.0127	✓	1.01
2026-04-18	oos	0.2308	0.22675	-1.75%	0.2275	-1.43%	0.0219	✓	1.01
2026-04-17	oos	0.2416	0.238266	-1.38%	0.2285	-5.42%	0.0466	✓	1.01
2026-04-16	oos	0.24285	0.238215	-1.91%	0.2275	-6.32%	0.0875	✓	1.02
2026-04-15	oos	0.2351	0.230774	-1.84%	0.2262	-3.79%	0.0649	✓	1.02
2026-04-14	oos	0.2199	0.216071	-1.74%	0.2244	+2.05%	0.0086	✓	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.2279	0.223725	-1.83%	0.2239	-1.76%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.212	0.207928	-1.92%	0.2195	+3.54%	0.0121	✓	0.99
2026-04-11	oos	0.2186	0.214577	-1.84%	0.2308	+5.58%	0.0375	✗	0.99
2026-04-10	oos	0.2231	0.219168	-1.76%	0.2416	+8.29%	0.0432	✗	0.99
2026-04-09	oos	0.2216	0.217737	-1.74%	0.24285	+9.59%	0.0636	✗	0.99
2026-04-08	oos	0.2208	0.217094	-1.68%	0.2351	+6.48%	0.0286	✗	0.99
2026-04-07	oos	0.2272	0.223365	-1.69%	0.2199	-3.21%	0.0464	✓	0.99
2026-04-06	oos	0.2173	0.213836	-1.59%	0.2279	+4.88%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.2136	0.210094	-1.64%	0.212	-0.75%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.214	0.210737	-1.52%	0.2186	+2.15%	0.0475	✓	1.02
2026-04-03	oos	0.2141	0.210926	-1.48%	0.2231	+4.20%	0.0339	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.21415	0.210966	-1.49%	0.2216	+3.48%	0.0253	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.2239	0.220046	-1.72%	0.2208	-1.38%	0.0416	✓	1.05
2026-03-31	oos	0.2245	0.220732	-1.68%	0.2272	+1.20%	0.0272	✓	1.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.219	0.216251	-1.26%	0.2173	-0.78%	0.0285	✓	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.214	0.212146	-0.87%	0.2136	-0.19%	0.0412	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.2204	0.218494	-0.86%	0.214	-2.90%	0.0363	✓	1.06
2026-03-27	oos	0.22555	0.223636	-0.85%	0.2141	-5.08%	0.0533	✓	1.06
2026-03-26	oos	0.23395	0.231614	-1.00%	0.21415	-8.46%	0.0489	✓	1.07
2026-03-25	oos	0.2421	0.239769	-0.96%	0.2239	-7.52%	0.0195	✓	1.07
2026-03-24	oos	0.2427	0.240456	-0.92%	0.2245	-7.50%	0.0329	✓	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.2437	0.241559	-0.88%	0.219	-10.14%	0.0334	✓	1.07
2026-03-22	oos	0.2314	0.229584	-0.78%	0.214	-7.52%	0.0400	✓	1.07
2026-03-21	oos	0.2392	0.236858	-0.98%	0.2204	-7.86%	0.0310	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.246	0.243508	-1.01%	0.22555	-8.31%	0.0120	✓	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.2461	0.243746	-0.96%	0.23395	-4.94%	0.0233	✓	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.2516	0.249434	-0.86%	0.2421	-3.78%	0.0307	✓	1.08
2026-03-17	oos	0.2653	0.263447	-0.70%	0.2427	-8.52%	0.0316	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.2696	0.26792	-0.62%	0.2437	-9.61%	0.0354	✓	1.08
2026-03-15	oos	0.2569	0.255428	-0.57%	0.2314	-9.93%	0.0231	✓	1.07
2026-03-14	oos	0.2504	0.249132	-0.51%	0.2392	-4.47%	0.0051	✓	1.07
2026-03-13	oos	0.25565	0.254253	-0.55%	0.246	-3.77%	0.0262	✓	1.08
2026-03-12	oos	0.2558	0.254327	-0.58%	0.2461	-3.79%	0.0234	✓	1.08
2026-03-11	oos	0.2556	0.254186	-0.55%	0.2516	-1.56%	0.0261	✓	1.08
2026-03-10	oos	0.2589	0.257379	-0.59%	0.2653	+2.47%	0.0294	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.2531	0.25176	-0.53%	0.2696	+6.52%	0.0292	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.2503	0.249037	-0.50%	0.2569	+2.64%	0.0783	✓	1.11
2026-03-07	oos	0.2566	0.255092	-0.59%	0.2504	-2.42%	0.0821	✓	1.11
2026-03-06	oos	0.2605	0.259053	-0.56%	0.25565	-1.86%	0.0581	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2645	0.263197	-0.49%	0.2558	-3.29%	0.0229	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.2692	0.267831	-0.51%	0.2556	-5.05%	0.0078	✓	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.256	0.254919	-0.42%	0.2589	+1.13%	0.0114	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.2564	0.25537	-0.40%	0.2531	-1.29%	0.0022	✓	1.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.2525	0.251695	-0.32%	0.2503	-0.87%	0.0092	✓	1.19
2026-02-28	oos	0.2615	0.260172	-0.51%	0.2566	-1.87%	0.0191	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.2596	0.258428	-0.45%	0.2605	+0.35%	0.0326	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.2612	0.259939	-0.48%	0.2645	+1.26%	0.0422	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.265	0.26352	-0.56%	0.2692	+1.58%	0.0597	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.2369	0.237306	+0.17%	0.256	+8.06%	0.0002	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.2363	0.236773	+0.20%	0.2564	+8.51%	0.0063	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.2443	0.244082	-0.09%	0.2525	+3.36%	0.0664	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.254	0.253268	-0.29%	0.2615	+2.95%	0.0492	✗	1.18
2026-02-20	oos	0.2561	0.255369	-0.29%	0.2596	+1.37%	0.0535	✗	1.17
2026-02-19	oos	0.2501	0.249847	-0.10%	0.2612	+4.44%	0.0354	✗	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.25275	0.252539	-0.08%	0.265	+4.85%	0.0207	✗	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.2607	0.260141	-0.21%	0.2369	-9.13%	0.0337	✓	1.16
2026-02-16	oos	0.2673	0.266352	-0.35%	0.2363	-11.60%	0.0463	✓	1.16
2026-02-15	oos	0.2667	0.265797	-0.34%	0.2443	-8.40%	0.0644	✓	1.16
2026-02-14	oos	0.2771	0.275433	-0.60%	0.254	-8.34%	0.0502	✓	1.16
2026-02-13	oos	0.2697	0.268689	-0.37%	0.2561	-5.04%	0.0340	✓	1.16
2026-02-12	oos	0.2619	0.261867	-0.01%	0.2501	-4.51%	0.0594	✓	1.17
2026-02-11	oos	0.2551	0.255516	+0.16%	0.25275	-0.92%	0.0003	✓	1.17
2026-02-10	oos	0.2531	0.253462	+0.14%	0.2607	+3.00%	0.0515	✓	1.19
2026-02-09	oos	0.2634	0.26306	-0.13%	0.2673	+1.48%	0.0372	✗	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	0.2689	0.268352	-0.20%	0.2667	-0.82%	0.0192	✗	1.19
2026-02-07	oos	0.2678	0.267801	+0.00%	0.2771	+3.47%	0.0248	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.278	0.276889	-0.40%	0.2697	-2.99%	0.0031	✓	1.20
2026-02-05	oos	0.2489	0.254602	+2.29%	0.2619	+5.22%	0.0381	✗	1.25
2026-02-04	oos	0.2779	0.277007	-0.32%	0.2551	-8.20%	0.0533	✗	1.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.3082	0.302877	-1.73%	0.2531	-17.88%	0.0327	✓	1.55
2026-02-02	oos	0.2895	0.28608	-1.18%	0.2634	-9.02%	0.1059	✗	1.64
2026-02-01	oos	0.25485	0.257584	+1.07%	0.2689	+5.51%	0.1821	✓	1.55
2026-01-31	oos	0.2615	0.263451	+0.75%	0.2678	+2.41%	0.2214	✓	1.61
2026-01-30	oos	0.2892	0.284023	-1.79%	0.278	-3.87%	0.2639	✗	1.62
2026-01-29	oos	0.2864	0.281511	-1.71%	0.2489	-13.09%	0.3595	✗	1.62
2026-01-28	oos	0.2999	0.291413	-2.83%	0.2779	-7.34%	0.2884	✗	1.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.3001	0.29188	-2.74%	0.3082	+2.70%	0.3326	✗	1.70
2026-01-26	oos	0.2978	0.290099	-2.59%	0.2895	-2.79%	0.1907	✗	1.68
2026-01-25	oos	0.2823	0.277213	-1.80%	0.25485	-9.72%	0.1134	✗	1.67
2026-01-24	oos	0.3024	0.294398	-2.65%	0.2615	-13.53%	0.0875	✗	1.65
2026-01-23	oos	0.3096	0.301232	-2.70%	0.2892	-6.59%	0.0617	✗	1.66
2026-01-22	oos	0.3143	0.305226	-2.89%	0.2864	-8.88%	0.0306	✗	1.66
2026-01-21	oos	0.3148	0.305567	-2.93%	0.2999	-4.73%	0.0150	✓	1.66
2026-01-20	oos	0.30075	0.292766	-2.65%	0.3001	-0.22%	0.0098	✓	1.64
2026-01-19	oos	0.3232	0.313362	-3.04%	0.2978	-7.86%	0.0278	✓	1.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.3426	0.331369	-3.28%	0.2823	-17.60%	0.0313	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	0.3621	0.349836	-3.39%	0.3024	-16.49%	0.0395	✓	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.3721	0.359595	-3.36%	0.3096	-16.80%	0.0437	✓	1.63
2026-01-15	oos	0.3664	0.35438	-3.28%	0.3143	-14.22%	0.0126	✓	1.62
2026-01-14	oos	0.38445	0.372405	-3.13%	0.3148	-18.12%	0.0363	✓	1.62
2026-01-13	oos	0.3951	0.381859	-3.35%	0.30075	-23.88%	0.1120	✓	1.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.37705	0.364264	-3.39%	0.3232	-14.28%	0.1448	✓	1.68
2026-01-11	oos	0.3827	0.370016	-3.31%	0.3426	-10.48%	0.1276	✓	1.69
2026-01-10	oos	0.3862	0.373316	-3.34%	0.3621	-6.24%	0.1175	✓	1.70
2026-01-09	oos	0.3733	0.36146	-3.17%	0.3721	-0.32%	0.0635	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.354	0.344036	-2.81%	0.3664	+3.50%	0.0213	✓	1.72
2026-01-07	oos	0.3476	0.338441	-2.63%	0.38445	+10.60%	0.0033	✓	2.06
2026-01-06	oos	0.3722	0.362044	-2.73%	0.3951	+6.15%	0.0513	✗	2.05
2026-01-05	oos	0.3755	0.364615	-2.90%	0.37705	+0.41%	0.0929	✗	2.05
2026-01-04	oos	0.3558	0.345803	-2.81%	0.3827	+7.56%	0.1153	✗	2.05
2026-01-03	oos	0.3022	0.296736	-1.81%	0.3862	+27.80%	0.2685	✗	2.01
2026-01-02	oos	0.276	0.272521	-1.26%	0.3733	+35.25%	0.3024	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.2632	0.26076	-0.93%	0.354	+34.50%	0.2555	✗	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.24385	0.242956	-0.37%	0.3476	+42.55%	0.2762	✗	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.2535	0.252571	-0.37%	0.3722	+46.82%	0.2745	✗	1.94
2025-12-29	oos	0.2547	0.254032	-0.26%	0.3755	+47.43%	0.2464	✗	1.93
2025-12-28	oos	0.2646	0.263672	-0.35%	0.3558	+34.47%	0.2218	✗	1.93
2025-12-27	oos	0.2656	0.264758	-0.32%	0.3022	+13.78%	0.0724	✗	1.91
2025-12-26	oos	0.25095	0.250898	-0.02%	0.276	+9.98%	0.0385	✗	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.2443	0.244648	+0.14%	0.2632	+7.74%	0.0395	✓	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.2488	0.248972	+0.07%	0.24385	-1.99%	0.0184	✗	1.89
2025-12-23	oos	0.2436	0.244146	+0.22%	0.2535	+4.06%	0.0170	✓	1.87
2025-12-22	oos	0.2477	0.248077	+0.15%	0.2547	+2.83%	0.0570	✓	1.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.24925	0.249576	+0.13%	0.2646	+6.16%	0.0746	✓	1.86
2025-12-20	oos	0.2561	0.256067	-0.01%	0.2656	+3.71%	0.0475	✗	1.88
2025-12-19	oos	0.2542	0.254335	+0.05%	0.25095	-1.28%	0.0036	✓	1.88
2025-12-18	oos	0.24065	0.241937	+0.53%	0.2443	+1.52%	0.0275	✗	1.87
2025-12-17	oos	0.2509	0.251717	+0.33%	0.2488	-0.84%	0.0419	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.2637	0.263876	+0.07%	0.2436	-7.62%	0.0709	✗	1.88
2025-12-15	oos	0.2638	0.264324	+0.20%	0.2477	-6.10%	0.1112	✗	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.2785	0.278213	-0.10%	0.24925	-10.50%	0.1199	✓	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.2891	0.288305	-0.27%	0.2561	-11.41%	0.0776	✓	1.89
2025-12-12	oos	0.2881	0.287708	-0.14%	0.2542	-11.77%	0.0775	✓	1.89
2025-12-11	oos	0.2974	0.296863	-0.18%	0.24065	-19.08%	0.0587	✓	1.90
2025-12-10	oos	0.30685	0.306128	-0.24%	0.2509	-18.23%	0.0742	✓	1.91
2025-12-09	oos	0.3159	0.314892	-0.32%	0.2637	-16.52%	0.0750	✓	1.91
2025-12-08	oos	0.3006	0.30033	-0.09%	0.2638	-12.24%	0.0389	✓	1.90
2025-12-07	oos	0.2932	0.293341	+0.05%	0.2785	-5.01%	0.0046	✗	1.89
2025-12-06	oos	0.2967	0.296908	+0.07%	0.2891	-2.56%	0.0476	✗	1.91
2025-12-05	oos	0.2922	0.292842	+0.22%	0.2881	-1.40%	0.0361	✗	1.91
2025-12-04	oos	0.3079	0.307985	+0.03%	0.2974	-3.41%	0.0443	✗	1.91
2025-12-03	oos	0.3205	0.320203	-0.09%	0.30685	-4.26%	0.0134	✓	1.91
2025-12-02	oos	0.308	0.308574	+0.19%	0.3159	+2.56%	0.0053	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.2824	0.284883	+0.88%	0.3006	+6.44%	0.0424	✗	1.94
2025-11-30	oos	0.30755	0.308753	+0.39%	0.2932	-4.67%	0.0524	✗	1.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.3129	0.314438	+0.49%	0.2967	-5.18%	0.0244	✗	1.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.3171	0.318914	+0.57%	0.2922	-7.85%	0.0539	✗	1.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.32335	0.325148	+0.56%	0.3079	-4.78%	0.0709	✗	1.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.3224	0.324437	+0.63%	0.3205	-0.59%	0.0747	✗	1.92
2025-11-25	oos	0.3193	0.32202	+0.85%	0.308	-3.54%	0.1329	✗	1.98
2025-11-24	oos	0.321	0.323629	+0.82%	0.2824	-12.02%	0.0911	✗	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.3078	0.31162	+1.24%	0.30755	-0.08%	0.0929	✗	1.98
2025-11-22	oos	0.3075	0.31229	+1.56%	0.3129	+1.76%	0.1406	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.3121	0.316927	+1.55%	0.3171	+1.60%	0.1341	✗	2.03
2025-11-20	oos	0.3277	0.331337	+1.11%	0.32335	-1.33%	0.1332	✗	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.342	0.343658	+0.48%	0.3224	-5.73%	0.0406	✗	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.3463	0.347688	+0.40%	0.3193	-7.80%	0.0475	✓	2.14
2025-11-17	oos	0.3375	0.340041	+0.75%	0.321	-4.89%	0.0335	✓	2.14
2025-11-16	oos	0.3473	0.349183	+0.54%	0.3078	-11.37%	0.0491	✓	2.15
2025-11-15	oos	0.3604	0.361611	+0.34%	0.3075	-14.68%	0.0974	✓	2.15
2025-11-14	oos	0.3595	0.361298	+0.50%	0.3121	-13.18%	0.0805	✓	2.16
2025-11-13	oos	0.38295	0.382331	-0.16%	0.3277	-14.43%	0.1607	✗	2.24
2025-11-12	oos	0.40275	0.400713	-0.51%	0.342	-15.08%	0.0773	✗	2.23
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.409116	-0.60%	0.3463	-15.86%	0.0652	✗	2.25
2025-11-10	oos	0.4293	0.425608	-0.86%	0.3375	-21.38%	0.0861	✗	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.422	0.418783	-0.76%	0.3473	-17.70%	0.0538	✗	2.28
2025-11-08	oos	0.4026	0.400897	-0.42%	0.3604	-10.48%	0.0492	✗	2.28
2025-11-07	oos	0.4112	0.408308	-0.70%	0.3595	-12.57%	0.0727	✗	2.25
2025-11-06	oos	0.3523	0.353864	+0.44%	0.38295	+8.70%	0.1154	✓	2.18
2025-11-05	oos	0.3613	0.361938	+0.18%	0.40275	+11.47%	0.1547	✓	2.20
2025-11-04	oos	0.3551	0.357329	+0.63%	0.4116	+15.91%	0.1076	✓	2.24
2025-11-03	oos	0.3715	0.372119	+0.17%	0.4293	+15.56%	0.1557	✓	2.34
2025-11-02	oos	0.4251	0.423049	-0.48%	0.422	-0.73%	0.1222	✗	2.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.4243	0.422693	-0.38%	0.4026	-5.11%	0.1199	✗	2.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.4127	0.41214	-0.14%	0.4112	-0.36%	0.1332	✗	2.30
2025-10-30	oos	0.4062	0.406325	+0.03%	0.3523	-13.27%	0.0115	✓	2.30
2025-10-29	oos	0.44075	0.439225	-0.35%	0.3613	-18.03%	0.0646	✓	2.27
2025-10-28	oos	0.4417	0.439764	-0.44%	0.3551	-19.61%	0.0349	✗	2.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.458	0.455048	-0.64%	0.3715	-18.89%	0.0440	✓	2.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.4691	0.465373	-0.79%	0.4251	-9.38%	0.0076	✓	2.33
2025-10-25	oos	0.4467	0.444201	-0.56%	0.4243	-5.01%	0.0116	✓	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.44955	0.446819	-0.61%	0.4127	-8.20%	0.0475	✓	2.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.4321	0.430035	-0.48%	0.4062	-5.99%	0.0179	✓	2.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.4216	0.420284	-0.31%	0.44075	+4.54%	0.0058	✓	2.37
2025-10-21	oos	0.4273	0.425211	-0.49%	0.4417	+3.37%	0.0595	✓	2.37
2025-10-20	oos	0.4426	0.438734	-0.87%	0.458	+3.48%	0.0327	✓	2.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.4367	0.433627	-0.70%	0.4691	+7.42%	0.0483	✓	2.41
2025-10-18	oos	0.4218	0.420381	-0.34%	0.4467	+5.90%	0.0374	✓	2.41
2025-10-17	oos	0.42245	0.421923	-0.12%	0.44955	+6.41%	0.0379	✓	2.41
2025-10-16	oos	0.4364	0.43473	-0.38%	0.4321	-0.99%	0.0485	✓	2.41
2025-10-15	oos	0.4554	0.451618	-0.83%	0.4216	-7.42%	0.0026	✓	2.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.4704	0.464697	-1.21%	0.4273	-9.16%	0.0200	✗	2.45
2025-10-13	oos	0.48935	0.481106	-1.68%	0.4426	-9.55%	0.0187	✗	2.45
2025-10-12	oos	0.4605	0.454415	-1.32%	0.4367	-5.17%	0.0975	✗	2.40
2025-10-11	oos	0.422	0.42103	-0.23%	0.4218	-0.05%	0.0803	✗	2.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.4292	0.427232	-0.46%	0.42245	-1.57%	0.1342	✗	2.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.5939	0.58118	-2.14%	0.4364	-26.52%	0.0564	✓	1.95
2025-10-08	oos	0.61245	0.599392	-2.13%	0.4554	-25.64%	0.0671	✓	1.94
2025-10-07	oos	0.5965	0.584182	-2.07%	0.4704	-21.14%	0.0796	✓	1.93
2025-10-06	oos	0.6297	0.616308	-2.13%	0.48935	-22.29%	0.0777	✓	1.94
2025-10-05	oos	0.5985	0.58657	-1.99%	0.4605	-23.06%	0.1052	✓	1.93
2025-10-04	oos	0.6028	0.591357	-1.90%	0.422	-29.99%	0.1435	✓	1.93
2025-10-03	oos	0.62005	0.608606	-1.85%	0.4292	-30.78%	0.1956	✓	1.94
2025-10-02	oos	0.6237	0.612475	-1.80%	0.5939	-4.78%	0.0484	✓	1.95
2025-10-01	oos	0.6052	0.59552	-1.60%	0.61245	+1.20%	0.0484	✓	1.97
2025-09-30	oos	0.572	0.564213	-1.36%	0.5965	+4.28%	0.0692	✓	2.01
2025-09-29	oos	0.58455	0.575566	-1.54%	0.6297	+7.72%	0.0865	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.585	0.576292	-1.49%	0.5985	+2.31%	0.1613	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.57445	0.566578	-1.37%	0.6028	+4.94%	0.1707	✓	2.11
2025-09-26	oos	0.5796	0.570984	-1.49%	0.62005	+6.98%	0.1485	✓	2.12
2025-09-25	oos	0.5648	0.557114	-1.36%	0.6237	+10.43%	0.1008	✓	2.12
2025-09-24	oos	0.59475	0.583772	-1.85%	0.6052	+1.76%	0.0639	✓	2.18
2025-09-23	oos	0.59685	0.586304	-1.77%	0.572	-4.16%	0.0646	✓	2.20
2025-09-22	oos	0.60435	0.593095	-1.86%	0.58455	-3.28%	0.0460	✓	2.20
2025-09-21	oos	0.6457	0.630799	-2.31%	0.585	-9.40%	0.0159	✓	2.19
2025-09-20	oos	0.6585	0.642982	-2.36%	0.57445	-12.76%	0.0077	✓	2.23
2025-09-19	oos	0.65575	0.640653	-2.30%	0.5796	-11.61%	0.0190	✓	2.24
2025-09-18	oos	0.6902	0.672692	-2.54%	0.5648	-18.17%	0.0146	✓	2.24
2025-09-17	oos	0.6744	0.657696	-2.48%	0.59475	-11.81%	0.0396	✓	2.23

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.