STX

Stacks · native · gru_s4

token id: #65
symbol: STX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-01-20
predictions: 5,166

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

49.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0245

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0015

actual +0.0004

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.35975	0.357788	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.35575	0.354193	-0.44%	0.35975	+1.12%	0.0201	✗	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.3583	0.35676	-0.43%	0.35575	-0.71%	0.0235	✓	1.55
2026-10-18	oos	0.35505	0.353693	-0.38%	0.3583	+0.92%	0.0161	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.3681	0.366326	-0.48%	0.35505	-3.55%	0.0431	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.3924	0.389855	-0.65%	0.3681	-6.19%	0.0552	✓	1.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.43015	0.426357	-0.88%	0.3924	-8.78%	0.0715	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.4238	0.419919	-0.92%	0.43015	+1.50%	0.0138	✗	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.4344	0.429813	-1.06%	0.4238	-2.44%	0.0139	✗	1.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.4101	0.40562	-1.09%	0.4344	+5.93%	0.0440	✗	1.49
2026-10-11	oos	0.3984	0.394573	-0.96%	0.4101	+2.94%	0.0731	✗	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.40105	0.397138	-0.98%	0.3984	-0.66%	0.0104	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.39515	0.391237	-0.99%	0.40105	+1.49%	0.0183	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.38165	0.378066	-0.94%	0.39515	+3.54%	0.0290	✗	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.37065	0.366814	-1.03%	0.38165	+2.97%	0.0684	✗	1.50
2026-10-06	oos	0.3845	0.380431	-1.06%	0.37065	-3.60%	0.0140	✗	1.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.37935	0.375378	-1.05%	0.3845	+1.36%	0.0276	✗	1.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.38935	0.385272	-1.05%	0.37935	-2.57%	0.0025	✓	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	0.3843	0.380132	-1.08%	0.38935	+1.31%	0.0067	✓	1.49
2026-10-02	oos	0.3678	0.363925	-1.05%	0.3843	+4.49%	0.0503	✗	1.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.37365	0.369314	-1.16%	0.3678	-1.57%	0.0019	✓	1.48
2026-09-30	oos	0.37085	0.365075	-1.56%	0.37365	+0.76%	0.0003	✓	1.49
2026-09-29	oos	0.3168	0.313498	-1.04%	0.37085	+17.06%	0.1695	✗	1.49
2026-09-28	oos	0.3139	0.310742	-1.01%	0.3168	+0.92%	0.0161	✗	1.48
2026-09-27	oos	0.3385	0.334656	-1.14%	0.3139	-7.27%	0.0466	✓	1.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.3427	0.338854	-1.12%	0.3385	-1.23%	0.0018	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.32625	0.322987	-1.00%	0.3427	+5.04%	0.0537	✗	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.3134	0.310509	-0.92%	0.32625	+4.10%	0.0545	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.3081	0.305517	-0.84%	0.3134	+1.72%	0.0254	✗	1.47
2026-09-22	oos	0.33585	0.333065	-0.83%	0.3081	-8.26%	0.0472	✓	1.44
2026-09-21	oos	0.3414	0.338782	-0.77%	0.33585	-1.63%	0.0021	✓	1.43
2026-09-20	oos	0.33615	0.333411	-0.81%	0.3414	+1.56%	0.0776	✓	1.56
2026-09-19	oos	0.3152	0.312348	-0.90%	0.33615	+6.65%	0.0749	✗	1.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.2841	0.281753	-0.83%	0.3152	+10.95%	0.1052	✗	1.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.2511	0.249856	-0.50%	0.2841	+13.14%	0.0413	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.24255	0.24168	-0.36%	0.2511	+3.53%	0.0342	✗	1.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.2348	0.234297	-0.21%	0.24255	+3.30%	0.0236	✗	1.50
2026-09-14	oos	0.2637	0.262143	-0.59%	0.2348	-10.96%	0.0624	✓	1.42
2026-09-13	oos	0.26525	0.2636	-0.62%	0.2637	-0.58%	0.0250	✓	1.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.26815	0.266491	-0.62%	0.26525	-1.08%	0.0039	✓	1.42
2026-09-11	oos	0.25275	0.25159	-0.46%	0.26815	+6.09%	0.0627	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.25315	0.252084	-0.42%	0.25275	-0.16%	0.0100	✓	1.45
2026-09-09	oos	0.27385	0.272828	-0.37%	0.25315	-7.56%	0.0430	✓	1.41
2026-09-08	oos	0.2715	0.270779	-0.27%	0.27385	+0.87%	0.0142	✗	1.41
2026-09-07	oos	0.2772	0.276466	-0.26%	0.2715	-2.06%	0.0066	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.2692	0.26883	-0.14%	0.2772	+2.97%	0.0531	✗	1.43
2026-09-05	oos	0.2693	0.268601	-0.26%	0.2692	-0.04%	0.0069	✓	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.2646	0.263633	-0.37%	0.2693	+1.78%	0.0185	✗	1.42
2026-09-03	oos	0.2749	0.273089	-0.66%	0.2646	-3.75%	0.0038	✓	1.41
2026-09-02	oos	0.2611	0.25902	-0.80%	0.2749	+5.29%	0.0135	✓	1.46
2026-09-01	oos	0.2553	0.252889	-0.94%	0.2611	+2.27%	0.0337	✗	1.48
2026-08-31	oos	0.2511	0.248506	-1.03%	0.2553	+1.67%	0.0485	✗	1.44
2026-08-30	oos	0.2343	0.23259	-0.73%	0.2511	+7.17%	0.0602	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.2434	0.241245	-0.89%	0.2343	-3.74%	0.0190	✓	1.40
2026-08-28	oos	0.2603	0.256178	-1.58%	0.2434	-6.49%	0.0583	✓	1.41
2026-08-27	oos	0.2572	0.25286	-1.69%	0.2603	+1.21%	0.0737	✗	1.45
2026-08-26	oos	0.2688	0.262536	-2.33%	0.2572	-4.32%	0.0437	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.2634	0.255568	-2.97%	0.2688	+2.05%	0.0412	✗	1.47
2026-08-24	oos	0.231	0.227337	-1.59%	0.2634	+14.03%	0.1559	✗	1.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.234	0.228958	-2.15%	0.231	-1.28%	0.0152	✓	1.51
2026-08-22	oos	0.2193	0.214113	-2.37%	0.234	+6.70%	0.0758	✗	1.49
2026-08-21	oos	0.1898	0.186023	-1.99%	0.2193	+15.54%	0.1901	✗	1.56
2026-08-20	oos	0.1461	0.145652	-0.31%	0.1898	+29.91%	0.1763	✗	1.26
2026-08-19	oos	0.1284	0.128279	-0.09%	0.1461	+13.79%	0.0700	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.11995	0.119905	-0.04%	0.1284	+7.04%	0.0122	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.1209	0.120835	-0.05%	0.11995	-0.79%	0.0111	✓	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.1222	0.12214	-0.05%	0.1209	-1.06%	0.0416	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.12165	0.121599	-0.04%	0.1222	+0.45%	0.0084	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.1222	0.122161	-0.03%	0.12165	-0.45%	0.0050	✓	1.22
2026-08-13	oos	0.1245	0.124439	-0.05%	0.1222	-1.85%	0.0094	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.1229	0.12288	-0.02%	0.1245	+1.30%	0.0128	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.1276	0.127541	-0.05%	0.1229	-3.68%	0.0347	✓	1.24
2026-08-10	oos	0.1309	0.130801	-0.08%	0.1276	-2.52%	0.0174	✓	1.23
2026-08-09	oos	0.1298	0.129686	-0.09%	0.1309	+0.85%	0.0273	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.1326	0.132479	-0.09%	0.1298	-2.11%	0.0193	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.1292	0.129149	-0.04%	0.1326	+2.63%	0.0260	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.1301	0.130077	-0.02%	0.1292	-0.69%	0.0187	✓	1.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.1338	0.133739	-0.05%	0.1301	-2.77%	0.0211	✓	1.24
2026-08-04	oos	0.1347	0.134637	-0.05%	0.1338	-0.67%	0.0168	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.1386	0.138454	-0.11%	0.1347	-2.81%	0.0389	✓	1.24
2026-08-02	oos	0.1391	0.138903	-0.14%	0.1386	-0.36%	0.0015	✓	1.30
2026-08-01	oos	0.1393	0.139113	-0.13%	0.1391	-0.14%	0.0152	✓	1.29
2026-07-31	oos	0.1375	0.137321	-0.13%	0.1393	+1.31%	0.0156	✗	1.29
2026-07-30	oos	0.14015	0.139818	-0.24%	0.1375	-1.89%	0.0224	✗	1.32
2026-07-29	oos	0.1348	0.134626	-0.13%	0.14015	+3.97%	0.0237	✗	1.29
2026-07-28	oos	0.13795	0.137713	-0.17%	0.1348	-2.28%	0.0224	✓	1.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.1342	0.13412	-0.06%	0.13795	+2.79%	0.0251	✗	1.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.1469	0.146661	-0.16%	0.1342	-8.65%	0.0573	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.1368	0.136817	+0.01%	0.1469	+7.38%	0.0518	✓	1.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.1449	0.1449	-0.00%	0.1368	-5.59%	0.0615	✓	1.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.16445	0.164373	-0.05%	0.1449	-11.89%	0.1086	✓	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1693	0.169245	-0.03%	0.16445	-2.86%	0.0105	✓	1.15
2026-07-21	oos	0.1674	0.167392	-0.01%	0.1693	+1.14%	0.0188	✗	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1655	0.1655	-0.00%	0.1674	+1.15%	0.0113	✓	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1637	0.163732	+0.02%	0.1655	+1.10%	0.0014	✓	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.16525	0.165303	+0.03%	0.1637	-0.94%	0.0077	✗	1.14
2026-07-17	oos	0.1646	0.164681	+0.05%	0.16525	+0.39%	0.0128	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.1671	0.167169	+0.04%	0.1646	-1.50%	0.0178	✗	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.1684	0.168494	+0.06%	0.1671	-0.77%	0.0086	✓	1.15
2026-07-14	oos	0.16875	0.168868	+0.07%	0.1684	-0.21%	0.0021	✓	1.15
2026-07-13	oos	0.166	0.166128	+0.08%	0.16875	+1.66%	0.0367	✗	1.22
2026-07-12	oos	0.16895	0.169109	+0.09%	0.166	-1.75%	0.0103	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.1718	0.171946	+0.09%	0.16895	-1.66%	0.0169	✗	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.1717	0.171869	+0.10%	0.1718	+0.06%	0.0065	✓	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.169	0.169198	+0.12%	0.1717	+1.60%	0.0039	✗	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.167127	+0.14%	0.169	+1.26%	0.0073	✗	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.1647	0.164983	+0.17%	0.1669	+1.34%	0.0332	✓	1.25
2026-07-06	oos	0.171	0.171279	+0.16%	0.1647	-3.68%	0.0259	✗	1.25
2026-07-05	oos	0.1726	0.172868	+0.16%	0.171	-0.93%	0.0190	✗	1.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.1731	0.173386	+0.17%	0.1726	-0.29%	0.0143	✗	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.1736	0.17387	+0.16%	0.1731	-0.29%	0.0155	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.1664	0.166733	+0.20%	0.1736	+4.33%	0.0201	✓	1.21
2026-07-01	oos	0.1652	0.165571	+0.22%	0.1664	+0.73%	0.0258	✗	1.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.1608	0.161253	+0.28%	0.1652	+2.74%	0.0059	✗	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.1666	0.166992	+0.24%	0.1608	-3.48%	0.0036	✗	1.24
2026-06-28	oos	0.1651	0.165541	+0.27%	0.1666	+0.91%	0.0079	✗	1.24
2026-06-27	oos	0.1675	0.167975	+0.28%	0.1651	-1.43%	0.0077	✗	1.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.1696	0.170106	+0.30%	0.1675	-1.24%	0.0140	✗	1.25
2026-06-25	oos	0.1643	0.164895	+0.36%	0.1696	+3.23%	0.0219	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.1719	0.172435	+0.31%	0.1643	-4.42%	0.0224	✗	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.1774	0.177883	+0.27%	0.1719	-3.10%	0.0016	✓	1.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.1796	0.180054	+0.25%	0.1774	-1.22%	0.0102	✓	1.21
2026-06-21	oos	0.1771	0.177559	+0.26%	0.1796	+1.41%	0.0022	✓	1.21
2026-06-20	oos	0.1835	0.183953	+0.25%	0.1771	-3.49%	0.0192	✗	1.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.1808	0.181304	+0.28%	0.1835	+1.49%	0.0022	✓	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1843	0.184836	+0.29%	0.1808	-1.90%	0.0336	✗	1.22
2026-06-17	oos	0.1901	0.19063	+0.28%	0.1843	-3.05%	0.0038	✗	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.193	0.193525	+0.27%	0.1901	-1.50%	0.0041	✓	1.22
2026-06-15	oos	0.1936	0.194125	+0.27%	0.193	-0.31%	0.0065	✓	1.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.1951	0.195591	+0.25%	0.1936	-0.77%	0.0209	✗	1.23
2026-06-13	oos	0.1847	0.185321	+0.34%	0.1951	+5.63%	0.0273	✓	1.23
2026-06-12	oos	0.17915	0.179855	+0.39%	0.1847	+3.10%	0.0096	✓	1.22
2026-06-11	oos	0.1834	0.184049	+0.35%	0.17915	-2.32%	0.0265	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.1751	0.175954	+0.49%	0.1834	+4.74%	0.0004	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.18185	0.182651	+0.44%	0.1751	-3.71%	0.0375	✗	1.21
2026-06-08	oos	0.1853	0.186007	+0.38%	0.18185	-1.86%	0.0042	✓	1.21
2026-06-07	oos	0.1875	0.188165	+0.35%	0.1853	-1.17%	0.0107	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.1802	0.181197	+0.55%	0.1875	+4.05%	0.0126	✗	1.19
2026-06-05	oos	0.1759	0.17708	+0.67%	0.1802	+2.44%	0.0210	✓	1.19
2026-06-04	oos	0.1913	0.192099	+0.42%	0.1759	-8.05%	0.0369	✗	1.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.2105	0.210941	+0.21%	0.1913	-9.12%	0.0937	✗	1.11
2026-06-02	oos	0.2124	0.212636	+0.11%	0.2105	-0.89%	0.0357	✓	1.14
2026-06-01	oos	0.234	0.233433	-0.24%	0.2124	-9.23%	0.0218	✓	1.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.2396	0.238741	-0.36%	0.234	-2.34%	0.0138	✗	1.08
2026-05-30	oos	0.2355	0.234733	-0.33%	0.2396	+1.74%	0.0233	✗	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.2345	0.233803	-0.30%	0.2355	+0.43%	0.0014	✓	1.05
2026-05-28	oos	0.2335	0.232802	-0.30%	0.2345	+0.43%	0.0094	✗	1.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.233	0.232288	-0.31%	0.2335	+0.21%	0.0165	✗	1.04
2026-05-26	oos	0.2425	0.241574	-0.38%	0.233	-3.92%	0.0154	✓	1.03
2026-05-25	oos	0.2476	0.246499	-0.44%	0.2425	-2.06%	0.0043	✓	1.11
2026-05-24	oos	0.244	0.242938	-0.44%	0.2476	+1.48%	0.0151	✗	1.10
2026-05-23	oos	0.2479	0.246708	-0.48%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0156	✓	1.09
2026-05-22	oos	0.2406	0.239522	-0.45%	0.2479	+3.03%	0.0172	✗	1.09
2026-05-21	oos	0.2509	0.249424	-0.59%	0.2406	-4.11%	0.0063	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	0.2419	0.240561	-0.55%	0.2509	+3.72%	0.0411	✗	1.08
2026-05-19	oos	0.2334	0.232286	-0.48%	0.2419	+3.64%	0.0307	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.2381	0.236806	-0.54%	0.2334	-1.97%	0.0120	✓	1.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.2338	0.23283	-0.41%	0.2381	+1.84%	0.0289	✗	1.08
2026-05-16	oos	0.238	0.237073	-0.39%	0.2338	-1.76%	0.0042	✓	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.2496	0.248645	-0.38%	0.238	-4.65%	0.0307	✓	1.08
2026-05-14	oos	0.2681	0.267004	-0.41%	0.2496	-6.90%	0.0408	✓	1.06
2026-05-13	oos	0.2663	0.265006	-0.49%	0.2681	+0.68%	0.0120	✓	1.06
2026-05-12	oos	0.2703	0.269154	-0.42%	0.2663	-1.48%	0.0050	✗	1.04
2026-05-11	oos	0.2713	0.270347	-0.35%	0.2703	-0.37%	0.0155	✗	1.02
2026-05-10	oos	0.2684	0.267502	-0.33%	0.2713	+1.08%	0.0201	✗	1.04
2026-05-09	oos	0.2645	0.263438	-0.40%	0.2684	+1.47%	0.0010	✓	1.04
2026-05-08	oos	0.2656	0.264452	-0.43%	0.2645	-0.41%	0.0058	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.25205	0.250989	-0.42%	0.2656	+5.38%	0.0542	✗	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.2516	0.250662	-0.37%	0.25205	+0.18%	0.0239	✗	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.2531	0.251256	-0.73%	0.2516	-0.59%	0.0048	✓	0.94
2026-05-04	oos	0.2234	0.22322	-0.08%	0.2531	+13.29%	0.1131	✗	0.96
2026-05-03	oos	0.2239	0.223499	-0.18%	0.2234	-0.22%	0.0153	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.2266	0.226179	-0.19%	0.2239	-1.19%	0.0087	✓	0.94
2026-05-01	oos	0.2227	0.222189	-0.23%	0.2266	+1.75%	0.0143	✗	0.94
2026-04-30	oos	0.22055	0.219808	-0.34%	0.2227	+0.97%	0.0111	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.22185	0.22109	-0.34%	0.22055	-0.59%	0.0095	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.22455	0.223816	-0.33%	0.22185	-1.20%	0.0016	✓	0.97
2026-04-27	oos	0.2268	0.226217	-0.26%	0.22455	-0.99%	0.0058	✗	0.97
2026-04-26	oos	0.2317	0.231258	-0.19%	0.2268	-2.11%	0.0033	✓	0.97
2026-04-25	oos	0.2275	0.226961	-0.24%	0.2317	+1.85%	0.0079	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.2285	0.22796	-0.24%	0.2275	-0.44%	0.0044	✓	0.99
2026-04-23	oos	0.2275	0.227156	-0.15%	0.2285	+0.44%	0.0163	✗	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.2262	0.225894	-0.14%	0.2275	+0.57%	0.0062	✗	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.2244	0.223895	-0.23%	0.2262	+0.80%	0.0136	✓	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.2239	0.223391	-0.23%	0.2244	+0.22%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.2195	0.218955	-0.25%	0.2239	+2.00%	0.0052	✓	1.01
2026-04-18	oos	0.2308	0.230378	-0.18%	0.2195	-4.90%	0.0226	✓	1.01
2026-04-17	oos	0.2416	0.241198	-0.17%	0.2308	-4.47%	0.0261	✓	1.01
2026-04-16	oos	0.24285	0.242192	-0.27%	0.2416	-0.51%	0.0284	✓	1.02
2026-04-15	oos	0.2351	0.23451	-0.25%	0.24285	+3.30%	0.0305	✗	1.02
2026-04-14	oos	0.2199	0.219549	-0.16%	0.2351	+6.91%	0.0595	✗	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.2279	0.227423	-0.21%	0.2199	-3.51%	0.0300	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.212	0.211685	-0.15%	0.2279	+7.50%	0.0234	✗	0.99
2026-04-11	oos	0.2186	0.218262	-0.15%	0.212	-3.02%	0.0031	✗	0.99
2026-04-10	oos	0.2231	0.222749	-0.16%	0.2186	-2.02%	0.0200	✓	0.99
2026-04-09	oos	0.2216	0.221299	-0.14%	0.2231	+0.68%	0.0084	✓	0.99
2026-04-08	oos	0.2208	0.220535	-0.12%	0.2216	+0.36%	0.0051	✓	0.99
2026-04-07	oos	0.2272	0.226821	-0.17%	0.2208	-2.82%	0.0155	✓	0.99
2026-04-06	oos	0.2173	0.21706	-0.11%	0.2272	+4.56%	0.0022	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.2136	0.213362	-0.11%	0.2173	+1.73%	0.0205	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.214	0.21383	-0.08%	0.2136	-0.19%	0.0267	✓	1.02
2026-04-03	oos	0.2141	0.213951	-0.07%	0.214	-0.05%	0.0049	✓	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.21415	0.213981	-0.08%	0.2141	-0.02%	0.0005	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.2239	0.223563	-0.15%	0.21415	-4.35%	0.0240	✓	1.05
2026-03-31	oos	0.2245	0.224172	-0.15%	0.2239	-0.27%	0.0005	✓	1.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.219	0.218894	-0.05%	0.2245	+2.51%	0.0018	✗	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.214	0.214099	+0.05%	0.219	+2.34%	0.0101	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.2204	0.220494	+0.04%	0.214	-2.90%	0.0241	✗	1.06
2026-03-27	oos	0.22555	0.225647	+0.04%	0.2204	-2.28%	0.0230	✗	1.06
2026-03-26	oos	0.23395	0.23396	+0.00%	0.22555	-3.59%	0.0016	✓	1.07
2026-03-25	oos	0.2421	0.242083	-0.01%	0.23395	-3.37%	0.0046	✗	1.07
2026-03-24	oos	0.2427	0.242704	+0.00%	0.2421	-0.25%	0.0141	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.2437	0.243716	+0.01%	0.2427	-0.41%	0.0010	✓	1.07
2026-03-22	oos	0.2314	0.231522	+0.05%	0.2437	+5.32%	0.0043	✓	1.07
2026-03-21	oos	0.2392	0.239229	+0.01%	0.2314	-3.26%	0.0166	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.246	0.246017	+0.01%	0.2392	-2.76%	0.0038	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.2461	0.24617	+0.03%	0.246	-0.04%	0.0095	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.2516	0.25172	+0.05%	0.2461	-2.19%	0.0024	✗	1.08
2026-03-17	oos	0.2653	0.265443	+0.05%	0.2516	-5.16%	0.0139	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.2696	0.269711	+0.04%	0.2653	-1.59%	0.0027	✗	1.08
2026-03-15	oos	0.2569	0.25714	+0.09%	0.2696	+4.94%	0.0176	✓	1.07
2026-03-14	oos	0.2504	0.250709	+0.12%	0.2569	+2.60%	0.0005	✓	1.07
2026-03-13	oos	0.25565	0.255937	+0.11%	0.2504	-2.05%	0.0262	✗	1.08
2026-03-12	oos	0.2558	0.256085	+0.11%	0.25565	-0.06%	0.0080	✗	1.08
2026-03-11	oos	0.2556	0.255907	+0.12%	0.2558	+0.08%	0.0054	✗	1.08
2026-03-10	oos	0.2589	0.259189	+0.11%	0.2556	-1.27%	0.0178	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.2531	0.253427	+0.13%	0.2589	+2.29%	0.0026	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.2503	0.250632	+0.13%	0.2531	+1.12%	0.0307	✗	1.11
2026-03-07	oos	0.2566	0.256907	+0.12%	0.2503	-2.46%	0.0046	✗	1.11
2026-03-06	oos	0.2605	0.260841	+0.13%	0.2566	-1.50%	0.0026	✗	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2645	0.264889	+0.15%	0.2605	-1.51%	0.0278	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.2692	0.269562	+0.13%	0.2645	-1.75%	0.0091	✓	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.256	0.256433	+0.17%	0.2692	+5.16%	0.0220	✗	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.2564	0.25685	+0.18%	0.256	-0.16%	0.0050	✓	1.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.2525	0.252977	+0.19%	0.2564	+1.54%	0.0407	✗	1.19
2026-02-28	oos	0.2615	0.261883	+0.15%	0.2525	-3.44%	0.0147	✗	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.2596	0.259989	+0.15%	0.2615	+0.73%	0.0144	✗	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.2612	0.26157	+0.14%	0.2596	-0.61%	0.0221	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.265	0.26527	+0.10%	0.2612	-1.43%	0.0065	✗	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.2369	0.237536	+0.27%	0.265	+11.86%	0.0393	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.2363	0.236962	+0.28%	0.2369	+0.25%	0.0098	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.2443	0.244879	+0.24%	0.2363	-3.27%	0.0174	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.254	0.254501	+0.20%	0.2443	-3.82%	0.0350	✗	1.18
2026-02-20	oos	0.2561	0.256617	+0.20%	0.254	-0.82%	0.0098	✗	1.17
2026-02-19	oos	0.2501	0.250701	+0.24%	0.2561	+2.40%	0.0038	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.25275	0.25337	+0.25%	0.2501	-1.05%	0.0227	✗	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.2607	0.261292	+0.23%	0.25275	-3.05%	0.0151	✗	1.16
2026-02-16	oos	0.2673	0.267857	+0.21%	0.2607	-2.47%	0.0035	✗	1.16
2026-02-15	oos	0.2667	0.267276	+0.22%	0.2673	+0.22%	0.0010	✓	1.16
2026-02-14	oos	0.2771	0.277549	+0.16%	0.2667	-3.75%	0.0233	✗	1.16
2026-02-13	oos	0.2697	0.270261	+0.21%	0.2771	+2.74%	0.0087	✓	1.16
2026-02-12	oos	0.2619	0.262614	+0.27%	0.2697	+2.98%	0.0183	✗	1.17
2026-02-11	oos	0.2551	0.255913	+0.32%	0.2619	+2.67%	0.0375	✓	1.17
2026-02-10	oos	0.2531	0.253935	+0.33%	0.2551	+0.79%	0.0357	✓	1.19
2026-02-09	oos	0.2634	0.264145	+0.28%	0.2531	-3.91%	0.0206	✗	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	0.2689	0.269597	+0.26%	0.2634	-2.05%	0.0203	✗	1.19
2026-02-07	oos	0.2678	0.268586	+0.29%	0.2689	+0.41%	0.0165	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.278	0.278497	+0.18%	0.2678	-3.67%	0.0172	✗	1.20
2026-02-05	oos	0.2489	0.250662	+0.71%	0.278	+11.69%	0.0420	✗	1.25
2026-02-04	oos	0.2779	0.278457	+0.20%	0.2489	-10.44%	0.1273	✓	1.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.3082	0.30703	-0.38%	0.2779	-9.83%	0.0443	✓	1.55
2026-02-02	oos	0.2895	0.289205	-0.10%	0.3082	+6.46%	0.1273	✗	1.64
2026-02-01	oos	0.25485	0.256191	+0.53%	0.2895	+13.60%	0.0870	✓	1.55
2026-01-31	oos	0.2615	0.262667	+0.45%	0.25485	-2.54%	0.0061	✓	1.61
2026-01-30	oos	0.2892	0.288478	-0.25%	0.2615	-9.58%	0.0106	✗	1.62
2026-01-29	oos	0.2864	0.285752	-0.23%	0.2892	+0.98%	0.0197	✗	1.62
2026-01-28	oos	0.2999	0.298177	-0.57%	0.2864	-4.50%	0.0496	✗	1.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.3001	0.298373	-0.58%	0.2999	-0.07%	0.0042	✓	1.70
2026-01-26	oos	0.2978	0.296109	-0.57%	0.3001	+0.77%	0.0030	✓	1.68
2026-01-25	oos	0.2823	0.281404	-0.32%	0.2978	+5.49%	0.0244	✗	1.67
2026-01-24	oos	0.3024	0.30076	-0.54%	0.2823	-6.65%	0.0159	✓	1.65
2026-01-23	oos	0.3096	0.307858	-0.56%	0.3024	-2.33%	0.0106	✓	1.66
2026-01-22	oos	0.3143	0.312314	-0.63%	0.3096	-1.50%	0.0089	✓	1.66
2026-01-21	oos	0.3148	0.312889	-0.61%	0.3143	-0.16%	0.0026	✓	1.66
2026-01-20	oos	0.30075	0.299366	-0.46%	0.3148	+4.67%	0.0308	✗	1.64
2026-01-19	oos	0.3232	0.321515	-0.52%	0.30075	-6.95%	0.0108	✗	1.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.3426	0.34064	-0.57%	0.3232	-5.66%	0.0336	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	0.3621	0.359907	-0.61%	0.3426	-5.39%	0.0239	✓	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.3721	0.369819	-0.61%	0.3621	-2.69%	0.0144	✓	1.63
2026-01-15	oos	0.3664	0.364356	-0.56%	0.3721	+1.56%	0.0225	✗	1.62
2026-01-14	oos	0.38445	0.382258	-0.57%	0.3664	-4.70%	0.0194	✓	1.62
2026-01-13	oos	0.3951	0.392503	-0.66%	0.38445	-2.70%	0.0476	✓	1.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.37705	0.374693	-0.63%	0.3951	+4.79%	0.0227	✓	1.68
2026-01-11	oos	0.3827	0.380404	-0.60%	0.37705	-1.48%	0.0147	✓	1.69
2026-01-10	oos	0.3862	0.383442	-0.71%	0.3827	-0.91%	0.0113	✓	1.70
2026-01-09	oos	0.3733	0.370881	-0.65%	0.3862	+3.46%	0.0432	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.354	0.352325	-0.47%	0.3733	+5.45%	0.0675	✗	1.72
2026-01-07	oos	0.3476	0.346168	-0.41%	0.354	+1.84%	0.0281	✗	2.06
2026-01-06	oos	0.3722	0.370107	-0.56%	0.3476	-6.61%	0.0086	✓	2.05
2026-01-05	oos	0.3755	0.372593	-0.77%	0.3722	-0.88%	0.0022	✓	2.05
2026-01-04	oos	0.3558	0.352869	-0.82%	0.3755	+5.54%	0.0097	✗	2.05
2026-01-03	oos	0.3022	0.301253	-0.31%	0.3558	+17.74%	0.1466	✗	2.01
2026-01-02	oos	0.276	0.275813	-0.07%	0.3022	+9.49%	0.0773	✗	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.2632	0.263257	+0.02%	0.276	+4.86%	0.0203	✓	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.24385	0.244284	+0.18%	0.2632	+7.94%	0.0473	✓	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.2535	0.25395	+0.18%	0.24385	-3.81%	0.0208	✗	1.94
2025-12-29	oos	0.2547	0.255198	+0.20%	0.2535	-0.47%	0.0350	✗	1.93
2025-12-28	oos	0.2646	0.265026	+0.16%	0.2547	-3.74%	0.0228	✗	1.93
2025-12-27	oos	0.2656	0.266004	+0.15%	0.2646	-0.38%	0.0068	✗	1.91
2025-12-26	oos	0.25095	0.251534	+0.23%	0.2656	+5.84%	0.0434	✓	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.2443	0.24497	+0.27%	0.25095	+2.72%	0.0214	✓	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.2488	0.24943	+0.25%	0.2443	-1.81%	0.0113	✗	1.89
2025-12-23	oos	0.2436	0.244308	+0.29%	0.2488	+2.13%	0.0144	✓	1.87
2025-12-22	oos	0.2477	0.248376	+0.27%	0.2436	-1.66%	0.0045	✓	1.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.24925	0.249913	+0.27%	0.2477	-0.62%	0.0071	✗	1.86
2025-12-20	oos	0.2561	0.256679	+0.23%	0.24925	-2.67%	0.0361	✗	1.88
2025-12-19	oos	0.2542	0.254804	+0.24%	0.2561	+0.75%	0.0002	✓	1.88
2025-12-18	oos	0.24065	0.241493	+0.35%	0.2542	+5.63%	0.0056	✗	1.87
2025-12-17	oos	0.2509	0.251674	+0.31%	0.24065	-4.09%	0.0284	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.2637	0.264374	+0.26%	0.2509	-4.85%	0.0168	✗	1.88
2025-12-15	oos	0.2638	0.264548	+0.28%	0.2637	-0.04%	0.0344	✗	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.2785	0.279113	+0.22%	0.2638	-5.28%	0.0185	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.2891	0.289635	+0.19%	0.2785	-3.67%	0.0049	✓	1.89
2025-12-12	oos	0.2881	0.288737	+0.22%	0.2891	+0.35%	0.0017	✓	1.89
2025-12-11	oos	0.2974	0.298029	+0.21%	0.2881	-3.13%	0.0132	✓	1.90
2025-12-10	oos	0.30685	0.307436	+0.19%	0.2974	-3.08%	0.0437	✗	1.91
2025-12-09	oos	0.3159	0.316382	+0.15%	0.30685	-2.86%	0.0171	✗	1.91
2025-12-08	oos	0.3006	0.301259	+0.22%	0.3159	+5.09%	0.0053	✓	1.90
2025-12-07	oos	0.2932	0.293953	+0.26%	0.3006	+2.52%	0.0171	✓	1.89
2025-12-06	oos	0.2967	0.297467	+0.26%	0.2932	-1.18%	0.0385	✗	1.91
2025-12-05	oos	0.2922	0.293067	+0.30%	0.2967	+1.54%	0.0140	✓	1.91
2025-12-04	oos	0.3079	0.308694	+0.26%	0.2922	-5.10%	0.0030	✓	1.91
2025-12-03	oos	0.3205	0.321218	+0.22%	0.3079	-3.93%	0.0143	✗	1.91
2025-12-02	oos	0.308	0.308876	+0.28%	0.3205	+4.06%	0.0075	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.2824	0.283583	+0.42%	0.308	+9.07%	0.0275	✗	1.94
2025-11-30	oos	0.30755	0.308567	+0.33%	0.2824	-8.18%	0.0017	✓	1.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.3129	0.314017	+0.36%	0.30755	-1.71%	0.0110	✗	1.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.3171	0.318292	+0.38%	0.3129	-1.32%	0.0155	✗	1.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.32335	0.324552	+0.37%	0.3171	-1.93%	0.0144	✗	1.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.3224	0.323643	+0.39%	0.32335	+0.29%	0.0188	✗	1.92
2025-11-25	oos	0.3193	0.320638	+0.42%	0.3224	+0.97%	0.0646	✗	1.98
2025-11-24	oos	0.321	0.322318	+0.41%	0.3193	-0.53%	0.0119	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.3078	0.309315	+0.49%	0.321	+4.29%	0.0040	✓	1.98
2025-11-22	oos	0.3075	0.309168	+0.54%	0.3078	+0.10%	0.0548	✗	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.3121	0.313785	+0.54%	0.3075	-1.47%	0.0110	✗	2.03
2025-11-20	oos	0.3277	0.329182	+0.45%	0.3121	-4.76%	0.0187	✗	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.342	0.343143	+0.33%	0.3277	-4.18%	0.0718	✓	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.3463	0.347398	+0.32%	0.342	-1.24%	0.0180	✓	2.14
2025-11-17	oos	0.3375	0.338823	+0.39%	0.3463	+2.61%	0.0030	✓	2.14
2025-11-16	oos	0.3473	0.348533	+0.36%	0.3375	-2.82%	0.0159	✓	2.15
2025-11-15	oos	0.3604	0.361534	+0.31%	0.3473	-3.63%	0.0093	✗	2.15
2025-11-14	oos	0.3595	0.360757	+0.35%	0.3604	+0.25%	0.0246	✗	2.16
2025-11-13	oos	0.38295	0.383802	+0.22%	0.3595	-6.12%	0.0524	✓	2.24
2025-11-12	oos	0.40275	0.403333	+0.14%	0.38295	-4.92%	0.0069	✗	2.23
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.412065	+0.11%	0.40275	-2.15%	0.0072	✓	2.25
2025-11-10	oos	0.4293	0.429419	+0.03%	0.4116	-4.12%	0.0220	✓	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.422	0.422057	+0.01%	0.4293	+1.73%	0.0108	✗	2.28
2025-11-08	oos	0.4026	0.402993	+0.10%	0.422	+4.82%	0.0071	✗	2.28
2025-11-07	oos	0.4112	0.411044	-0.04%	0.4026	-2.09%	0.0011	✗	2.25
2025-11-06	oos	0.3523	0.353368	+0.30%	0.4112	+16.72%	0.1090	✓	2.18
2025-11-05	oos	0.3613	0.362217	+0.25%	0.3523	-2.49%	0.0276	✓	2.20
2025-11-04	oos	0.3551	0.356332	+0.35%	0.3613	+1.75%	0.0386	✗	2.24
2025-11-03	oos	0.3715	0.372509	+0.27%	0.3551	-4.41%	0.0668	✓	2.34
2025-11-02	oos	0.4251	0.425631	+0.12%	0.3715	-12.61%	0.0519	✗	2.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.4243	0.424938	+0.15%	0.4251	+0.19%	0.0097	✗	2.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.4127	0.413593	+0.22%	0.4243	+2.81%	0.0152	✓	2.30
2025-10-30	oos	0.4062	0.407262	+0.26%	0.4127	+1.60%	0.0131	✗	2.30
2025-10-29	oos	0.44075	0.441538	+0.18%	0.4062	-7.84%	0.0476	✗	2.27
2025-10-28	oos	0.4417	0.442426	+0.16%	0.44075	-0.22%	0.0563	✓	2.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.458	0.458497	+0.11%	0.4417	-3.56%	0.0131	✗	2.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.4691	0.469344	+0.05%	0.458	-2.37%	0.0151	✗	2.33
2025-10-25	oos	0.4467	0.447274	+0.13%	0.4691	+5.01%	0.0122	✗	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.44955	0.450048	+0.11%	0.4467	-0.63%	0.0208	✗	2.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.4321	0.432763	+0.15%	0.44955	+4.04%	0.0183	✓	2.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.4216	0.422432	+0.20%	0.4321	+2.49%	0.0325	✗	2.37
2025-10-21	oos	0.4273	0.42796	+0.15%	0.4216	-1.33%	0.0021	✓	2.37
2025-10-20	oos	0.4426	0.442799	+0.05%	0.4273	-3.46%	0.0131	✓	2.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.4367	0.436947	+0.06%	0.4426	+1.35%	0.0288	✗	2.41
2025-10-18	oos	0.4218	0.422582	+0.19%	0.4367	+3.53%	0.0001	✓	2.41
2025-10-17	oos	0.42245	0.42341	+0.23%	0.4218	-0.15%	0.0206	✗	2.41
2025-10-16	oos	0.4364	0.437156	+0.17%	0.42245	-3.20%	0.0048	✓	2.41
2025-10-15	oos	0.4554	0.455687	+0.06%	0.4364	-4.17%	0.0144	✓	2.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.4704	0.470172	-0.05%	0.4554	-3.19%	0.0175	✗	2.45
2025-10-13	oos	0.48935	0.488302	-0.21%	0.4704	-3.87%	0.0100	✗	2.45
2025-10-12	oos	0.4605	0.460296	-0.04%	0.48935	+6.26%	0.0569	✗	2.40
2025-10-11	oos	0.422	0.423028	+0.24%	0.4605	+9.12%	0.0066	✗	2.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.4292	0.430143	+0.22%	0.422	-1.68%	0.0294	✓	2.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.5939	0.592564	-0.22%	0.4292	-27.73%	0.1771	✓	1.95
2025-10-08	oos	0.61245	0.610982	-0.24%	0.5939	-3.03%	0.0026	✓	1.94
2025-10-07	oos	0.5965	0.594922	-0.26%	0.61245	+2.67%	0.0017	✓	1.93
2025-10-06	oos	0.6297	0.628209	-0.24%	0.5965	-5.27%	0.0007	✓	1.94
2025-10-05	oos	0.5985	0.597406	-0.18%	0.6297	+5.21%	0.0340	✗	1.93
2025-10-04	oos	0.6028	0.601847	-0.16%	0.5985	-0.71%	0.0223	✓	1.93
2025-10-03	oos	0.62005	0.618995	-0.17%	0.6028	-2.78%	0.0287	✓	1.94
2025-10-02	oos	0.6237	0.622628	-0.17%	0.62005	-0.59%	0.0314	✓	1.95
2025-10-01	oos	0.6052	0.604401	-0.13%	0.6237	+3.06%	0.0009	✓	1.97
2025-09-30	oos	0.572	0.571768	-0.04%	0.6052	+5.80%	0.0223	✓	2.01
2025-09-29	oos	0.58455	0.584026	-0.09%	0.572	-2.15%	0.0155	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.585	0.584459	-0.09%	0.58455	-0.08%	0.0395	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.57445	0.574099	-0.06%	0.585	+1.84%	0.0291	✓	2.11
2025-09-26	oos	0.5796	0.579072	-0.09%	0.57445	-0.89%	0.0077	✓	2.12
2025-09-25	oos	0.5648	0.564466	-0.06%	0.5796	+2.62%	0.0137	✗	2.12
2025-09-24	oos	0.59475	0.593834	-0.15%	0.5648	-5.04%	0.0346	✗	2.18
2025-09-23	oos	0.59685	0.596079	-0.13%	0.59475	-0.35%	0.0282	✓	2.20
2025-09-22	oos	0.60435	0.603486	-0.14%	0.59685	-1.24%	0.0030	✗	2.20
2025-09-21	oos	0.6457	0.64414	-0.24%	0.60435	-6.40%	0.0148	✓	2.19
2025-09-20	oos	0.6585	0.656878	-0.25%	0.6457	-1.94%	0.0081	✓	2.23
2025-09-19	oos	0.65575	0.654274	-0.23%	0.6585	+0.42%	0.0052	✗	2.24
2025-09-18	oos	0.6902	0.688168	-0.29%	0.65575	-4.99%	0.0208	✓	2.24
2025-09-17	oos	0.6744	0.672538	-0.28%	0.6902	+2.34%	0.0138	✗	2.23

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.